Gotoda H, Ikawa T, Maki K, Miyano T. Short-term prediction of dynamical behavior of flame front instability induced by radiative heat loss.
CHAOS (WOODBURY, N.Y.) 2012;
22:033106. [PMID:
23020445 DOI:
10.1063/1.4731267]
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Abstract
We apply nonlinear forecasting to the time series of the flame front instability induced by radiative heat loss to test for the short-term predictability and long-term unpredictability characteristic of deterministic chaos in flame front instability. Our results indicate that the flame front instability represents high-dimensional chaos generated via the period-doubling cascade process reported in our previous study [H. Gotoda, K. Michigami, K. Ikeda, and T. Miyano, Combust Theory Modell. 14, 479 (2010)], while its short-term behavior is predictable using a local nonlinear predictor based on the Sugihara-May method [H. Gotoda, H. Nikimoto, T. Miyano, and S. Tachibana, Chaos 20, 013124 (2011); G. Sugihara and R. M. May, Nature 344, 734 (1990)] as well as a generalized radial basis function network as a global nonlinear predictor. The feasibility of a new approach based on short-term prediction is also discussed in this work from the practical viewpoint of combustion systems.
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