Re: Implementation of routine first trimester combined screening for pre-eclampsia: a clinical effectiveness study

Performance of the first-trimester Fetal Medicine Foundation competing risks model for preeclampsia prediction: an external validation study in Brazil

BACKGROUND

The current version of the Fetal Medicine Foundation competing risks model for preeclampsia prediction has not been previously validated in Brazil.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed (1) to validate the Fetal Medicine Foundation combined algorithm for the prediction of preterm preeclampsia in the Brazilian population and (2) to describe the accuracy and calibration of the Fetal Medicine Foundation algorithm when considering the prophylactic use of aspirin by clinical criteria.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a cohort study, including consecutive singleton pregnancies undergoing preeclampsia screening at 11 to 14 weeks of gestation, examining maternal characteristics, medical history, and biophysical markers between October 2010 and December 2018 in a university hospital in Brazil. Risks were calculated using the 2018 version of the algorithm available on the Fetal Medicine Foundation website, and cases were classified as low or high risk using a cutoff of 1/100 to evaluate predictive performance. Expected and observed cases with preeclampsia according to the Fetal Medicine Foundation-estimated risk range (≥1 in 10; 1 in 11 to 1 in 50; 1 in 51 to 1 in 100; 1 in 101 to 1 in 150; and <1 in 150) were compared. After identifying high-risk pregnant women who used aspirin, the treatment effect of 62% reduction in preterm preeclampsia identified in the Combined Multimarker Screening and Randomized Patient Treatment with Aspirin for Evidence-Based Preeclampsia Prevention trial was used to evaluate the predictive performance adjusted for the effect of aspirin. The number of potentially unpreventable cases in the group without aspirin use was estimated.

RESULTS

Among 2749 pregnancies, preterm preeclampsia occurred in 84 (3.1%). With a risk cutoff of 1/100, the screen-positive rate was 25.8%. The detection rate was 71.4%, with a false positive rate of 24.4%. The area under the curve was 0.818 (95% confidence interval, 0.773-0.863). In the risk range ≥1/10, there is an agreement between the number of expected cases and the number of observed cases, and in the other ranges, the predicted risk was lower than the observed rates. Accounting for the effect of aspirin resulted in an increase in detection rate and positive predictive values and a slight decrease in the false positive rate. With 27 cases of preterm preeclampsia in the high-risk group without aspirin use, we estimated that 16 of these cases of preterm preeclampsia would have been avoided if this group had received prophylaxis.

CONCLUSION

In a high-prevalence setting, the Fetal Medicine Foundation algorithm can identify women who are more likely to develop preterm preeclampsia. Not accounting for the effect of aspirin underestimates the screening performance.

Implementation of Multiple Marker Screening for Preterm Preeclampsia in a Single Tertiary Obstetric Centre

OBJECTIVES

Early assessment of pregnant individuals for risk of preterm preeclampsia (PE) is possible at the 11-14 week ultrasound visit using a validated multiple marker algorithm, allowing timely use of preventative low-dose acetylsalicylic acid (LDA) in high-risk patients. With no established early screening program for preterm PE in Canada, our objectives were to assess the acceptability and operational impact of routine screening for preterm PE during the 11-14 week ultrasound visit, evaluate uptake and adherence to LDA when recommended, and assess screening performance.

METHODS

A prospective implementation study of preterm PE screening among pregnant patients at the ultrasound unit of a tertiary obstetric centre in Toronto, Canada.

RESULTS

A total of 1057 patients were screened, with an acceptance rate of 87.1%. First-trimester ultrasound appointment time increased by a median time of 7 minutes (Interquartile range 6-9). By 16 weeks gestation, 88.7% of high-risk patients had started LDA, with adherence of 88.7%‒94.6% from 16‒36 weeks. Satisfaction with counselling was ≥7/10 in more than 95% of patients. There were 7 cases of preterm PE (0.73%), 3 in the low-risk group (0.35%), and 4 in the high-risk group (4.1%). When accounting for LDA use, the treatment-adjusted detection rate was 78.6%.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrate successful implementation of a validated, effective screening and prevention program for preterm PE as a first step in the implementation of a broader program adaptable for cultural, access/equity considerations, and marker availability.

Routine first trimester combined screening for preterm preeclampsia in Australia: A multicenter clinical implementation cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To assess pregnancy outcomes following first trimester combined screening for preterm preeclampsia in Australia.

METHODS

We compared pregnancy outcomes of women with singleton pregnancies who underwent first trimester combined preeclampsia screening with the Fetal Medicine Foundation algorithm between 2014 and 2017 in Melbourne and Sydney, Australia, with those from women who received standard care. The primary outcomes were preterm preeclampsia and screening performance. Effect estimates were presented as risk ratios with 95% confidence intervals.

RESULTS

A total of 29 618 women underwent combined screening and 301 566 women received standard care. Women who had combined screening were less likely to have preeclampsia, preterm birth, small neonates, and low Apgar scores than the general population. Women with high-risk results (≥1 in 100) were more likely to develop preterm preeclampsia (2.1% vs. 0.7%, risk ratio [RR] 3.04, 95% CI 2.46-3.77), while low-risk women (risk <1 in 100) had lower rates of preterm preeclampsia (0.2% vs. 0.7%, RR 0.26, 95% CI 0.19-0.35) and other pregnancy complications. Screening detected 65.2% (95% CI 56.4-73.2%) of all preterm preeclampsia cases, with improved performance after adjustment for treatment effect.

CONCLUSIONS

First trimester screening for preeclampsia in clinical practice identified a population at high risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes and low-risk women who may be suitable for less intensive antenatal care.

Routine first-trimester combined screening for pre-eclampsia: pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A or placental growth factor?

OBJECTIVE

To compare the screening performance of serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) vs placental growth factor (PlGF) in routine first-trimester combined screening for pre-eclampsia (PE), small-for-gestational age (SGA) at birth and trisomy 21.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study nested in pregnancy cohorts undergoing first-trimester combined screening for PE and trisomy 21 using The Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) algorithm based on maternal characteristics, nuchal translucency thickness, PAPP-A, free beta-human chorionic gonadotropin, blood pressure and uterine artery Doppler. Women at high risk for preterm PE (≥ 1 in 50) received 150 mg of aspirin per day, underwent serial fetal growth scans at 28 and 36 weeks and were offered elective birth from 40 weeks of gestation. PlGF was quantified retrospectively from stored surplus first-trimester serum samples. The performance of combined first-trimester screening for PE and SGA using maternal history, blood pressure, uterine artery pulsatility index and either PAPP-A or PlGF was calculated. Similarly, the performance of combined first-trimester screening for trisomy 21 was calculated using either PAPP-A or PlGF in addition to maternal age, nuchal translucency thickness and free beta-human chorionic gonadotropin.

RESULTS

Maternal serum PAPP-A was assayed in 1094 women, including 82 with PE, 111 with SGA (birth weight < 10^th centile), 53 with both PE and SGA and 94 with fetal trisomy 21. PlGF levels were obtained retrospectively from 1066/1094 women. Median serum PlGF multiples of the median was significantly lower in pregnancies with PE (1.0 (interquartile range (IQR), 0.8-1.4); P < 0.01), SGA (1.0 (IQR, 0.8-1.3); P < 0.001) and trisomy 21 (0.6 (IQR, 0.5-0.9); P < 0.0001) compared to in controls (1.2 (IQR, 0.9-1.5)). There was no significant difference in the performance of first-trimester screening using PAPP-A vs PlGF for either preterm PE (area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve (AUC), 0.78 vs 0.79; P = 0.55) or term PE (AUC, 0.74 vs 0.74; P = 0.60). These findings persisted even after correction for the effect of targeted aspirin use on the prevalence of PE. Similarly, there were no significant differences in sensitivity and specificity of combined screening for SGA or trisomy 21 when using PAPP-A vs PlGF.

CONCLUSIONS

Using either PlGF or PAPP-A in routine first-trimester combined screening based on maternal characteristics, blood pressure and uterine artery Doppler does not make a significant clinical difference to the detection of PE or SGA. Depending on the setting, biomarkers should be chosen to achieve a good compromise between performance and measurement requirements. This pragmatic clinical-effectiveness study suggests that combined screening for PE can be implemented successfully in a public healthcare setting without changing current protocols for the assessment of PAPP-A in the first trimester. © 2021 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Prediction of preterm pre-eclampsia according to NICE and ACOG criteria: descriptive study of 597 492 Danish births from 2008 to 2017

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this national study was to examine the incidence of preterm pre-eclampsia (PE) and the proportion of women with risk factors for PE, according to the criteria suggested by the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) and the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists (ACOG), during a 10-year period in Denmark.

METHODS

Data from The Danish National Patient Registry and the Danish Medical Birth Registry were used to obtain the incidence of preterm PE with delivery < 37 weeks' gestation and risk factors for PE for all deliveries in Denmark from 1 January 2008 to 31 December 2017. The proportion of women with at least one high-risk factor and/or at least two moderate-risk factors for PE, according to the NICE and ACOG criteria, and the detection rate for preterm PE were examined. Race, socioeconomic status and the woman's weight at birth were not available from the registries used, and information on Type-2 diabetes was found to be invalid.

RESULTS

Of the 597 492 deliveries during the study period, any PE was registered in 3.2%, preterm PE < 37 weeks in 0.7% and early-onset PE < 34 weeks' gestation in 0.3%. These proportions remained largely unchanged from 2008 to 2017. Overall, the NICE criteria were fulfilled in 7.5% of deliveries and the ACOG criteria in 17.3%. In the total population, the NICE criteria identified 47.6% of those with preterm PE and the ACOG criteria identified 60.5%. The current criteria for offering aspirin treatment in Denmark largely correspond to having at least one NICE high-risk factor. In 2017, a total of 3.5% of deliveries had at least one NICE high-risk factor, which identified 28.4% of cases that later developed preterm PE.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of preterm PE remained largely unchanged in Denmark from 2008 to 2017. Prediction of PE according to high-risk maternal factors could be improved by addition of moderate-risk factors. © 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.