Dynamic multifactor clustering of financial networks

The dependency structure of the financial multiplex network model: New evidence from the cross-correlation of idiosyncratic returns, volatility, and trading volume

This work describes the design of a novel financial multiplex network composed of three layers obtained by applying the MST-based cross-correlation network, using the data from 465 companies listed on the US market. The study employs a combined approach of complex multiplex networks, to examine the statistical properties of asset interdependence within the financial market. In addition, it performs an extensive analysis of both the similarities and the differences between this financial multiplex network, its individual layers, and the commonly studied stock return network. The results highlight the importance of the financial multiplex network, demonstrating that its network layers offer unique information within the multiplex dataset. Empirical analysis reveals dissimilarities between the financial multiplex network and the stock return monoplex network, indicating that the two networks provide distinct insights into the structure of the stock market. Furthermore, the financial multiplex network outperforms the singleplex network of stock returns because it has a structure that better determines the future Sharpe ratio. These findings add substantially to our understanding of the financial market system in which multiple types of relationship among financial assets play an important role.

Cohesion and segregation in the value migration network: Evidence from network partitioning based on sector classification and clustering

Cluster structure detection of the network is a basic problem of complex network analysis. This study investigates the structure of the value migration network using data from 499 stocks listed in the S&P500 as of the end of 2021. An examination is carried out whether the process of value migration creates a cluster structure in the network of companies according to economic activity. Specifically, the cohesion and segregation of the extracted modules in the network division according to (i) sector classification, (ii) community division, and (iii) network clustering decomposition are assessed. The results of this study show that the sector classification of the value migration network has a non-cohesive structure, which means that the flow of value in the financial market occurs between companies from various industries. Moreover, the divisions of the value migration network based on community detection and clustering algorithm are characterized by intra-cluster similarity between the vertices and have a strong community structure. The structure of the network division into modules corresponding to the classification of economic sectors differs significantly from the partition based on the algorithms applied.

Evolution of Cohesion between USA Financial Sector Companies before, during, and Post-Economic Crisis: Complex Networks Approach

Various mathematical frameworks play an essential role in understanding the economic systems and the emergence of crises in them. Understanding the relation between the structure of connections between the system’s constituents and the emergence of a crisis is of great importance. In this paper, we propose a novel method for the inference of economic systems’ structures based on complex networks theory utilizing the time series of prices. Our network is obtained from the correlation matrix between the time series of companies’ prices by imposing a threshold on the values of the correlation coefficients. The optimal value of the threshold is determined by comparing the spectral properties of the threshold network and the correlation matrix. We analyze the community structure of the obtained networks and the relation between communities’ inter and intra-connectivity as indicators of systemic risk. Our results show how an economic system’s behavior is related to its structure and how the crisis is reflected in changes in the structure. We show how regulation and deregulation affect the structure of the system. We demonstrate that our method can identify high systemic risks and measure the impact of the actions taken to increase the system’s stability.

Dynamic Portfolio Strategy Using Clustering Approach

The problem of portfolio optimization is one of the most important issues in asset management. We here propose a new dynamic portfolio strategy based on the time-varying structures of MST networks in Chinese stock markets, where the market condition is further considered when using the optimal portfolios for investment. A portfolio strategy comprises two stages: First, select the portfolios by choosing central and peripheral stocks in the selection horizon using five topological parameters, namely degree, betweenness centrality, distance on degree criterion, distance on correlation criterion and distance on distance criterion. Second, use the portfolios for investment in the investment horizon. The optimal portfolio is chosen by comparing central and peripheral portfolios under different combinations of market conditions in the selection and investment horizons. Market conditions in our paper are identified by the ratios of the number of trading days with rising index to the total number of trading days, or the sum of the amplitudes of the trading days with rising index to the sum of the amplitudes of the total trading days. We find that central portfolios outperform peripheral portfolios when the market is under a drawup condition, or when the market is stable or drawup in the selection horizon and is under a stable condition in the investment horizon. We also find that peripheral portfolios gain more than central portfolios when the market is stable in the selection horizon and is drawdown in the investment horizon. Empirical tests are carried out based on the optimal portfolio strategy. Among all possible optimal portfolio strategies based on different parameters to select portfolios and different criteria to identify market conditions, 65% of our optimal portfolio strategies outperform the random strategy for the Shanghai A-Share market while the proportion is 70% for the Shenzhen A-Share market.

Relation between financial market structure and the real economy: comparison between clustering methods

We quantify the amount of information filtered by different hierarchical clustering methods on correlations between stock returns comparing the clustering structure with the underlying industrial activity classification. We apply, for the first time to financial data, a novel hierarchical clustering approach, the Directed Bubble Hierarchical Tree and we compare it with other methods including the Linkage and k-medoids. By taking the industrial sector classification of stocks as a benchmark partition, we evaluate how the different methods retrieve this classification. The results show that the Directed Bubble Hierarchical Tree can outperform other methods, being able to retrieve more information with fewer clusters. Moreover, we show that the economic information is hidden at different levels of the hierarchical structures depending on the clustering method. The dynamical analysis on a rolling window also reveals that the different methods show different degrees of sensitivity to events affecting financial markets, like crises. These results can be of interest for all the applications of clustering methods to portfolio optimization and risk hedging.