Compass: Towards Better Causal Analysis of Urban Time Series

Visual Analysis of Multi-Outcome Causal Graphs

We introduce a visual analysis method for multiple causal graphs with different outcome variables, namely, multi-outcome causal graphs. Multi-outcome causal graphs are important in healthcare for understanding multimorbidity and comorbidity. To support the visual analysis, we collaborated with medical experts to devise two comparative visualization techniques at different stages of the analysis process. First, a progressive visualization method is proposed for comparing multiple state-of-the-art causal discovery algorithms. The method can handle mixed-type datasets comprising both continuous and categorical variables and assist in the creation of a fine-tuned causal graph of a single o utcome. Second, a comparative graph layout technique and specialized visual encodings are devised for the quick comparison of multiple causal graphs. In our visual analysis approach, analysts start by building individual causal graphs for each outcome variable, and then, multi-outcome causal graphs are generated and visualized with our comparative technique for analyzing differences and commonalities of these causal graphs. Evaluation includes quantitative measurements on benchmark datasets, a case study with a medical expert, and expert user studies with real-world health research data.

Causal Priors and Their Influence on Judgements of Causality in Visualized Data

"Correlation does not imply causation" is a famous mantra in statistical and visual analysis. However, consumers of visualizations often draw causal conclusions when only correlations between variables are shown. In this paper, we investigate factors that contribute to causal relationships users perceive in visualizations. We collected a corpus of concept pairs from variables in widely used datasets and created visualizations that depict varying correlative associations using three typical statistical chart types. We conducted two MTurk studies on (1) preconceived notions on causal relations without charts, and (2) perceived causal relations with charts, for each concept pair. Our results indicate that people make assumptions about causal relationships between pairs of concepts even without seeing any visualized data. Moreover, our results suggest that these assumptions constitute causal priors that, in combination with visualized association, impact how data visualizations are interpreted. The results also suggest that causal priors may lead to over- or under-estimation in perceived causal relations in different circumstances, and that those priors can also impact users' confidence in their causal assessments. In addition, our results align with prior work, indicating that chart type may also affect causal inference. Using data from the studies, we develop a model to capture the interaction between causal priors and visualized associations as they combine to impact a user's perceived causal relations. In addition to reporting the study results and analyses, we provide an open dataset of causal priors for 56 specific concept pairs that can serve as a potential benchmark for future studies. We also suggest remaining challenges and heuristic-based guidelines to help designers improve visualization design choices to better support visual causal inference.

Visualizing multilayer spatiotemporal epidemiological data with animated geocircles

OBJECTIVE

The COVID-19 pandemic emphasized the value of geospatial visual analytics for both epidemiologists and the general public. However, systems struggled to encode temporal and geospatial trends of multiple, potentially interacting variables, such as active cases, deaths, and vaccinations. We sought to ask (1) how epidemiologists interact with visual analytics tools, (2) how multiple, time-varying, geospatial variables can be conveyed in a unified view, and (3) how complex spatiotemporal encodings affect utility for both experts and non-experts.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We propose encoding variables with animated, concentric, hollow circles, allowing multiple variables via color encoding and avoiding occlusion problems, and we implement this method in a browser-based tool called CoronaViz. We conduct task-based evaluations with non-experts, as well as in-depth interviews and observational sessions with epidemiologists, covering a range of tools and encodings.

RESULTS

Sessions with epidemiologists confirmed the importance of multivariate, spatiotemporal queries and the utility of CoronaViz for answering them, while providing direction for future development. Non-experts tasked with performing spatiotemporal queries unanimously preferred animation to multi-view dashboards.

DISCUSSION

We find that conveying complex, multivariate data necessarily involves trade-offs. Yet, our studies suggest the importance of complementary visualization strategies, with our animated multivariate spatiotemporal encoding filling important needs for exploration and presentation.

CONCLUSION

CoronaViz's unique ability to convey multiple, time-varying, geospatial variables makes it both a valuable addition to interactive COVID-19 dashboards and a platform for empowering experts and the public during future disease outbreaks. CoronaViz is open-source and a live instance is freely hosted at http://coronaviz.umiacs.io.

MediVizor: Visual Mediation Analysis of Nominal Variables

Mediation analysis is crucial for diagnosing indirect causal relations in many scientific fields. However, mediation analysis of nominal variables requires examining and comparing multiple total effects and their corresponding direct/indirect causal effects derived from mediation models. This process is tedious and challenging to achieve with classical analysis tools such as Excel tables. In this study, we worked closely with experts from two scientific domains to design MediVizor, a visualization system that enables experts to conduct visual mediation analysis of nominal variables. The visualization design allows users to browse and compare multiple total effects together with the direct/indirect effects that compose them. The design also allows users to examine to what extent the positive and negative direct/indirect effects contribute to and reduce the total effects, respectively. We conducted two case studies separately with the experts from the two domains, sports and communication science, and a user study with common users to evaluate the system and design. The positive feedback from experts and common users demonstrates the effectiveness and generalizability of the system.

Causality-Based Visual Analysis of Questionnaire Responses

As the final stage of questionnaire analysis, causal reasoning is the key to turning responses into valuable insights and actionable items for decision-makers. During the questionnaire analysis, classical statistical methods (e.g., Differences-in-Differences) have been widely exploited to evaluate causality between questions. However, due to the huge search space and complex causal structure in data, causal reasoning is still extremely challenging and time-consuming, and often conducted in a trial-and-error manner. On the other hand, existing visual methods of causal reasoning face the challenge of bringing scalability and expert knowledge together and can hardly be used in the questionnaire scenario. In this work, we present a systematic solution to help analysts effectively and efficiently explore questionnaire data and derive causality. Based on the association mining algorithm, we dig question combinations with potential inner causality and help analysts interactively explore the causal sub-graph of each question combination. Furthermore, leveraging the requirements collected from the experts, we built a visualization tool and conducted a comparative study with the state-of-the-art system to show the usability and efficiency of our system.

Visualizing the Scripts of Data Wrangling With Somnus

Data workers use various scripting languages for data transformation, such as SAS, R, and Python. However, understanding intricate code pieces requires advanced programming skills, which hinders data workers from grasping the idea of data transformation at ease. Program visualization is beneficial for debugging and education and has the potential to illustrate transformations intuitively and interactively. In this article, we explore visualization design for demonstrating the semantics of code pieces in the context of data transformation. First, to depict individual data transformations, we structure a design space by two primary dimensions, i.e., key parameters to encode and possible visual channels to be mapped. Then, we derive a collection of 23 glyphs that visualize the semantics of transformations. Next, we design a pipeline, named Somnus, that provides an overview of the creation and evolution of data tables using a provenance graph. At the same time, it allows detailed investigation of individual transformations. User feedback on Somnus is positive. Our study participants achieved better accuracy with less time using Somnus, and preferred it over carefully-crafted textual description. Further, we provide two example applications to demonstrate the utility and versatility of Somnus.

User-centered visual explorer of in-process comparison in spatiotemporal space

Abstract

We propose a user-centered visual explorer (UcVE) for progressive comparing multiple visualization units in spatiotemporal space. We create unique unit visualization with the customizable aggregated view based on the visual metaphor of flower bursts. Each visualization unit is encoded with the abstraction of spatiotemporal properties. To reduce user cognition load, UcVE allows users to visualize, save, and track in-the-process exploration results. In coordination of storage sequence and block tracking views, UcVE can facilitate comparison with multiple visualization units concurrently, selected from historical and current exploration results. UcVE offers a flexible geo-based layout, with aggregation functions and temporal views of the timeline with categorized events, to maximize the user's exploration capabilities. Finally, we demonstrate the usefulness by using COVID-19 datasets, case studies with different user scenarios, and expert feedback.

Graphical abstract

ECoalVis: Visual Analysis of Control Strategies in Coal-fired Power Plants

Improving the efficiency of coal-fired power plants has numerous benefits. The control strategy is one of the major factors affecting such efficiency. However, due to the complex and dynamic environment inside the power plants, it is hard to extract and evaluate control strategies and their cascading impact across massive sensors. Existing manual and data-driven approaches cannot well support the analysis of control strategies because these approaches are time-consuming and do not scale with the complexity of the power plant systems. Three challenges were identified: a) interactive extraction of control strategies from large-scale dynamic sensor data, b) intuitive visual representation of cascading impact among the sensors in a complex power plant system, and c) time-lag-aware analysis of the impact of control strategies on electricity generation efficiency. By collaborating with energy domain experts, we addressed these challenges with ECoalVis, a novel interactive system for experts to visually analyze the control strategies of coal-fired power plants extracted from historical sensor data. The effectiveness of the proposed system is evaluated with two usage scenarios on a real-world historical dataset and received positive feedback from experts.

MetaGlyph: Automatic Generation of Metaphoric Glyph-based Visualization

Glyph-based visualization achieves an impressive graphic design when associated with comprehensive visual metaphors, which help audiences effectively grasp the conveyed information through revealing data semantics. However, creating such metaphoric glyph-based visualization (MGV) is not an easy task, as it requires not only a deep understanding of data but also professional design skills. This paper proposes MetaGlyph, an automatic system for generating MGVs from a spreadsheet. To develop MetaGlyph, we first conduct a qualitative analysis to understand the design of current MGVs from the perspectives of metaphor embodiment and glyph design. Based on the results, we introduce a novel framework for generating MGVs by metaphoric image selection and an MGV construction. Specifically, MetaGlyph automatically selects metaphors with corresponding images from online resources based on the input data semantics. We then integrate a Monte Carlo tree search algorithm that explores the design of an MGV by associating visual elements with data dimensions given the data importance, semantic relevance, and glyph non-overlap. The system also provides editing feedback that allows users to customize the MGVs according to their design preferences. We demonstrate the use of MetaGlyph through a set of examples, one usage scenario, and validate its effectiveness through a series of expert interviews.

A survey of urban visual analytics: Advances and future directions

Developing effective visual analytics systems demands care in characterization of domain problems and integration of visualization techniques and computational models. Urban visual analytics has already achieved remarkable success in tackling urban problems and providing fundamental services for smart cities. To promote further academic research and assist the development of industrial urban analytics systems, we comprehensively review urban visual analytics studies from four perspectives. In particular, we identify 8 urban domains and 22 types of popular visualization, analyze 7 types of computational method, and categorize existing systems into 4 types based on their integration of visualization techniques and computational models. We conclude with potential research directions and opportunities.