Low baseline (pre-injury) blood pressure predicts inpatient mortality in elderly trauma patients: A bi-institutional study

A comparison of frailty indices in predicting length of inpatient stay and discharge destination following angiogram-negative subarachnoid hemorrhage

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

While patients with angiogram-negative subarachnoid hemorrhages (ANSAH) have better prognoses than those with aneurysmal SAH, frailty's impact on outcomes in ANSAH is unclear. We previously showed that the modified frailty index (mFI-11) is associated with poor outcomes following ANSAH. Here, we compared the mFI-5, mFI-11, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), and temporalis thickness (TMT) to determine which index was the best predictor of ANSAH outcomes and mortality rates.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort analysis between 2014 and 2018, patients with non-traumatic, angiogram negative SAH (ANSAH) were identified. The admission mFI-5, mFI-11, CCI, and TMT were calculated for each patient. Primary outcomes were mortality rate, discharge location, and prolonged length of stay (PLOS; LOS >85^th percentile). Multivariate logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate frailty as predictors of primary endpoints.

RESULTS

We included 75 patients with a mean age of 55.4 ± 1.5 years. There were 4 patient deaths (5.3%), 53 patients (70.7%) discharged home, and 11 patients (14.7%) with PLOS. On ROC analysis, the mFI-5 had the highest discriminatory value for mortality (AUC = 0.97) while the mFI-11 was most discriminatory for discharge home (AUC = 0.85) and PLOS (AUC = 0.78). On multivariate analysis, the only independent predictor of mortality was the mFI-11 (OR = 0.46; 95%CI: 1.45-14.23; p = 0.009) while the mFI-5 was the best predictor of discharge home (OR = 0.21; 95% CI: 0.08-0.61; p = 0.004). On multivariate analysis, the only independent predictor of PLOS was the Hunt and Hess score (OR = 2.63; 95%CI: 1.38-5.00; p = 0.003). The CCI and TMT were inferior to either mFI for predicting primary endpoints.

CONCLUSIONS

Increasing frailty is associated with poorer outcomes and higher mortality following ANSAH. The mFI-5 and mFI-11 were found to be superior predictors of discharge home and mortality rate. While larger prospective study is needed, frailty, as measured by mFI-11 and -5, should be considered when evaluating ANSAH prognosis.

Guiding Management in Severe Trauma: Reviewing Factors Predicting Outcome in Vastly Injured Patients

Trauma is one of the leading causes of death worldwide, with road traffic collisions, suicides, and homicides accounting for the majority of injury-related deaths. Since trauma mainly affects young age groups, it is recognized as a serious social and economic threat, as annually, almost 16,000 posttrauma individuals are expected to lose their lives and many more to end up disabled. The purpose of this research is to summarize current knowledge on factors predicting outcome - specifically mortality risk - in severely injured patients. Development of this review was mainly based on the systematic search of PubMed medical library, Cochrane database, and advanced trauma life support Guiding Manuals. The research was based on publications between 1994 and 2016. Although hypovolemic, obstructive, cardiogenic, and septic shock can all be seen in multi-trauma patients, hemorrhage-induced shock is by far the most common cause of shock. In this review, we summarize current knowledge on factors predicting outcome - more specifically mortality risk - in severely injured patients. The main mortality-predicting factors in trauma patients are those associated with basic human physiology and tissue perfusion status, coagulation adequacy, and resuscitation requirements. On the contrary, advanced age and the presence of comorbidities predispose patients to a poor outcome because of the loss of physiological reserves. Trauma resuscitation teams considering mortality prediction factors can not only guide resuscitation but also identify patients with high mortality risk who were previously considered less severely injured.