Predicting warfarin dose

Optimal Strategies to Select Warfarin Dose for Thai Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

Background: Warfarin has been the mainstay treatment for the prevention of stroke and systemic thromboembolism in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). The optimal starting dose of warfarin remains unclear. Objective: To investigate the most optimal dosing strategies for warfarin starting dose in Thai patients with AF. Material and Methods: We enrolled consecutive AF patients who were starting on warfarin and resulting in a stable INR of 2.0-3.0 at two consecutive time points. We measured the dose of warfarin at which INR achieved the target range. The optimal dosage was defined as the difference from the actual dose within 20%. We compared strategies of warfarin dosing, including warfarin dosing formula, 2.5 mg, 3 mg and 5 mg doses. The primary endpoints were the proportions of patients in optimal, underdosing, and overdosing categories. Results: Among 1207 patients visiting the Outpatient Clinic between October 2011 and September 2021, 531 patients were identified with AF and INR in the therapeutic range of 2.0-3.0 on at least two consecutive visits. The mean age of participants was 68 ± 11 years, and men accounted for 44.4% of the population. The warfarin dosing formula resulted in optimal dosing in 37% and overdosing in 24% of cases, whereas the 2.5 mg, 3 mg and 5 mg doses resulted in optimal dosing in 36%, 39%, and 11%, and overdosing in 33%, 44% and 88% of patients, respectively (p < 0.01). Conclusions: In Thai patients with AF, the optimal warfarin starting dose may be 2.5 mg, 3 mg or a simplified warfarin dosing formula, whereas the 5 mg dose should be avoided due to the high risk of overdosing.