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Khurshid MR, Manzoor S, Sadiq T, Hussain L, Khan MS, Dutta AK. Unveiling diabetes onset: Optimized XGBoost with Bayesian optimization for enhanced prediction. PLoS One 2025; 20:e0310218. [PMID: 39854291 PMCID: PMC11760023 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0310218] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/08/2024] [Accepted: 08/27/2024] [Indexed: 01/26/2025] Open
Abstract
Diabetes, a chronic condition affecting millions worldwide, necessitates early intervention to prevent severe complications. While accurately predicting diabetes onset or progression remains challenging due to complex and imbalanced datasets, recent advancements in machine learning offer potential solutions. Traditional prediction models, often limited by default parameters, have been superseded by more sophisticated approaches. Leveraging Bayesian optimization to fine-tune XGBoost, researchers can harness the power of complex data analysis to improve predictive accuracy. By identifying key factors influencing diabetes risk, personalized prevention strategies can be developed, ultimately enhancing patient outcomes. Successful implementation requires meticulous data management, stringent ethical considerations, and seamless integration into healthcare systems. This study focused on optimizing the hyperparameters of an XGBoost ensemble machine learning model using Bayesian optimization. Compared to grid search XGBoost (accuracy: 97.24%, F1-score: 95.72%, MCC: 81.02%), the XGBoost with Bayesian optimization achieved slightly improved performance (accuracy: 97.26%, F1-score: 95.72%, MCC:81.18%). Although the improvements observed in this study are modest, the optimized XGBoost model with Bayesian optimization represents a promising step towards revolutionizing diabetes prevention and treatment. This approach holds significant potential to improve outcomes for individuals at risk of developing diabetes.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Sadaf Manzoor
- Department of Statistics, Islamia University College, Peshawar, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan
| | - Touseef Sadiq
- Centre for Artificial Intelligence Research (CAIR), Department of Information and Communication Technology, University of Agder, Kristiansand, Grimstad, Norway
| | - Lal Hussain
- Department of Computer Science & IT, Neelum Campus, The University of Azad Jammu and Kashmir, Athmuqam, Azad Kashmir, Pakistan
- Department of Computer Science & IT, King Abdullah Campus, The University of Azad Jammu and Kashmir, Muzaffarabad, Azad Kashmir, Pakistan
| | | | - Ashit Kumar Dutta
- Department of Computer Science and Information Systems, College of Applied Sciences, AlMaarefa University, Ad Diriyah, Riyadh, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
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Repanovici A, Rogozea LM, Pantea I. GLP-1 and Body Weight: A Scientometric Analysis About How to Select the Best Articles Containing Pharmacological Treatment Methods. Am J Ther 2024; 31:e659-e668. [PMID: 39792492 DOI: 10.1097/mjt.0000000000001805] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/12/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Medications initially intended for diabetes treatment are now being used by other patients for weight loss. In the specialized literature, there are numerous meta-analyses investigating this aspect. AREAS OF UNCERTAINTY The authors aimed to explore whether the application of scientometric methods for literature review within meta-analyses could provide clear answers to specific research questions. This approach could help develop a rapid system for selecting articles to read during the information process for clinicians or researchers. DATA SOURCES We obtained research data from Web of Science Core Collection, using the search phrase "GLP-1 AND Body Weight," reviews from the past 5 years. This approach led to the identification of 31 relevant articles in the field. RESULTS A total of 31 reviews were identified in the WOS database and investigated using the VOSviewer bibliographic coupling method. Among these, 7 reviews were found to have the highest influence. The authors analyzed these articles and determined that only these 7 reviews directly address the research question. In addition, an analysis of the impact factor of the journals where the articles are published, the influence power of these articles, and the countries of origin of the authors was conducted. A strong correlation was demonstrated between the impact factor and the total link strength for these 7 reviews. The correlation coefficient of 0.116709 between journal impact factor and number of citations suggests a very weak or nonexistent relationship. A strong positive correlation of 0.879736 exists between journal impact factor and total link strength, indicating a significant association. The correlation coefficient of -0.12505 between citations and total link strength shows a very weak or negligible relationship. CONCLUSIONS Scientometric methods such as VOSviewer are useful in the work of both researchers and clinicians, highlighting the fact that articles in a research field can be identified by several criteria: impact factor, number of citations, authors from research teams that addressed this topic. The weak correlation between journal impact factor and number of citations implies that the prestige of the journal does not significantly affect the citation count of articles. Researchers should focus on the quality and relevance of their work rather than solely targeting high-impact journals. However, the strong positive correlation between impact factor and total link strength suggests that articles in prestigious journals are more likely to share content similarities. Researchers should consider this when selecting journals for publication and aim to contribute to impactful and interconnected research areas. This approach allows quick and easy identification of key articles, serving as a fundamental basis for rapid analysis of research in the field, starting from the analysis of authors' competence, degree of trust of the journal, or degree of interest that researchers have for that article.
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Affiliation(s)
- Angela Repanovici
- Faculty of Product Design and Environment, Transilvania University, Brasov, Romania; and
| | - Liliana M Rogozea
- Basic, Preventive and Clinical Sciences Department, Transilvania University, Brasov, Romania
| | - Ileana Pantea
- Basic, Preventive and Clinical Sciences Department, Transilvania University, Brasov, Romania
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Alnuaimi S, Reljic T, Abdulla FS, Memon H, Al-Ali S, Smith T, Serdarevic F, Velija Asimi Z, Kumar A, Semiz S. PPAR agonists as add-on treatment with metformin in management of type 2 diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Sci Rep 2024; 14:8809. [PMID: 38627464 PMCID: PMC11021491 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-59390-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/12/2023] [Accepted: 04/10/2024] [Indexed: 04/19/2024] Open
Abstract
The combination of metformin and the peroxisome proliferator-activated receptors (PPAR) agonists offers a promising avenue for managing type 2 diabetes (T2D) through their potential complementary mechanisms of action. The results from randomized controlled trials (RCT) assessing the efficacy of PPAR agonists plus metformin versus metformin alone in T2D are inconsistent, which prompted the conduct of the systematic review and meta-analysis. We searched MEDLINE and EMBASE from inception (1966) to March 2023 to identify all RCTs comparing any PPAR agonists plus metformin versus metformin alone in T2D. Categorical variables were summarized as relative risk along with 95% confidence interval (CI). Twenty RCTs enrolling a total of 6058 patients met the inclusion criteria. The certainty of evidence ranged from moderate to very low. Pooled results show that using PPAR agonist plus metformin, as compared to metformin alone, results in lower concentrations of fasting glucose [MD = - 22.07 mg/dl (95% CI - 27.17, - 16.97), HbA1c [MD = - 0.53% (95% CI - 0.67, - 0.38)], HOMA-IR [MD = - 1.26 (95% CI - 2.16, - 0.37)], and fasting insulin [MD = - 19.83 pmol/L (95% CI - 29.54, - 10.13)] without significant increase in any adverse events. Thus, synthesized evidence from RCTs demonstrates the beneficial effects of PPAR agonist add-on treatment versus metformin alone in T2D patients. In particular, novel dual PPARα/γ agonist (tesaglitazar) demonstrate efficacy in improving glycaemic and lipid concentrations, so further RCTs should be performed to elucidate the long-term outcomes and safety profile of these novel combined and personalized therapeutic strategies in the management of T2D.PROSPERO registration no. CRD42023412603.
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Affiliation(s)
- Saif Alnuaimi
- College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Khalifa University, PO Box 127788, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
| | - Tea Reljic
- Research Methodology and Biostatistics Core, Morsani College of Medicine, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL, USA
| | - Fatima S Abdulla
- College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Khalifa University, PO Box 127788, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
| | - Hamda Memon
- College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Khalifa University, PO Box 127788, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
| | - Sarah Al-Ali
- College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Khalifa University, PO Box 127788, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
| | - Teagen Smith
- Research Methodology and Biostatistics Core, Morsani College of Medicine, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL, USA
| | - Fadila Serdarevic
- Sarajevo Medical School, University Sarajevo School of Science and Technology, Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina
- Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Zelija Velija Asimi
- Sarajevo Medical School, University Sarajevo School of Science and Technology, Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina
| | - Ambuj Kumar
- Research Methodology and Biostatistics Core, Morsani College of Medicine, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL, USA
| | - Sabina Semiz
- College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Khalifa University, PO Box 127788, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
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Manu P, Lăcătuşu CM, Rogozea LM, Cernea S. Pharmacological Management of Obesity: A Century of Expert Opinions in Cecil Textbook of Medicine. Am J Ther 2022; 29:e410-e424. [PMID: 35687055 DOI: 10.1097/mjt.0000000000001524] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Innovations in drug therapy for obesity have had a limited impact on the body mass index, prevalence of medical complications, quality of life, and work potential of a substantial majority of affected persons. STUDY QUESTION What are the milestones of the changes in the expert approach to the pharmacological management of obesity in the past century? STUDY DESIGN To determine the changes in the experts' approach to the management of obesity, as presented in a widely used textbook in the United States. DATA SOURCES The primary sources were chapters describing the management of obesity in the 26 editions of Cecil Textbook of Medicine published from 1927 through 2020. Secondary sources were publications retrieved from Medline that clarified technical issues related to the development, regulatory approval, and use of the drugs mentioned in the Cecil Textbook of Medicine. RESULTS Pharmacological interventions aimed at increasing caloric expenditures through thermogenesis were recommended from 1927 through 1943. Thyroid extracts were prescribed even in the absence of demonstrated hypothyroidism or decreased basal metabolic rate throughout this period. Dinitrophenol was mentioned in 1937, but was banned soon thereafter. Appetite suppression with amphetamine was considered useful from 1943 through 1988, after which the drug was replaced with other centrally acting molecules, such as fenfluramine in 1988, sibutramine in 2000, and rimonabant in 2008, which were in turn withdrawn because of major adverse effects. In the past decade, obesity has been treated with the appetite suppressants phentermine-topiramate, bupropion-naltrexone, lorcaserin, and liraglutide, and with orlistat, a drug promoting fat malabsorption. The change in weight produced by these drugs is generally modest and transient. CONCLUSIONS The pharmacological management of obesity has remained frustratingly inefficient. The reasons for the relative lack of success may reside in the ever-growing access to dense, palatable, and relatively inexpensive food, coupled with the decrease in energy expenditure created by a sedentary lifestyle.
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Affiliation(s)
- Peter Manu
- Department of Medicine, Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra/Northwell, Hempstead, NY
| | - Cristina-Mihaela Lăcătuşu
- Unit of Diabetes, Nutrition and Metabolic Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, "Grigore T. Popa" University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi, Romania
| | - Liliana M Rogozea
- Basic, Preventive and Clinical Sciences Department, Transilvania University, Brasov, Romania
| | - Simona Cernea
- George Emil Palade University of Medicine, Pharmacy, Science, and Technology of Targu Mures/Internal Medicine I; and
- Diabetes, Nutrition and Metabolic Diseases Outpatient Unit, Emergency County Clinical Hospital, Târgu Mureş, Romania. Drs. Manu and Lăcătuşu have contributed equally to this work
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Shafiee A, Teymouri Athar MM, Kohandel Gargari O, Jafarabady K, Siahvoshi S, Mozhgani SH. Ivermectin under scrutiny: a systematic review and meta-analysis of efficacy and possible sources of controversies in COVID-19 patients. Virol J 2022; 19:102. [PMID: 35698151 PMCID: PMC9191543 DOI: 10.1186/s12985-022-01829-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/24/2022] [Accepted: 06/02/2022] [Indexed: 12/26/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the efficacy of ivermectin for COVID-19 patients based on current peer-reviewed RCTs and to address disputes over the existing evidence. METHODS MEDLINE (Pubmed), Scopus, Web of Science, Cochrane library, Google scholar and Clinicaltrials.gov were searched for RCTs assessing the efficacy of Ivermectin up to 20 February 2022. A systematic review and meta-analysis of studies was performed based on the PRISMA 2020 statement criteria. RESULTS 19 and 17 studies were included in this systematic review and meta-analysis, respectively. There was no significant difference in progression to severe disease (log OR - 0.27 [95% CI - 0.61 to 0.08], I2 = 42.29%), negative RT-PCR (log OR 0.25 [95% CI - 0.18-0.68], I2 = 58.73%), recovery (log OR 0.11 [95% CI - 0.22-0.45], I2 = 13.84%), duration of hospitalization (SMD - 0.40 [95% CI - 0.85-0.06], I2 = 88.90%), time to negative RT-PCR (SMD - 0.36 [95% CI - 0.89-0.17], I2 = 46.2%), and viral load (SMD -0.17 [95% CI -0.45 to 0.12], I^2 = 0%). It is worth noting that, based on low-certainty evidence, ivermectin may possibly reduce mortality (log OR - 0.67 [95% CI - 1.20 to - 0.13], I2 = 28.96%). However, studies with a higher risk of bias were more likely to indicate positive effects on the efficacy of this drug, according to our subgroup analyses based on study quality. CONCLUSION Ivermectin did not have any significant effect on outcomes of COVID-19 patients and as WHO recommends, use of ivermectin should be limited to clinical trials.
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Affiliation(s)
- Arman Shafiee
- Student Research Committee, Alborz University of Medical Sciences, Karaj, Iran
- School of Medicine, Alborz University of Medical Sciences, Karaj, Iran
| | | | | | - Kyana Jafarabady
- Student Research Committee, Alborz University of Medical Sciences, Karaj, Iran
| | - Sepehr Siahvoshi
- Dental Materials Research Center, Dental School, Islamic Azad University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Sayed-Hamidreza Mozhgani
- Department of Microbiology, School of Medicine, Alborz University of Medical Sciences, Karaj, Iran.
- Non-Communicable Disease Research Center, Alborz University of Medical Sciences, Karaj, Iran.
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Manu P, Rogozea LM, Sandor V, Dumitraşcu DL. Pharmacological Management of Peptic Ulcer: A Century of Expert Opinions in Cecil Textbook of Medicine. Am J Ther 2021; 28:e552-e559. [PMID: 34469923 PMCID: PMC8415507 DOI: 10.1097/mjt.0000000000001439] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Advances in drug therapy for peptic ulcer have had a significant impact on quality of life and work potential of many millions of affected persons and have contributed to a remarkable decrease in the prevalence of the disease, frequency and severity of complications, hospitalizations, and mortality. STUDY QUESTION What are the milestones of the changes in the expert approach to the pharmacological management of peptic ulcer in the past century? STUDY DESIGN To determine the changes in the experts' approach to the management of peptic ulcer, as presented in a widely used textbook in the United States. DATA SOURCES The chapters presenting the management of peptic ulcer in the 26 editions of Cecil Textbook of Medicine published from 1927 through 2020. RESULTS Acid neutralization with alkalies was the only pharmacological intervention recommended in the textbooks published from 1927 to 1975. Atropine and other antimuscarinic agents were mainly used to relieve pain and acid secretion according to the paradigm "no acid no ulcer." The shift to the acid suppression paradigm started with the introduction of the histamine-2 receptor antagonist cimetidine in 1979, the proton-pump inhibitor omeprazole in 1988, and the prostaglandin agonist misoprostol in 1992. Finally, the eradication of Helicobacter pylori was codified in 1996. CONCLUSIONS The pharmacological management of peptic ulcer has remained archaic well into the 20th century. Fundamental progress occurred in a very short period (1979-1996) and was due to paradigm shifts from acid neutralization to acid suppression and later the recognition of the role of H. pylori infection.
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Affiliation(s)
- Peter Manu
- Department of Medicine, Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra/Northwell, Hempstead, NY
| | - Liliana M. Rogozea
- Basic, Preventive and Clinical Sciences Department, Transilvania University, Brasov, Romania; and
| | - Vlaicu Sandor
- Medical Department, “Iuliu Hatieganu” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Cluj, Romania
| | - Dan L. Dumitraşcu
- Medical Department, “Iuliu Hatieganu” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Cluj, Romania
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