Massachusetts reform and disparities in inpatient care utilization

Feasibility and usefulness of Gini coefficients of primary care visits as a measure of service inequality: preliminary findings from a cross-sectional study using region-wide electronic medical records in Anhui, China

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to investigate inequalities in primary healthcare visits by using the Gini coefficients of primary healthcare visits (GPVs) as derived from large-scale and region-wide electronic records and to explore estimation and utility of GPV.

DESIGN

The study used a cross-sectional study design. It first extracted a random sample of 7.09 million primary care records from 1 October 2019 to 31 December 2021. Then it developed logarithmic models of GPVs using different months of records and performed descriptive and generalised linear mixed-effects regression analyses of the GPVs for all-cause diseases. The study also produced topographic maps of the GPVs for nine selected diseases.

SETTING

All primary healthcare facilities within the 105 townships or communities randomly selected from Anhui province, China.

PARTICIPANTS

All practising doctors working with and all patients presenting to the above sampled facilities during the 27-month study period.

RESULTS

The overall rate of primary healthcare visits during the 27-month period was estimated at 147.78%, with intra-regional variation coefficients by all-cause and system-specific disease ranging from 49.02% to 68.96%, and women were more likely than men to seek primary healthcare. The observed GPVs for all-cause and system-specific diseases all fitted very well with logarithmic equations and the goodness of fit increased rapidly when the months of EMRs were extended for the first few months, being over 78.92%, 91.17% and 94.78% for the first 3 months, 6 months and 12 months, respectively. These logarithmic models predicted at least high disparity (GPV>0.4) for all the system-specific diseases when the time period reached 6 months to 8 years. The observed GPVs for system-specific diseases, as estimated using the 27-month electronic medical records, ranged from 0.341 for skin-immune disease to 0.514 for cardiovascular disease. While the observed GPVs for all causes witnessed: great inter-region variations, with the highest GPV being 4.38 times the lowest; a general decreasing trend over the 9-quarter period, being reduced by 18.48% on average; and atypical J-shaped trajectories along age groups for both sexes. The multivariate modelling revealed statistically significant associations between the all-cause-GPV and 10 out of 14 commonly available community-level variables studied.

CONCLUSIONS

GPVs can be accurately estimated using a limited number of months of EMRs and, guided by the relevant framework, analysis of GPVs can unveil useful clues in addressing unequal primary healthcare utilisation.

Impact of United States 2017 Immigration Policy changes on missed appointments at two Massachusetts Safety-Net Hospitals

INTRODUCTION

Studies have shown mixed findings regarding the impact of immigration policy changes on immigrants' utilization of primary care.

METHODS

We used a difference-in-differences analysis to compare changes in missed primary care appointments over time across two groups: patients who received care in Spanish, Portuguese, or Haitian Creole, and non-Hispanic, white patients who received care in English.

RESULTS

After adjustment for age, sex, race, insurance, hospital system, and presence of chronic conditions, immigration policy changes were associated with an absolute increase in the missed appointment prevalence of 0.74 percentage points (95% confidence interval: 0.34, 1.15) among Spanish, Portuguese and Haitian-Creole speakers. We estimated that missed appointments due to immigration policy changes resulted in lost revenue of over $185,000.

CONCLUSIONS

We conclude that immigration policy changes were associated with a significant increase in missed appointments among patients who receive medical care in languages other than English.

Geriatric Conditions Predict Discontinuation of Anticoagulation in Long-Term Care Residents With Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Anticoagulation (AC) for stroke prevention in long-term care (LTC) residents with atrial fibrillation (AF) involves a challenging risk-benefit evaluation. We measured the association of geriatric conditions with discontinuation of AC.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort analysis.

SETTING

LTC facilities across the United States.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 48 545 individuals residing in LTC facilities in 2015 with AF and sufficient information to establish their status as someone who stopped AC vs someone who continued AC.

MEASUREMENTS

We measured the association of six geriatric conditions-recent fall, severe activity of daily living (ADL) dependency (21-28 on a 28-point scale), mobility impairment, cognitive impairment, body mass index (BMI) less than 18.5 kg/m² , and weight loss (≥5% in 1 month or ≥10% in 6 months)-with discontinuation of AC. To identify cases of discontinuation, we required a pattern of being on AC over two consecutive recordings of the Minimum Data Set, the nursing home quality control data set recorded every 90 days, followed by two assessments being off AC-pattern of "on-on-off-off." By contrast, we required a pattern of "on-on-on-on" for continuers. We then constructed six logistic regression models to measure the independent association between each geriatric condition and discontinuation of AC, adjusted for CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc stroke risk score, recent bleeding hospitalization, and other confounders.

RESULTS

There were 4172 discontinuers and 44 373 continuers. Recent fall predicted a 1.9-fold increase in the odds of discontinuation (odds ratio = 1.91; 95% confidence interval = 1.66-2.20), whereas mobility and cognitive impairment only increased the odds by 14% to 17%. Severe ADL dependency, BMI less than 18.5 kg/m² , and weight loss of 10% each increased odds of discontinuation by 55% to 68%. CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score did not predict discontinuation.

CONCLUSION

Several geriatric conditions predicted discontinuation of AC, whereas CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score did not. Future research should examine the association of geriatric conditions and discontinuation of warfarin discrete from newer anticoagulants and association of geriatric conditions with development of stroke and bleeding. J Am Geriatr Soc 68:717-724, 2020.

The impact of publicly subsidised health insurance on access, behavioural risk factors and disease management

In 2006, the Massachusetts healthcare reform was introduced to mandate health insurance, extend eligibility of publicly subsidised health insurance, improve quality and access to care and develop preventive health services. The objective of this study was to determine the impact of expanding publicly subsidised health insurance through the Massachusetts reform on access to primary care, disease management and behavioural risk factors. Using cross-sectional data from the Behavioural Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) from 2001 to 2010 and exploiting the selective introduction of the healthcare reform, we assessed its impact on primary care access, behavioural risk factors, such as obesity, and receipt of diabetes management tests. We did so using a differences-in-differences methodology by comparing Massachusetts with other New England States for 131,002 adults under 300% of the federal poverty level and by race/ethnicity within this group. Triple difference estimates were also conducted to control for potential within state time varying confounding factors. The results suggest that increasing publicly subsidised health insurance had a positive impact on primary care access for lower income adults, particularly those that are white. However, with the exception of improvements in alcohol consumption for one specific group (lower income whites) the reform had no effect on behaviour risk factors or diabetes disease management. The aims of the reform were to improve access to care and through this, behavioural risk factors and diabetes management. This study suggests that while access to care was increased, reducing risk factors attributed to health risky behaviour and diabetes cannot be sufficiently done simply by extending health insurance coverage and the provision of preventive services. This suggests that more targeted interventions are required.

Trends in Total Hip Arthroplasty Under the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act: A National Database Analysis Between 2008 and 2015

The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act expanded health coverage for low-earning individuals and families. With more Americans having access to care, the use of elective procedures, such as total hip arthroplasty (THA), was expected to increase. Therefore, the aim of this study was to evaluate trends in THA before and after the initiation of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act regarding race, age, body mass index, and sex between 2008 and 2015. The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database was queried for all individuals who had undergone primary THA between 2008 and 2015. This yielded a total of 104,209 patients. Descriptive statistics were used to analyze patient-level data. A Cochran-Armitage test assessed trends in categorical data points over time. Analysis indicated an increased percentage of blacks or African Americans undergoing THA (7.8% vs 9.2%, P<.001), followed by Native Americans or Pacific Islanders (0.0% vs 0.4%, P<.001), American Indians or Alaskan Natives (0.3% vs 0.5%, P=.016), and Asians (1.4% vs 1.5%, P=.002). An increased percentage of patients 55 to 80 years old received THAs (68.6% vs 74.1%, P<.001). The percentage of patients with a body mass index of 25.0 to 29.9 kg/m², 30.0 to 34.9 kg/m², and 35.0 to 39.9 kg/m² increased (32.9% vs 33.1%, 24.2% vs 25.6%, 12.6% vs 13.3%, respectively, P<.001 for all). These findings may provide insight on the changing patient characteristics for orthopedic surgeons performing THA. Furthermore, these findings may inform health policy makers interested in increasing access to procedures underutilized by specific patient populations and the creation of strategies to meet increased demand. [Orthopedics. 2018; 41(4):e534-e540.].

Massachusetts Health Reform's Effect on Hospitalizations with Substance Use Disorder-Related Diagnoses

OBJECTIVE

To examine whether Massachusetts (MA) health reform affected substance (alcohol or drug) use disorder (SUD)-related hospitalizations in acute care hospitals.

DATA/STUDY SETTING

2004-2010 MA inpatient discharge data.

DESIGN

Difference-in-differences analysis to identify pre- to postreform changes in age- and sex-standardized population-based rates of SUD-related medical and surgical hospitalizations, adjusting for secular trends.

DATA EXTRACTION METHODS

We identified 373,751 discharges where a SUD-related diagnosis was a primary or secondary discharge diagnosis.

FINDINGS

Adjusted for age and sex, the rates of drug use-related and alcohol use-related hospitalizations prereform were 7.21 and 8.87 (per 1,000 population), respectively, in high-uninsurance counties, and 8.58 and 9.63, respectively, in low-uninsurance counties. Both SUD-related rates increased after health reform in high- and low-uninsurance counties. Adjusting for secular trends in the high- and low-uninsurance counties, health reform was associated with no change in drug- or alcohol-related hospitalizations.

CONCLUSIONS

Massachusetts health reform was not associated with any changes in substance use disorder-related hospitalizations. Further research is needed to determine how to reduce substance use disorder-related hospitalizations, beyond expanding insurance coverage.

The impact of the 2006 Massachusetts health care reform law on spine surgery patient payer-mix status and age

OBJECTIVE Several similarities exist between the Massachusetts health care reform law of 2006 and the Affordable Care Act (ACA). The authors' prior neurosurgical research showed a decrease in uninsured surgeries without a significant change in surgical volume after the Massachusetts reform. An analysis of the payer-mix status and the age of spine surgery patients, before and after the policy, should provide insight into the future impact of the ACA on spine surgery in the US. METHODS Using the Massachusetts State Inpatient Database and spine ICD-9-CM procedure codes, the authors obtained demographic information on patients undergoing spine surgery between 2001 and 2012. Payer-mix status was assigned as Medicare, Medicaid, private insurance, uninsured, or other, which included government-funded programs and workers' compensation. A comparison of the payer-mix status and patient age, both before and after the policy, was performed. The New York State data were used as a control. RESULTS The authors analyzed 81,821 spine surgeries performed in Massachusetts and 248,757 in New York. After 2008, there was a decrease in uninsured and private insurance spine surgeries, with a subsequent increase in the Medicare and "other" categories for Massachusetts. Medicaid case numbers did not change. This correlated to an increase in surgeries performed in the age group of patients 65-84 years old, with a decrease in surgeries for those 18-44 years old. New York showed an increase in all insurance categories and all adult age groups. CONCLUSIONS After the Massachusetts reform, spine surgery decreased in private insurance and uninsured categories, with the majority of these surgeries transitioning to Medicare. Moreover, individuals who were younger than 65 years did not show an increase in spine surgeries, despite having greater access to health insurance. In a health care system that requires insurance, the decrease in private insurance is primarily due to an increasing elderly population. The Massachusetts model continues to show that this type of policy is not causing extreme shifts in the payer mix, and suggests that spine surgery will continue to thrive in the current US health care system.

Changes in Hospital Inpatient Utilization Following Health Care Reform

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the effects of 2014 Medicaid expansions on inpatient outcomes.

DATA SOURCES

Health Care Cost and Utilization Project State Inpatient Databases, 2011-2014; population and unemployment estimates.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective study estimating effects of Medicaid expansions using difference-in-differences regression. Outcomes included total admissions, referral-sensitive surgical and preventable admissions, length of stay, cost, and patient illness severity.

FINDINGS

In 2014 quarter four, compared with nonexpansion states, Medicaid admissions increased (28.5 percent, p = .006), and uninsured and private admissions decreased (-55.1 percent, p = .001, and -6.6 percent, p = .052), whereas all-payer admissions showed little change. Uninsured expansion effects were negative for preventable admissions (-24.4 percent, p = .068), length of stay (-9.3 percent, p = .039), total cost (-9.2 percent, p = .128), and illness severity (-4.5 percent, p = .397). Significant positive expansion effects were found for Medicaid referral-sensitive surgeries (11.8 percent, p = .021) and patient illness severity (2.3 percent, p = .015). Private and all-payer expansion effects for outcomes other than admission volume were small and mainly nonsignificant (p > .05).

CONCLUSION

Medicaid expansions did not change all-payer admission volumes, but they were associated with increased Medicaid and decreased uninsured volumes. Results suggest those previously uninsured with greater needs for inpatient services were most likely to gain coverage. Compositional changes in uninsured and Medicaid admissions may be due to selection.

Massachusetts Health Reform's Effect on Hospitals' Racial Mix of Patients and on Patients' Use of Safety-net Hospitals

BACKGROUND

Because of residential segregation and a lack of health insurance, minorities often receive care in different facilities than whites. Massachusetts (MA) health reform provided insurance to previously uninsured patients, which enabled them to potentially shift inpatient care to nonminority-serving or nonsafety-net hospitals.

OBJECTIVES

Examine whether MA health reform affected hospitals' racial mix of patients, and individual patients' use of safety-net hospitals.

RESEARCH DESIGN

Difference-in-differences analysis of 2004-2009 inpatient discharge data from MA, compared with New York (NY), and New Jersey (NJ), to identify postreform changes, adjusting for secular changes.

SUBJECTS

(1) Hospital-level analysis (discharges): 345 MA, NY, and NJ hospitals; (2) patient-level analysis (patients): 39,921 patients with ≥2 hospitalizations at a safety-net hospital in the prereform period.

MEASURES

Prereform to postreform changes in percentage of discharges that are minority (black and Hispanic) at minority-serving hospitals; adjusted odds of patient movement from safety-net hospitals (prereform) to nonsafety-net hospitals (postreform) by age group and state.

RESULTS

Treating NJ as the comparison state, MA reform was associated with an increase of 5.8% (95% CI, 1.4%-10.3%) in the percentage of minority discharges at MA minority-serving hospitals; with NY as the comparison state, the change was 2.1% (95% CI, -0.04% to 4.3%). Patient movement from safety-net to nonsafety-net hospitals was greater in MA than comparison states (difference-in-differences adjusted OR=1.3; 95% CI, 1.0-1.7; P=0.04).

CONCLUSIONS

Following MA health reform, the safety-net remains an important component of the health care system.

Health Care Utilization Rates After Oregon's 2008 Medicaid Expansion: Within-Group and Between-Group Differences Over Time Among New, Returning, and Continuously Insured Enrollees

BACKGROUND

Although past research demonstrated that Medicaid expansions were associated with increased emergency department (ED) and primary care (PC) utilization, little is known about how long this increased utilization persists or whether postcoverage utilization is affected by prior insurance status.

OBJECTIVES

(1) To assess changes in ED, PC, mental and behavioral health care, and specialist care visit rates among individuals gaining Medicaid over 24 months postinsurance gain; and (2) to evaluate the association of previous insurance with utilization.

METHODS

Using claims data, we conducted a retrospective cohort analysis of adults insured for 24 months following Oregon's 2008 Medicaid expansion. Utilization rates among 1124 new and 1587 returning enrollees were compared with those among 5126 enrollees with continuous Medicaid coverage (≥1 y preexpansion). Visit rates were adjusted for propensity score classes and geographic region.

RESULTS

PC visit rates in both newly and returning insured individuals significantly exceeded those in the continuously insured in months 4 through 12, but were not significantly elevated in the second year. In contrast, ED utilization rates were significantly higher in returning insured compared with newly or continuously insured individuals and remained elevated over time. New visits to PC and specialist care were higher among those who gained Medicaid compared with the continuously insured throughout the study period.

CONCLUSIONS

Predicting the effect of insurance expansion on health care utilization should account for the prior coverage history of new enrollees. In addition, utilization of outpatient services changes with time after insurance, so expansion evaluations should allow for rate stabilization.

Impact of the 2006 Massachusetts health care insurance reform on neurosurgical procedures and patient insurance status

OBJECTIVE

The Massachusetts health care insurance reform law passed in 2006 has many similarities to the federal Affordable Care Act (ACA). To address concerns that the ACA might negatively impact case volume and reimbursement for physicians, the authors analyzed trends in the number of neurosurgical procedures by type and patient insurance status in Massachusetts before and after the implementation of the state's health care insurance reform. The results can provide insight into the future of neurosurgery in the American health care system.

METHODS

The authors analyzed data from the Massachusetts State Inpatient Database on patients who underwent neurosurgical procedures in Massachusetts from 2001 through 2012. These data included patients' insurance status (insured or uninsured) and the numbers of procedures performed classified by neurosurgical procedural codes of the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM). Each neurosurgical procedure was grouped into 1 of 4 categories based on ICD-9-CM codes: 1) tumor, 2) other cranial/vascular, 3) shunts, and 4) spine. Comparisons were performed of the numbers of procedures performed and uninsured patients, before and after the implementation of the reform law. Data from the state of New York were used as a control. All data were controlled for population differences.

RESULTS

After 2008, there were declines in the numbers of uninsured patients who underwent neurosurgical procedures in Massachusetts in all 4 categories. The number of procedures performed for tumor and spine were unchanged, whereas other cranial/vascular procedures increased. Shunt procedures decreased after implementation of the reform law but exhibited a similar trend to the control group. In New York, the number of spine surgeries increased, as did the percentage of procedures performed on uninsured patients. Other cranial/vascular procedures decreased.

CONCLUSIONS

After the Massachusetts health care insurance reform, the number of uninsured individuals undergoing neurosurgical procedures significantly decreased for all categories, but more importantly, the total number of surgeries performed did not change dramatically. To the extent that trends in Massachusetts can predict the overall US experience, we can expect that some aspects of reimbursement may be positively impacted by the ACA. Neurosurgeons, who often treat patients with urgent conditions, may be affected differently than other specialists.

Impact of Massachusetts Health Reform on Inpatient Care Use: Was the Safety-Net Experience Different Than in the Non-Safety-Net?

OBJECTIVE

Most inpatient care for the uninsured and other vulnerable subpopulations occurs in safety-net hospitals. As insurance expansion increases the choice of hospitals for the previously uninsured, we examined if Massachusetts health reform was associated with shifts in the volume of inpatient care from safety-net to non-safety-net hospitals overall, or among other vulnerable sociodemographic (racial/ethnic minority, low socioeconomic status, high uninsured rate area) and clinical subpopulations (emergent status, diagnosis).

DATA SOURCES/STUDY SETTING

Discharge records for adults discharged from all nonfederal acute care hospitals in Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, and Pennsylvania 2004-2010.

STUDY DESIGN

Using a difference-in-differences design, we compared pre-/post-reform changes in safety-net and non-safety-net hospital discharge outcomes in Massachusetts among adults 18-64 with corresponding changes in comparisons states with no reform, overall, and by subpopulations.

PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

Reform was not associated with changes in inpatient care use at safety-net and non-safety-net hospitals across all discharges or in most subpopulations examined.

CONCLUSIONS

Demand for inpatient care at safety-net hospitals may not decrease following insurance expansion. Whether this is due to other access barriers or patient preference needs to be explored.

Impact of Expanded Insurance Coverage on Racial Disparities in Vascular Disease: Insights From Massachusetts

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the impact of health insurance expansion on racial disparities in severity of peripheral arterial disease.

BACKGROUND

Lack of insurance and non-white race are associated with increased severity, increased amputation rates, and decreased revascularization rates in patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD). Little is known about how expanded insurance coverage affects disparities in presentation with and management of PAD. The 2006 Massachusetts health reform expanded coverage to 98% of residents and provided the framework for the Affordable Care Act.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of nonelderly, white and non-white patients admitted with PAD in Massachusetts (MA) and 4 control states. Risk-adjusted difference-in-differences models were used to evaluate changes in probability of presenting with severe disease. Multivariable linear regression models were used to evaluate disparities in disease severity before and after the 2006 health insurance expansion.

RESULTS

Before the 2006 MA insurance expansion, non-white patients in both MA and control states had a 12 to 13 percentage-point higher probability of presenting with severe disease (P < 0.001) than white patients. After the expansion, measured disparities in disease severity by patient race were no longer statistically significant in Massachusetts (+3.0 percentage-point difference, P = 0.385) whereas disparities persisted in control states (+10.0 percentage-point difference, P < 0.001). Overall, non-white patients in MA had an 11.2 percentage-point decreased probability of severe PAD (P = 0.042) relative to concurrent trends in control states.

CONCLUSIONS

The 2006 Massachusetts insurance expansion was associated with a decreased probability of patients presenting with severe PAD and resolution of measured racial disparities in severe PAD in MA.

Perceived affordability of health insurance and medical financial burdens five years in to Massachusetts health reform

INTRODUCTION

Under the Massachusetts health reform, low income residents (those with incomes below 150 % of the Federal Poverty Level [FPL]) were eligible for Medicaid and health insurance exchange-based plans with minimal cost-sharing and no premiums. Those with slightly higher incomes (150 %-300 % FPL) were eligible for exchange-based plans that required cost-sharing and premium payments.

METHODS

We conducted face to face surveys in four languages with a convenience sample of 976 patients seeking care at three hospital emergency departments five years after Massachusetts reform. We compared perceived affordability of insurance, financial burden, and satisfaction among low cost sharing plan recipients (recipients of Medicaid and insurance exchange-based plans with minimal cost-sharing and no premiums), high cost sharing plan recipients (recipients of exchange-based plans that required cost-sharing and premium payments) and the commercially insured.

RESULTS

We found that despite having higher incomes, higher cost-sharing plan recipients were less satisfied with their insurance plans and perceived more difficulty affording their insurance than those with low cost-sharing plans. Higher cost-sharing plan recipients also reported more difficulty affording medical and non-medical health care as well as insurance premiums than those with commercial insurance. In contrast, patients with low cost-sharing public plans reported higher plan satisfaction and less financial concern than the commercially insured.

CONCLUSIONS

Policy makers with responsibility for the benefit design of public insurance available under health care reforms in the U.S. should calibrate cost-sharing to income level so as to minimize difficulty affording care and financial burdens.

Influence of Health Insurance Expansion on Disparities in the Treatment of Acute Cholecystitis

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the impact of the 2006 Massachusetts (MA) health reform on disparities in the management of acute cholecystitis (AC).

BACKGROUND

Immediate cholecystectomy has been shown to be the optimal treatment for AC, yet variation in care persists depending upon insurance status and patient race. How increased insurance coverage impacts these disparities in surgical care is not known.

METHODS

A cohort study of patients admitted with AC in MA and 3 control states from 2001 through 2009 was performed using the Hospital Cost and Utilization Project State Inpatient Databases. We examined all nonelderly white, black, or Latino patients by insurance type and patient race, evaluating changes in the probability of undergoing immediate cholecystectomy and disparities in receiving immediate cholecystectomy before and after Massachusetts health reform.

RESULTS

Data from 141,344 patients hospitalized for AC were analyzed. Before the 2006 reform, government-subsidized/self-pay (GS/SP) patients had a 6.6 to 9.9 percentage-point lower (P < 0.001) probability of immediate cholecystectomy in both MA control states. The MA insurance expansion was independently associated with a 2.5 percentage-point increased probability of immediate cholecystectomy for all GS/SP patients in MA (P = 0.049) and a 5.0 percentage-point increased probability (P = 0.011) for nonwhite, GS/SP patients compared to control states. Racial disparities in the probability of immediate cholecystectomy seen before health care reform were no longer statistically significant after reform in MA while persisting in control states.

CONCLUSIONS

The MA health reform was associated with increased probability of undergoing immediate cholecystectomy for AC and reduced disparities in undergoing cholecystectomy by insurance status and patient race.

Changes in use of autologous and prosthetic postmastectomy reconstruction after medicaid expansion in New York state

BACKGROUND

With Medicaid expansion beginning in 2014, it is important to understand the effects of access to reconstructive services for new beneficiaries. The authors assessed changes in use of breast cancer reconstruction for Medicaid beneficiaries after expansion in New York State in 2001.

METHODS

The authors used the State Inpatient Database for New York (1998 to 2006) for all patients aged 19 to 64 years who underwent breast reconstruction. An interrupted time series design with linear regression modeling evaluated the effect of Medicaid expansion on the proportion of breast reconstruction patients that were Medicaid beneficiaries.

RESULTS

The proportion of breast reconstructions provided to Medicaid beneficiaries increased by 0.28 percent per quarter after expansion (p < 0.001), resulting in a 5.5 percent increase above predicted trajectory without expansion. This corresponds to a population-adjusted increase of 1.8 Medicaid cases per 1 million population per quarter. On subgroup analysis, there was no significant increase in the proportion of autologous reconstructions (p = 0.4); however, the proportion of prosthetic reconstructions for Medicaid beneficiaries had a significant increase of 0.41 percent per quarter (p < 0.001), resulting in a 7.5 percent cumulative increase. This indicates that 135 additional prosthetic reconstruction operations were provided to Medicaid beneficiaries within 5 years of expansion.

CONCLUSIONS

Surgeons increased the volume of breast reconstructions provided to Medicaid beneficiaries after expansion. However, there are disparities between autologous and prosthetic reconstruction. If Medicaid expansion is to provide comprehensive care, with adequate access to all reconstructive options, these disparities must be addressed.

Insurance Expansion and the Utilization of Inpatient Surgery: Evidence for a "Woodwork" Effect?

INTRODUCTION

The impact of insurance expansion on the currently insured population is largely unknown. We examine rates of elective surgery in previously insured individuals before and after Massachusetts health care reform.

METHODS

Using the State Inpatient Databases for Massachusetts and 2 control states (New York and New Jersey) that did not expand coverage, we identified patients aged 69 and older who underwent surgery from January 1, 2003, through December 31, 2010. We studied 5 elective operations (knee and hip replacement, transurethral resection of prostate, inguinal hernia repair, back surgery). We examined statewide utilization rates before and after implementation of health care reform, using a difference-in-differences technique to adjust for secular trends. We also performed subgroup analyses according to race and income strata.

RESULTS

We observed no increase in the overall rate of selected discretionary inpatient surgeries in Massachusetts versus control states for the entire population (-1.4%, P = .41), as well as among the white (-1.6%, P = .43) and low-income (-2.2%, P = .26) subgroups. We did, however, find evidence for a woodwork effect in the subgroup of nonwhite elderly patients, among whom the rate of these procedures increased by 20.5% (P = .001). Among nonwhites, the overall result reflected increased utilization of all 5 individual procedures, with statistically significant changes for knee replacement (18%, P < .01), back surgery (18%, P = .05), transurethral resection of the prostate (28%, P = .05), and hernia repair (71%, P = .03).

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that national insurance expansion may increase the use of elective surgery among subgroups of previously insured patients.

Massachusetts health reform and disparities in joint replacement use: difference in differences study

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the impact of the insurance expansion in 2006 on use of knee and hip replacement procedures by race/ethnicity, area income, and the use of hospitals that predominantly serve poor people ("safety net hospitals").

DESIGN

Quasi-experimental difference in differences study examining change after reform in the share of procedures performed in safety net hospitals by race/ethnicity and area income, with adjustment for patients' residence, demographics, and comorbidity.

SETTING

State of Massachusetts, United States.

PARTICIPANTS

Massachusetts residents aged 40-64 as the target beneficiaries of reform and similarly aged residents of New Jersey, New York, and Pennsylvania as the comparison (control) population.

MAIN OUTCOMES MEASURES

Number of knee and hip replacement procedures per 10 000 population and use of safety net hospitals. Procedure counts from state discharge data for 2.5 years before and after reform, and multivariate difference in differences. Poisson regression was used to adjust for demographics, economic conditions, secular time, and geographic factors to estimate the change in procedure rate associated with health reform by race/ethnicity and area income.

RESULTS

Before reform, the number of procedures (/10 000) in Massachusetts was lower among Hispanic people (12.9, P<0.001) than black people (28.1) and white people (30.1). Overall, procedure use increased 22.4% during the 2.5 years after insurance expansion; reform in Massachusetts was associated with a 4.7% increase. The increase associated with reform was significantly higher among Hispanic people (37.9%, P<0.001) and black people (11.4%, P<0.05) than among white people (2.8%). Lower income was not associated with larger increases in procedure use. The share of knee and hip replacement procedures performed in safety net hospitals in Massachusetts decreased by 1.0% from a level of 12.7% before reform. The reduction was larger among Hispanic people (-6.4%, P<0.001) than white people (-1.0%), and among low income residents (-3.9%, p<0.001) than high income residents (0%).

CONCLUSIONS

Insurance expansion can help reduce disparities by race/ethnicity but not by income in access to elective surgical care and could shift some elective surgical care away from safety net hospitals.

Medicaid expansion under the Affordable Care Act. Implications for insurance-related disparities in pulmonary, critical care, and sleep

The Affordable Care Act was intended to address systematic health inequalities for millions of Americans who lacked health insurance. Expansion of Medicaid was a key component of the legislation, as it was expected to provide coverage to low-income individuals, a population at greater risk for disparities in access to the health care system and in health outcomes. Several studies suggest that expansion of Medicaid can reduce insurance-related disparities, creating optimism surrounding the potential impact of the Affordable Care Act on the health of the poor. However, several impediments to the implementation of Medicaid's expansion and inadequacies within the Medicaid program itself will lessen its initial impact. In particular, the Supreme Court's decision to void the Affordable Care Act's mandate requiring all states to accept the Medicaid expansion allowed half of the states to forego coverage expansion, leaving millions of low-income individuals without insurance. Moreover, relative to many private plans, Medicaid is an imperfect program suffering from lower reimbursement rates, fewer covered services, and incomplete acceptance by preventive and specialty care providers. These constraints will reduce the potential impact of the expansion for patients with respiratory and sleep conditions or critical illness. Despite its imperfections, the more than 10 million low-income individuals who gain insurance as a result of Medicaid expansion will likely have increased access to health care, reduced out-of-pocket health care spending, and ultimately improvements in their overall health.

Effect of Massachusetts health reform on chronic disease outcomes

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether Massachusetts Health Reform improved health outcomes in uninsured patients with hyperlipidemia, diabetes, or hypertension.

DATA SOURCE

Partners HealthCare Research Patient Data Registry (RPDR).

STUDY DESIGN

We examined 1,463 patients with hyperlipidemia, diabetes, or hypertension who were uninsured in the 3 years before the 2006 Massachusetts Health Reform implementation. We assessed mean quarterly total cholesterol, glycosylated hemoglobin, and systolic blood pressure in the respective cohorts for five follow-up years compared with 3,448 propensity score-matched controls who remained insured for the full 8-year study period. We used person-level interrupted time series analysis to estimate changes in outcomes adjusting for sex, age, race, estimated household income, and comorbidity. We also analyzed the subgroups of uninsured patients with poorly controlled disease at baseline, no evidence of established primary care in the baseline period, and those who received insurance in the first follow-up year.

PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

In 5 years after Massachusetts Health Reform, patients who were uninsured at baseline did not experience detectable trend changes in total cholesterol (-0.39 mg/dl per quarter, 95 percent confidence interval [-1.11 to 0.33]), glycosylated hemoglobin (-0.02 percent per quarter [-0.06 to 0.03]), or systolic blood pressure (-0.06 mmHg per quarter [-0.29 to 0.18]). Analyses of uninsured patients with poorly controlled disease, no evidence of established primary care in the baseline period, and those who received insurance in the first follow-up year yielded similar findings.

CONCLUSIONS

Massachusetts Health Reform was not associated with improvements in hyperlipidemia, diabetes, or hypertension control after 5 years. Interventions beyond insurance coverage might be needed to improve the health of chronically ill uninsured persons.

Mandatory health care insurance is associated with shorter hospital length of stay among critically injured trauma patients

BACKGROUND

The implementation of the Affordable Care Act stimulated interest in outcomes of patients in Massachusetts, a state mandating health insurance as of 2006. We sought to determine the impact of an insurance mandate on hospital use and outcomes among trauma intensive care unit (ICU) patients.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study of trauma patients admitted to the ICU conducted at an academic, trauma center. Patients before (2004-2006) and after (2008-2012) the implementation of mandatory health insurance were compared using propensity matching to control for confounders. Outcomes were hospital length of stay (LOS), ICU LOS, in-hospital mortality, and discharge disposition.

RESULTS

Overall, 1,668 trauma patients were included, with 530 matched on the propensity score in each group. Hospital LOS decreased by a median of 2.0 days, from 9.0 days (interquartile range, 4-15 days; p < 0.01) before to 7.0 days (interquartile range, 4-14) after implementation of the legislation. There were no differences in ICU LOS (3.0 days to 3.0 days, p = 0.44) and mortality (odds ratio [OR], 1.16; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.83-1.63). Compared with discharges to home, the patients were more likely to be discharged home with home health services after the legislation (OR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.08-2.68), but there was no significant change in the likelihoods of the patients being discharged to skilled nursing and rehabilitation facilities (OR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.72-1.31).

CONCLUSION

Implementation of health care reform was associated with a decrease in hospital LOS, with an increase in use of home health services and no change in ICU LOS and mortality among trauma ICU patients at our institution.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic/epidemiologic study, level III.

Building a health care workforce for the future: more physicians, professional reforms, and technological advances

Traditionally, projections of US health care demand have been based upon a combination of existing trends in usage and idealized or expected delivery system changes. For example, 1990s health care demand projections were based upon an expectation that delivery models would move toward closed, tightly managed care networks and would greatly decrease the demand for subspecialty care. Today, however, a different equation is needed on which to base such projections. Realistic workforce planning must take into account the fact that expanded access to health care, a growing and aging population, increased comorbidity, and longer life expectancy will all increase the use of health care services per capita over the next few decades--at a time when the number of physicians per capita will begin to drop. New technologies and more aggressive screening may also change the equation. Strategies to address these increasing demands on the health system must include expanded physician training.

Anticipating the impact of insurance expansion on inpatient urological surgery

PURPOSE

The Affordable Care Act (ACA) is expected to provide coverage for nearly twenty-five million previously uninsured individuals. Because the potential impact of the ACA for urological care remains unknown, we estimated the impact of insurance expansion on the utilization of inpatient urological surgeries using Massachusetts (MA) healthcare reform as a natural experiment.

METHODS

We identified nonelderly patients who underwent inpatient urological surgery from 2003 through 2010 using inpatient databases from MA and two control states. Using July 2007 as the transition point between pre- and post-reform periods, we performed a difference-indifferences (DID) analysis to estimate the effect of insurance expansion on overall and procedure-specific rates of inpatient urological surgery. We also performed subgroup analyses according to race, income and insurance status.

RESULTS

We identified 1.4 million surgeries performed during the study interval. We observed no change in the overall rate of inpatient urological surgery for the MA population as a whole, but an increase in the rate of inpatient urological surgery for non-white and low income patients. Our DID analysis confirmed these results (all 1.0%, p=0.668; non-whites 9.9%, p=0.006; low income 6.6%, p=0.041). At a procedure level, insurance expansion caused increased rates of inpatient BPH procedures, but had no effect on rates of prostatectomy, cystectomy, nephrectomy, pyeloplasty or PCNL.

CONCLUSIONS

Insurance expansion in Massachusetts increased the overall rate of inpatient urological surgery only for non-whites and low income patients. These data inform key stakeholders about the potential impact of national insurance expansion for a large segment of urological care.

Effect of insurance expansion on utilization of inpatient surgery

IMPORTANCE

Enhanced access to preventive and primary care services is a primary focus of the Affordable Care Act, but the potential effect of this law on surgical care is not well defined.

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the differential effect of insurance expansion on utilization of discretionary vs nondiscretionary inpatient surgery with Massachusetts health care reform as a natural experimental condition.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

We used the state inpatient databases from Massachusetts and 2 control states (New Jersey and New York) to identify nonelderly adult patients (aged 19-64 years) who underwent discretionary vs nondiscretionary surgical procedures from January 1, 2003, through December 31, 2010. We defined discretionary surgery as elective, preference-sensitive procedures (eg, joint replacement and back surgery) and nondiscretionary surgery as imperative and potentially life-saving procedures (eg, cancer surgery and hip fracture repair).

EXPOSURE

All surgical procedures in the study and control populations.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Using July 1, 2007, as the transition point between the prereform and postreform periods, we performed a difference-in-differences analysis to estimate the effect of insurance expansion on rates of discretionary and nondiscretionary surgical procedures in the entire study population and for subgroups defined by race, income, and insurance status. We then extrapolated our results from Massachusetts to the entire US population.

RESULTS

We identified a total of 836 311 surgical procedures during the study period. Insurance expansion was associated with a 9.3% increase in the use of discretionary surgery in Massachusetts (P = .02). Conversely, the rate of nondiscretionary surgery decreased by 4.5% (P = .009). We found similar effects for discretionary surgery in all subgroups, with the greatest increase observed for nonwhite participants (19.9% [P < .001]). Based on the findings in Massachusetts, we estimated that full implementation of national insurance expansion would yield an additional 465 934 discretionary surgical procedures by 2017.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Insurance expansion in Massachusetts was associated with increased rates of discretionary surgery and a concurrent decrease in rates of nondiscretionary surgery. If similar changes are seen nationally under the Affordable Care Act, the value of insurance expansion for surgical care may depend on the relative balance between increased expenditures and potential health benefits of greater access to elective inpatient procedures.

Use of intensive care services and associated hospital mortality after Massachusetts healthcare reform*

OBJECTIVE

To use the natural experiment of health insurance reform in Massachusetts to study the impact of increased insurance coverage on ICU utilization and mortality.

DESIGN

Population-based cohort study.

SETTING

Massachusetts and four states (New York, Washington, Nebraska, and North Carolina) that did not enact reform.

PATIENTS

All nonpregnant nonelderly adults (age 18-64 yr) admitted to nonfederal acute care hospitals in one of the five states of interest were eligible, excluding patients who were not residents of a respective state at the time of admission.

MEASUREMENTS

We used a difference-in-differences approach to compare trends in ICU admissions and outcomes of in-hospital mortality and discharge destination for ICU patients.

MAIN RESULT

Healthcare reform in Massachusetts was associated with a decrease in ICU patients without insurance from 9.3% to 5.1%. There were no significant changes in adjusted ICU admission rates, mortality, or discharge destination. In a sensitivity analysis excluding a state that enacted Medicaid reform prior to the study period, our difference-in-differences analysis demonstrated a significant increase in mortality of 0.38% per year (95% CI, 0.12-0.64%) in Massachusetts, attributable to a greater per-year decrease in mortality postreform in comparison states (-0.37%; 95% CI, -0.52% to -0.21%) compared with Massachusetts (0.01%; 95% CI, -0.20% to 0.11%).

CONCLUSION

Massachusetts healthcare reform increased the number of ICU patients with insurance but was not associated with significant changes in ICU use or discharge destination among ICU patients. Reform was also not associated with changed in-hospital mortality for ICU patients; however, this association was dependent on the comparison states chosen in the analysis.

How might the Affordable Care Act's coverage expansion provisions influence demand for medical care?

CONTEXT

The Affordable Care Act (ACA) is predicted to expand health insurance to 25 million individuals. Since insurance reduces the price of medical care, the quantity of services demanded by these newly covered individuals is expected to rise. In this article I provide a comprehensive picture of the demographics, health status, and medical care utilization of the population targeted for the ACA's expansion of coverage, contrasted with that of other nonelderly, insured populations. In addition, I synthesize the current evidence regarding the causal impact of insurance on medical care demand, drawing heavily on recent evidence from Massachusetts and Oregon.

METHODS

Using the 2008 to 2010 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey, I conducted bivariate and multivariate analyses to examine differences between the ACA target population and other insured groups. I used the results from the descriptive analysis and quasi-experimental literature to generate "back of the envelope" estimates of the potential impact of the coverage expansion on total medical care utilization by the noninstitutionalized US population.

FINDINGS

Comparisons of the potential ACA target population with the privately and publicly insured reveal that the former is younger and more likely to be male. The ACA target population, and particularly the uninsured with incomes under 200% of the federal poverty line, reports lower rates of several medical conditions relative to those of the privately and publicly insured. Future changes in rates of inpatient hospitalization and ED use among the newly insured could vary widely, based on descriptive findings and inferences from the quasi-experimental literature. Results also suggest moderate increases in ambulatory care. Total increases in overall demand for medical care by the newly insured comprise a modest proportion of the aggregate utilization.

CONCLUSIONS

With the expected increases in utilization resulting from the coverage expansion, stakeholders will need to monitor local health care delivery system capacity and respond where needed with policy- and/or market-based innovations.

Rates of insurance for injured patients before and after health care reform in Massachusetts: a possible case of double jeopardy

OBJECTIVES

We determined how preinjury insurance status and injury-related outcomes among able-bodied, community-dwelling adults treated at a Level I Trauma Center in central Massachusetts changed after health care reform.

METHODS

We compared insurance status at time of injury among non-Medicare-eligible adult Massachusetts residents before (2004-2005) and after (2009-2010) health care reform, adjusted for demographic and injury covariates, and modeled associations between insurance status and trauma outcomes.

RESULTS

Among 2148 patients before health care reform and 2477 patients after health care reform, insurance rates increased from 77% to 84% (P < .001). Younger patients, men, minorities, and penetrating trauma victims were less likely to be insured irrespective of time period. Uninsured patients were more likely to be discharged home without services (adjusted odds ratio = 3.46; 95% confidence interval = 2.65, 4.52) compared with insured patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Preinjury insurance rates increased for trauma patients after health care reform but remained lower than in the general population. Certain Americans may be in "double jeopardy" of both higher injury incidence and worse outcomes because socioeconomic factors placing them at risk for injury also present barriers to compliance with an individual insurance mandate.

The effect of Massachusetts health reform on 30 day hospital readmissions: retrospective analysis of hospital episode statistics

OBJECTIVES

To analyse changes in overall readmission rates and disparities in such rates, among patients aged 18-64 (those most likely to have been affected by reform), using all payer inpatient discharge databases (hospital episode statistics) from Massachusetts and two control states (New York and New Jersey).

DESIGN

Difference in differences analysis to identify the post-reform change, adjusted for secular changes unrelated to reform.

SETTING

US hospitals in Massachusetts, New York, and New Jersey.

PARTICIPANTS

Adults aged 18-64 admitted for any cause, excluding obstetrical.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Readmissions at 30 days after an index admission.

RESULTS

After adjustment for known confounders, including age, sex, comorbidity, hospital ownership, teaching hospital status, and nurse to census ratio, the odds of all cause readmission in Massachusetts was slightly increased compared with control states post-reform (odds ratio 1.02, 95% confidence interval 1.01 to 1.04, P<0.05). Racial and ethnic disparities in all cause readmission rates did not change in Massachusetts compared with control states. In analyses limited to Massachusetts only, there were minimal overall differences in changes in readmission rates between counties with differing baseline uninsurance rates, but black people in counties with the highest uninsurance rates had decreased odds of readmission (0.91, 0.84 to 1.00) compared with black people in counties with lower uninsurance rates. Similarly, white people in counties with the highest uninsurance rates had decreased odds of readmission (0.96, 0.94 to 0.99) compared with white people in counties with lower uninsurance rates.

CONCLUSIONS

In the United States, and in Massachusetts in particular, extending health insurance coverage alone seems insufficient to improve readmission rates. Additional efforts are needed to reduce hospital readmissions and disparities in this outcome.

The effect of medicaid expansion in new york state on use of subspecialty surgical procedures by medicaid beneficiaries and the uninsured

BACKGROUND

Understanding the benefits of Medicaid is crucial as states decide whether to expand Medicaid under the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. We used the 2001 Medicaid expansion in New York to evaluate changes in use by Medicaid beneficiaries and the uninsured of breast cancer reconstruction, panniculectomy, and lower-extremity trauma management.

METHODS

Data for all patients 19 to 64 years old having undergone the selected procedures between 1998 and 2006 were obtained from the State Inpatient Database. We used an interrupted time series using variance weighted least squares regression to evaluate the effect of Medicaid expansion on the probability that Medicaid beneficiaries or uninsured patients received the procedures. We also determined the predicted use had there been no expansion. New York Census data were used for population-adjusted case-volume calculations.

RESULTS

Likelihood of Medicaid as the primary payer increased significantly after expansion, 0.34% per quarter (95% CI, 0.28-0.40), without a decrease in uninsured patients receiving these procedures. This resulted in a 7.2% increase in the proportion of Medicaid beneficiaries receiving these procedures, an additional 1.9 Medicaid cases per quarter per 100,000 New York residents. In subgroup analysis, the proportion of Medicaid beneficiaries increased for breast reconstruction (0.28% per quarter; 95% CI, 0.21-0.35) and panniculectomy (0.19% per quarter; 95% CI, 0.1-0.28) without a decrease for the uninsured. Lower-extremity trauma procedures had a decreasing trend in use by uninsured patients with a slight increase for Medicaid beneficiaries (not significant).

CONCLUSIONS

Subspecialty surgeons responded to expansion by increasing volume of procedures for Medicaid beneficiaries. This occurred without decline in care for the uninsured, suggesting that Medicaid expansion resulted in increased access for underserved patients. Although more patients received needed care once they had coverage, subgroup analysis identified persistence of additional barriers to use of certain surgical services.

Assessing racial/ethnic disparities in treatment across episodes of mental health care

OBJECTIVE

To investigate disparities in mental health care episodes, aligning our analyses with decisions to start or drop treatment, and choices made during treatment.

STUDY DESIGN

We analyzed whites, blacks, and Latinos with probable mental illness from Panels 9-13 of the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey, assessing disparities at the beginning, middle, and end of episodes of care (initiation, adequate care, having an episode with only psychotropic drug fills, intensity of care, the mixture of primary care provider (PCP) and specialist visits, use of acute psychiatric care, and termination).

FINDINGS

Compared with whites, blacks and Latinos had less initiation and adequacy of care. Black and Latino episodes were shorter and had fewer psychotropic drug fills. Black episodes had a greater proportion of specialist visits and Latino episodes had a greater proportion of PCP visits. Blacks were more likely to have an episode with acute psychiatric care.

CONCLUSIONS

Disparities in adequate care were driven by initiation disparities, reinforcing the need for policies that improve access. Many episodes were characterized only by psychotropic drug fills, suggesting inadequate medication guidance. Blacks' higher rate of specialist use contradicts previous studies and deserves future investigation. Blacks' greater acute mental health care use raises concerns over monitoring of their treatment.

Massachusetts health care reform and reduced racial disparities in minimally invasive surgery

IMPORTANCE

Racial disparities in receipt of minimally invasive surgery (MIS) persist in the United States and have been shown to also be associated with a number of driving factors, including insurance status. However, little is known as to how expanding insurance coverage across a population influences disparities in surgical care.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the impact of Massachusetts health care reform on racial disparities in MIS.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

A retrospective cohort study assessed the probability of undergoing MIS vs an open operation for nonwhite patients in Massachusetts compared with 6 control states. All discharges (n = 167,560) of nonelderly white, black, or Latino patients with government insurance (Medicaid or Commonwealth Care insurance) or no insurance who underwent a procedure for acute appendicitis or acute cholecystitis at inpatient hospitals between January 1, 2001, and December 31, 2009, were assessed. Data are from the Hospital Cost and Utilization Project State Inpatient Databases.

INTERVENTION

The 2006 Massachusetts health care reform, which expanded insurance coverage for government-subsidized, self-pay, and uninsured individuals in Massachusetts.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Adjusted probability of undergoing MIS and difference-in-difference estimates.

RESULTS

Prior to the 2006 reform, Massachusetts nonwhite patients had a 5.21-percentage point lower probability of MIS relative to white patients (P < .001). Nonwhite patients in control states had a 1.39-percentage point lower probability of MIS (P = .007). After reform, nonwhite patients in Massachusetts had a 3.71-percentage point increase in the probability of MIS relative to concurrent trends in control states (P = .01). After 2006, measured racial disparities in MIS resolved in Massachusetts, with nonwhite patients having equal probability of MIS relative to white patients (0.06 percentage point greater; P = .96). However, nonwhite patients in control states without health care reform have a persistently lower probability of MIS relative to white patients (3.19 percentage points lower; P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

The 2006 Massachusetts insurance expansion was associated with an increased probability of nonwhite patients undergoing MIS and resolution of measured racial disparities in MIS.

Physician workforce planning in an era of health care reform

Workforce planning in an era of health care reform is a challenge as both delivery systems and patient demographics change. Current workforce projections are based on a future health care system that is either an identified "ideal" or a modified version of the existing system. The desire to plan for such an "ideal system," however, may threaten access to necessary services if it does not come to fruition or is based on theoretical rather than empirical data.Historically, workforce planning that concentrated only on an "ideal system" has been centered on incorrect assumptions. Two examples of such failures presented in the 1980s when the Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee recommended a decrease in the physician workforce on the basis of predetermined "necessary and appropriate" services and in the 1990s, when planners expected managed care and health maintenance organizations to completely overhaul the existing health care system. Neither accounted for human behavior, demographic changes, and actual demand for health care services, leaving the nation ill-prepared to care for an aging population with chronic disease.In this article, the authors argue that workforce planning should begin with the current system and make adjustments based on empirical data that accurately reflect current trends. Actual health care use patterns will become evident as systemic changes are realized-or not-over time. No single approach will solve the looming physician shortage, but the danger of planning only for an ideal system is being unprepared for the actual needs of the population.

Patient turnover and nursing employment in Massachusetts hospitals before and after health insurance reform: implications for the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act

The Affordable Care Act is modeled after Massachusetts insurance reforms enacted in 2006. A linear mixed effect model examined trends in patient turnover and nurse employment in Massachusetts, New York, and California nonfederal hospitals from 2000 to 2011. The linear mixed effect analysis found that the rate of increase in hospital admissions was significantly higher in Massachusetts hospitals (p<.001) than that in California and New York (p=.007). The rate of change in registered nurses full-time equivalent hours per patient day was significantly less (p=.02) in Massachusetts than that in California and was not different from zero. The rate of change in admissions to registered nurses full-time equivalent hours per patient day was significantly greater in Massachusetts than California (p=.001) and New York (p<.01). Nurse staffing remained flat in Massachusetts, despite a significant increase in hospital admissions. The implications of the findings for nurse employment and hospital utilization following the implementation of national health insurance reform are discussed.