A Novel and Validated Inflammation-Based Score (IBS) Predicts Survival in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Following Curative Surgical Resection: A STROBE-Compliant Article

Decoding the Prognostic Significance and Therapeutic Implications of Inflammation-Based Scores in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Comprehensive Review

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver cancer, posing a significant global health challenge with an increasing incidence. In recent years, multiple staging systems and scores have been proposed, emphasising the necessity for the development of precise prognostic tools. The well-documented etiological relationship between chronic inflammation and carcinogenesis has prompted researchers to explore novel prognostic markers associated with the inflammatory status of HCC patients. This review summarises the current data about inflammation-based scores in the context of HCC. We discuss established scores like the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), modified GPS (mGPS) and the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and others not as extensively studied, examining their utility in predicting survival outcomes and treatment response in HCC patients. Furthermore, we explore emerging scores, including the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and other lymphocyte-based scores, assessing their potential in refining risk stratification and guiding therapeutic decisions in the era of precision medicine. As research progresses and these scores undergo further refinement and integration into the evolving landscape of HCC management, they carry significant potential for improving patient outcomes.

Glasgow Prognostic Score and modified Glasgow Prognostic Score and survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a meta-analysis

Objective

To evaluate the association between inflammation-related markers, modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) and Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), and survival outcome and recurrence risk in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after treatment.

Design

Systematic reviews and meta-analysis of cohort studies.

Date sources

Embase, Scopus, Web of Science and PubMed were searched through 10 March 2021.

Eligibility criteria

We included cohort studies that assessed the effect of pretreatment mGPS/GPS levels on survival outcomes in patients with HCC.

Data extraction and synthesis

Two researchers independently selected the data and reached a consensus. In case of disagreement, a third researcher was required to assist. The HRs and 95% CIs were used as the effect size indexes. Newcastle-Ottawa Scale was used to assess risk of bias and quality assessment of the included studies.

Results

The meta-analysis included 23 studies, most of which were retrospective. Participants were grouped according to the score of mGPS/GPS. When analysed into two groups (1/2 vs 0), the results showed that patients with a mGPS/GPS of 1 or 2 had poorer overall survival (OS) than those with a score of 0 (both p<0.001). When analysed into three groups (1 vs 0 and 2 vs 0), the results revealed that an mGPS/GPS of 2 is related to poorer OS in patients with HCC (HR=2.46, 95% CI 2.06 to 2.95, and HR=3.45, 95% CI 1.68 to 7.10, respectively). However, a GPS of 1 (p=0.005) but not an mGPS of 1 (p=0.177) had a significant association with OS. No association was found between mGPS/GPS and disease-free survival or recurrence-free survival.

Conclusion

GPS was more closely associated the survival in patients with HCC than mGPS. A higher GPS has an association with poorer survival. It can be combined with tumour staging to assess the OS of HCC more accurately.

PROSPERO registration number

CRD42021242049.

Tin derived antimony/nitrogen-doped porous carbon (Sb/NPC) composite for electrochemical sensing of albumin from hepatocellular carcinoma patients

An electrochemical sensor based on an antimony/nitrogen-doped porous carbon (Sb/NPC) composite has been developed for the quantitative detection of albumin from hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. Sb/NPC is hydrothermally synthesized from Sn/NPC precursors. The synthesized precursor (Sn/NPC) and the product (Sb/NPC) are characterized by XRD, FTIR, TGA, UV/Vis, SEM, and AFM. Cyclic voltammetry, chronoamperometry, and electrochemical impedance studies are used to investigate the electrochemical performance of Sb/NPC-GCE. Sb/NPC-GCE detects albumin at physiological pH of 7.4 in the potential range 0.92 V and 0.09 V for oxidation and reduction, respectively. LOD and recovery of Sb/NPC-GCE for the determination of albumin are 0.13 ng.mL^-1 and 66.6 ± 0.97-100 ± 2.73%, respectively. Chronoamperometry of the modified working electrode demonstrates its stability for 14 h, indicating its reusability and reproducibility. Sb/NPC-GCE is a selective sensor for albumin detection in the presence of interfering species. The electrode has been applied for albumin detection in human serum samples of HCC patients. A negative correlation of albumin with alpha-fetoprotein levels in HCC patients is observed by statistical analysis.

Preoperative Fibrinogen and Hematological Indexes in the Differential Diagnosis of Idiopathic Granulomatous Mastitis and Breast Cancer

Background and Aim: Studies on hematological parameters in the differential diagnosis of idiopathic granulomatous mastitis (IGM) and breast cancer (BC) are limited. This study investigated whether preoperative fibrinogen and hematological indexes can be used in the differential diagnosis of patients with IGM and early-onset BC. Methods: Fifty patients with BC, 55 patients with IGM, and 50 healthy volunteer women were included in the study. Results: There was a statistically significant difference between the IGM and the BC with respect to fibrinogen, fibrinogen/albumin (Fib/Alb) ratio, C-reactive protein (CRP), white blood cells (WBC), neutrophils, neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet–lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and monocyte values. When fibrinogen (p < 0.001), the Fib/Alb ratio (p < 0.001), CRP (p < 0.001), WBC (p < 0.001), neutrophil (p < 0.001), NLR (p < 0.001), monocyte (p = 0.008), and 2-hour sedimentation rate (p < 0.001) were compared between the groups, the highest levels were found in the IGM group. There was a negative relationship between CRP and albumin, and a positive relationship was observed between CRP and WBC, NLR, PLR, and 2-h sedimentation rate. CRP had the highest sensitivity (95%), whereas the Fib/Alb ratio (86%) had the highest specificity. Patients with recurrent IGM had increased fibrinogen, Fib/Alb, CRP, neutrophils, NLR, and 2-h erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) and decreased lymphocyte levels compared to non-recurrent patients. Conclusions: Preoperative CRP, albumin, fibrinogen, Fib/Alb, WBC, neutrophil, NLR, monocyte, and 2-h ESR have considerable potential to be early and sensitive biomarkers of IGM caused by inflammation compared to BC. These parameters also have a significant effect on the recurrence of the disease, suggesting their potential as a practical guide for the differential diagnosis of BC from IGM.

Development and Validation of a Prognostic Nomogram for Gastric Signet Ring Cell Carcinoma: A Multicenter Population-Based Study

Background

Gastric signet ring cell carcinoma (GSRCC) is a rare disease associated with poor prognosis. A prognostic nomogram was developed and validated in this study to assess GSRCC patients’ overall survival (OS).

Methods

Patients diagnosed with GSRCC from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (2004–2016) and the First Hospital of China Medical University (CMU1h) were enrolled in this retrospective cohort study. Univariate and multivariate COX analysis was used to determine independent prognostic factors to construct the prognostic nomogram. Predictions were evaluated by the C-index and calibration curve. In addition, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, decision curve analysis (DCA), and Kaplan-Meier analysis were employed to assess the clinical utility of the survival prediction model.

Results

Patients were classified into two cohorts. We randomly divided patients in the SEER database and CMU1h cohort into a training group (n=3068, 80%) and a validation group (n=764, 20%). Age, race, T stage, N stage, M stage, therapy, and tumor size were significantly associated with the prognosis of GSRCC patients. On this basis, a nomogram was constructed, with a C-index in the training and the validation cohorts at 0.772 (95% CI: 0.762–0.782) and 0.774 (95% CI: 0.752–0.796), respectively. The accuracy of the generated nomogram was verified through calibration plots. Similarly, compared with the traditional AJCC staging system, the results of the area under curve (AUC) calculated by ROC, DCA, and Kaplan-Meier curves, demonstrated a good predictive value of the constructed nomogram, compared to the traditional AJCC staging system.

Conclusion

In the present study, seven independent prognostic factors of GSRCC were screened out. The established nomogram models based on seven variables provided a visualization of each prognostic factor’s risk and assisted clinicians in predicting the 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS of GSRCC.

Prognostic Nomograms for Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Curative Hepatectomy, with a Focus on Recurrence Timing and Post-Recurrence Management

Background

Prognoses of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after curative hepatectomy remain unsatisfactory because of the high incidence of postoperative recurrence. Published predictive systems focus on pre-resection oncological characteristics, ignoring post-recurrence factors.

Purpose

This study aimed to develop prognostic nomograms for 3- and 5-year overall survival (OS) of patients with HCC after curative hepatectomy, focusing on potentially influential post-recurrence factors.

Patients and Methods

Clinicopathological and postoperative follow-up data were extracted from 494 patients with HCC who underwent curative hepatectomy between January 2012 and June 2019. Early recurrence (ER) and late recurrence (LR) were defined as recurrence at ≤2 and >2 years, respectively, after curative hepatectomy. Nomograms for the prediction of 3- and 5-year OS were established based on multivariate analysis. The areas under time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) for the nomograms were calculated independently to verify predictive accuracy. The nomograms were internally validated based on 2000 bootstrap resampling of 75% of the original data.

Results

In total, 494 patients with HCC who underwent curative hepatectomy met the eligibility criteria. Cox proportional hazard regression analysis identified factors potentially influencing 3- and 5-year OS. Multivariate analysis indicated that patient age, Hong Kong Liver Cancer stage, γ-glutamyl transferase (γ-GGT) level, METAVIR inflammation activity grade, ER and post-recurrence treatment modality were influencing factors for 3-year OS (AUC, 0.891; 95% CI, 0.8364-0.9447). γ-GGT > 60 U/L, hepatectomy extent, LR and post-recurrence treatment modality were influencing factors for 5-year OS (AUC, 0.864; 95% CI, 0.8041-0.9237). Calibration plots showed satisfactory concordance between the predicted and actual observation cohorts.

Conclusion

We propose new prognostic nomograms for OS prediction with a focus on the differentiation of recurrence timing and post-recurrence management. These nomograms overcome the shortcomings of previous predictive nomograms and significantly improve predictive accuracy.

Prognostic value of combined preoperative fibrinogen-albumin ratio and platelet-lymphocyte ratio score in patients with breast cancer: A prognostic nomogram study

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of combined preoperative fibrinogen-albumin ratio and platelet-lymphocyte ratio score (FAR-PLR score) in breast cancer, and to establish a nomogram based on the score as well as clinicopathological factors to predict the prognosis of breast cancer.

METHODS

The study cohort included 707 breast cancer patients who underwent curative resection in Taizhou Hospital of Zhejiang Province, China from January 2010 to April 2016. FAR and PLR increased by 2 at the same time, only one index increased by 1, and none increased by 0. The relationship of preoperative FAR-PLR score with overall survival time (OS) and disease free survival time (DFS) in breast cancer was analyzed by log-rank test and COX proportional risk regression model, and a nomogram was established based on the results of multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

The average patient follow-up time was 61.2 months. The FAR-PLR score was conversely correlated with OS and DFS (P < 0.001). In the stage I-II group and III group, the FAR-PLR scores were significantly different among high, medium and low groups of OS and DFS (P < 0.01). FAR-PLR score was also found to be a powerful predictor of prognosis in Luminal B-like subtype, Her-2 overexpression subtype, and triple-negative subtype breast cancers; the higher the FAR-PLR score, the worse the prognosis. Forest charts and multivariate COX proportional risk regression model analysis showed that preoperative FAR-PLR score was an independent risk factor of OS (HR = 1.759, 95%CI = 1.410-2.210, P = 0.000) and DFS (HR = 1.729, 95%CI = 1.385-2.158, P = 0.000) in breast cancer. Based on the COX regression analysis of multiple factors, a nomogram prediction model for the survival of breast cancer was established. The calibration curve analysis indicated that the nomogram results were highly consistent between predicted and actual outcomes. Compared to stage (C-index of OS and DFS were 0.583 and 0.588 respectively), PR (C-index of OS and DFS were 0.592 and 0.592 respectively) and FAR-PLR score (C-index of OS and DFS were 0.592 and 0.591 respectively), the nomogram showed better predictive accuracy (C-index of OS and DFS were 0.652 and 0.651 respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study suggest that preoperative FAR-PLR score may be a potential new biomarker for predicting survival and prognosis of breast cancer. A prognostic nomogram model based on preoperative FAR-PLR score and clinicopathological factors may help doctors make better clinical decisions for breast cancer treatment.

Score for the Overall Survival Probability of Patients With Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma of the Body and Tail After Surgery: A Novel Nomogram-Based Risk Assessment

Pancreatic adenocarcinoma of the body and tail often has a dismal prognosis and lacks a specific prognostic stage. The aim of this study was to construct a nomogram for predicting survival of patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma of the body and tail after surgery. Data of patients were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and from medical records of Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center (SYSUCC). In a multivariate analysis for overall survival (OS), the following six variables were identified as independent predictors and incorporated into the nomogram: age, tumor differentiation, tumor size, lymph node ratio (LNR), and chemotherapy. A nomogram was built based on independent risk predictors. The concordance index (C-index) for nomogram, Tumor-Node-Metastasis (TNM) 7th and 8th stage system were 0.775 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.731–0.819], 0.617 (95%CI, 0.575–0.659), and 0.632 (95%CI, 0.588–0.676), respectively. The calibrated nomogram predicted survival rates which closely corresponded to the actual survival rates. Furthermore, the values of the area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves (AUC) of the nomograms were higher than those of the TNM 7th or 8th stage system in predicting 1-, 2-, and 3-year survival of patients in training and external validation cohorts. The well-calibrated nomogram could be used to predict prognosis for patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma of the body and tail after surgery.

The prevalence of cancer associated systemic inflammation: Implications of prognostic studies using the Glasgow Prognostic Score

The prognostic importance of SIR in patients with cancer is widely recognised. More recently it has become clear that the systemic inflammatory response is an important etiologic factor in the development of cancer cachexia. Two recent meta-analysis carried out in 2017 and 2018 were interrogated and the number of patients with specific cancer types were identified. The percentage of patients with operable cancer (n>28,000) who were systemically inflamed varied from 21% to 38%. The percentage of patients with inoperable cancer (n>12,000) who were systemically inflamed varied from 29% to 79%. Overall, the percentage of patients (n>40,000) who were systemically inflamed varied from 28% to 63% according to tumour type. The most commonly studied cancer was colorectal cancer (n∼10,000 patients) and 40% were systemically inflamed.

Development of a Novel Inflammation-Based Index for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The aim of current study was to (1) construct and validate a novel hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)-specific inflammatory index; (2) compare the performances of the Integrated Liver Inflammatory Score (ILIS) to existing 4 inflammatory indices in HCC; (3) explore the association between the inflammatory indices and systemic/intratumoral inflammatory markers.

METHODS

Two cohorts from Hong Kong (HK; n = 1,315) and Newcastle (n = 574) were studied. A novel index was constructed from the HK training set (n = 627). The index was constructed from the training set by combing independent prognostic circulating parameters, followed by validating in the validation set of HK cohort (n = 688) and the Newcastle cohort. Its prognostic performance was compared to 4 inflammatory indices, namely, the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, prognostic nutrition index, and systemic immune-inflammation index, were compared in the HK cohort. Circulating cytokines and intratumoral gene expression were analyzed in a subset of patients with available samples and correlated with the inflammatory indices.

RESULTS

In the training set of the HK cohort, the ILIS, was generated: -0.057 × albumin (g/L) + 0.978 × log (Bilirubin, µmol/L) + 1.341 × log (alkaline phosphatase, IU/L) + 0.086 × Neutrophil (109/L) + 0.301 × log (alpha-fetoprotein, µg/L). With cutoff of 2.60 and 3.87, the ILIS could categorize patients into 3 risk groups in the both validation cohorts. ILIS outperforms other inflammatory indices and remains an independent prognosticator for overall survival after adjustment with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (hazard ratio 31.90, p < 0.001). The ILIS had the best prognostic performances as compared to other inflammatory indices. In exploratory analyses, the ILIS correlated with circulating inflammatory cytokines (e.g., IL-8) but not with any intratumoral inflammatory gene expression.

CONCLUSIONS

ILIS is an HCC-specific prognostic index built on 5 readily available blood parameters. Its versatility is validated both Eastern and Western population of HCC. The score is correlated with levels of circulating cytokines.

Prognostic significance of inflammatory indices in hepatocellular carcinoma treated with transarterial chemoembolization: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the association between inflammatory indices and clinical outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) by performing meta-analysis.

METHODS

A systematic literature search for relevant studies published up to August 2019 was performed by using PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE, China National Knowledge Internet (CNKI) and Wanfang databases. Pooled hazard ratios (HR) or odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were calculated.

RESULTS

A total of 5280 patients from 22 studies were finally enrolled in the meta-analysis. The results demonstrated that elevated preoperative NLR, PLR, and CRP was associated with poor OS in HCC patients treated by TACE (HR = 1.81, P<0.00001; HR = 1.56, P = 0.007; HR = 1.45, P<0.00001, respectively). In addition, high NLR was significantly correlated with the presence of tumor vascular invasion (OR = 1.49, P = 0.002). Elevated PLR tended to be correlated with higher incidence of tumor size>3 cm (OR = 2.42, P = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated preoperative NLR, PLR, and CRP are associated with poor prognosis in HCC patients treated with TACE. These inflammatory indices may be convenient, accessible, affordable and dependable biomarkers with prognostic potential for HCC patients treated by TACE.

Novel Prognostic Nomograms for Predicting Early and Late Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Curative Hepatectomy

Aim

Hepatectomy is the main curative method for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in China. Unfortunately, high recurrence rate after hepatectomy poses negative impact on the prognosis of patients. This study aimed to develop prognostic nomograms to predict early recurrence (ER) and late recurrence (LR) of HCC after curative hepatectomy.

Patients and Methods

Total of 318 HCC patients undergoing curative hepatectomy from January 2012 to January 2018 were retrospectively recruited. Potential risk factors that were significant for predicting ER and LR in univariate analysis were selected for multivariate survival model analysis using the backward stepwise method. Risk factors identified in multivariate analysis were used to develop nomograms to predict ER and LR. The nomogram was internally validated using 2,000 bootstrap samples from 75% of the original data.

Results

Among 318 patients, 164 showed postoperative recurrence, of which 140 and 24 had ER (≤2 years) and LR (>2 years), respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that age, Hong Kong Liver Cancer Stage, albumin-bilirubin, METAVIR fibrosis grade, and microvascular invasion were risk factors of ER for HCC after curative hepatectomy. The AUC of the ROC curve for ER in the development set (D-set) was 0.888 while that in the validation set (V-set) was 0.812. Neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio and glypican-3 (+) were risk factors for LR in HCC patients after curative hepatectomy. The AUC of the ROC curve for LR predictive nomogram that integrated all independent predictors was 0.831. The AUC of the ROC curve for LR in the D-set was 0.833, while that for LR in the V-set was 0.733. The C-index and AUC of ROC for the proposed nomograms were more satisfactory than three conventional HCC staging systems used in this study.

Conclusion

We developed novel nomograms to predict ER and LR of HCC patients after curative hepatectomy for clinical use to individualize follow-up and therapeutic strategies.

Validation and clinical usefulness of pre- and postoperative systemic inflammatory parameters as prognostic markers in patients with potentially resectable pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

Several preoperative systemic inflammatory parameters, such as the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), prognostic nutritional index (PNI), and Glasgow prognostic score, have been reported to be associated with the prognosis of solid tumors. In this study, we compared pre- and postoperative hematological inflammatory parameters and validated their prognostic significance in pancreatic cancer patients who underwent surgical resection.

METHODS

Clinical records from 211 consecutive pancreatic cancer patients who underwent surgical resection at our institution were retrospectively analyzed. The optimal cutoff values of hematological inflammatory parameters, including lymphocyte count, NLR, PLR, LMR, and PNI, were determined by time-dependent receiver-operating characteristic analysis.

RESULTS

The postoperative neutrophil count and serum albumin level were significantly decreased in patients who underwent pancreatoduodenectomy (PD group) and in those who underwent distal pancreatectomy (DP group) compared to the levels at baseline. The postoperative lymphocyte count, monocyte count, and platelet count were significantly increased in the DP group compared to those at baseline. As a result, the postoperative NLR and PNI significantly decreased in both groups. The multivariate analysis identified intraoperative peritoneal washing cytology, administration of adjuvant therapy, tumor size, extrapancreatic nerve plexus invasion, and preoperative PLR as independent prognostic factors for overall survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Systemic inflammatory responses were altered after pancreatic resection in pancreatic cancer patients. Preoperative PLR may be a useful prognostic marker in pancreatic cancer patients undergoing surgical resection.

Validated nomogram for the prediction of disease-free survival after hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma within the Milan criteria: individualizing a surveillance strategy

OBJECTIVE

We sought to develop a nomogram for the prediction of tumor recurrence after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) within the Milan criteria.

METHOD

Consecutive HCC patients admitted for hepatectomy between 1994 and 2014 were enrolled in this study. Patients were excluded if they had recurrent HCC or tumors beyond the Milan criteria. Patients were randomized and assigned to the derivation and validation sets in a 1:1 ratio. Independent factors for disease-free survival were identified using the Cox regression model. A nomogram was derived and validated with the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) and calibration curves.

RESULTS

There were 617 eligible patients included in the analysis. The median age was 59 years, 481 were male, and 87.8% of the patients were hepatitis B virus carriers. The median follow-up was 68.7 months. The 5-year overall survival rate was 73.3% and HCC recurrence was detected in 55% of the patients. In the derivation set, a nomogram was constructed based on the seven independent factors for disease-free survival: age, alpha-fetoprotein, preoperative prothrombin time, magnitude of hepatectomy, postoperative complication, number of tumor nodules, and presence of microvascular invasion. A satisfactory discrimination ability was observed in both the derivation and validation sets (c-stat 0.672 and 0.665, respectively). The calibration plot yielded agreement between the predicted and observed outcomes, using the derived nomogram.

CONCLUSION

A validated nomogram quantifies the risk of recurrence after hepatectomy for HCC within the Milan criteria, and assists with the planning of individual postoperative surveillance protocols.

Prognostic Role of Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio in Hepatocellular Carcinoma with Different BCLC Stages: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

The role of platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with different Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stages remains controversial. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to determine the efficacy of PLR on HCC prognosis. Five electronic databases were searched for clinical trials focusing on the role of PLR in the prognosis of HCC. A total of 297 potential studies were initially identified, and 9 studies comprising 2449 patients were finally enrolled to evaluate the association between the pretreatment PLR and clinical outcomes of overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), and event occurrence in patients with HCC in different BCLC stages. An elevated pretreatment PLR indicated unfavorable worse OS (HR = 1.73; 95% CI: (1.46, 2.04); P < 0.00001) and DFS (HR = 1.30; 95% CI: (1.06, 1.60); P = 0.01). Subgroup analysis indicated that high PLR indicated poor OS among BCLC-B/C patients without heterogeneity, while PLR in BCLC-A patients indicated high statistical heterogeneity with I2 value of 78%. As for the correlation between PLR and event occurrence, high PLR was related to poor clinical event occurrence only among BCLC-C patients, though obvious heterogeneity was observed in all different BCLC stages. In conclusion, PLR may be a significant biomarker in the prognosis of HCC in different BCLC stages.

Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio is a prognostic factor for disease free survival in patients with breast cancer underwent curative resection

The aim of this study was to explore the prognostic significance of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in patients with breast cancer after curative resection. Furthermore, we aimed to confirm the prognostic significance of NLR in early stage and different molecular types of breast cancer, as well as patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT).A total of 2458 patients between January 2002 and December 2014 from 2 independent cohorts were analyzed retrospectively. The optimal cut-off value of NLR for recurrence was determined via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to assess the relationship between NLR and disease-free survival (DFS).Both univariate and multivariate analysis showed that patients with high NLR were more inclined to suffer postoperative recurrence in 2 independent cohorts. NLR was identified as independent prognostic factor for DFS of early stage breast cancer (P < .05), different types of breast cancer (P < .05) and patients treated with NACT (P < .05).Our data suggest NLR is independent prognostic factor for breast cancer patients. In addition, the prognostic value of NLR was further confirmed in early stage and different molecular types of breast cancer as well as patients treated with NACT.

The prognostic significance of preoperative neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma receiving hepatectomy: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Numerous reports have indicated that preoperative Neutrophil-Lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was correlated with the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma who underwent hepatectomy. However, the results still remained controversial. Therefore, the present meta-analysis of 17 studies was performed to evaluate the prognostic value of preoperative NLR in HCC patients.

METHOD

Databases of PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library and Web of Science were retrieved. Hazard Ratio (HR) or Odds Ratio (OR) with its 95% confidence intervals (CI) was used to evaluate the association between preoperative NLR and the prognosis or clinical features of HCC patients.

RESULT

A total of 17 studies eventually were included in this meta-analysis. Elevated preoperative NLR had a close relationship with the overall survival (OS) (HR 1.52; 95% CI 1.37-1.69), recurrence-free survival (RFS) (HR 1.64; 95% CI 1.44-1.87) and disease-free survival (DFS) (HR 1.50; 95% CI 1.35-1.67) of hepatocellular carcinoma. Additionally, preoperative NLR was also associated with tumor vascular invasion (OR 2.08; 95% CI 1.60-2.70), HBV (OR 0.68; 95% CI 0.51-0.90) and large tumor size (OR: 4.07; 95% CI 2.60-6.37).

CONCLUSION

The present meta-analysis indicated that preoperative NLR had significant association with the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma patients and may be an effectively prognostic indicator.

Preoperative survival calculator for resectable hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

Estimation of preoperative overall survival (OS) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may guide surgical decision-making.

Methods

OS was analyzed using the National Cancer Data Base from 1998-2012. Patients with HCC who underwent wedge resection, lobectomy or extended lobectomy were selected. Patients who had metastatic disease or previous treatment prior to surgery were excluded. Data was randomly allocated to model building (n_b =4,364) and validation cohorts (n_v =1,091). Multivariable regression analyses of the n_b were used to construct prediction models and optimized using n_v.

Results

HCC patients (n=5,455) who underwent curative resection had a median OS of 36 months (95% CI, 34-38 months) with 1- and 3-year OS of 73% (95% CI, 72-74%) and 50% (95% CI, 49-51%), respectively. The patient median age was 65, 66% of patients were male, median tumor size was 60 mm; clinical stage 1 =25%, stage 2 =30% and stage 3 =45%. Alpha fetoprotein (AFP) was elevated in 63% of patients. Factors significant in the prediction model included degree of resection, age, race, tumor size, grade, and histologic subtype.

Conclusions

A preoperative OS calculator was developed to assist in the treatment evaluation and OS prediction of HCC patients.

Nomograms predict long-term survival for patients with periampullary adenocarcinoma after pancreatoduodenectomy

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of patients with periampullary adenocarcinoma after pancreatoduodenectomy is diverse and not yet clearly illustrated. The aim of this study was to develop a nomogram to predict individual risk of overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with periampullary adenocarcinoma after pancreatoduodenectomy.

METHODS

A total of 205 patients with periampullary adenocarcinoma after pancreatoduodenectomy were retrospectively included. OS and PFS were evaluated by the Kaplan-Meier method. Two nomograms for predicting OS and PFS were established, and the predictive accuracy was measured by the concordance index (Cindex) and calibration plots.

RESULTS

Lymph node ratio (LNR), carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) and anatomical location were incorporated into the nomogram for OS prediction and LNR, CA19-9; anatomical location and tumor differentiation were incorporated into the nomogram for PFS prediction. All calibration plots for the probability of OS and PFS fit well. The Cindexes of the nomograms for OS and PFS prediction were 0.678 and 0.68, respectively. The OS and PFS survival times were stratified significantly using the nomogram-predicted survival probabilities.

CONCLUSIONS

The present nomograms for OS and PFS prediction can provide valuable information for tailored decision-making for patients with periampullary adenocarcinoma after pancreatoduodenectomy.

Pretreatment neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio: useful prognostic biomarker in hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common liver malignancy and the third most common cause of cancer-related deaths. Liver resection (LR) and liver transplantation (LT) are the only curative modalities for HCC. Despite recent advances and the adoption of the Milan and University of California, San Francisco, criteria, HCC recurrence after LR and LT remains a challenge. Several markers and prognostic scores have been proposed to predict tumor aggressiveness and supplement radiological data; among them, neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has recently gained significant interest. An elevated NLR is thought to predispose to HCC recurrence by creating a protumorigenic microenvironment through both relative neutrophilia and lymphocytopenia. In the present review, we attempted to summarize the published work on the role of pretreatment NLR as a prognostic marker for HCC following LR and LT. A total of 13 LT and 18 LR studies were included from 2008 to 2015. Pretransplant NLR was most often predictive of HCC recurrence, recurrence-free survival, and overall survival. NLR was, however, more variably and less clearly associated with worse outcomes following LR.

Fibrinogen and C-reactive protein score is a prognostic index for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing curative resection: a prognostic nomogram study

Background: While curative resection is the established strategy for Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients, the prognosis still remains poor, and the efficiency of existing prediction models is unsatisfactory. Therefore, we aimed to develop a credible and easy-to-use prognostic index for patients with HCC undergoing curative therapy. Methods: A total of 768 patients with HCC, who underwent curative resection from December 2010 to June 2012 in Zhongshan Hospital, were divided into a training cohort with 616 patients and a validating cohort of 152 patients at a ratio of 4 to 1 by random allocation. Then, a retrospective cohort study was conducted to identify effective prognostic indexes. Results: FC-score, which incorporates fibrinogen and C-reactive protein, was established. In the multivariate analysis for OS and RFS, FC-score has shown to be a significant independent prognostic index in both the training cohort and validation cohort. Furthermore, the C-index of the FC-score for OS and RFS were 0.698 and 0.594 respectively, which were superior to other inflammation systems such as IBI, IBS, and GPS. Then, we developed a novel nomogram, which integrated FC-score into the conventional BCLC staging system. This new nomogram gave rise to a new C-index of 0.746 (95%CI: 0.743-0.749) for OS, and 0.654 (95%CI: 0.652-0.656) for RFS. The calibration curve and decision curve analysis indicated that our nomogram was highly consistent between predicted and actual observations. Conclusions: FC-score represents a novel, convenient, reliable, and accurate prognostic predictor for both OS and RFS in HCC patients undergoing curative therapy.

Prediction of long-term survival rates in patients undergoing curative resection for solitary hepatocellular carcinoma

The present study developed a novel laboratory-based algorithm to predict long-term survival rates in patients undergoing curative resection for solitary hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The present study included 426 patients with solitary HBV-related HCC who underwent surgery for primary tumors at a single center between 2003 and 2012. Demographic characteristics, laboratory analysis, clinical pathology and immunohistochemistry of topoisomerase II-a and Ki67 were analyzed. A simple prognostic risk calculator was developed using regression coefficients from multivariate models. A prognostic risk calculator incorporating tumor encapsulation, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, vascular invasion, α-fetoprotein level, Edmondson-Steiner classification, Topo II-α, prognostic nutritional index and Child-Pugh grade was constructed. The prognostic model demonstrated good discrimination with a C-index prior to adjustment of 0.81 (95% confidence interval: 0.78-0.84) and a bootstrap-corrected C-index of 0.81. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that the probabilities of overall survival rates in the low-risk group were increased compared with those in the high-risk group. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve using the method were greater compared with those under the 7th Tumor-Node-Metastasis system and Cancer of the Liver Italian Program scoring system [0.83 vs. 0.62 and 0.77 (P<0.001), respectively]. The simple prognostic model of the present study accurately predicted survival rates in patients. Such a prognostic risk calculator for staging patients undergoing curative resection for solitary HBV-related HCC facilitates clinical surveillance and therapy.

The role of the systemic inflammatory response in predicting outcomes in patients with operable cancer: Systematic review and meta-analysis

Cancer remains a leading causes of death worldwide and an elevated systemic inflammatory response (SIR) is associated with reduced survival in patients with operable cancer. This review aims to examine the evidence for the role of systemic inflammation based prognostic scores in patients with operable cancers. A wide-ranging literature review using targeted medical subject headings for human studies in English was carried out in the MEDLINE, EMBASE, and CDSR databases until the end of 2016. The SIR has independent prognostic value, across tumour types and geographical locations. In particular neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (n = 158), platelet lymphocyte ratio (PLR) (n = 68), lymphocyte monocyte ratio (LMR) (n = 21) and Glasgow Prognostic Score/ modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS/mGPS) (n = 60) were consistently validated. On meta-analysis there was a significant relationship between elevated NLR and overall survival (OS) (p < 0.00001)/ cancer specific survival (CSS) (p < 0.00001), between elevated LMR and OS (p < 0.00001)/CSS (p < 0.00001), and elevated PLR and OS (p < 0.00001)/CSS (p = 0.005). There was also a significant relationship between elevated GPS/mGPS and OS (p < 0.00001)/CSS (p < 0.00001). These results consolidate the prognostic value of the NLR, PLR, LMR and GPS/mGPS in patients with resectable cancers. This is particularly true for the NLR/GPS/mGPS which should form part of the routine preoperative and postoperative workup.

A novel and validated prognostic nomogram based on liver fibrosis and tumor burden for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after curative resection

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Most conventional staging systems were formulated concerning the tumor burden rather than the severity of liver fibrosis, which plays a central role in tumor promotion. The aim of this study was to formulate a prognostic nomogram comprehensively considering these two aspects for HCC after hepatectomy.

METHODS

The prognostic significances of the four indicators namely laminin, hyaluronic acid, human procollagen type-III, and collagen type-IV that reflect liver fibrosis were explored in two independent cohorts. A nomogram was established based on the results of multivariate analysis. The predictive accuracy of the nomogram was measured by concordance index (C-index) and calibration. The decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to evaluate the clinical benefit of the nomogram.

RESULTS

Preoperative serum laminin level is an independent prognostic factor for overall survival in HCC patients after resection. The C-indices of the nomogram in the training and validation cohorts were 0.779 and 0.719, respectively. The calibration showed optimal agreement between the prediction by nomogram and actual observation. Moreover, the C-indices and DCA revealed that the nomogram provided better clinical benefit compared with the BCLC stage, CLIP score, and AJCC 7th edition.

CONCLUSIONS

The prognostic nomogram constructed on laminin represents a superior predictive model.

Serum albumin levels in relation to tumor parameters in hepatocellular carcinoma patients

BACKGROUND

Serum albumin levels have been shown to have prognostic significance in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), as part of an inflammatory index. The aim of this study was to examine the possible relationship of serum albumin levels to parameters of HCC aggressiveness.

METHODS

A large HCC patient cohort was retrospectively examined, and the possible relationships of albumin levels to tumor diameter, multifocality, portal vein thrombosis (PVT) and α-fetoprotein levels were examined.

RESULTS

HCC patients with lower serum albumin levels had significantly larger maximum tumor diameters, greater prevalence of PVT, increased tumor multifocality and higher α-fetoprotein levels, than HCC patients with higher albumin levels. A correlation was found between levels of these tumor parameters and serum albumin levels.

CONCLUSIONS

These results indicate that low serum albumin levels correlate with increased parameter measures of HCC aggressiveness, in addition to their role as a monitor of systemic inflammation. Decreased serum albumin might have a role in HCC aggressiveness.

Albumin to gamma-glutamyltransferase ratio as a prognostic indicator in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after curative resection

The prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) remains poor whereas predictive models for survival prediction in ICC patients following curative resection are limited. Herein, we established a novel inflammation-based score derived from preoperative albumin to gamma-glutamyltransferase ratio (AGR) and evaluated its prognostic significance in ICC patients underwent curative resection. Prognostic value of AGR was retrospectively studied in a cohort comprising 206 ICC patients following curative resection. The predictive performance of AGR was compared with other inflammation-based scores and serological tumor markers in terms of concordance index (C-index). Further, prognostic nomograms incorporating AGR into the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging systems were established to achieve a better discriminatory ability. The optimal cut-off value of AGR was 0.6. Multivariate analysis showed that AGR was an independent predictor for overall survival (OS; P = 0.003) and recurrence-free survival (RFS; P = 0.046). The C-index of AGR was superior to other inflammation-based scores and serological tumor markers in OS and RFS prediction. The established nomograms showed improved predictive accuracy compared with the TNM staging systems alone. These results indicate that AGR is an independent prognostic indicator for ICC underwent curative resection. The incorporation of AGR into the existing TNM staging systems achieved improved predictive accuracy.

Transarterial chemoembolization combined with recombinant human adenovirus type 5 H101 prolongs overall survival of patients with intermediate to advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: a prognostic nomogram study

Background

Patients with intermediate to advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are most commonly treated with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). Previous studies showed that TACE combined with recombinant human adenovirus type 5 (H101) may provide a clinical survival benefit. In the present study, we aimed to determine the survival benefit of TACE with or without H101 for patients with intermediate to advanced HCC and to develop an effective nomogram for predicting individual survival outcomes of these patients.

Methods

We retrospectively collected data from 590 patients with intermediate to advanced HCC who were treated at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center between January 2007 and July 2015. After propensity score matching, 238 patients who received TACE with H101 (TACE with H101 group) and 238 patients who received TACE without H101 (TACE group) were analyzed. Overall survival (OS) was evaluated using the Kaplan–Meier method; the nomogram was developed based on Cox regression analysis. Discrimination and calibration were measured using the concordance index (c-index) and calibration plots.

Results

Clinical and radiologic features were similar between the two groups. OS rates were significantly lower in the TACE group than in the TACE with H101 group (1-year OS rate, 53.8% vs. 61.3%; 2-year OS rate, 33.4% vs. 44.2%; 3-year OS rate, 22.4% vs. 40.5%; all P < 0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis for the entire cohort showed that alpha-fetoprotein level, alkaline phosphatase level, tumor size, metastasis, vascular invasion, and TACE with or without H101 were independent factors for OS, all of which were included in the nomogram. Calibration curves showed good agreement between nomogram-predicted survival and observed survival. The c-index of the nomogram for predicting OS was 0.716 (95% confidence interval 0.686–0.746).

Conclusions

TACE plus H101 extends the survival of patients with intermediate to advanced HCC. Our proposed nomogram provides individual survival prediction and stratification for patients with intermediate to advanced HCC who receive TACE with or without H101.

Preoperative platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio is a valuable prognostic biomarker in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing curative liver resection

The Platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) has been reported to predict prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study examined the prognostic potential of stratified PLR for HCC patients undergoing curative liver resection. Medical records were retrospectively analyzed for 778 HCC patients undergoing curative liver resection at the Affiliated Tumor Hospital of Guangxi Medical University and the First People's Hospital of Changde between April 2010 and October 2013. Patients were stratified based on quintile analysis of their preoperative PLR, and patients in different quintiles were analyzed for overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Independent predictors of death or recurrence were explored using multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression. Higher PLR quintiles were significantly associated with poorer overall survival (p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed PLR to be an independent risk factor for OS (p = 0.003). Patients in PLR quintile 5 had lower overall survival than in quintile 1 (hazard ratio (HR) = 2.780, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.769-4.367, p < 0.001). Although patients in PLR quintile 5 had significantly lower disease-free survival (DFS) than in quintile 1 (HR = 1.534, 95% CI: 1.112-2.117, p = 0.009), this association was not significant after multivariable adjustment (p = 0.220). Subgroup analysis also showed that PLR quintiles were significantly associated with poor OS in patients positive for HBsAg or with cirrhosis (both p < 0.001). Similar results were obtained when PLR was analyzed as a dichotomous variable with cut-off values of 110 and 115. Elevated preoperative PLR may be independently associated with poor OS and DFS in HCC patients following curative resection.

Prognostic nomogram for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma underwent adjuvant transarterial chemoembolization following curative resection

Adjuvant transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is a major option for postoperative hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with recurrence risk factors. However, individualized predictive models for subgroup of these patients are limited. This study aimed to develop a prognostic nomogram for patients with HCC underwent adjuvant TACE following curative resection.A cohort comprising 144 HCC patients who received adjuvant TACE following curative resection in the Zhongshan Hospital were analyzed. The nomogram was formulated based on independent prognostic indicators for overall survival (OS). The performance of the nomogram was evaluated by the concordance index (C-index), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) and compared with the conventional staging systems. The results were validated in an independent cohort of 86 patients with the same inclusion criteria.Serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), hyper-sensitive C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), incomplete tumor encapsulation, and double positive staining of Cytokeratin 7 and Cytokeratin 19 on tumor cells were identified as independent predictors for OS. The C-indices of the nomogram for OS prediction in the training cohort and validation cohort were 0.787 (95%CI 0.775-0.799) and 0.714 (95%CI 0.695-0.733), respectively. In both the training and validation cohorts, the calibration plot showed good consistency between the nomogram-predicted and the observed survival. Furthermore, the established nomogram was superior to the conventional staging systems in terms of C-index and clinical net benefit on DCA.The proposed nomogram provided an accurate prediction on risk stratification for HCC patients underwent adjuvant TACE following curative resection.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio for the prognostic assessment of hepatocellular carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an inflammatory-based marker. A systematic review and meta-analysis was performed to explore the prognostic role of NLR in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

RESULTS

Overall, 598 papers were identified, of which 90 papers including 20,475 HCC patients were finally included. Low baseline NLR was significantly associated with better overall survival (HR = 1.80, 95% CI: 1.59-2.04, p < 0.00001) and recurrence-free or disease-free survival (HR = 2.23, 95% CI: 1.80-2.76, p < 0.00001). Low post- treatment NLR was significantly associated with better overall survival (HR = 1.90, 95% CI: 1.22-2.94, p = 0.004). Decreased NLR was significantly associated with overall survival (HR = 2.23, 95%CI: 1.83-2.72, p < 0.00001) and recurrence-free or disease-free survival (HR = 2.23, 95% CI: 1.83-2.72, p < 0.00001). The findings from most of subgroup meta-analyses were consistent with those from the overall meta-analyses.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

All relevant literatures were identified via PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane library databases. Hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was calculated. Subgroup meta-analyses were performed according to the treatment options, NLR cut-off value ranges, and regions.

CONCLUSIONS

NLR should be a major prognostic factor for HCC patients. NLR might be further incorporated into the prognostic model of HCC.