Association between the initial serum phosphate level and 30-day mortality in blunt trauma patients

The prognostic value of the phosphate-to-albumin ratio in patients with OHCA: A multicenter observational study

PURPOSE

In patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA), early and accurate outcome prediction is crucial for making treatment decisions and informing their relatives. A previous study reported an association between high phosphate levels and unfavorable neurological outcomes after return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC); however, its prognostic value was insufficient when used independently. Therefore, this study aimed to validate the usefulness of the phosphate-to-albumin ratio (PAR) in predicting neurological outcomes and in-hospital mortality by incorporating albumin, another known prognostic indicator.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This multicenter observational study included adult OHCA survivors from October 2015 to June 2021. The primary endpoint was an unfavorable neurological outcome at hospital discharge, defined as a cerebral performance category score of 3-5. The in-hospital mortality rates were also evaluated.

RESULTS

Of the 2397 adult OHCA survivors, PAR differed significantly between the unfavorable and favorable neurological outcome groups, as well as between the non-survival and survival to hospital discharge groups (2.4 vs 1.4, 2.5 vs 1.6, respectively). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) value of the PAR for predicting unfavorable neurological outcome was 0.81 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.79-0.83), and the AUROC value for predicting in-hospital mortality was 0.76 (95% CI, 0.74-0.78). In multivariable analysis, the PAR was independently associated with unfavorable neurological outcome (odds ratio [OR] 1.30, 95% CI 1.15-1.37; p < 0.001) and in-hospital mortality (OR 1.24, 95% CI 1.12-1.38; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The PAR is a readily obtainable and independent prognostic indicator for patients with ROSC after OHCA, helping healthcare providers in predicting outcomes.

The Magnitude of Change in Serum Phosphate Concentration Is Associated with Mortality in Patients with Severe Trauma

PURPOSE

Previous studies have suggested that serum phosphate concentration is a prognostic factor in critically ill patients. However, the association between changes in serum phosphate levels and prognosis of patients with trauma remains unclear.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study included patients with severe trauma who were treated at the emergency department. Delta phosphate (Δ phosphate) was defined as the difference between serum phosphate concentrations measured at baseline and after 24 hours from the initial measurement. Patients were divided into five groups according to their Δ phosphate levels: group I (Δ phosphate <-2 mg/dL), group II (Δ phosphate -2 to -0.5 mg/dL), group III (Δ phosphate -0.5 to 0.5 mg/dL), group IV (Δ phosphate 0.5 to 2 mg/dL), and group V (Δ phosphate ≥2 mg/dL).

RESULTS

Overall, 1905 patients with severe trauma were included in the analysis. The 30-day mortality was the lowest in group III and tended to increase in groups with a larger Δ phosphate in both the positive and negative directions (group I: 13.7%, group II: 6.8%, group III: 4.6%, group IV: 6.6%, and group V: 26.8%). In multivariable analysis with group III as the reference group, the odds ratios (ORs) of mortality were statistically significant in group IV [OR, 1.92; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.05-3.56] and group V (OR, 5.28; 95% CI, 2.47-11.24).

CONCLUSION

An increase in serum phosphate concentrations 24 hours after the initial measurement could be considered as an independent prognostic factor in patients with severe trauma.

Association of serum phosphate and changes in serum phosphate with 28-day mortality in septic shock from MIMIC-IV database

This study aimed to investigate the relationship between serum phosphate levels, changes in serum phosphate levels, and 28-day mortality in patients with septic shock. In this retrospective study, data were collected from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database between 2008 and 2019. Patients were divided into three groups according to the tertiles of serum phosphate levels. Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank test analyses were used for survival analysis. Multivariate logistic regression, and restricted cubic spline (RCS) curve were used to explore the association between serum phosphate, delta serum phosphate levels and 28-day mortality. In total, 3296 patients with septic shock were included in the study, and the 28-day mortality was 30.0%. Serum phosphate levels were significantly higher in the non-survivor group than in the survivor group. The Kaplan-Meier curves showed significant differences among the three groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis and the RCS curve showed that serum phosphate levels were independently and positively associated with the 28-day mortality of septic shock. Non-survivors had higher delta serum phosphate levels than survivors. Survival analysis showed that patients with higher delta serum phosphate levels had higher 28-day mortality. A non-linear relationship was detected between delta serum phosphate and 28-day mortality with a point of inflection at - 0.3 mg/dL. Serum phosphate levels were positively and independently associated with 28-day mortality in septic shock. Delta serum phosphate level was a high-risk factor for patients with septic shock.

Elevated Initial Serum Phosphate Levels Predict Higher Mortality and Impaired Neurological Outcome in Cardiac Arrest Patients with Return of Spontaneous Circulation

Purpose: Although a moderate proportion of cardiac arrest (CA) patients achieve a return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC), few survive to discharge, mostly with poor neurological development. As serum phosphate levels were described as elevated after cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), we asked whether these elevations would predict a higher risk of mortality and impaired neurological outcome in CA patients following ROSC. Methods: Initial serum phosphate levels, survival, and neurologic status at discharge of 488 non-traumatic CA patients treated at a single German hospital after achieving ROSC were analyzed. The cut-off value of phosphate for mortality prediction was determined using the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve, and patients were divided accordingly for comparison. Results were validated by analyzing phosphate levels in a multi-centric cohort containing 3299 CA patients from the eICU database of the United States. Results: In the German cohort, ROC analysis showed a 90% specificity for phosphate levels >2.7 mmol/L to predict mortality (AUC: 0.76, p < 0.0001), and phosphate level elevations were associated with higher in-hospital mortality (crude odds ratio 3.04, 95% CI 2.32 to 4.08). Patients with initial phosphate levels >2.7 mmol/L had significantly higher mortality in both analyzed collectives (p < 0.0001). Similarly, patients from the German cohort who initially had higher phosphate levels also showed a higher proportion of impaired neurological status at discharge and morphological signs of brain injury. Conclusions: In CA patients following ROSC, initial serum phosphate levels >2.7 mmol/L predict higher mortality and impaired neurological outcome. Our data suggests that phosphate determination might improve the preciseness of the overall and neurologic prognostication in patients after CPR following ROSC.

THE INITIAL ION SHIFT INDEX AS A PROGNOSTIC INDICATOR TO PREDICT PATIENT SURVIVAL IN TRAUMATIC DAMAGE CONTROL LAPAROTOMY PATIENTS

ABSTRACT

Objective: The ion shift index (ISI), which considers extracellular fluid ions such as phosphate, calcium, and magnesium, represents the ion shift following ischemia; concentrations of these ions are maintained within narrow normal ranges by adenosine triphosphate-dependent homeostasis. The ISI is defined as follows: {potassium (mmol/L-1) + phosphate (mmol/L-1) + Mg (mmol/L-1)}/calcium (mmol/L-1). This study investigated the possibility of predicting the 30-day survival rate of patients who underwent traumatic damage control laparotomy by comparing ISI and other laboratory findings, as well as the initial Trauma and Injury Severity Score (TRISS) and shock indices. Methods: Among the 134 patients who underwent damage control surgery between November 2012 and December 2021, 115 patients were enrolled in this study. Data regarding injury mechanism, age, sex, laboratory findings, vital signs, Glasgow Coma Scale score, Injury Severity Score, Abbreviated Injury Scale score, blood component transfusion, type of surgery, postoperative laboratory outcomes, morbidity, mortality rates, fluids administered, and volume of transfusions were collected and analyzed. Results: In univariate analysis, the odds ratio of the initial ISI was 2.875 (95% confidence interval, 1.52-5.43; P = 0.04), which showed a higher correlation with mortality compared with other indices. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and area under the ROC curve (AUC) were derived from different multivariable logistic regression models. The initial ISI had high sensitivity and specificity in predicting patient mortality (AUC, 0.7378). In addition, in the model combining the initial ISI, crystalloids, and TRISS, the AUC showed a high value (AUC, 0.8227). Conclusion: The ISI evaluated using electrolytes immediately after admission in patients undergoing traumatic damage control surgery may be a predictor of patient mortality.

A non-linear positive relationship between serum phosphate and clinical outcomes in sepsis

Objective

This study aimed to evaluate the possible relationship between serum phosphate and short-term outcomes in sepsis.

Methods

This was a retrospective study. Sepsis patients in MIMIC-IV database were included. Based on the quartiles of serum phosphate, all sepsis patients were divided into four groups. Univariable and multivariable regression analyses were constructed for discussing the relationship between different parameters and 30-day mortality in sepsis. A generalized additive model was performed for exploring the association of serum phosphate with 30-day mortality.

Results

6251 sepsis patients including 4368 survivors and 1883 non-survivors were included. A significant relationship between serum phosphate and 30-day mortality was found after adjusting for all potential confounders (OR = 1.19, 95%CI:1.13-1.26, P < 0.0001). The relationship was non-linear with an inflection point of 6.8 mg/dl. On the left side of the inflection point (≤6.8 mg/dl, n = 5911 (94.56%)), the OR was 1.24 (95%CI: 1.17-1.31, P < 0.0001). On the right side of the inflection point (>6.8 mg/dl, n = 340 (5.44%)), the OR was 0.94 (95%CI:0.78-1.13, P = 0.5038).

Conclusion

A non-linear positive relationship was found between serum phosphate and 30-day mortality in sepsis. Serum phosphate was associated with mortality in sepsis. Our results could be used for screening out those sepsis patients with higher risk of worse outcomes.

Trauma-related electrolyte disturbances: From resuscitation to rhabdomyolysis

Traumatic injury results in drastic changes to a patient's normal physiology. The hormonal stress response, as well as some treatment strategies, lead to significant disruptions in electrolyte homeostasis that are important for clinicians to understand. In addition, advances in fluid resuscitation and modern transfusion practices have led to their own unique set of consequences, which we are just beginning to appreciate. Special attention is placed on rhabdomyolysis, as this distinct entity represents an extreme example of injury induced electrolyte derangements. This review describes the physiologic response to trauma and highlights some of the important electrolyte abnormalities that can be encountered while caring for the injured patient.

Trauma-induced hypocalcemia

BACKGROUND

Trauma-induced hypocalcemia is an underappreciated complication of severe injury but is well known to result in the derangement of an array of physiological regulatory mechanisms. Existing literature provides a compelling link between hypocalcemia and worse trauma-induced coagulopathy and increased mortality after injury.

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

This narrative review evaluates available data related to the risk factors, mechanisms, and treatment of hypocalcemia after severe injury. The authors did not perform a systemic review or meta-analysis.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

The interplay of acidosis, hypothermia, and coagulopathy with hypocalcemia potentiates the bloody vicious cycle of hemorrhagic shock which has been the paradigm of trauma resuscitation for over half a century. However, current screening and treatment of postinjury hypocalcemia are relegated to a secondary consideration in trauma resuscitation. We conclude calcium supplementation should be a primary tier intervention for life-threatening injury.