Beat to beat wavelet variability in atrial fibrillation

Screening strategies for atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and cost-effectiveness analysis

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common cardiac arrhythmia that increases the risk of thromboembolic events. Anticoagulation therapy to prevent AF-related stroke has been shown to be cost-effective. A national screening programme for AF may prevent AF-related events, but would involve a substantial investment of NHS resources.

Objectives

To conduct a systematic review of the diagnostic test accuracy (DTA) of screening tests for AF, update a systematic review of comparative studies evaluating screening strategies for AF, develop an economic model to compare the cost-effectiveness of different screening strategies and review observational studies of AF screening to provide inputs to the model.

Design

Systematic review, meta-analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis.

Setting

Primary care.

Participants

Adults.

Intervention

Screening strategies, defined by screening test, age at initial and final screens, screening interval and format of screening {systematic opportunistic screening [individuals offered screening if they consult with their general practitioner (GP)] or systematic population screening (when all eligible individuals are invited to screening)}.

Main outcome measures

Sensitivity, specificity and diagnostic odds ratios; the odds ratio of detecting new AF cases compared with no screening; and the mean incremental net benefit compared with no screening.

Review methods

Two reviewers screened the search results, extracted data and assessed the risk of bias. A DTA meta-analysis was perfomed, and a decision tree and Markov model was used to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the screening strategies.

Results

Diagnostic test accuracy depended on the screening test and how it was interpreted. In general, the screening tests identified in our review had high sensitivity (> 0.9). Systematic population and systematic opportunistic screening strategies were found to be similarly effective, with an estimated 170 individuals needed to be screened to detect one additional AF case compared with no screening. Systematic opportunistic screening was more likely to be cost-effective than systematic population screening, as long as the uptake of opportunistic screening observed in randomised controlled trials translates to practice. Modified blood pressure monitors, photoplethysmography or nurse pulse palpation were more likely to be cost-effective than other screening tests. A screening strategy with an initial screening age of 65 years and repeated screens every 5 years until age 80 years was likely to be cost-effective, provided that compliance with treatment does not decline with increasing age.

Conclusions

A national screening programme for AF is likely to represent a cost-effective use of resources. Systematic opportunistic screening is more likely to be cost-effective than systematic population screening. Nurse pulse palpation or modified blood pressure monitors would be appropriate screening tests, with confirmation by diagnostic 12-lead electrocardiography interpreted by a trained GP, with referral to a specialist in the case of an unclear diagnosis. Implementation strategies to operationalise uptake of systematic opportunistic screening in primary care should accompany any screening recommendations.

Limitations

Many inputs for the economic model relied on a single trial [the Screening for Atrial Fibrillation in the Elderly (SAFE) study] and DTA results were based on a few studies at high risk of bias/of low applicability.

Future work

Comparative studies measuring long-term outcomes of screening strategies and DTA studies for new, emerging technologies and to replicate the results for photoplethysmography and GP interpretation of 12-lead electrocardiography in a screening population.

Study registration

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42014013739.

Funding

The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

Wavelet variability of SA node originated P waves in atrial fibrillation and in signals with ectopic beats

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the most common cardiac arrhythmia. Electrical properties of the atrial myocardium may be related to the appearance of this type of arrhythmia. However ectopic beats, occurring normally in healthy people, disturb cardiac rhythm. Those beats arise from fiber outside the region of SA node. With this work we aim at highlighting differences in the atrial activity between healthy subjects, healthy subjects presenting many ectopic events and patients with AF. The X-Y-Z leads of vectorcardiography recordings are considered. Wavelet-based parameters are extracted from a window which represents atrial activity originated from SA node and compared between signals of the three groups. Results show differences potentially related to the conduction system of the atrium between healthy people and people with AF, as well as between healthy people and people with ectopic events. No difference was found from the analysis of SA node beats between people with AF and healthy with ectopic events.

Two dimensional wavelet energy analysis on a beat to beat basis: application to Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial Fibrillation (AF) is a condition in which heart rhythm is not associated with normal sinoatrial (SA) node pacemaker but it derives from different areas on the atrium, often from the area of Pulmonary veins (PVs) A way to eliminate the influence of PVs in the inducement of AF is the PVs isolation surgery. In this study, an effort is made towards investigating the morphology and dynamics of P-waves, when the potentially arrhythmogenic tissue in PVs is involved or isolated via ablation. For this reason, 20 patients who were subjected to PVs isolation were studied, via vectrorcardiography recordings obtained before and after the ablation. Wavelet energies for five frequency bands were analyzed, using a two dimensional representation. The proposed technique was applied for the analysis of wavelet energies in consecutive beats, and their correlation with the RR interval. Features for the evaluation of those plots were extracted, such as the axes of a fitted to the plot ellipse and the center of the mass. The statistical analysis demonstrated significant differences between the groups, which imply the modification of the atrial substrate concerning electrical conduction toward to a more stable condition.