Climate change adaptation needs a science of culture

Climate change adaptation and the back of the invisible hand

A good deal of contemporary work in cultural evolutionary theory focuses on the adaptive significance of culture. In this paper, we make the case that scientifically accurate and politically feasible responses to the climate crisis require a complex understanding of human cultural practices of niche construction that moves beyond the adaptive significance of culture. We develop this thesis in two related ways. First, we argue that cumulative cultural practices of niche construction can generate stable equilibria and runaway selection processes that result in long-term existential risks within and across cultural groups. We dub this the back of the invisible hand. Second, we argue that the ability of cultural groups to innovate technological solutions to environmental problems is highly constrained in ways that are exacerbated by sustained intergroup conflict, inequality and by inherently unpredictable cascades in climate change and human migration patterns. After developing these theoretical points about human cultural practices of niche construction in detail, we conclude our discussion with some tentative practical suggestions about the way that cultural evolutionary history can more fruitfully be used in efforts to remit the climate crisis and contribute to sustainable practices of human climate change adaptation. This article is part of the theme issue 'Climate change adaptation needs a science of culture'.

Adaptive irrigation management by Balinese farmers reduces greenhouse gas emissions and increases rice yields

The potential for changes in water management regimes to reduce greenhouse gases (GHG) in rice paddies has recently become a major topic of research in Asia, with implications for top-down versus bottom-up management strategies. Flooded rice paddies are a major source of anthropogenic GHG emissions and are responsible for approximately 11% of global anthropogenic methane (CH4) emissions. However, rice is also the most important food crop for people in low- and lower-middle-income countries. While CH4 emissions can be reduced by lessening the time the plants are submerged, this can trigger increased emissions of nitrous oxide (N2O), a more potent GHG. Mitigation options for CH4 and N2O are different, and minimizing one gas may increase the emission of the other. Accurate measurement of these gas emissions in rice paddies is difficult, and the results are controversial. We analysed these trade-offs using continuous high-precision measurements in a closed chamber in 2018-2020. Based on the results, we tested a bottom-up adaptive irrigation regime that improves nitrogen uptake by rice plants while reducing combined GHG emissions and nitrogen runoff from paddies to reefs in agricultural drainages. In 2023, we undertook a follow-up study in which farmers obtained higher rice yields with adaptive intermittent irrigation compared to uniformly flooded fields. These results use the polycentric, self-governing capacity of Balinese subaks for continuous adaptation. This article is part of the theme issue 'Climate change adaptation needs a science of culture'.

Climate micro-mobilities as adaptation practice in the Pacific: the case of Samoa

Recent debates on climate mobilities have largely ignored the dynamics of mobility patterns including short-distance and short-duration circular movements to enhance adaptative capacity and resilience of households and individuals, enabling them to remain in place despite facing increasingly severe climatic risks. This paper explores Pacific Islanders' climate-related mobilities with reference to cases from Samoa. It first conceptualizes Samoan mobility, which is rooted in Samoan culture, norms and worldviews, and then uses this as a framework to examine ways in which people shift and diversify their residential locations for climate-associated reasons. The study employs a comparative case study approach using conversational (the Pacific-originated talanoa-style) interviews with 40 participants in two villages in Samoa-one urban and the other rural. Findings suggest that shifting spatially and temporarily between two residences (a practice called fa'a-'āigalua) occurs not only within the village but across villages. Thereby, villagers reduce the risk of incurring physical harm from climate-related disasters, while minimizing the risk of cultural harm from place detachment. Our study challenges the discourse of 'vulnerable Pacific Islanders' by demonstrating the adaptability of Samoans to changing socio-ecological and climatic circumstances and their ability to develop a variety of climate resilience strategies, including micro-mobilities and circular migration. This article is part of the theme issue 'Climate change adaptation needs a science of culture'.

Climate change and long-term human behaviour in the Neotropics: an archaeological view from the Global South

In this paper, we argue for the inclusion of archaeology in discussions about how humans have contributed to and dealt with climate change, especially in the long term. We suggest Niche Construction Theory as a suitable framework to that end. In order to take into account both human and environmental variability, we also advocate for a situated perspective that includes the Global South as a source of knowledge production, and the Neotropics as a relevant case study to consider. To illustrate this, we review the mid-Holocene Hypsithermal period in the southern Puna and continental Patagonia, both in southern South America, by assessing the challenges posed by this climate period and the archaeological signatures of the time from a Niche Construction Theory perspective. Finally, we emphasize the importance of these considerations for policymaking. This article is part of the theme issue 'Climate change adaptation needs a science of culture'.

Socio-economic predictors of Inuit hunting choices and their implications for climate change adaptation

In the Arctic, seasonal variation in the accessibility of the land, sea ice and open waters influences which resources can be harvested safely and efficiently. Climate stressors are also increasingly affecting access to subsistence resources. Within Inuit communities, people differ in their involvement with subsistence activities, but little is known about how engagement in the cash economy (time and money available) and other socio-economic factors shape the food production choices of Inuit harvesters, and their ability to adapt to rapid ecological change. We analyse 281 foraging trips involving 23 Inuit harvesters from Kangiqsujuaq, Nunavik, Canada using a Bayesian approach modelling both patch choice and within-patch success. Gender and income predict Inuit harvest strategies: while men, especially men from low-income households, often visit patches with a relatively low success probability, women and high-income hunters generally have a higher propensity to choose low-risk patches. Inland hunting, marine hunting and fishing differ in the required equipment and effort, and hunters may have to shift their subsistence activities if certain patches become less profitable or less safe owing to high costs of transportation or climate change (e.g. navigate larger areas inland instead of targeting seals on the sea ice). Our finding that household income predicts patch choice suggests that the capacity to maintain access to country foods depends on engagement with the cash economy. This article is part of the theme issue 'Climate change adaptation needs a science of culture'.