Risk Factors for the Need of Surgical Necrosectomy After Percutaneous Catheter Drainage in the Management of Infection Secondary to Necrotizing Pancreatitis

A Risk Score for Predicting the Necessity of Surgical Necrosectomy in the Treatment of Infected Necrotizing Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

For infected necrotizing pancreatitis (INP), percutaneous catheter drainage (PCD) is now widely acknowledged as the initial intervention in a step-up approach, followed, if necessary, by minimally invasive necrosectomy or even open pancreatic necrosectomy. However, an overemphasis on PCD may cause a patient's condition to deteriorate, leading to missed surgical opportunities or even death. This study aimed to develop a simple and convenient scoring tool for assessing the need for surgery in INP patients who received PCD procedures.

METHODS

In an observational study conducted between April 2015 and December 2020, PCD was utilized as the initial step to treat 143 consecutive INP patients. A surgical necrosectomy was performed when the patient failed to respond. Risk factors of PCD failure (i.e., need for surgical necrosectomy) were identified by multivariate logistic regression models. An integer-based risk scoring tool was developed using the β coefficients derived from the logistic regression model.

RESULTS

In 62 (43.4%) patients, PCD was successful, while the remaining 81 (56.6%) individuals required subsequent surgical necrosectomy. In the multivariate model, organ failure, percentage of pancreatic necrosis, extrapancreatic necrosis volume, and mean CT density of extrapancreatic necrosis volume were associated with a need for surgical necrosectomy. A predictive scoring tool based on these four factors demonstrated an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.893. Under the scoring tool, a total score of 4 or more indicates a high possibility of surgical necrosectomy being required (at least 80%). Using the coordinates of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), the sensitivity and specificity at this threshold are 0.802 and 0.903, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

A risk score model integrating organ failure, percentage of pancreatic necrosis, extrapancreatic necrosis volume, and mean CT density of extrapancreatic necrosis volume can identify INP patients at high risk for necrosectomy. The straightforward risk assessment tool assists clinicians in stratifying INP patients and making more judicious medical decisions.

Infected pancreatic necrosis complicating severe acute pancreatitis in critically ill patients: predicting catheter drainage failure and need for necrosectomy

Background

Recent guidelines advocate a step-up approach for managing suspected infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) during acute pancreatitis. Nearly half the patients require secondary necrosectomy after catheter drainage. Our primary objective was to assess the external validity of a previously reported nomogram for catheter drainage, based on four predictors of failure. Our secondary objectives were to identify other potential predictors of catheter-drainage failure. We retrospectively studied consecutive patients admitted to the intensive care units (ICUs) of three university hospitals in France between 2012 and 2016, for severe acute pancreatitis with suspected IPN requiring catheter drainage. We assessed drainage success and failure rates in 72 patients, with success defined as survival without subsequent necrosectomy and failure as death and/or subsequent necrosectomy required by inadequate improvement. We plotted the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve for the nomogram and computed the area under the curve (AUROC).

Results

Catheter drainage alone was successful in 32 (44.4%) patients. The nomogram predicted catheter-drainage failure with an AUROC of 0.71. By multivariate analysis, catheter-drainage failure was independently associated with a higher body mass index [odds ratio (OR), 1.12; 95% confidence interval (95% CI), 1.00–1.24; P = 0.048], heterogeneous collection (OR, 16.7; 95% CI, 1.83–152.46; P = 0.01), and respiratory failure onset within 24 h before catheter drainage (OR, 18.34; 95% CI, 2.18–154.3; P = 0.007).

Conclusion

Over half the patients required necrosectomy after failed catheter drainage. Newly identified predictors of catheter-drainage failure were heterogeneous collection and respiratory failure. Adding these predictors to the nomogram might help to identify patients at high risk of catheter-drainage failure.

ClinicalTrials.gov number: NCT03234166.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13613-022-01039-z.

Association between morphological features of necrotizing pancreatitis on endoscopic ultrasound and outcomes of the endoscopic transmural step-up approach

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between necrotic collections on endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) and outcomes of the endoscopic transmural step-up approach in necrotizing pancreatitis (NP).

METHODS

Adult NP patients who had undergone endoscopic transmural step-up approach, endoscopic transmural drainage or endoscopic transmural necrosectomy, were retrospectively enrolled, and divided into groups 1, 2 and 3 based on the amount of solid necrotic debris (quantified as a percentage of the total collection size of <30%, 30%-50%, and >50%).

RESULTS

A total of 134 patients were included, of whom 52, 59 and 23 patients were categorized into groups 1, 2 and 3. Patients with more solid necrotic debris required more necrosectomy sessions (group 3 vs group 2 vs group 1: 2.0 vs 1.0 vs 1.0, P < 0.001), were more likely to experience stent occlusion (group 3 vs group 2 vs group 1: 34.8% vs 16.9% vs 9.6%, P = 0.011), and had a longer hospitalization (group 3 vs group 2 vs group 1: 40.0 d vs 28.0 d vs 25.5 d, P = 0.015). High procalcitonin level (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 6.14, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.40-26.94, P = 0.016) and any organ failure (aOR 11.51, 95% CI 2.42-54.78, P = 0.002) were independently associated with clinical failure of endoscopic transmural step-up approach.

CONCLUSIONS

More solid necrotic debris on EUS is related to more necrosectomy sessions, higher incidence of stent occlusion and longer hospitalization. A nomogram combining procalcitonin and any organ failure performs well in predicting clinical failure of endoscopic transmural step-up approach.

[Interventional endoscopic treatment in acute pancreatitis]

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) represents a frequent gastrointestinal diseases. Approximately 80% of patients have a mild course of the disease and conservative treatment is sufficient; however, 20% of patients develop a severe AP with local and systemic complications. This article focuses on the currently recommended endoscopic management of severe AP.

OBJECTIVE

Classification of AP by the revised Atlanta classification and the occurrence of local or systemic complications. Summary of current evidence with respect to endoscopic management.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Inspection of the current literature from specialist journals and current guidelines.

RESULTS

The AP is classified as mild, moderate or severe based on systemic (hypotension, renal failure, lung failure) and/or local complications, such as acute peripancreatic fluid collections (APFC), peripancreatic pseudocysts (PPC), acute necrotic collections (ANC) and walled-off necrosis (WON). In recent years the staged endoscopic treatment of infected ANC, WON and PPC has become established. The initial step is the endoscopic ultrasound-guided puncture and drainage with plastic or lumen-apposing metal stents. For solid components or insufficient drainage, a transgastric endoscopic necrosectomy is recommended. The treatment of severe AP requires an interdisciplinary management in specialized centers and regular re-evaluation of the therapeutic efficacy.

CONCLUSION

Interventional endoscopy has become established as the standard for treatment of severe AP.

Risk Factors of Multidrug Resistant Pathogens Induced Infection in Severe Acute Pancreatitis

Purpose:

A retrospective study was first performed to assess the multidrug resistant (MDR) pathogen in severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) patients who were treated using the step-up approach. We aim to assess the risk factors between MDR pathogen and potential covariates in SAP patients.

Methods:

The clinical data of 51 SAP patients who were treated from June, 2013 to December, 2016 were retrospectively collected. A total of 23 patients in the MDR group and 28 patients in the non-MDR group were reviewed. The risk factors for MDR pathogen-induced infections in SAP patients were analyzed.

Results:

Hyperlipidemia was the leading cause of SAP in our study. The mean duration of hospital stay was significantly longer in the patients with MDR pathogen infections (P=0.0135). The hospitalization expenses of MDR group were much higher than those in non-MDR group. The mortality of MDR group (56.5%) was higher than that in non-MDR group (28.6%) (P=0.0436). Gram-negative isolates (63.8%) were commonly detected in SAP patients. Acinetobacter baumannii was the most common MDR pathogens. Systemic disease (P = 0.0136), initial use of carbapenem (P = 0.0438), and open necrosectomy (P = 0.0002) were the potential risk factors for MDR pathogen-induced infections in SAP. Furthermore, the logistic regression analysis revealed that open necrosectomy was the independent variable for MDR infections (OR: 15.6, 95% CI: 2.951–82.469, P = 0.0012).

Conclusions:

MDR pathogen-induced infections were common in SAP patients and Acinetobacter baumannii was the main pathogen. Meanwhile, open necrosectomy was the independent risk factor for the infection of MDR pathogen.

Predrainage and Postdrainage Prognostic Nomograms to Predict Outcome of Percutaneous Drainage for Infected Pancreatic and Peripancreatic Necrotic Collections

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to identify factors affecting outcome of percutaneous catheter drainage (PCD) in management of infected pancreatic necrosis treated with step-up approach.

METHODS

This was a single-center retrospective cohort study that included patients with infected necrosis undergoing PCD as initial intervention. Patients who did not respond underwent necrosectomy. Predictors of PCD failure (ie, mortality or need for necrosectomy) were analyzed. Models were constructed for predrainage and postdrainage use and were internally validated.

RESULTS

Of 304 patients included, catheter drainage was successful in 59.8%, with overall mortality of 22%. Predrainage model consisted of Acute Physiologic and Chronic Health Evaluation II score at admission, early organ failure, and pancreatic necrosis of greater than 50%. Postdrainage model consisted of Acute Physiologic and Chronic Health Evaluation II at first PCD, early organ failure, pancreatic necrosis of greater than 50%, sepsis reversal within 1 week of PCD and Escherichia coli in PCD culture. Both models were internally validated with area under receiver operating characteristics curve of 71.2% for pre-PCD and 81.2% for post-PCD model. Prognostic nomograms were constructed using the models.

CONCLUSIONS

Percutaneous catheter drainage alone was successful in 59.8% with mortality of 22%. The nomograms can help in guiding treatment strategy and referral of high-risk cases.