Evaluating and Extending the Ocean Wind Climate Data Record

Assessment of Saildrone Extreme Wind Measurements in Hurricane Sam Using MW Satellite Sensors

In 2021, a novel NOAA-Saildrone project deployed five uncrewed surface vehicle Saildrones (SDs) to monitor regions of the Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea frequented by tropical cyclones. One of the SDs, SD-1045, crossed Hurricane Sam (Category 4) on September 30, providing the first-ever surface-ocean videos of conditions in the core of a major hurricane and reporting near-surface winds as high as 40 m/s. Here, we present a comprehensive analysis and interpretation of the Saildrone ocean surface wind measurements in Hurricane Sam, using the following datasets for direct and indirect comparisons: an NDBC buoy in the path of the storm, radiometer tropical cyclone (TC) winds from SMAP and AMSR2, wind retrievals from the ASCAT scatterometers and SAR (RadarSat2), and HWRF model winds. The SD winds show excellent consistency with the satellite observations and a remarkable ability to detect the strength of the winds at the SD location. We use the HWRF model and satellite data to perform cross-comparisons of the SD with the buoy, which sampled different relative locations within the storm. Finally, we review the collective consistency among these measurements by describing the uncertainty of each wind dataset and discussing potential sources of systematic errors, such as the impact of extreme conditions on the SD measurements and uncertainties in the methodology.

Annual Modulation of Diurnal Winds in the Tropical Oceans

Projections of future climate are sensitive to the representation of upper-ocean diurnal variability, including the diurnal cycle of winds. Two different methods suitable for time series with missing data are used here to characterize how observed diurnal winds vary over the year. One is based on diurnal composites of mooring data, and the other is based on harmonic analysis via a least squares fit and is able to isolate annual (i.e., 1 cycle per year) modulation of diurnal variability. Results show that the diurnal amplitude in meridional winds is larger than in zonal winds and peaks in the tropical Pacific, where diurnal variability in zonal winds is overall weaker compared to other basins. Furthermore, the amplitude and phasing of diurnal winds in the tropical oceans are not uniform in time, with overall larger differences through the year in the meridional component of tropical winds. Estimating the annual modulation of the diurnal signal implies resolving both the diurnal energy peak and also the modulation of this peak by the annual cycle. This leads to a recommendation for sampling at least 6 times per day and for a duration of at least 3 years.

Measurement of Sea Waves

Sea waves constitute a natural phenomenon with a great impact on human activities, and their monitoring is essential for meteorology, coastal safety, navigation, and renewable energy from the sea. Therefore, the main measurement techniques for their monitoring are here reviewed, including buoys, satellite observation, coastal radars, shipboard observation, and microseism analysis. For each technique, the measurement principle is briefly recalled, the degree of development is outlined, and trends are prospected. The complementarity of such techniques is also highlighted, and the need for further integration in local and global networks is stressed.

Characterizing Buoy Wind Speed Error in High Winds and Varying Sea State with ASCAT and ERA5

Buoys provide key observations of wind speed over the ocean and are routinely used as a source of validation data for satellite wind products. However, the movement of buoys in high seas and the airflow over waves might cause inaccurate readings, raising concern when buoys are used as a source of wind speed comparison data. The relative accuracy of buoy winds is quantified through a triple collocation (TC) exercise comparing buoy winds to winds from ASCAT and ERA5. Differences between calibrated buoy winds and ASCAT are analyzed through separating the residuals by anemometer height and testing under high wind-wave and swell conditions. First, we converted buoy winds measured near 3, 4, and 5 m to stress-equivalent winds at 10 m (U10S). Buoy U10S from anemometers near 3 m compared notably lower than buoy U10S from anemometers near 4 and 5 m, illustrating the importance of buoy choice in comparisons with remote sensing data. Using TC calibration of buoy U10S to ASCAT in pure wind-wave conditions, we found that there was a small, but statistically significant difference between height adjusted buoy winds from buoys with 4 and 5 m anemometers compared to the same ASCAT wind speed ranges in high seas. However, this result does not follow conventional arguments for wave sheltering of buoy winds, whereby the lower anemometer height winds are distorted more than the higher anemometer height winds in high winds and high seas. We concluded that wave sheltering is not significantly affecting the winds from buoys between 4 and 5 m with high confidence for winds under 18 ms−1. Further differences between buoy U10S and ASCAT winds are observed in high swell conditions, motivating the need to consider the possible effects of sea state on ASCAT winds.

Intercalibration of ASCAT Scatterometer Winds from MetOp-A, -B, and -C, for a Stable Climate Data Record

Scatterometers provide very stable ocean vector wind data records. This is because they measure the ratio of backscattered to incident microwave signal over the ocean surface as opposed to an absolute quantity (e.g., emitted microwave signal). They provide an optimal source of observations for building a long ocean vector wind Climate Data Record (CDR). With this objective in mind, observations from different satellite platforms need to be assessed for high absolute accuracy versus a common ground truth and for fine cross-calibration during overlapping periods. Here we describe the methodology for developing a CDR of ocean surface winds from the C-band ASCAT scatterometers onboard MetOp-A, -B, and -C. This methodology is based on the following principles: a common Geophysical Model Function (GMF) and wind algorithm developed at Remote Sensing Systems (RSS) and the use of in situ and satellite winds to cross-calibrate the three scatterometers within the accuracy required for CDRs, about 0.1 m/s at the global monthly scale. Using multiple scatterometers and radiometers for comparison allows for the opportunity to isolate sensors that are drifting or experiencing step-changes as small as 0.05 m/s. We detected and corrected a couple of such changes in the ASCAT-A wind record. The ASCAT winds are now very stable over time and well cross-calibrated with each other. The full C-band wind CDR now covers 2007-present and can be easily extended in the next decade with the launch of the MetOp Second Generation scatterometers.

Bidirectional Modeling of Surface Winds and Significant Wave Heights in the Caribbean Sea

Though the ocean is sparsely populated by buoys that feature co-located instruments to measure surface winds and waves, their data is of vital importance. However, due to either minor instrumentation failure or maintenance, intermittency can be a problem for either variable. This paper attempts to mitigate the loss of valuable data from two opposite but equivalent perspectives: the conventional reconstruction of significant wave height (SWH) from Caribbean Sea buoy-observed surface wind speeds (WSP) and the inverse modeling of WSP from SWH using the long short-term memory (LSTM) network. In either direction, LSTM is strongly able to recreate either variable from its counterpart with the lowest correlation coefficient (r2) measured at 0.95, the highest root mean square error (RMSE) is 0.26 m/s for WSP, and 0.16 m for SWH. The highest mean absolute percentage errors (MAPE) for WSP and SWH are 1.22% and 5%, respectively. Additionally, in the event of complete instrument failure or the absence of a buoy in a specific area, the Simulating WAves Nearshore (SWAN) wave model is first validated and used to simulate mean and extreme SWH before, during, and after the passage of Hurricane Matthew (2016). Synthetic SWH is then fed to LSTM in a joint SWAN—LSTM model, and the corresponding WSP is reconstructed and compared with observations. Although the reconstruction is highly accurate (r2 > 0.9, RMSE < 1.3 m/s, MAPE < 0.8%), there remains great room for improvement in minimizing error and capturing high-frequency events.

Emerging Pattern of Wind Change over the Eurasian Marginal Seas Revealed by Three Decades of Satellite Ocean-Surface Wind Observations

This study provides the first full characterization of decadal changes of surface winds over 10 marginal seas along the Eurasian continent using satellite wind observations. During the three decades (1988–2018), surface warming has occurred in all seas at a rate more pronounced in the South European marginal seas (0.4–0.6 °C per decade) than in the monsoon-influenced North Indian and East Asian marginal seas (0.1–0.2 °C per decade). However, surface winds have not strengthened everywhere. On a basin average, winds have increased over the marginal seas in the subtropical/mid-latitudes, with the rate of increase ranging from 11 to 24 cms−1 per decade. These upward trends reflect primarily the accelerated changes in the 1990s and have largely flattened since 2000. Winds have slightly weakened or remained little changed over the marginal seas in the tropical monsoonal region. Winds over the Red Sea and the Persian Gulf underwent an abrupt shift in the late 1990s that resulted in an elevation of local wind speeds. The varying relationships between wind and SST changes suggest that different marginal seas have responded differently to environmental warming and further studies are needed to gain an improved understanding of climate change on a regional scale.

Tropical Cyclone Wind Speeds from WindSat, AMSR and SMAP: Algorithm Development and Testing

The measurement of ocean surface wind speeds in precipitation from satellite microwave radiometers is a challenging task. Rain attenuates the signal that is emitted from the ocean surface. Moreover, the rain and wind signals are very similar, which makes it difficult to distinguish wind from rain. The rain contamination can be mitigated for radiometers that operate simultaneously at C-band and X-band channels, such as WindSat, AMSR-E and AMSR2. The basic principle is to use combinations between C-band and X-band channels that are sensitive to wind speed but relatively insensitive to rain. Based on this principle, we have developed algorithms for retrieving wind speeds in rain from the WindSat and AMSR sensors. These algorithms are statistical regressions and are trained specifically under tropical cyclone conditions. We lay out the steps of the algorithm development, training, and testing. The major source for training the algorithm is provided by wind speeds from the SMAP L-band radiometer, which have been proven to provide reliable wind speeds in strong storms and are not affected by rain. We show that the WindSat and AMSR tropical cyclone wind algorithms perform well under precipitation where standard passive wind speed retrievals fail. We examine the possibility of extending the C/X-band tropical cyclone wind algorithm to X/K-band channels and discuss how it can be broadened from tropical cyclone conditions to global winds in rain retrievals.

Examination of the Daily Cycle Wind Vector Modes of Variability from the Constellation of Microwave Scatterometers and Radiometers

Offshore of many coastal regions, the ocean surface wind varies in speed and direction throughout the day, owing to forcing from land/sea temperature differences and orographic effects. Far offshore, both diurnal and semidiurnal wind vector variability has been noted in the Tropical Atmosphere Ocean-TRIangle Trans-Ocean buoy Network (TAO-TRITON) mooring data in the tropical Pacific Ocean. In this manuscript, the tropical diurnal wind variability is examined with microwave radiometer-derived winds from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) and the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM), merged with RapidScat and other scatterometer data. Since the relationship between wind speed and its zonal and meridional components is nonlinear, this manuscript describes an observationally based methodology to merge the radiometer and scatterometer-based wind estimates as a function of observation time, to generate a multi-year dataset of diurnal wind variability. Compared to TAO-TRITON mooring array data, the merged satellite-derived wind components fairly well replicate the semidiurnal zonal wind variability over the tropical Pacific but generally show more variability in the meridional wind components. The meridional component agrees with the associated mooring location data in some locations better than others, or it shows no clear dominant diurnal or semidiurnal mode. Similar discrepancies are noted between two forecast model reanalysis products. It is hypothesized that the discrepancies amongst the meridional winds are due to interactions between surface convergence and convective precipitation over tropical ocean basins.

Ultrahigh Resolution Scatterometer Winds near Hawaii

Hawaii regional climate model (HRCM), QuikSCAT, and ASCAT wind estimates are compared in the lee of Hawaii’s Big Island with the goal of understanding ultrahigh resolution (UHR) scatterometer wind retrieval capabilities in this area, which includes a reverse-flow toward the island in the lee of the predominate flow. A comparison of scatterometer measured σ 0 and model predicted σ 0 suggests that scatterometers can detect the reverse flow in the lee of the island; however, neither QuikSCAT- nor ASCAT-estimated winds consistently report this flow. Furthermore, the scatterometer UHR winds do not resolve the wind direction features predicted by the HRCM. Differences between scatterometer measured σ 0 and HRCM predicted σ 0 indicate possible error in the placement of key reverse flow features predicted by the HRCM. We find that coarse initialization fields and a large size median filter windows used in ambiguity selection can impede the accuracy of the UHR wind direction retrieval in this area, suggesting the need for further development of improved near-coastal ambiguity selection algorithms.

Evaluation of HY-2A Scatterometer Ocean Surface Wind Data during 2012–2018

This study focuses on the evaluation of global Haiyang-2A satellite scatterometer (HSCAT) operational wind products from 2012 to 2018. In order to evaluate HSCAT winds, HSCAT operational wind products were collocated with buoy measurements and rainfall data. Error varieties under different atmospheric stratification and rainfall conditions were taken into consideration. After data quality control, the average bias and root mean square error (RMSE) between buoys and HSCAT data were 0.1 m/s and 1.3 m/s for wind speed, and 1° and 27° for wind direction, respectively. Especially, the varieties of the wind direction difference change a lot under non-neutral atmospheric conditions. HSCAT wind speeds are overestimated with an increasing rainfall rate while wind directions tend to be perpendicular to buoys’. In brief, the HSCAT wind product qualities are not stable during 2012 to 2018, especially for the data in 2015 and 2016. Atmospheric stratification and rain effects should be considered in wind retrieval and marine application.

Coupling Ocean Currents and Waves with Wind Stress over the Gulf Stream

This study provides the first detailed analysis of oceanic and atmospheric responses to the current-stress, wave-stress, and wave-current-stress interactions around the Gulf Stream using a high-resolution three-way coupled regional modeling system. In general, our results highlight the substantial impact of coupling currents and/or waves with wind stress on the air–sea fluxes over the Gulf Stream. The stress and the curl of the stress are crucial to mixed-layer energy budgets and sea surface temperature. In the wave-current-stress coupled experiment, wind stress increased by 15% over the Gulf Stream. Alternating positive and negative bands of changes of Ekman-related vertical velocity appeared in response to the changes of the wind stress curl along the Gulf Stream, with magnitudes exceeding 0.3 m/day (the 95th percentile). The response of wind stress and its curl to the wave-current-stress coupling was not a linear combination of responses to the wave-stress coupling and the current-stress coupling because the ocean and wave induced changes in the atmosphere showed substantial feedback on the ocean. Changes of a latent heat flux in excess of 20 W/m2 and a sensible heat flux in excess of 5 W/m2 were found over the Gulf Stream in all coupled experiments. Sensitivity tests show that sea surface temperature (SST) induced difference of air–sea humidity is a major contributor to latent heat flux (LHF) change. Validation is challenging because most satellite observations lack the spatial resolution to resolve the current-induced changes in wind stress curls and heat fluxes. Scatterometer observations can be used to examine the changes in wind stress across the Gulf Stream. The conversion of model data to equivalent neutral winds is highly dependent on the physics considered in the air–sea turbulent fluxes, as well as air–sea temperature differences. This sensitivity is shown to be large enough that satellite observations of winds can be used to test the flux parameterizations in coupled models.

Evaluating and Extending the Ocean Wind Climate Data Record

Satellite microwave sensors, both active scatterometers and passive radiometers, have been systematically measuring near-surface ocean winds for nearly 40 years, establishing an important legacy in studying and monitoring weather and climate variability. As an aid to such activities, the various wind datasets are being intercalibrated and merged into consistent climate data records (CDRs). The ocean wind CDRs (OW-CDRs) are evaluated by comparisons with ocean buoys and intercomparisons among the different satellite sensors and among the different data providers. Extending the OW-CDR into the future requires exploiting all available datasets, such as OSCAT-2 scheduled to launch in July 2016. Three planned methods of calibrating the OSCAT-2 σ_o measurements include 1) direct Ku-band σ_o intercalibration to QuikSCAT and RapidScat; 2) multisensor wind speed intercalibration; and 3) calibration to stable rainforest targets. Unfortunately, RapidScat failed in August 2016 and cannot be used to directly calibrate OSCAT-2. A particular future continuity concern is the absence of scheduled new or continuation radiometer missions capable of measuring wind speed. Specialized model assimilations provide 30-year long high temporal/spatial resolution wind vector grids that composite the satellite wind information from OW-CDRs of multiple satellites viewing the Earth at different local times.