Association of shock index with short-term and long-term prognosis after ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction

Clinical, electrocardiographic, echocardiographic, and angiographic predictors for the final infarct size assessed by cardiac magnetic resonance in acute STEMI patients after primary percutaneous coronary intervention

BACKGROUND

Final infarct size (IS) after ST segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is a major predictor of mortality. Seeking early predictors for final IS can guide individualized therapeutic strategies for those recognized to be at higher risk.

RESULTS

Eighty STEMI patients successfully treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI) underwent baseline (within 48 h) 2D, 3D echocardiography with speckle tracking and then underwent cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) at 3 months to assess the final IS. After recruitment, 4 patients were excluded for uncontainable claustrophobia while 76 patients completed the final analysis. The mean ± standard deviation age was 54.1 ± 10.9 years, 84% were males, 25% had diabetes, 26% were hypertensives, 71% were current smokers, 82% had dyslipidemia, and 18% had a family history of premature coronary artery disease. By 3 months, CMR was performed to accurately evaluate the final IS. In univariate regression analysis, the admission heart rate, baseline and post-pPCI ST elevation, STEMI location (anterior vs. inferior), highest peri-procedural troponin, large thrombus burden, baseline thrombolysis in myocardial infarction flow grade, the final myocardial blush grade, the 2D and 3D left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), and the 2D and 3D global longitudinal strain (GLS) parameters were significant predictors for the final IS. In the multivariate regression analysis, four models were constructed and recognized the residual post-PCI ST segment elevation, the highest peri-procedural troponin, the 2D-LVEF, 3D-LVEF, and 2D-GLS as significant independent predictors for final IS.

CONCLUSIONS

In STEMI patients who underwent successful pPCI, early predictors for the final IS are vital to guide therapeutic decisions. The residual post-pPCI ST elevation, the highest peri-procedural troponin, and the baseline 2D-LVEF, 3D-LVEF, and 2D-GLS can be excellent and timely tools to predict the final IS.

Shock index and modified shock index are predictors of long-term mortality not only in STEMI but also in NSTEMI patients

BACKGROUND

Shock index (SI) and modified shock index (mSI) are useful instruments for early risk stratification in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients. They are strong predictors for short-term mortality. Nevertheless, the association between SI or mSI and long-term mortality in AMI patients has not yet been sufficiently examined.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

For this study, a total of 10,174 patients with AMI was included. All cases were prospectively recorded by the population-based Augsburg Myocardial Infarction Registry from 2000 until 2017. Endpoint was all-cause mortality with a median observational time of 6.5 years [IQR: 3.5-7.4]. Using ROC analysis and calculating Youden-Index, the sample was dichotomized into a low and a high SI and mSI group, respectively. Moreover, multivariable adjusted COX regression models were calculated. All analyses were performed for the total sample as well as for STEMI and NSTEMI cases separately.

RESULTS

Optimal cut-off values were 0.580 for SI and 0.852 for mSI (total sample). AUC values were 0.6382 (95% CI: 0.6223-0.6549) for SI and 0.6552 (95% CI: 0.6397-0.6713) for mSI. Fully adjusted COX regression models revealed significantly higher long-term mortality for patients with high SI and high mSI compared to patients with low indices (high SI HR: 1.42 [1.32-1.52], high mSI HR: 1.46 [1.36-1.57]). Furthermore, the predictive ability was slightly better for mSI compared to SI and more reliable in NSTEMI cases compared to STEMI cases (for SI and mSI).

CONCLUSION

High SI and mSI are useful tools for early risk stratification including long-term outcome especially in NSTEMI cases, which can help physicians to make decision on therapy. NSTEMI patients with high SI and mSI might especially benefit from immediate invasive therapy.Key messagesShock index and modified shock index are predictors of long-term mortality after acute myocardial infarction.Both indices predict long-term mortality not only for STEMI cases, but even more so for NSTEMI cases.

Prognostic utility of shock index and modified shock index on long-term mortality in acute decompensated heart failure; Persian Registry of cardioVascular diseasE/Heart Failure (PROVE/HF) study

BACKGROUND

Shock index (SI) and modified SI (MSI) are used for prognosis in patients with cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), especially myocardial infarction. However, the utility of these indices in heart failure(HF) is less frequently investigated. We aimed to evaluate the long-term prognostic capability of SI and MSI among Iranian HF patients.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study was implemented in the context of the Persian Registry Of cardioVascular diseasE/HF (PROVE/HF). A total of 3896 acute decompensated HF (ADHF) patients were enrolled from March 2016 to March 2020. SI and MSI were assessed at admission. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and Kaplan-Meier curves were used to define optimum SI and MSI cut-off points and depict mortality during follow-up, respectively. The association of CVD death according to different SI and MSI cut-off points and quartiles was assessed through univariate and multivariate regression hazard models.

RESULTS

Mean age of participants was 70.22 ± 12.65 years (males: 62.1%). We found 0.66 (sensitivity:62%, specificity: 51%) and 0.87 (sensitivity: 61%, specificity: 51%) as optimised cut-off points for SI and MSI, respectively. Mean follow-up was 10.26 ± 7.5 months and 1110 (28.5%) deaths occurred during this time. Multivariate adjusted models revealed patients had SI ≥ 0.66 or within the third and fourth quartiles had higher likelihood of mortality compared to reference group (hazard ratio(HR): 1.58, 95%CI: 1.39-1.80, p < 0.001, HR: 1.38,95%CI:1.14-1.66, p = 0.001 and HR:2.00,95%CI:1.68-2.38, p < 0.001, respectively). MSI outcomes were similar (MSI ≥ 0.87: HR: 1.52,95%CI: 1.34-1.72, p < 0.001, third quartile (0.89 ≤ MSI < 1.00):HR:1.23,95%CI:1.009-1.50, p = 0.041, fourth quartile (MSI ≥ 1.00): HR: 1.80,95%CI: 1.53-2.13, p < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier curves showed patients with higher SI and MSI cut-off values and quartiles had lower survival rates.

CONCLUSION

Higher SI and MSI values were associated with increased mortality risk, and these two bedside indices could be appropriately considered for long-term prognosis in ADHF patients.

Ability of a novel shock index that incorporates invasive hemodynamics to predict mortality in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether the use of invasively measured hemodynamics improves the prognostic ability of a shock index (SI).

BACKGROUND

SI such as Admission-SI, Age-SI, Modified SI (MSI), and Age-MSI predict short-term mortality in ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI).

METHODS

Single-center study of 510 patients who underwent primary percutaneous coronary intervention. STEMI SI was defined as age × heart rate (HR) divided by coronary perfusion pressure (CPP).

RESULTS

The mean age was 62 ± 14 years, 66% were males with hypertension (69%), tobacco use (38%), diabetes (28%) and chronic kidney disease (6%). The mean HR, systolic blood pressure (SBP), and CPP were 81 ± 18 bpm, 124 ± 28 mmHg, and 52.8 ± 16.3 mmHg, respectively. Patients with STEMI SI ≥182 (n = 51) were more likely to experience a cardiac arrest in the catheterization laboratory (9.8% vs. 2.0%; p = .001), require mechanical circulatory support (47.1% vs. 8.5%; p < .0001) and be treated with vasopressors (56.9% vs. 10.7%; p < .0001) compared to STEMI SI < 182 (n = 459). After multivariate adjustment, patients with STEMI SI ≥182 were 10, 10.1 and 4.8 times more likely to die during hospitalization, at 30 days and at 5 years, respectively. The C statistic of STEMI SI was 0.870, similar to GRACE score (AUC = 0.902; p = .29) and TIMI STEMI score (AUC = 0.895; p = .36).

CONCLUSION

STEMI SI is an easy to calculate risk score that identifies STEMI patients at high risk of in-hospital death.