Prognostic Factors in Patients with Pathologic T1-2N1M0 Disease in Non-small Cell Carcinoma of the Lung

A clinical model to predict brain metastases in resected early-stage non-small cell lung cancer

BACKGROUND

Despite the rising diagnosis of early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), there remains a limited understanding of the risk factors associated with postoperative brain metastases in early-stage NSCLC. Our goal was to identify the risk factors and construct a predictive model for postoperative brain metastases in this population.

METHODS

This study retrospectively enrolled patients with resected stage I-II NSCLC at the Department of Thoracic Surgery, West China Hospital from January 2015 to January 2021. Risk factors were identified through univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses, followed by the construction of a nomogram. Evaluation of the model involved metrics such as the area under the curve (AUC), C-index, and calibration curves. To ensure reliability, internal validation was performed through bootstrap resampling.

RESULTS

This study included 2106 patients, among whom 67 (3.18%) patients were diagnosed with postoperative brain metastases. Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that higher pT and pN stages, along with specific histological subtypes, particularly solid/micropapillary predominant adenocarcinoma, were identified as independent risk factors for brain metastases. The performance of the nomogram in the training set exhibited AUC values of 0.759, 0.788, and 0.782 for predicting 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year occurrences, respectively. Bootstrap resampling validated its reliability, with C-index values of 0.758, 0.799, and 0.792 for the respective timeframes. Calibration curves affirmed consistency of the model.

CONCLUSIONS

A nomogram was developed to predict the likelihood of postoperative brain metastases in individuals with early-stage NSCLC. The tool aids in identifying high-risk patients and facilitating timely interventions.

Prognostic significance of the N1 classification pattern: a meta-analysis of different subclassification methods

OBJECTIVES

The number of positive lymph node stations has been viewed as a subclassification in the N1 category in the new revision of tumour node metastasis (TNM) staging. However, the survival curve of these patients overlapped with that of some patients in the N2 categories. Our study focused on the prognostic significance of different subclassifications for N1 patients.

METHODS

We systematically searched PubMed, Ovid, Web of Science and the Cochrane Library on the topic of N1 lymph node dissection. Hazard ratios (HRs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used to assess the prognostic significance of N1 metastases. I2 statistics was used to evaluate heterogeneity among the studies: If significant heterogeneity existed (P ≤ 0.10; I2 >50%), a random effect model was adopted.

RESULTS

After a careful investigation, a total of 17 articles were included in the analysis. The results showed that patients with non-small-cell lung cancer with multistation N1 disease have worse survival compared with those with single-station N1 disease (HR 1.53, 95% CI 1.32-1.77; P < 0.001; I2 = 5.1%). No significant difference was observed between groups when we assessed the number of positive lymph nodes (single or multiple) (HR 1.25, 95% CI 0.96-1.64; P = 0.097; I2 = 72.5%). Patients with positive hilar zone lymph nodes had poorer survival than those limited to the intrapulmonary zone (HR 1.80, 95% CI 1.57-2.07; P < 0.001; I2 = 0%). A subgroup analysis conducted according to the different validated lymph node maps showed a stable result.

CONCLUSIONS

Our result confirmed the prognostic significance of the N1 subclassification based on station number. Meanwhile, location-based classifications, especially zone-based, were also identified as prognostically significant, which may need further confirmation and validation in the staged population.

The combination of plasma fibrinogen and neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (F-NLR) is a predictive factor in patients with resectable non small cell lung cancer

The prognostic value of inflammation indexes in non small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) was not established. Therefore, we assessed the clinical applicability of the F-NLR score, which is based on fibrinogen (F) and the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and the glasgow prognostic score (GPS) to predict the prognoses of NSCLC patients. We retrospectively identified 515 patients with stage I/II/IIIA who underwent surgery at our institution, and evaluated their preoperative serum levels of CRP, albumin, fibrinogen, neutrophil count, and the lymphocyte count. The cut-off values of the fibrinogen level and NLR were determined with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. GPS was classified into three groups as previously described. The disease free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method. Categorical variables were compared using the χ² test. Survival curves were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and the Cox proportional hazard model was used to assess the prognostic factors. The F-NLR was significantly associated with sex (p = 0.000), smoking history (p = 0.014), lesion type (p = 0.000), histologic type (p = 0.000), T stage (p = 0.000), venous invasion (p = 0.000), lymphatic invasion (p = 0.000), and TNM stage (p = 0.000). The 5-year DFS rates in F-NLR groups 0, 1, and 2 were 46.7%, 36.4%, 30.1%, respectively (p = 0.000), and the 5-year overall survival (OS) rates in the above three groups were 52.0%, 39.8%, 32.1%, respectively (p = 0.000). Multivariate analysis showed that venous invasion (p = 0.036), lymph node metastasis (p = 0.000), and F-NLR (p = 0.034) were independent prognostic factors for DFS. Age (p = 0.015), venous invasion (p = 0.024), lymph node metastasis (p = 0.000), and F-NLR (p = 0.019) were independent prognostic factors for OS. Thus, F-NLR was the independent prognostic factor for both the DFS and OS. And patients with a high-risk preoperative F-NLR group may benefit from adjuvant therapy by subgroup analysis. Our results demonstrated that F-NLR, a novel inflammation-based grading system, as well as the GPS, appeared to have value as a promising clinical predictor of the prognosis for the resectable non small cell lung cancer patients.

Consolidation chemotherapy improves progression-free survival in stage III small-cell lung cancer following concurrent chemoradiotherapy: a retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) is the standard treatment for limited-stage small-cell lung cancer (LD-SCLC). However, the efficacy of consolidation chemotherapy (CCT) in LD-SCLC remains controversial despite several studies that were performed in the early years of CCT use. The aim of this study was to reevaluate the effectiveness and toxicities associated with CCT.

METHODS

This retrospective analysis evaluated 177 patients with stage IIIA and IIIB small-cell lung cancer (SCLC) who underwent CCRT from January 2001 to December 2013 at Sun Yat-Sen University Cancer Center (SYSUCC). Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier methods. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to analyze patient prognosis factors.

RESULTS

Among the 177 patients, 72 (41%) received CCT and 105 (59%) did not receive CCT. PFS was significantly better for patients in the CCT group compared to that for patients in the non-CCT group (median PFS: 17.0 vs 12.9 months, respectively, P=0.031), whereas the differences in OS were not statistically significant (median OS: 31.6 vs 24.8 months, respectively, P=0.118). The 3- and 5-year OS rates were 33.3% and 20.8% for patients in the CCT group and 27.6% and 6.7% for patients in the non-CCT group, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that having a pretreatment carcinoembryonic antigen level <5 ng/mL (P=0.035), having undergone prophylactic cranial irradiation (P<0.001), and having received CCT (P=0.002) could serve as favorable independent prognostic factors for PFS. Multivariate analysis for OS also showed that having undergone PCI (P<0.001) and having received CCT (P=0.006) were independent significant prognostic factors.

CONCLUSION

CCT can improve PFS for patients with stage IIIA and IIIB SCLC following CCRT without significantly increasing treatment-related toxicities.

Boundary between N1 and N2 Lymph Node Descriptors in the Subcarinal Zone in Lower Lobe Lung Cancer: A Brief Report

INTRODUCTION

In the International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer (IASLC) lymph node (LN) map, some LNs in the subcarinal space defined as #10 (N1) in the Naruke map were changed to #7 (N2). We aimed to validate the boundary between N1 and N2 in the subcarinal zone.

METHODS

We reviewed the records of 399 consecutive patients who had undergone complete resection for lower lobe non-small cell lung cancer. Involved lymph node stations were classified as N1 by both maps (N1 group), N1 by the Naruke map but reclassified as N2 by the IASLC map (#10 [subcarinal] group), and N2 by both maps (N2 group). The survival rates among these groups were compared using Kaplan-Meier and log-rank analyses.

RESULTS

LNs were classified as N0, N1, and N2 in 268, 67, and 64 patients, respectively, on the IASLC map and as N1 and N2 in 82 and 49 patients, respectively, on the Naruke map. The 5-year disease-free survival rates were 81.7% for N0, 50.9% for N1, 33.3% for the #10 (subcarinal) group, and 24.4% for N2. The rates of the N1 and #10 (subcarinal) groups were significantly different (p = 0.027), but those of the N2 and #10 (subcarinal) groups were not (p = 0.78). On multivariate analysis, metastatic disease in the LNs of #10 in the subcarinal space was an independent prognostic factor for patients classified as N1 on the Naruke map (hazard ratio = 2.47, 95% confidence interval: 1.17-4.85, p = 0.019).

CONCLUSION

All lymph nodes in the subcarinal space should be defined as #7 (N2) for prognosis.

Risk factors for locoregional recurrence in patients with resected N1 non-small cell lung cancer: a retrospective study to identify patterns of failure and implications for adjuvant radiotherapy

Background

Meta-analysis of randomized trials has shown that postoperative radiotherapy (PORT) had a detrimental effect on overall survival (OS) in patients with resected N1 non–small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Conversely, the locoregional recurrence (LR) rate is reported to be high without adjuvant PORT in these patients. We have evaluated the pattern of failure, actuarial risk and risk factors for LR in order to identify the subset of N1 NSCLC patients with the highest risk of LR. These patients could potentially benefit from PORT.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective study on 199 patients with pathologically confirmed T1–3N1M0 NSCLC who underwent surgery. None of the patients had positive surgical margins or received preoperative therapy or PORT. The median follow-up was 53.8 months. Complete mediastinal lymph node (MLN) dissection and examination was defined as ≥3 dissected and examined MLN stations; incomplete MLN dissection or examination (IMD) was defined as <3 dissected or examined MLN stations. The primary end point of this study was freedom from LR (FFLR). Differences between patient groups were compared and risk factors for LR were identified by univariate and multivariate analyses.

Results

LR was identified in 41 (20.6%) patients, distant metastasis (DM) was identified in 79 (39.7%) patients and concurrent LR and DM was identified in 25 (12.6%) patients. The 3- and 5-year OS rates in patients with resected N1 NSCLC were 78.4% and 65.6%, respectively. The corresponding FFLR rates were 80.8% and 77.3%, respectively. Univariate analyses identified that nonsmokers, ≤23 dissected lymph nodes, visceral pleural invasion and lymph node ratio >10% were significantly associated with lower FFLR rates (P < 0.05). Multivariate analyses further confirmed positive lymph nodes at station 10 and IMD as risk factors for LR (P < 0.05). The 5-year LR rate was highest in patients with both these risk factors (48%).

Conclusions

The incidence of LR in patients with surgically resected T1–3N1M0 NSCLC is high. Patients with IMD and positive lymph nodes at station 10 have the highest risk of LR, and may therefore benefit from adjuvant PORT. Further investigations of PORT in this subset of patients are warranted.

The role of segmental nodes in the pathological staging of non-small cell lung cancer

Background

Segmental nodes are not examined routinely in current clinical practice for lung cancer, the role of segmental nodes in pathological staging of non-small cell lung cancer after radical resection was investigated.

Methods

A total of 113 consecutive non-small cell lung cancer patients who underwent radical resection between June 2009 and December 2011 were retrospectively reviewed. All the operations were performed by the same group of surgeons. N2 nodes, hilar nodes, interlobar nodes and some lobar nodes were collected during surgery. The removed lung lobes were dissected routinely along lobar and segmental bronchi to collect lobar nodes and segmental nodes. The collected lymph nodes were separately labeled for histological examination.

Results

The detection rates of hilar nodes, interlobar nodes, lobar nodes and segmental nodes were 61.1%, 85.0%, 75.2% and 80.5%, respectively. The metastasis rates of hilar nodes, interlobar nodes, lobar nodes and segmental nodes were 5.3%, 10.5%, 16.8% and 14.2%, respectively. There were 68 cases of N0 disease, 16 cases of N1 disease and 29 cases of N2 disease. If an analysis of segmental lymph nodes had been omitted, six patients (37.5% of N1 disease) would have been down-staged to N0, and two cases of multiple-zone N1 disease would have been misdiagnosed as single-zone N1 disease, one patient would have been misdiagnosed as N2 disease with skip metastases.

Conclusion

Segmental nodes play an important role in the accurate staging of non-small cell lung cancer, and routinely dissecting the segmental bronchi to collect the lymph nodes is feasible and may be necessary.

Usefulness of serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) in evaluating response to chemotherapy in patients with advanced non small-cell lung cancer: a prospective cohort study

Background

High serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels are an independent prognostic factor for recurrence and survival in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Its role as a predictive marker of treatment response has not been widely characterized.

Methods

180 patients with advanced NSCLC (stage IIIB or Stage IV), who had an elevated CEA serum level (>10 ng/ml) at baseline and who had no more than one previous chemotherapy regimen, were included. CEA levels were measured after two treatment cycles of platinum based chemotherapy (93%) or a tyrosine kinase inhibitor (7%). We assessed the change in serum CEA levels and the association with response measured by RECIST criteria.

Results

After two chemotherapy cycles, the patients who achieved an objective response (OR, 28.3%) had a reduction of CEA levels of 55.6% (95% CI 64.3-46.8) compared to its basal level, with an area under the ROC curve (AURC) of 0.945 (95% CI 0.91-0.99), and a sensitivity and specificity of 90.2 and 89.9%, respectively, for a CEA reduction of ≥14%. Patients that achieved a decrease in CEA levels ≥14% presented an overall response in 78% of cases, stable disease in 20.3% and progression in 1.7%, while patients that did not attain a reduction ≥14% had an overall response of 4.1%, stable disease of 63.6% and progression of 32.2% (p < 0.001). Patients with stable (49.4%) and progressive disease (22.2%) had an increase of CEA levels of 9.4% (95% CI 1.5-17.3) and 87.5% (95% CI 60.9-114) from baseline, respectively (p < 0.001). The AURC for progressive disease was 0.911 (95% CI 0.86-0.961), with sensitivity and specificity of 85 and 15%, respectively, for a CEA increase of ≥18%. PFS was longer in patients with a ≥14% reduction in CEA (8.7 vs. 5.1 months, p < 0.001). Reduction of CEA was not predictive of OS.

Conclusions

A CEA level reduction is a sensitive and specific marker of OR, as well as a sensitive indicator for progression to chemotherapy in patients with advanced NSCLC who had an elevated CEA at baseline and had received no more than one chemotherapy regimen. A 14% decrease in CEA levels is associated with a longer PFS.

N1 non-small-cell lung cancer. A 20-year surgical experience

N1 non-small-cell lung cancer has heterogeneous prognosis in relation to node descriptors. There is no agreement on the ideal type of resection. A new classification of N1 descriptors was proposed in the 7th edition of the TNM staging system. A retrospective study was conducted on 384 patients with T1-T3N1 non-small-cell lung cancer who underwent complete pulmonary resection. The prognostic role of N1 descriptors according to the current and new staging systems and type of resection was investigated. The 5-year survival rate was 46%. Involvement of hilar node stations, multiple stations, and multiple nodes were poor prognostic factors (5-year survival, 33%, 21%, and 30%, respectively), as well as involvement of the hilar zone and multiple zones (5-year survival, 27% and 23%, respectively). Pneumonectomy showed significantly better survival rates compared to lobectomy or bilobectomy (5-year survival, 60% vs. 29%). Multivariate analysis showed that the number of N1 zones and type of resection were independent prognostic factors. Patients with hilar nodal, multiple-level, or multiple-zone involvement had poor prognosis. Standard lobectomy remains the procedure of choice, but in cases of fixed nodes in the hilar zone, sleeve resection or even pneumonectomy should be considered.

Factors associated with the development of brain metastases: analysis of 975 patients with early stage nonsmall cell lung cancer

BACKGROUND

The risk of developing brain metastases after definitive treatment of locally advanced nonsmall cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is approximately 30%-50%. The risk for patients with early stage disease is less defined. The authors sought to investigate this further and to study potential risk factors.

METHODS

The records of all patients who underwent surgery for T1-T2 N0-N1 NSCLC at Duke University between the years 1995 and 2005 were reviewed. The cumulative incidence of brain metastases and distant metastases was estimated by using the Kaplan-Meier method. A multivariate analysis assessed factors associated with the development of brain metastases.

RESULTS

Of 975 consecutive patients, 85% were stage I, and 15% were stage II. Adjuvant chemotherapy was given to 7%. The 5-year actuarial risk of developing brain metastases and distant metastases was 10%(95% confidence interval [CI], 8-13) and 34%(95% CI, 30-39), respectively. Of patients developing brain metastases, the brain was the sole site of failure in 43%. On multivariate analysis, younger age (hazard ratio [HR], 1.03 per year), larger tumor size (HR, 1.26 per cm), lymphovascular space invasion (HR, 1.87), and hilar lymph node involvement (HR, 1.18) were associated with an increased risk of developing brain metastases.

CONCLUSIONS

In this large series of patients treated surgically for early stage NSCLC, the 5-year actuarial risk of developing brain metastases was 10%. A better understanding of predictive factors and biological susceptibility is needed to identify the subset of patients with early stage NSCLC who are at particularly high risk.

Bibliography. Current world literature

This bibliography is compiled by clinicians from the journals listed at the end of this publication. It is based on literature entered into our database between 1 November 2007 and 31 October 2008 (articles are generally added to the database about two and a half months after publication). In addition, the bibliography contains every paper annotated by reviewers; these references were obtained from a variety of bibliographic databases and published between the beginning of the review period and the time of going to press. The bibliography has been grouped into topics that relate to the reviews in this issue.