Correlation and comparison of the model for end-stage liver disease, portal pressure, and serum sodium for outcome prediction in patients with liver cirrhosis

Reduced risk of overt hepatic encephalopathy and death after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in patients with hepatic venovenous communications

PURPOSE

Hepatic venovenous communications (HVVC) is detectable in more than one-third of cirrhotic patients, where portal hypertension (PHT) tends to present more severely. We aimed to explore the prognostic implications of HVVC in patients with sinusoidal PHT treated by transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS).

METHOD

The multicenter data of patients (2020-2022) undergoing balloon-occluded hepatic venography during TIPS were retrospectively analyzed. Pre-TIPS total bile acids (TBA) levels in portal, hepatic and peripheral veins were compared between groups. The primary endpoint was the development of overt hepatic encephalopathy (HE) within one year after TIPS.

RESULTS

183 patients were eligible and classified by the presence (n = 69, 37.7 %) or absence (n = 114, 62.3 %) of HVVC. The agreement between wedged hepatic venous pressure and portal venous pressure was poor in HVVC group (intraclass correlation coefficients [ICC]: 0.141, difference: 13.4 mmHg, p < 0.001), but almost perfect in non-HVVC group (ICC: 0.877, difference: 0.4 mmHg, p = 0.152). At baseline, patients with HVVC had lower Model for end-stage liver disease scores (p < 0.001), blood ammonia levels (p < 0.001), TBA concentrations in the hepatic (p = 0.011) and peripheral veins (p = 0.049) rather than in the portal veins (p = 0.516), and a higher portosystemic pressure gradient (p = 0.035), suggesting more effective intrahepatic perfusion in this group. Within 1-year post-TIPS, HVVC group had a lower incidence of overt HE (11.7 % vs. 30.5 %, p = 0.004, HR: 0.34, 95 % CI: 0.16-0.74, absolute risk difference [ARD]: -17.4) and an improved liver transplantation-free survival rate (97.1 % vs. 86.8 %, p = 0.021, HR: 0.16, 95 % CI: 0.05-0.91, ARD: -10.3).

CONCLUSIONS

For patients with sinusoidal PHT treated by TIPS, the presence of HVVC was associated with a reduced risk of overt HE and a potential survival benefit.

Clinical Significance and Management of Hyponatremia in Liver Cirrhosis

The overall prevalence of hyponatremia in cirrhotics is around 50%. Hypovolemic hyponatremia is a result of excessive fluid loss caused mostly by diuretic treatment or diarrhea. More common is hypervolemic hyponatremia, which results from excessive activation of water and sodium-retaining mechanisms caused by effective arterial hypovolemia. This review focuses on the associations of hyponatremia with clinical outcomes and reviews the available data on its management. Hyponatremia is a strong predictor of mortality and is also associated with an increased probability of hepatorenal syndrome, disturbance of consciousness, infections, and unfavorable post-transplant outcomes. In the management of hyponatremia, it is crucial to distinguish between hypovolemic and hypervolemic hyponatremia. The treatment of hypervolemic hyponatremia should be started only in symptomatic patients. The cessation of the treatment with traditional diuretics and fluid restriction may prevent further decrease in natremia. Pharmacological treatment is directed towards cirrhosis itself, precipitating factor, or hyponatremia directly. Currently, only albumin infusions can be recommended routinely. Other possibilities, such as vaptans, splanchnic vasoconstrictors, niravoline, or osmotic diuretics, are restricted to specific use cases (e.g., imminent liver transplantation) or need more research to determine their efficacy. We tried to summarize the management of hyponatremia into a concise flowchart.

Analysis of mortality prognostic factors using model for end-stage liver disease with incorporation of serum-sodium classification for liver cirrhosis complications: A retrospective cohort study

Since the progression of cirrhosis is accelerated each time a complication recurs, the management and treatment of the complication is critical in enhancement of the quality of life and expectation of life in patients. The use of model for end-stage liver disease with incorporation of serum-sodium (MELD-Na) with physiological indicators can be used to assess severity and differentiate therapeutic interventions.This study is aimed to determine the mean survival period and cumulative survival rate by classifying patients into high-risk and low-risk groups based on MELD-Na, a predictor of mortality in liver disease, and to investigate the mortality prognostic factors.A retrospective cohort study, which follows the STROBE checklist, was performed. 263 patients who were diagnosed with liver cirrhosis complications for the first time and hospitalized were selected as the subjects of this study. The collected data were analyzed based on the survival package provided by the statistical program R version 3.4.2.Subjects were classified into high-risk and low-risk groups using MELD-Na 14 points where sensitivity and specificity crossed the cut-off point. Gender, age, and primary caregiver were significant variables in the mortality high-risk group, and AST, albumin, and primary caregiver were significant variables in the mortality low-risk group. Based on these mortality prognostic factors, it is possible to present the factors affecting mortality in patients who were diagnosed with liver cirrhosis complications for the first time. The classification of patients by risk level could be the foundation to provide accurate guidelines for management and it is necessary to modify prognostic factors and apply nursing interventions to manage complications.

Optimal endoscopy timing according to the severity of underlying liver disease in patients with acute variceal bleeding

BACKGROUND

Current guidelines recommend endoscopic therapy to be performed within 12 h for acute variceal bleeding (AVB). However, the optimal timing of endoscopic therapy for AVB remains unclear.

AIMS

To examine the relationship between the endoscopy timing and clinical outcomes in AVB, with emphasis on liver function and endoscopy timing.

METHODS

From January 2010 to June 2017, cirrhotic patients with AVB confirmed by endoscopy were evaluated. The primary outcome was a composite of 6-week rebleeding and mortality. We stratified patients according to the MELD score.

RESULTS

In 411 patients, the overall composite outcome rate was 30.9% (n = 127) at 6 week. Patients who underwent urgent endoscopy (≤12 h) had a significantly higher composite outcome than patients who underwent non-urgent endoscopy (>12 h) (34.4% vs. 19.1%; P = 0.005). Low-risk patients who underwent urgent endoscopy were more likely to reach the composite outcome (adjusted OR, 0.84 per 4 h; 95% CI, 0.73-0.98; P = 0.027). These findings persisted even after adjustment for baseline characteristics between the urgent and non-urgent groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Urgent endoscopy is significantly associated with a poorer outcome in patients with AVB, especially in low-risk patients. Our result provides a treatment strategy according to the severity of underlying liver disease in patients with AVB.

Oncologic and surgical outcomes in colorectal cancer patients with liver cirrhosis: A propensity-matched study

The management of colorectal cancer in patients with liver cirrhosis requires a thorough understanding of both diseases. This study evaluated the effect of liver cirrhosis on oncologic and surgical outcomes and prognostic factors in colorectal cancer patients. Fifty-five consecutive colorectal cancer patients with liver cirrhosis underwent colorectal resection (LC group). Using a prospectively maintained database, these patients were matched 1:4 using propensity scoring with R programming language, package "MatchIt" and "optmatch" by sex, age, cancer location, and tumor stage with 220 patients without liver cirrhosis (non-LC group), resulting in 275 patients. The 5-year overall survival (OS) was significantly worse in the LC group than in the non-LC group (46.7% vs. 76.2% respectively, P < 0.001); however, the 5-year proportion of recurrence free (PRF) rates were similar (73.1% vs. 84.5% respectively, P = 0.094). On multivariate analysis of the LC group, tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage ≥III disease, venous invasion, and a model for end-stage liver disease plus serum sodium (MELD-Na) score >10 were prognostic factors for OS. However, the OS was not different between the LC group with MELD-Na score ≤10 and the non-LC group (5-year OS rate, TNM stage ≤II, 85.7 vs 89.5%, p = 0.356; TNM stage ≥III, 41.1 vs 66.2%, p = 0.061). Colorectal cancer patients with liver cirrhosis have poorer OS compared to those without liver cirrhosis; however, the PRF rates are similar. It might be due to the mortality from the liver, and surgical treatment should be actively considered for patients with MELD-Na score <10.

Potential use of metabolic breath tests to assess liver disease and prognosis: has the time arrived for routine use in the clinic?

The progression of liver disease may be unique among organ system diseases in that progressive fibrosis compromises not only the sufficiency of hepatocyte mass but also impairs blood flow to the liver, resulting in porto-systemic shunting. Although liver biopsy as an assessment of fibrosis has become the key biomarker of and target for new therapies, it is invasive and subject to sampling error, and cannot quantify metabolic function or porto-systemic shunting. Measurement of the hepatic venous pressure gradient accommodates some of the deficiencies of biopsy but requires expertise not widely available and misses minor changes in hepatocellular mass and thereby information about metabolic function. Thus, an unmet need in clinical hepatology remains unfulfilled: a noninvasive biomarker which quantitates both the hepatocellular insufficiency and porto-systemic shunting inherent in progressive hepatic fibrosis. Ideally, such a biomarker should correlate with clinical endpoints including liver-related survival and cirrhotic complications, be performed at the point-of-care, and be affordable and easy to use. This review, an expert opinion, summarizes background and recent data suggesting that metabolic breath tests may now meet these requirements and have a valid place in clinical hepatology to supplant the time-honoured assessment of hepatic fibrosis.

Correlation of HVPG level with ctp score, MELD Score, ascites, size of varices, and etiology in cirrhotic patients

BACKGROUND/AIM

This study intends to determine the correlation of a patient's hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement with six factors: Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, presence of ascites, size of varices, presence of variceal bleeding, and an etiology of cirrhosis. The study also aims to identify the predictors of higher HVPG measurements that can indirectly affect the prognosis of cirrhotic patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Thirty patients diagnosed with cirrhosis were enrolled prospectively and each patient's HVPG level was measured by the transjugular catheterization of the right or middle hepatic vein. The wedged hepatic venous pressure (WHVP) and free hepatic venous pressure (FHVP) were measured using a 7F balloon catheter. The HVPG level was calculated as the difference between the WHVP and FHVP measurements.

RESULTS

The mean HVPG level was higher in alcoholic than in nonalcoholic cirrhosis (19.5 ± 7.3 vs 15.2 ± 4.5 mm Hg, P = 0.13). The mean HVPG was also higher in bleeders compared with nonbleeders (18.5 ± 5.3 vs 10.7 ± 3.1 mmHg, P = 0.001). Patients with varices had a higher mean HVPG level than those without varices (17.4 ± 5.8 vs 11.7 ± 3.9 mmHg, P = 0.04). The difference among the three categories of varices (small, large, and no varices) was statistically significant (P = 0.03). In addition, the mean HVPG level was higher in patients with ascites than in those without ascites (18.7 ± 4.7 vs 11 ± 5.3 mmHg, P = 0.002), and it was significantly higher in patients in CTP class C (21.8 ± 5.5 mmHg) as compared with those in CTP class B (16.9 ± 2.9 mmHg) and CTP class A (10.5 ± 4.1 mmHg; P ≤ 0.001).

CONCLUSION

HVPG levels were significantly higher in patients in CTP class C as compared with those in CTP classes A and B, thereby indicating that an HVPG measurement correlates with severity of liver disease. A high HVPG level signifies more severe liver disease and can predict the major complications of cirrhosis.

Impact of clinically evident portal hypertension on the course of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients listed for liver transplantation

Liver transplantation (LT) is the best curative treatment for early hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with cirrhosis. However, the current shortage of organs causes prolonged waiting times and poorer intention-to-treat (ITT) survival (i.e., after listing) owing to tumor progression and dropout. Portal hypertension (PH) is a recognized risk factor of HCC development in patients with cirrhosis and its recurrence after resection. The aim of this study was to evaluate the potential impact of PHT on the results of LT on an ITT basis. Patients with cirrhosis listed for LT for HCC were included and their outcomes after listing were compared according to the presence or absence of PH defined as presence of esophageal varices or ascites or low platelet count and splenomegaly. Among 243 consecutively listed patients, 70% were affected by PH, which was associated with a significantly higher risk of tumor progression (38% vs. 22%; P = 0.017) and a higher risk of dropout (22% vs. 8%; P = 0.01). Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) was similarly applied to the two groups (60% vs. 67%; P = 0.325). An absence of TACE was the only other independent risk factor of dropout owing to tumor progression. Under an ITT analysis, PH reduced overall survival (OS), but there was no difference in OS and time to recurrence post-LT. The only pathological feature that could potentially explain this observation was the lower complete response to TACE in the PHT group (12% vs. 36%; P = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

PH should be regarded as a major risk factor of dropout owing to tumor progression and should be taken into consideration when managing patients with HCC who are waiting for LT.

Risk factors for early rebleeding and mortality in acute variceal hemorrhage

AIM: To investigate the risk factors for 6-wk rebleeding and mortality in acute variceal hemorrhage (AVH) patients treated by percutaneous transhepatic variceal embolization (PTVE).

METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of AVH patients who had undergone PTVE treatment was conducted between January 2010 and December 2012. Demographic information, medical histories, physical examination findings, and laboratory test results were collected. The PTVE procedure was performed as a rescue therapy for patients who failed endoscopic and pharmacologic treatment. Survival analysis was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. The multivariate analysis was performed using the Cox regression test to identify independent risk factors for rebleeding and mortality.

RESULTS: One hundred and one patients were included; 71 were males and the average age was 51 years. Twenty-one patients rebled within 6 wk. Patients with high-risk stigmata, PTVE with trunk obliteration, and a hepatic vein pressure gradient (HVPG) ≥ 20 mmHg were at increased risk for rebleeding (OR = 5.279, 95%CI: 2.782-38.454, P = 0.003; OR = 4.309, 95%CI: = 2.144-11.793, P < 0.001; and OR = 1.534, 95%CI: 1.062-2.216, P = 0.022, respectively). Thirteen patients died within 6 wk. A model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score ≥ 18 and an HVPG ≥ 20 mmHg were associated with 6-wk mortality (OR = 2.162, 95%CI: 1.145-4.084, P = 0.017 and OR = 1.423, 95%CI: 1.222-1.657, P < 0.001, respectively).

CONCLUSION: MELD score and HVPG in combination allow for early identification of patients with AVH who are at substantially increased risk of death over the short term.

Spleen stiffness measurement can predict clinical complications in compensated HCV-related cirrhosis: a prospective study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement represents the best predictor of clinical decompensation (CD) in cirrhotic patients. Recently data show that measurement of spleen stiffness (SS) has an excellent correlation with HVPG levels. Aim of the present prospective study was to assess SS predictive value for CD compared to HVPG, liver stiffness (LS), and other non-invasive tests for portal hypertension in a cohort of patients with HCV-related compensated cirrhosis.

METHODS

From an initial cohort of 124 patients, 92 underwent baseline LS, SS, HVPG measurements and upper gastrointestinal endoscopy at enrolment and then followed-up for 2 years or until the occurrence of the first CD. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used for determining judgement criteria associated parameters. Accuracy of predictive factors was evaluated using c statistic. The final model was internally validated using the bootstrap method.

RESULTS

During follow-up, 30 out 92 (32.6%) patients developed CD. At univariate analysis varices at enrolment, all non-invasive parameters, HVPG, and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) resulted clinical predictors of CD. At multivariate analysis only SS (p=0.0001) and MELD (p=0.014) resulted as predictive factors. A decision algorithm based on the results of a predictive model was proposed to detect patients with low risk of decompensation.

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows that in compensated cirrhotic patients a SS and MELD predictive model represents an accurate predictor of CD with accuracy at least equivalent to that of HVPG. If confirmed by further studies, SS and MELD could represent valid alternatives to HVPG as prognostic indicator of CD in HCV-related cirrhosis.

The risk factors for bleeding of fundal varices in patients with liver cirrhosis

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The relationship between portal hemodynamics and fundal varices has not been well documented. The purpose of this study was to understand the pathophysiology of fundal varices and to investigate bleeding risk factors related to the presence of spontaneous portosystemic shunts, and to examine the hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) between fundal varices and other varices.

METHODS

In total, 85 patients with cirrhosis who underwent HVPG and gastroscopic examination between July 2009 and March 2011 were included in this study. The interrelationship between HVPG and the types of varices or the presence of spontaneous portosystemic shunts was studied.

RESULTS

There was no significant difference in the HVPG between fundal varices (n=12) and esophageal varices and gastroesophageal varices type 1 (GOV1) groups (n=73) (17.1±7.7 mm Hg vs 19.7±5.3 mm Hg). Additionally, there was no significant difference in the HVPG between varices with spontaneous portosystemic shunts (n=28) and varices without these shunts (n=57) (18.3±5.8 mm Hg vs 17.0±8.1 mm Hg). Spontaneous portosystemic shunts increased in fundal varices compared with esophageal varices and GOV1 (8/12 patients [66.7%] vs 20/73 patients [27.4%]; p=0.016).

CONCLUSIONS

Fundal varices had a high prevalence of spontaneous portosystemic shunts compared with other varices. However, the portal pressure in fundal varices was not different from the pressure in esophageal varices and GOV1.

Novel serological neo-epitope markers of extracellular matrix proteins for the detection of portal hypertension

BACKGROUND

The hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) is an invasive, but important diagnostic and prognostic marker in cirrhosis with portal hypertension (PHT). During cirrhosis, remodelling of fibrotic tissue by matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) is a permanent process generating small fragments of degraded extracellular matrix (ECM) proteins known as neoepitopes, which are then released into the circulation.

AIM

To investigate their potential as plasma markers for detection of PHT.

METHODS

Ninety-four patients with alcoholic cirrhosis and 20 liver-healthy controls were included. Clinical and laboratory data of the patients were collected. All patients received HVPG measurement with blood sampling. In these samples, the following degradation or formation markers were measured: C1M (type I-collagen), C3M and PRO-C3 (type III collagen), C4M and P4NP 7S (type IV collagen), C5M (type V collagen), C6M (type VI collagen), BGM (biglycan), ELM (elastin), CRPM (CRP).

RESULTS

All ECM markers except for CRPM correlated significantly with HVPG. Interestingly, C4M, C5M and ELM levels were significantly higher in patients with HVPG >10 mmHg. Multiple regression analysis identified PRO-C3, C6M and ELM as significant determinants, while the models A and B including PRO-C3, ELM, C6M and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) provided better description of PHT (r = 0.75, P < 0.0001). The models provided odds ratios of >100 for having clinical significant PHT.

CONCLUSIONS

These novel non-invasive extracellular matrix markers reflect the degree of liver dysfunction. The different degrees of portal hypertension correlated with these circulating neoepitopes. Using a single blood sample, these neoepitopes in combination with MELD detect the level of portal hypertension.

New advances in the use of serum prealbumin as an index of liver function

Serum prealbumin, mainly synthesized in the liver, can be used to assess the function of liver protein synthesis, reserve and nutritional status with many advantages such as convenience, accuracy and fewer interference factors; however, it is clinically used often as an independent factor, and there is little systematic, relevant and prospective research on it. Although serum prealbumin test has been used for a long time, many clinicians do not attach great importance to the characteristics of changes in serum prealbumin. In this paper, we will review new characteristics of biochemistry structure and function of serum prealbumin, and relevance between serum prealbumin and serum albumin, cholesterol, cholinesterase, total bile acids, prothrombin time, Child-Turcotte-Pugh, and model of end-stage liver stage.

Extracardiac complications in adults with congenital heart disease

With the increasing number of adults living with repaired, or unrepaired, congenital heart disease, there is a growing incidence of extracardiac comorbidities. These comorbidities can affect various organ systems in complex ways, and may have a significant impact on a patient's quality of life and survival. Many of these potential complications may go undiagnosed until there is already a significant bearing on the patient's life. Therefore, it is important for physicians who care for the adult congenital patient to be mindful of these potential extracardiac complications, and actively assess for these complications in their adult congenital practice. Continued research to identify modifiable risk factors is needed so that both preventative and therapeutic management options for these extracardiac complications may be developed.

Relationship between the hepatic venous pressure gradient and first variceal hemorrhage in patients with cirrhosis: a multicenter retrospective study in Korea

Background/Aims

Variceal hemorrhage is one of the major complications of cirrhosis and is associated with significant mortality and morbidity. The development of gastroesophageal varices and variceal hemorrhage is the most direct consequence of portal hypertension. Correlations between the hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) and first variceal hemorrhage were examined.

Methods

Patients with cirrhosis who underwent HVPG measurement between July 2009 and September 2010 were enrolled (n=535). All patients underwent esophagogastroduodenoscopy to enable the evaluation of gastroesophageal varices.

Results

The HVPG for all patients was 16.46±7.05 mmHg (mean±SD), and was significantly higher among those with first variceal hemorrhage than in those without it. The HVPG was significantly correlated with both Child-Turcotte-Pugh (r=0.488, P<0.001) and Model for End-stage Liver Disease (r=0.478, P<0.001) scores. An HVPG value of 11 mmHg was predictive of first variceal hemorrhage with a sensitivity of 92.4% and a specificity of 27.7%.

Conclusions

The HVPG was higher in patients with first variceal hemorrhage than in those without it.

Comparison of hepatic venous pressure gradient and two models of end-stage liver disease for predicting the survival in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis

GOALS

We evaluated the efficacy of initial and follow-up hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG), models of end-stage liver disease (MELD), and MELD-Na for predicting the survival of patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis (LC).

BACKGROUND

MELD with/without Na score and HVPG have been important predictors of mortality in patients with LC.

STUDY

Between January 2006 and 2011, a total of 57 patients with decompensated LC, all of whom underwent >2 HVPG measurements for the confirmation of propranolol dosing, were enrolled. MELD and MELD-Na scores were calculated on the day of HVPG measurement. The prognostic accuracy of the initial and follow-up HVPG, MELD, and MELD-Na were analyzed, and independent factors for mortality were evaluated.

RESULTS

Ten patients (17.5%) died from LC. Initial HVPG (0.883), initial MELD-Na (0.877), follow-up HVPG (0.829), and follow-up MELD-Na (0.802) showed good area under the receiver operating characteristic curve scores in predicting 1-year mortality. In predicting 2-year mortality, only follow-up HVPG (0.821, cut-off value 18 mm Hg) showed good score. Overall area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (initial and follow-up) were 0.843 and 0.864 in HVPG, 0.721 and 0.674 in MELD, and 0.762 and 0.715 in MELD-Na, respectively. In the Cox regression analysis, only follow-up HVPG (P=0.02; odds ratio, 1.11) was associated with mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The efficacy of HVPG for predicting mortality is excellent compared with that of MELD or MELD-Na. Therefore, aside from the confirmation of adequate propranolol dosing, HVPG may be needed for predicting the survival of patients with decompensated LC.

Systematic review of noncancer presentations with a median survival of 6 months or less

PURPOSE

We report on clinical indicators of 6-month mortality in advanced noncancer illnesses and the effect of treatment on survival.

METHODS

The MEDLINE database was searched comprehensively to find studies evaluating survival for common advanced noncancer illnesses. We retrieved and evaluated studies that reported a median survival of ≤1 year and evaluated prognostic factors or effect of treatment on survival. We extracted data on presentations with median survivals of ≤6 months for heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, dementia, geriatric failure to thrive, cirrhosis, and end-stage renal failure. Independent risk factors for survival were combined and included if their combination was associated with a 6-month mortality of ≥50%.

RESULTS

The search identified 1000 potentially relevant studies, of which 475 were retrieved and evaluated, and 74 were included. We report the common clinical presentations that are consistently associated with a 6-month median survival. Even though advanced noncancer syndromes differ clinically, a universal set of prognostic factors signals progression to terminal disease, including poor performance status, advanced age, malnutrition, comorbid illness, organ dysfunction, and hospitalization for acute decompensation. Generally, a 6-month median survival is associated with the presence of 2-4 of these factors. With few exceptions, these terminal presentations are quite refractory to treatment.

CONCLUSION

This systematic review summarizes prognostic factors common to advanced noncancer illness. There is little evidence at present that treatment prolongs survival at these terminal stages.

Does the model for end-stage liver disease score predict transfusion amount, acid-base imbalance, haemodynamic and oxidative abnormalities during living donor liver transplantation?

The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score is associated with the severity of liver failure in transplant patients. This study examined whether life-threatening stress factors during liver transplantation differed according to the patients' preoperative MELD scores. Forty-four patients who underwent living donor liver transplantation were divided into a high MELD group (MELD score ≥ 20) (n = 25) and a low MELD group (MELD score < 20) (n = 19). The volume of blood components transfused, acid-base homeostasis variables, and haemodynamic and oxidative variables were measured at each stage of the surgery. The systemic vascular resistance index was significantly lower in the high MELD group than in the low MELD group at all time points. The oxygen utility index and the oxygen extraction ratio were all significantly lower in the high MELD group than in the low MELD group only at the preanhepatic stage and not at later stages of surgery. Intraoperative transfusion volume and the severity of metabolic acidosis were not associated with the preoperative MELD score.

Prioritization for liver transplantation

There are three possible policies for prioritization for liver transplantation: medical urgency, utility and transplant benefit. The first is based on the severity of cirrhosis, using Child-Turcotte-Pugh score and, more recently, the Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, or variants of MELD, for allocation. Although prospectively developed and validated, the MELD score has several limitations, including interlaboratory variations for measurement of serum creatinine and international normalized ratio of prothrombin time, and a systematic adverse female gender bias. Adjustments to the original MELD equation and new scoring systems have been proposed to overcome these limitations; incorporation of serum sodium improves its predictive accuracy. The MELD score poorly predicts outcomes after liver transplantation due to the absence of donor factors incorporated into the scoring system. Several utility models are based on donor and recipient characteristics. Combined poor recipient and donor characteristics lead to very poor outcomes, which in a utility system would be considered unacceptable. Finally, transplant benefit models rank patients according to the net survival benefit that they would derive from transplantation. However, complex statistical models are required, and unmeasured characteristics may unduly affect the models. Well-designed prospective studies and simulation models are necessary to establish the optimal allocation system in liver transplantation.

Model for end-stage liver disease combined with serum prealbumin to predict the prognosis of patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the prognostic value of model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) combined with serum prealbumin (PA) in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis.

METHODS

A total of 252 patients were enrolled in the study and followed 1 year. PA was measured and MELD score was calculated on the first day of admission. Analysis of variance (anova) was used to assess correlation between PA level and MELD score. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards model was used to screen the prognosis related factors. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were drawn.

RESULTS

Of the 252 patients, 28 died within 3 months, 58 within 6 months and 91 within 1 year. Serum PA level in dead patients was significantly lower than that in survival patients (P < 0.005) and decreasing with increasing of MELD score. Cox analysis showed that MELD score > 18 (RR = 2.749) and PA < 70 mg/L (RR = 2.412) were independent prognosis risk factors. The risk ratio of MELD score combined with PA level (1.854, P < 0.01) was higher than that of MELD score alone (1.054, P < 0.05). Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis showed that MELD score ≤ 18 combined with PA ≥ 70 mg/L could clearly discriminate patients who would survive or die within 6 month and 1 year follow up.

CONCLUSION

MELD score ≤ 18 combined with PA ≥ 70 mg/L could predict the 6-month and 1-year prognosis of patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis, and was superior to that of MELD score alone.

Increased plasma malondialdehyde in patients with viral cirrhosis and its relationships to plasma nitric oxide, endotoxin, and portal pressure

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Increased oxidative stress is involved in the development of portal hypertension in cirrhosis. Our study aimed to assess the relationship between oxidative stress and hemodynamic parameters in cirrhotic patients.

METHODS

Forty-two patients with viral cirrhosis and 24 normal controls were enrolled. Measurements of plasma levels of malondialdehyde (MDA), nitrite/nitrate (NOx), endotoxin, and activities of superoxide dismutase (SOD) were carried out in all subjects. Systemic and splanchnic hemodynamic measurements were carried out in cirrhotic patients.

RESULTS

Plasma levels of MDA, endotoxin, and NOx were significantly higher in cirrhotic patients than in normal controls (900 +/- 751 versus 226 +/- 16 nM, P < 0.01; 62.0 +/- 26.0 versus 14.8 +/- 4.1 pg/mL, P < 0.01; 50.5 +/- 22.6 versus 15.0 +/- 9.2 nM, P < 0.01, respectively). Activities of SOD were significantly decreased in cirrhotic patients compared with in normal controls (2.62 +/- 0.7 versus 6.8 +/- 0.4 U/mL). Further, plasma levels of MDA in cirrhotic patients were significantly positively associated with hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) (r = 0.35; P = 0.025), wedge hepatic venous pressure (WHVP) (r = 0.42; P = 0.007), and hepatic sinusoid resistance (HSR) (r = 0.33; P = 0.033). Plasma MDA levels also correlated positively with plasma endotoxin (r = 0.71, P < 0.001) and NOx (r = 0.55, P < 0.001) levels in the cirrhotic patients. Multiregression analysis showed that the independent and strongest factors to predict HVPG, WHVP, and HSR are plasma levels of NOx, MDA, and endotoxin, respectively.

CONCLUSION

This study suggests a close interaction among MDA, endotoxin, and NOx and that these substances are also associated with hemodynamic derangement in cirrhosis.

Combined MELD and blood lipid level in evaluating the prognosis of decompensated cirrhosis

AIM: To evaluate the prognostic value of the combined model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and blood lipid level in patients with decompensated cirrhosis.

METHODS: A total of 198 patients with decompensated cirrhosis were enrolled into the study. The values of triglyceride (TG), cholesterol (TC), high density lipoproteins (HDL) and low density lipoprotein (LDL) of each patient on the first day of admission were retrieved from the medical records, and MELD was calculated. All the patients were followed up for 1 year. The relationship between the change of blood lipid level and the value of MELD score was studied by analysis of variance. The prognostic factors were screened by multivariate Cox proportional hazard model. Draw Kaplan-Meier survival curves were drawn.

RESULTS: Forty-five patients died within 3 mo and 83 patients died within 1 year. The levels of TG, TC, HDL and LDL of the death group were all lower than those of the survivors. The serum TG, TC, HDL and LDL levels were lowered with the increase of the MELD score. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard model showed that MELD ≥ 18 and TC ≤ 2.8 mmol/L were independent risk factors for prognosis of decompensated cirrhosis. Survival analysis showed that MELD ≥ 18 combined with TC ≤ 2.8 mmol/L can clearly discriminate between the patients who would survive and die in 1 year.

CONCLUSION: MELD ≥ 18 and TC ≤ 2.8 mmol/L are two important indexes to predict the prognosis of patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Their combination can effectively predict the long-term prognosis of patients with decompensated cirrhosis.

Comparison of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), MELD-Na and MELDNa for outcome prediction in patients with acute decompensated hepatitis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) is used to predict the outcome of patients with cirrhosis. Incorporation of serum sodium (Na) into MELD may further increase its prognostic ability. Two Na-containing MELD models, MELD-Na and MELDNa, were proposed to enhance the prognostic ability. This study compared the predictive accuracy of these models for acute decompensated hepatitis.

METHODS

We investigated the outcome of 182 patients with acute decompensated hepatitis.

RESULTS

Twenty (11%) patients died at 3 months. The MELD-Na and MELDNa both had significantly higher area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) in comparison to MELD (MELD-Na: 0.908, MELDNa: 0.895, MELD: 0.823, p=0.004 and 0.001, respectively). Among 96 patients without specific antiviral treatment, the MELD-Na and MELDNa consistently had significantly higher AUC than the MELD (MELD-Na: 0.901, MELDNa: 0.882, MELD: 0.810, p=0.008 and 0.004, respectively). Three independent indicators, pre-existing cirrhosis (odds ratio [OR]: 5.67, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.72-18.7), serum albumin<3.7 g/dL (OR: 5.68, 95% CI: 1.18-27.03) and serum sodium (Na)<138 mequiv./L (OR: 10.0, 95% CI: 2.08-47.62), were associated with 3-month mortality.

CONCLUSION

MELD-Na and MELDNa provide better prognostic accuracy than the MELD for patients with acute decompensated hepatitis. The adequacy of liver reserve determines the outcome of these patients.

Assessment of liver function in acute or chronic liver disease by the methacetin breath test: a tool for decision making in clinical hepatology

Patients suffering from acute or chronic liver disease require on-going assessment of disease progression in terms of the degree of hepatic fibrosis and overall liver impairment. This assessment is pivotal for determining the prognosis and for making decisions about medical treatment and liver transplantation. Currently available methods are either invasive, lack diagnostic accuracy or are limited by technical difficulties such as obesity or biochemical confounders. The metabolic breath test relies on the measurement of tagged metabolites of an organ-specific substrate in the exhaled breath. (13)C-methacetin is metabolized uniquely by the liver, and (13)CO(2) is measured continuously in the exhaled breath. Measuring this liver-specific substrate using molecular correlation spectroscopy provides a rapid, point-of-care, non-invasive method to assess liver function. The use of the (13)C-methacetin breath test (MBT) may provide a powerful tool for clinical hepatologists in decision making at the bedside. This paper reviews recent findings regarding the ability of the point-of-care (13)C-MBT to assess fibrosis, cirrhosis and hepatic functional reserve in patients with acute and chronic liver disease.

Major adverse events, pretransplant assessment and outcome prediction

Liver cirrhosis and portal hypertension pose enormous loss of lives and resources throughout the world, especially in endemic areas of chronic viral hepatitis. Although the pathophysiology of cirrhosis is not completely understood, the accumulating evidence has paved the way for better control of the complications, including gastroesophageal variceal bleeding, hepatic encephalopathy, ascites, hepatorenal syndrome, hepatopulmonary syndrome and portopulmonary hypertension. Modern pharmacological and interventional therapies have been designed to treat these complications. However, liver transplantation (LT) is the only definite treatment for patients with preterminal end-stage liver disease. To pursue successful LT, the meticulous evaluation of potential recipients and donors is pivotal, especially for living donor transplantation. The critical shortage of cadaveric donor livers is another concern. In many Asian countries, cultural and religious concerns further limit the number of the donors, which lags far behind that of the recipients. The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scoring system has recently become the prevailing criterion for organ allocation. Initial results showed clear benefits of moving from the Child-Turcotte-Pugh-based system toward the MELD-based organ allocation system. In addition to the MELD, serum sodium is another important prognostic predictor in patients with advanced cirrhosis. The incorporation of serum sodium into the MELD could enhance the performance of the MELD and could become an indispensable strategy in refining the priority for LT. However, the feasibility of the MELD in combination with sodium in predicting the outcome for patients on transplant waiting list awaits actual outcome data before this becomes standard practice in the Asia-Pacific region.

[Comparison of the Model for End-stage Liver Disease and hepatic venous pressure gradient for predicting survival in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis]

BACKGROUND/AIMS

This study compared the prognostic values of the Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) and the hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) in the prediction of death within 3 and 12 months in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis.

METHODS

We used data from 136 consecutive patients with decompensated cirrhosis who underwent HVPG between January 2006 and June 2008. Cox regression analysis was used to investigate the independent relationships with death of MELD and HVPG. The prognostic accuracies of MELD and HVPG were analyzed by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for the occurrence of death within 3 and 12 months.

RESULTS

Both MELD and HVPG were independent predictors of death [hazard ratio (HR)=1.11 and 1.12, respectively; 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.04~1.20 and 1.08-1.16]. Analysis of the AUROC demonstrated that the prognostic power did not differ between MELD and HVPG for predicting the 3-month survival (HR=0.76 and 0.68, respectively; 95% CI=0.62~0.89 and 0.52~0.84; P=0.22) or the 12-month survival (HR=0.72 and 0.73, 95% CI=0.61~0.83 and CI=0.61~0.84).

CONCLUSIONS

Both MELD and HVPG are independent prognostic factors of death within 3 and 12 months in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis, and their accuracies are similar. However, HVPG has a limited role in the prediction of death in decompensated cirrhosis due to its invasiveness and limited use.

Hepatic venous pressure gradient: worth another look?

Portal hypertension is one of the most important complications of chronic liver disease and accounts for significant morbidity and mortality. Measurement of the hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) is a simple, invasive, and reproducible method of assessing portal venous pressure. Measurement of HVPG provides the clinician an estimate of the degree of intrahepatic portal flow resistance, guides therapy for variceal bleeding (primary and secondary prophylaxis), assesses feasibility of resection in patients with hepatocellular cancer, and predicts response to therapy of patients with chronic hepatitis C. Achieving hemodynamic targets of reducing the HVPG to <10 mmHg or a 20% reduction from baseline virtually eliminates complications related to portal hypertension from chronic liver disease. This review explores the role of HVPG measurement in the contemporary treatment of patients with cirrhosis and portal hypertension.

Comparison of four models for end-stage liver disease in evaluating the prognosis of cirrhosis

AIM: To investigate the prognostic value of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and three new MELD-based models combination with serum sodium in decompensated cirrhosis patients-the MELD with the incorporation of serum sodium (MELD-Na), the integrated MELD (iMELD), and the MELD to sodium (MESO) index.

METHODS: A total of 166 patients with decompensated cirrhosis were enrolled into the study. MELD, MELD-Na, iMELD and MESO scores were calculated for each patient following the original formula on the first day of admission. All patients were followed up at least 1 year. The predictive prognosis related with the four models was determined by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the four parameters. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were made using the cut-offs identified by means of receiver operating characteristic (ROC).

RESULTS: Out of 166 patients, 38 patients with significantly higher MELD-Na (28.84 ± 2.43 vs 14.72 ± 0.60), iMELD (49.04 ± 1.72 vs 35.52 ± 0.67), MESO scores (1.59 ± 0.82 vs 0.99 ± 0.42) compared to the survivors died within 3 mo (P < 0.001). Of 166 patients, 75 with markedly higher MELD-Na (23.01 ± 1.51 vs 13.78 ± 0.69), iMELD (44.06 ± 1.19 vs 34.12 ± 0.69), MESO scores (1.37 ± 0.70 vs 0.93 ± 0.40) than the survivors died within 1 year (P < 0.001). At 3 mo of enrollment, the iMELD had the highest AUC (0.841), and was followed by the MELD-Na (0.766), MESO (0.723), all larger than MELD (0.773); At 1 year, the iMELD still had the highest AUC (0.783), the difference between the iMELD and MELD was statistically significant (P < 0.05). Survival curves showed that the three new models were all clearly discriminated the patients who survived or died in short-term as well as intermediate-term (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION: Three new models, changed with serum sodium (MELD-Na, iMELD, MESO) can exactly predict the prognosis of patients with decompensated cirrhosis for short and intermediate period, and may enhance the prognostic accuracy of MELD. The iMELD is better prognostic model for outcome prediction in patients with decompensated cirrhosis.

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The MELD-Na is an independent short- and long-term prognostic predictor for hepatocellular carcinoma: a prospective survey

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Serum sodium has been suggested to incorporate into the model for end-stage liver disease to enhance its prognostic ability for cirrhosis. A mathematical equation based on model for end-stage liver disease and sodium, known as "MELD-Na", was developed for outcome prediction for cirrhosis. The severity of liver cirrhosis is a key component to predict survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. This study investigated the prognostic role of MELD-Na for hepatocellular carcinoma.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 535 unselected hepatocellular carcinoma patients were prospectively enrolled to evaluate the performance of MELD-Na.

RESULTS

The MELD-Na was better than model for end-stage liver disease in predicting 6-month mortality by comparing the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (0.782 vs. 0.761, p=0.101). MELD-Na, but not model for end-stage liver disease, was an independent predictor associated with 6-month mortality in multivariate logistic regression analysis (odds ratio: 1.14, p=0.001). In the survival analysis, MELD-Na also independently predicted mortality, with an additional risk of 4.3% per unit increment of the score (p<0.001). Patients with MELD-Na scores between 10 and 20 and scores >20 had 2.1-fold (p<0.001) and 7.5-fold (p<0.001) risk of mortality, respectively, compared to patients with a score <10 in the Cox proportional hazard model.

CONCLUSION

The MELD-Na score is a feasible and independent prognostic predictor for both short- and long-term outcome predictions in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Inequities of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease: an examination of current components and future additions

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The aim of this article is to examine the limitations of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) components and summarize data on promising new predictor variables.

RECENT FINDINGS

Promising modifications to MELD have been aimed at identifying more accurate measurements of the current MELD components and at improving survival prediction in earlier stages of cirrhosis. Incorporation of new measurements of cholestasis, coagulopathy and renal dysfunction should improve accuracy and reliability of MELD in predicting mortality in end stage liver disease. Direct bilirubin may be a more specific surrogate marker of liver disease than total bilirubin and further investigation of its use in liver mortality risk models in warranted. The recently developed liver-specific international normalized ratio may mitigate thromboplastin-related variation in international normalized ratio measurements. The incorporation of more accurate assessments of renal function into MELD should improve prognostic accuracy and would avert systematic biases associated with serum creatinine. Hepatic venous pressure gradient and serum sodium are promising predictors of liver-related mortality that may warrant further consideration.

SUMMARY

Modification to MELD, particularly if intended for use in liver transplant allocation, should be based upon objective, reliable, reproducible and readily available predictors; and be able to withstand rigorous model development and validation.

Comparison of four model for end-stage liver disease-based prognostic systems for cirrhosis

Serum sodium (Na) has been suggested for incorporation into the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) to enhance its prognostic ability for patients with cirrhosis. Three Na-containing models--the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease with the incorporation of serum sodium (MELD-Na), the integrated Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (iMELD), and the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease to sodium (MESO) index--were independently proposed for this purpose. This study investigated the accuracy of these 4 MELD-based models for outcome prediction. The c-statistic equivalent to the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), used to predict 3- and 6-month mortality, was calculated and compared in 825 patients with cirrhosis. The MELD score tended to be lower with increasing Na level. At 3 months of enrollment, the iMELD had the highest AUC (0.807) and was followed by the MELD-Na (0.801), MESO (0.784), and MELD (0.773); the difference between the MESO and MELD was statistically significant (P = 0.013). At 6 months, the iMELD still had the highest AUC (0.797) and was followed by the MELD-Na (0.778), MESO (0.747), and MELD (0.735); all comparisons showed significant differences between each other (all P < 0.01), with the exception of iMELD and MELD-Na (P = 0.18). With the most discriminative cutoffs, the specificity and negative predictive value were 70%-85% and 89%-97%, respectively, at 3 and 6 months for the 4 models. Patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) consistently had significantly higher MELD-derived scores in all 4 models compared to patients without SBP (all P < 0.01). Patients with hepatic encephalopathy also had higher scores in all 4 models, although the statistical significance was established only for the iMELD (41.0 +/- 11.5 versus 37.6 +/- 9.1, P = 0.037). In conclusion, the incorporation of Na into the MELD may enhance prognostic accuracy. Both the iMELD and MELD-Na are better prognostic models for outcome prediction in patients with cirrhosis. Patients with SBP have a higher MELD-derived score. Future studies are warranted to define the optimal MELD-based prognostic model for cirrhosis.

Selecting an optimal prognostic system for liver cirrhosis: the model for end-stage liver disease and beyond

In comparison with the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) system, recent studies suggested that the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) may more accurately predict the survival for patients with cirrhosis. In the US, the liver allocation system was changed in 2002 from a status-based algorithm utilizing CTP scores to one using continuous MELD severity scores as a reference system in prioritizing adult patients on the waiting list. Direct evidence that demonstrates the benefits of MELD is the fact that the mortality rates of transplant candidates on the waiting list have remarkably decreased after the implementation of the MELD. The MELD score is closely associated with the degree of portal hypertension as reflected by the hepatic venous pressure gradient. Hyponatraemia occurs as a result of advanced cirrhosis, and a serum sodium (Na) level <126 mEq/L at the time of listing for transplantation is a strong independent predictor of mortality. Several MELD-derived prognostic models that incorporate serum Na into calculation have been proposed in the hopes of further improving the MELD's prognostic accuracy. Additionally, serum parameters such as creatinine and international normalized ratio are subject to interlaboratory variations and may need unifying standartisations. Patients with refractory complications of cirrhosis may need a priority MELD score to prioritize them on the waiting list. Appropriate modifications and the fine-tuning of the MELD based on well-designed prospective studies are necessary in solving the current controversial issues.