Prempeh KB, Frimpong JM, Amaning N. Determining the return volatility of the Ghana stock exchange before and during the COVID-19 pandemic using the exponential GARCH model.
SN BUSINESS & ECONOMICS 2022;
3:21. [PMID:
36590699 PMCID:
PMC9786530 DOI:
10.1007/s43546-022-00401-4]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/04/2022] [Accepted: 12/15/2022] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
In this paper, we utilise daily stock returns for the Ghanaian equity market (GSE) to examine the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on market volatility. We take return volatility from 2nd January, 2018, to 31st December, 2021, and split it into two periods-the pre-COVID-19 period and the COVID-19 period. Utilising the exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, we discovered leverage effects in all observed periods. Additionally, the research indicates that the COVID-19 period experienced high volatility with a transient volatility persistence. Furthermore, during the COVID-19 pandemic, positive shocks had a more significant impact on the volatility of the GSE's returns than negative news of comparable magnitude.
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