Detecting Older Adults' Behavior Changes During Adverse External Events Using Ambient Sensing: Longitudinal Observational Study

Background

Older adults manage multiple impacts on health, including chronic conditions and adverse external events. Smart homes are positioned to have a positive impact on older adults' health by (1) allowing new understandings of behavior change so risks associated with external events can be assessed, (2) quantifying the impact of social determinants on health, and (3) designing interventions that respond appropriately to detected behavior changes. Information derived from smart home sensors can provide objective data about behavior changes to support a learning health care system. In this paper, we introduce a smart home capable of detecting behavior changes that occur during adverse external events like pandemics and wildfires.

Objective

Examine digital markers collected before and during 2 events (the COVID-19 pandemic and wildfires) to determine whether clinically relevant behavior changes can be observed and targeted upstream interventions suggested.

Methods

Secondary analysis of historic ambient sensor data collected on 39 adults managing one or more chronic conditions was performed. Interrupted time series analysis was used to extract behavior markers related to external events. Comparisons were made to examine differences between exposures using machine learning classifiers.

Results

Behavior changes were detected for 2 adverse external events (the COVID-19 pandemic and wildfire smoke) initially and over time. However, the direction and magnitude of change differed between participants and events. Significant pandemic-related behavior changes ranked by impact included a decrease in time (3.8 hours/day) spent out of home, an increase in restless sleep (946.74%), and a decrease in indoor activity (38.89%). Although participants exhibited less restless sleep during exposure to wildfire smoke (120%), they also decreased their indoor activity (114.29%). Sleep duration trended downward during the pandemic shutdown. Time out of home and sleep duration gradually decreased while exposed to wildfire smoke. Behavior trends differed across exposures. In total, two key discoveries were made: (1) using retrospective analysis, the smart home was capable of detecting behavior changes related to 2 external events; and (2) older adults' sleep efficiency, time out of home, and overall activity levels changed while experiencing external events. These behavior markers can inform future sensor-based monitoring research and clinical application.

Conclusions

Sensor-based findings could support individualized interventions aimed at sustaining the health of older adults during events like pandemics and wildfires. Creating care plans that directly respond to sensor-derived health information, like adding guided indoor exercise, web-based socialization sessions, and mental health-promoting activities, would have practical impacts on wellness. The smart home's novel, evidence-based information could inform future management of chronic conditions, allowing nurses to understand patients' health-related behaviors between the care points so timely, individualized interventions are possible.

Graph Spatio-Temporal Networks for Manufacturing Sales Forecast and Prevention Policies in Pandemic Era

Worldwide manufacturing industries are significantly affected by COVID-19 pandemic because of their production characteristics with low-cost country sourcing, globalization, and inventory level. To analyze the correlated time series, spatial-temporal model becomes more attractive, and the graph convolution network (GCN) is also commonly used to provide more information to the nodes and its neighbors in the graph. Recently, attention-adjusted graph spatio-temporal network (AGSTN) was proposed to address the problem of pre-defined graph in GCN by combining multi-graph convolution and attention adjustment to learn spatial and temporal correlations over time. However, AGSTN may show potential problem with limited small non-sensor data; particularly, convergence issue. This study proposes several variants of AGSTN and applies them to non-sensor data. We suggest data augmentation and regularization techniques such as edge selection, time series decomposition, prevention policies to improve AGSTN. An empirical study of worldwide manufacturing industries in pandemic era was conducted to validate the proposed variants. The results show that the proposed variants significantly improve the prediction performance at least around 20% on mean squared error (MSE) and convergence problem.

Artificial Intelligence and COVID-19: A Systematic umbrella review and roads ahead

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has played a substantial role in the response to the challenges posed by the current pandemic. The growing interest in using AI to handle Covid-19 issues has accelerated the pace of AI research and resulted in an exponential increase in articles and review studies within a very short period of time. Hence, it is becoming challenging to explore the large corpus of academic publications dedicated to the global health crisis. Even with the presence of systematic review studies, given their number and diversity, identifying trends and research avenues beyond the pandemic should be an arduous task. We conclude therefore that after the one-year mark of the declaration of Covid-19 as a pandemic, the accumulated scientific contribution lacks two fundamental aspects: Knowledge synthesis and Future projections. In contribution to fill this void, this paper is a (i) synthesis study and (ii) foresight exercise. The synthesis study aims to provide the scholars a consolidation of findings and a knowledge synthesis through a systematic review of the reviews (umbrella review) studying AI applications against Covid-19. Following the PRISMA guidelines, we systematically searched PubMed, Scopus, and other preprint sources from 1st December 2019 to 1st June 2021 for eligible reviews. The literature search and screening process resulted in 45 included reviews. Our findings reveal patterns, relationships, and trends in the AI research community response to the pandemic. We found that in the space of few months, the research objectives of the literature have developed rapidly from identifying potential AI applications to evaluating current uses of intelligent systems. Only few reviews have adopted the meta-analysis as a study design. Moreover, a clear dominance of the medical theme and the DNN methods has been observed in the reported AI applications. Based on its constructive systematic umbrella review, this work conducts a foresight exercise that tries to envision the post-Covid-19 research landscape of the AI field. We see seven key themes of research that may be an outcome of the present crisis and which advocate a more sustainable and responsible form of intelligent systems. We set accordingly a post-pandemic research agenda articulated around these seven drivers. The results of this study can be useful for the AI research community to obtain a holistic view of the current literature and to help prioritize research needs as we are heading toward the new normal.

Chest X-ray analysis empowered with deep learning: A systematic review

Chest radiographs are widely used in the medical domain and at present, chest X-radiation particularly plays an important role in the diagnosis of medical conditions such as pneumonia and COVID-19 disease. The recent developments of deep learning techniques led to a promising performance in medical image classification and prediction tasks. With the availability of chest X-ray datasets and emerging trends in data engineering techniques, there is a growth in recent related publications. Recently, there have been only a few survey papers that addressed chest X-ray classification using deep learning techniques. However, they lack the analysis of the trends of recent studies. This systematic review paper explores and provides a comprehensive analysis of the related studies that have used deep learning techniques to analyze chest X-ray images. We present the state-of-the-art deep learning based pneumonia and COVID-19 detection solutions, trends in recent studies, publicly available datasets, guidance to follow a deep learning process, challenges and potential future research directions in this domain. The discoveries and the conclusions of the reviewed work have been organized in a way that researchers and developers working in the same domain can use this work to support them in taking decisions on their research.

Post-symptomatic detection of COVID-2019 grade based mediative fuzzy projection

The concept of fuzzy set, intuitionistic set, and mediative fuzzy set as a generalization of a crisp set have been introduced in many real-life applications. The concept of crisp relation between elements of sets can be extended to fuzzy relations. Extended relations will be considered as relations on fuzzy sets. In this work, we developed the concept of mediative fuzzy relation and meditative fuzzy projection in the context of fuzzy relation and fuzzy projection. We extended the basic operations of fuzzy projection into intuitionistic fuzzy projection and then in the mediative fuzzy projection. We have shown the credibility and impact of mediative index factor involves in the mediative fuzzy projection in context of prediction work in relation to the proposed model. Further, we applied the mediative fuzzy projection in the medical diagnosis in post-COVID-19 patients. The obtained results have also been discussed with their geometrical representation.

Neuroevolution for Parameter Adaptation in Differential Evolution

Parameter adaptation is one of the key research fields in the area of evolutionary computation. In this study, the application of neuroevolution of augmented topologies to design efficient parameter adaptation techniques for differential evolution is considered. The artificial neural networks in this study are used for setting the scaling factor and crossover rate values based on the available information about the algorithm performance and previous successful values. The training is performed on a set of benchmark problems, and the testing and comparison is performed on several different benchmarks to evaluate the generalizing ability of the approach. The neuroevolution is enhanced with lexicase selection to handle the noisy fitness landscape of the benchmarking results. The experimental results show that it is possible to design efficient parameter adaptation techniques comparable to state-of-the-art methods, although such an automatic search for heuristics requires significant computational effort. The automatically designed solutions can be further analyzed to extract valuable knowledge about parameter adaptation.

A Fast Two-Stage Bilateral Filter Using Constant Time O(1) Histogram Generation

Bilateral Filtering (BF) is an effective edge-preserving smoothing technique in image processing. However, an inherent problem of BF for image denoising is that it is challenging to differentiate image noise and details with the range kernel, thus often preserving both noise and edges in denoising. This letter proposes a novel Dual-Histogram BF (DHBF) method that exploits an edge-preserving noise-reduced guidance image to compute the range kernel, removing isolated noisy pixels for better denoising results. Furthermore, we approximate the spatial kernel using mean filtering based on column histogram construction to achieve constant-time filtering regardless of the kernel radius’ size and achieve better smoothing. Experimental results on multiple benchmark datasets for denoising show that the proposed DHBF outperforms other state-of-the-art BF methods.

Machine learning techniques to predict different levels of hospital care of CoVid-19

In this study, we analyze the capability of several state of the art machine learning methods to predict whether patients diagnosed with CoVid-19 (CoronaVirus disease 2019) will need different levels of hospital care assistance (regular hospital admission or intensive care unit admission), during the course of their illness, using only demographic and clinical data. For this research, a data set of 10,454 patients from 14 hospitals in Galicia (Spain) was used. Each patient is characterized by 833 variables, two of which are age and gender and the other are records of diseases or conditions in their medical history. In addition, for each patient, his/her history of hospital or intensive care unit (ICU) admissions due to CoVid-19 is available. This clinical history will serve to label each patient and thus being able to assess the predictions of the model. Our aim is to identify which model delivers the best accuracies for both hospital and ICU admissions only using demographic variables and some structured clinical data, as well as identifying which of those are more relevant in both cases. The results obtained in the experimental study show that the best models are those based on oversampling as a preprocessing phase to balance the distribution of classes. Using these models and all the available features, we achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 76.1% and 80.4% for predicting the need of hospital and ICU admissions, respectively. Furthermore, feature selection and oversampling techniques were applied and it has been experimentally verified that the relevant variables for the classification are age and gender, since only using these two features the performance of the models is not degraded for the two mentioned prediction problems.

Deciphering the COVID-19 Health Economic Dilemma (HED): A Scoping Review

Lessons learnt from the initial stages of the COVID-19 outbreak indicate the need for a more coordinated economic and public health response. While social distancing has been shown to be effective as a non-pharmaceutical intervention (NPI) measure to mitigate the spread of COVID-19, the economic costs have been substantial. Insights combining epidemiological and economic data provide new theoretical predictions that can be used to better understand the health economy tradeoffs. This literature review aims to elucidate perspectives to assist policy implementation related to the management of the ongoing and impending outbreaks regarding the Health Economic Dilemma (HED). This review unveiled the need for information-based decision-support systems which will combine pandemic spread modelling and control, with economic models. It is expected that the current review will not only support policy makers but will also provide researchers on the development of related decision-support-systems with comprehensive information on the various aspects of the HED.

Differential evolution and particle swarm optimization against COVID-19

COVID-19 disease, which highly affected global life in 2020, led to a rapid scientific response. Versatile optimization methods found their application in scientific studies related to COVID-19 pandemic. Differential Evolution (DE) and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) are two metaheuristics that for over two decades have been widely researched and used in various fields of science. In this paper a survey of DE and PSO applications for problems related with COVID-19 pandemic that were rapidly published in 2020 is presented from two different points of view: 1. practitioners seeking the appropriate method to solve particular problem, 2. experts in metaheuristics that are interested in methodological details, inter comparisons between different methods, and the ways for improvement. The effectiveness and popularity of DE and PSO is analyzed in the context of other metaheuristics used against COVID-19. It is found that in COVID-19 related studies: 1. DE and PSO are most frequently used for calibration of epidemiological models and image-based classification of patients or symptoms, but applications are versatile, even interconnecting the pandemic and humanities; 2. reporting on DE or PSO methodological details is often scarce, and the choices made are not necessarily appropriate for the particular algorithm or problem; 3. mainly the basic variants of DE and PSO that were proposed in the late XX century are applied, and research performed in recent two decades is rather ignored; 4. the number of citations and the availability of codes in various programming languages seems to be the main factors for choosing metaheuristics that are finally used.

Overview of current state of research on the application of artificial intelligence techniques for COVID-19

BACKGROUND

Until now, there are still a limited number of resources available to predict and diagnose COVID-19 disease. The design of novel drug-drug interaction for COVID-19 patients is an open area of research. Also, the development of the COVID-19 rapid testing kits is still a challenging task.

METHODOLOGY

This review focuses on two prime challenges caused by urgent needs to effectively address the challenges of the COVID-19 pandemic, i.e., the development of COVID-19 classification tools and drug discovery models for COVID-19 infected patients with the help of artificial intelligence (AI) based techniques such as machine learning and deep learning models.

RESULTS

In this paper, various AI-based techniques are studied and evaluated by the means of applying these techniques for the prediction and diagnosis of COVID-19 disease. This study provides recommendations for future research and facilitates knowledge collection and formation on the application of the AI techniques for dealing with the COVID-19 epidemic and its consequences.

CONCLUSIONS

The AI techniques can be an effective tool to tackle the epidemic caused by COVID-19. These may be utilized in four main fields such as prediction, diagnosis, drug design, and analyzing social implications for COVID-19 infected patients.