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Ngo P, Karikios D, Goldsbury D, Wade S, Lwin Z, Hughes BGM, Fong KM, Canfell K, Weber M. Development and Validation of txSim: A Model of Advanced Lung Cancer Treatment in Australia. PHARMACOECONOMICS 2023; 41:1525-1537. [PMID: 37357233 PMCID: PMC10570197 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-023-01291-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 05/30/2023] [Indexed: 06/27/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE Since 2016, new therapies have transformed the standard of care for lung cancer, creating a need for up-to-date evidence for health economic modelling. We developed a discrete event simulation of advanced lung cancer treatment to provide estimates of survival outcomes and healthcare costs in the Australian setting that can be updated as new therapies are introduced. METHODS Treatment for advanced lung cancer was modelled under a clinician-specified treatment algorithm for Australia in 2022. Prevalence of lung cancer subpopulations was extracted from cBioPortal and the Sax Institute's 45 and Up Study, a large prospective cohort linked to cancer registrations. All costs were from the health system perspective for the year 2020. Pharmaceutical and molecular diagnostic costs were obtained from public reimbursement fees, while other healthcare costs were obtained from health system costs in the 45 and Up Study. Treatment efficacy was obtained from clinical trials and observational study data. Costs and survival were modelled over a 10-year horizon. Uncertainty intervals were generated with probabilistic sensitivity analyses. Overall survival predictions were validated against real-world studies. RESULTS Under the 2022 treatment algorithm, estimated mean survival and costs for advanced lung cancer 10 years post-diagnosis were 16.4 months (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 14.7-18.1) and AU$116,069 (95% UI: $107,378-$124,933). Survival and costs were higher assuming optimal treatment utilisation rates (20.5 months, 95% UI: 19.1-22.5; $154,299, 95% UI: $146,499-$161,591). The model performed well in validation, with good agreement between predicted and observed survival in real-world studies. CONCLUSIONS Survival improvements for advanced lung cancer have been accompanied by growing treatment costs. The estimates reported here can be used for budget planning and economic evaluations of interventions across the spectrum of cancer control.
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Affiliation(s)
- Preston Ngo
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, A Joint Venture with Cancer Council NSW, 153 Dowling St, Woolloomooloo, Sydney, NSW, 2011, Australia.
| | - Deme Karikios
- Nepean Hospital, Sydney, NSW, Australia
- Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - David Goldsbury
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, A Joint Venture with Cancer Council NSW, 153 Dowling St, Woolloomooloo, Sydney, NSW, 2011, Australia
| | - Stephen Wade
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, A Joint Venture with Cancer Council NSW, 153 Dowling St, Woolloomooloo, Sydney, NSW, 2011, Australia
| | - Zarnie Lwin
- Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
- School of Medicine, University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
- The Prince Charles Hospital, Chermside, QLD, Australia
| | - Brett G M Hughes
- Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
- School of Medicine, University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
- The Prince Charles Hospital, Chermside, QLD, Australia
| | - Kwun M Fong
- The Prince Charles Hospital, Chermside, QLD, Australia
- The University of Queensland Thoracic Research Centre, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
| | - Karen Canfell
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, A Joint Venture with Cancer Council NSW, 153 Dowling St, Woolloomooloo, Sydney, NSW, 2011, Australia
| | - Marianne Weber
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, A Joint Venture with Cancer Council NSW, 153 Dowling St, Woolloomooloo, Sydney, NSW, 2011, Australia
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Use of ALK-tyrosine kinase inhibitors (ALK TKI) in clinical practice, overall survival, and treatment duration - a Swedish nationwide retrospective study. Acta Oncol 2022; 61:1354-1361. [PMID: 36368902 DOI: 10.1080/0284186x.2022.2133972] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The real-world treatment and outcomes of patients with anaplastic lymphoma kinase positive (ALK+) advanced non-small cell lung cancer treated with ALK Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitor (TKI) drugs in Sweden is not well described. MATERIAL AND METHODS A retrospective population-based cohort study was conducted using Swedish national registers. All patients with a filled prescription for an ALK TKI between January 2012 and October 2020 were included. The sequencing of ALK TKI and duration of treatment (DOT) were described, and overall survival (OS) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Patients were stratified based on treatment with frontline chemotherapy, presence of CNS metastases prior to the first ALK TKI, and generation of ALK TKI agent. RESULTS Among the total of 579 patients, 549 (95%) underwent a therapy sequence in line with current clinical practice with 204 (37%) patients receiving frontline chemotherapy. Single-line ALK TKI was given to 366 patients (crizotinib: 211; alectinib: 146; ceritinib: 9), whereas 128 patients received two different ALK TKI (frontline crizotinib: 100, alectinib: 24, ceritinib: 4); 40 patients received three lines and 15 patients four ALK TKI lines or more. With frontline chemotherapy, the mean (standard deviation) DOT was 1.07 (1.25) years for the entire TKI therapy sequence compared to 1.23 (1.28) years with frontline ALK TKI. The median (95% confidence interval) OS was 1.83 (1.48-2.13) years for the entire cohort, 1.44 (0.89-1.98) years for patients given frontline chemotherapy, and 2.02 (1.60-2.58) years for patients given frontline ALK TKI. CONCLUSION This study provides a unique overview of the patient population treated with ALK TKI in Sweden and reveals the treatment patterns applied in real clinical practice. More research is needed when longer follow-up data are available for later-generation ALK TKI, to fully understand ALK TKI sequencing and its effect on patient survival in a real-world setting.
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Pei Q, Luo Y, Chen Y, Li J, Xie D, Ye T. Artificial intelligence in clinical applications for lung cancer: diagnosis, treatment and prognosis. Clin Chem Lab Med 2022; 60:1974-1983. [PMID: 35771735 DOI: 10.1515/cclm-2022-0291] [Citation(s) in RCA: 52] [Impact Index Per Article: 17.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/28/2022] [Accepted: 06/17/2022] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a branch of computer science that includes research in robotics, language recognition, image recognition, natural language processing, and expert systems. AI is poised to change medical practice, and oncology is not an exception to this trend. As the matter of fact, lung cancer has the highest morbidity and mortality worldwide. The leading cause is the complexity of associating early pulmonary nodules with neoplastic changes and numerous factors leading to strenuous treatment choice and poor prognosis. AI can effectively enhance the diagnostic efficiency of lung cancer while providing optimal treatment and evaluating prognosis, thereby reducing mortality. This review seeks to provide an overview of AI relevant to all the fields of lung cancer. We define the core concepts of AI and cover the basics of the functioning of natural language processing, image recognition, human-computer interaction and machine learning. We also discuss the most recent breakthroughs in AI technologies and their clinical application regarding diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis in lung cancer. Finally, we highlight the future challenges of AI in lung cancer and its impact on medical practice.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qin Pei
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, Sichuan, P.R. China
| | - Yanan Luo
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, Sichuan, P.R. China
| | - Yiyu Chen
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, Sichuan, P.R. China
| | - Jingyuan Li
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, Sichuan, P.R. China
| | - Dan Xie
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, Sichuan, P.R. China
| | - Ting Ye
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, Sichuan, P.R. China
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McKeage MJ, Tin Tin S, Khwaounjoo P, Sheath K, Dixon-McIver A, Ng D, Sullivan R, Cameron L, Shepherd P, Laking GR, Kingston N, Strauss M, Lewis C, Elwood M, Love DR. Screening for anaplastic lymphoma kinase (ALK) gene rearrangements in non-small-cell lung cancer in New Zealand. Intern Med J 2021; 50:716-725. [PMID: 31318119 DOI: 10.1111/imj.14435] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/06/2019] [Revised: 06/21/2019] [Accepted: 07/09/2019] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Lung cancer is a major cause of death in New Zealand. In recent years, targeted therapies have improved outcomes. AIM To determine the uptake of anaplastic lymphoma kinase (ALK) testing, and the prevalence, demographic profile and outcomes of ALK-positive non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), in New Zealand, where no national ALK-testing guidelines or subsidised ALK tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) therapies are available. METHODS A population-based observational study reviewed databases to identify patients presenting with non-squamous NSCLC over 6.5 years in northern New Zealand. We report the proportion tested for ALK gene rearrangements and the results. NSCLC samples tested by fluorescence in situ hybridisation were retested by next generation sequencing and ALK immunohistochemistry. A survival analysis compared ALK-positive patients treated or not treated with ALK TKI therapy. RESULTS From a total of 3130 patients diagnosed with non-squamous NSCLC, 407 (13%) were tested for ALK gene rearrangements, and patient selection was variable and inequitable. Among those tested, 34 (8.4%) had ALK-positive NSCLC. ALK-positive disease was more prevalent in younger versus older patients, non-smokers versus smokers and in Māori, Pacific or Asian ethnic groups than in New Zealand Europeans. Fluorescence in situ hybridisation, ALK immunohistochemistry and next generation sequencing showed broad concordance for detecting ALK-positive disease under local testing conditions. Among patients with ALK-positive metastatic NSCLC, those treated with ALK TKI survived markedly longer than those not treated with ALK TKI (median overall survival 5.12 vs 0.55 years). CONCLUSION Lung cancer outcomes in New Zealand may be improved by providing national guidelines and funding policy for ALK testing and access to subsidised ALK TKI therapy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mark J McKeage
- Department of Pharmacology and Clinical Pharmacology and the Auckland Cancer Society Research Centre Auckland, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.,Medical Oncology, Auckland City Hospital, Auckland, New Zealand
| | - Sandar Tin Tin
- Section of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
| | - Prashannata Khwaounjoo
- Department of Pharmacology and Clinical Pharmacology, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
| | - Karen Sheath
- Diagnostic Genetics, LabPLUS, Auckland City Hospital, Auckland, New Zealand
| | | | | | | | - Laird Cameron
- Medical Oncology, Auckland City Hospital, Auckland, New Zealand
| | - Philip Shepherd
- School of Medical Sciences, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
| | - George R Laking
- Medical Oncology, Auckland City Hospital, Auckland, New Zealand
| | - Nicola Kingston
- Anatomical Pathology, LabPLUS, Auckland City Hospital, Auckland, New Zealand
| | - Magreet Strauss
- Anatomical Pathology, LabPLUS, Auckland City Hospital, Auckland, New Zealand
| | | | - Mark Elwood
- Section of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
| | - Donald R Love
- Diagnostic Genetics, LabPLUS, Auckland City Hospital, Auckland, New Zealand.,Pathology Genetics, Sidra Medicine, Doha, Qatar
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Itchins M, Lau B, Hudson AL, Westman H, Xia CY, Hayes SA, Howell VM, Rodriguez M, Cooper WA, Wei H, Buckland M, Li BT, Li M, Rathi V, Fox SB, Gill AJ, Clarke SJ, Boyer MJ, Pavlakis N. ALK-Rearranged Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer in 2020: Real-World Triumphs in an Era of Multigeneration ALK-Inhibitor Sequencing Informed by Drug Resistance Profiling. Oncologist 2020; 25:641-649. [PMID: 32558067 PMCID: PMC7418351 DOI: 10.1634/theoncologist.2020-0075] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/02/2020] [Accepted: 05/13/2020] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Since its discovery in 2007, we have seen the lives of patients diagnosed with advanced anaplastic lymphoma kinase (ALK)-rearranged non-small cell lung cancers (NSCLC) transform with the advent of molecular therapies with first-, second-, and third-generation ALK inhibitors now available in the clinic. Despite great gains in patient survival now measured in years and preserved quality of life with targeted therapies, drug resistance is unfortunately inevitably encountered in this rare and unique molecular subset of lung cancer, and patients will eventually succumb to the disease. As these patients are often young, fit, and never smokers, the clinical and scientific communities have aligned to expedite drug development and access. Drug resistance profiling and further strategies are being explored through clinical trials, including the evaluation of specific drug sequencing and combinations to overcome such resistance and promote patient longevity. The cases of this report focus on precision medicine and aim to portray the pertinent aspects to consider when treating ALK-rearranged NSCLC in 2020, an ever-shifting space. By way of case examples, this report offers valuable information to the treating clinician, including the evolution of systemic treatments and the management of oligo-progression and multisite drug resistance. With the maturation of real-world data, we are fortunate to be experiencing quality and length of life for patients with this disease surpassing prior expectations in advanced lung cancer. KEY POINTS: This report focuses on the importance of genetic analysis of serial biopsies to capture the dynamic therapeutic vulnerabilities of a patient's tumor, providing a perspective on the complexity of ALK tyrosine kinase inhibitor (ALKi) treatment sequencing. These case examples contribute to the literature on ALK-rearranged and oncogene addicted non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), providing a framework for care in the clinic. In oligo-progressive disease, local ablative therapy and continuation of ALKi postprogression should be considered with potential for sustained disease control. ALK G1202R kinase domain mutations (KDM), highly prevalent at resistance to second-generation ALKi resistances, may emerge in non-EML4-ALK variant 3 cases and is sensitive to third-generation lorlatinib. When in compound with one or more ALK KDMs, resistance to lorlatinib is expected. In the case of rampantly progressive disease, rebiopsy and redefining biology in a timely manner may be informative.
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Affiliation(s)
- Malinda Itchins
- Department of Medical Oncology, Royal North Shore HospitalSt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
- Bill Walsh Translational Research Laboratory, Kolling InstituteSt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
- Northern Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of SydneySt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
| | - Brandon Lau
- Chris O'Brien LifehouseCamperdownNew South WalesAustralia
| | - Amanda L. Hudson
- Bill Walsh Translational Research Laboratory, Kolling InstituteSt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
- Northern Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of SydneySt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
| | - Helen Westman
- Department of Medical Oncology, Royal North Shore HospitalSt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
| | - Cathy Yi Xia
- Department of Medical Oncology, Royal North Shore HospitalSt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
| | - Sarah A. Hayes
- Bill Walsh Translational Research Laboratory, Kolling InstituteSt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
- Northern Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of SydneySt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
| | - Viive M. Howell
- Bill Walsh Translational Research Laboratory, Kolling InstituteSt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
- Northern Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of SydneySt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
| | - Michael Rodriguez
- Bill Walsh Translational Research Laboratory, Kolling InstituteSt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
- Northern Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of SydneySt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
- Department of Anatomical Pathology, Douglas Hanly MoirMacquarie ParkNew South WalesAustralia
| | - Wendy A. Cooper
- Central Clinical School, School of Medicine, University of SydneySt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
- Department of Tissue Pathology and Diagnostic Oncology, Royal Prince Alfred HospitalSydneyNew South WalesAustralia
- School of Medicine, Western Sydney UniversitySydneyNew South WalesAustralia
| | - Heng Wei
- Brain and Mind Centre, University of SydneySt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
| | - Michael Buckland
- Brain and Mind Centre, University of SydneySt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
- Department of Neuropathology, Royal Prince Alfred HospitalSydneyNew South WalesAustralia
| | - Bob T. Li
- Northern Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of SydneySt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
- Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, and Weill Cornell Medical CollegeNew YorkNew YorkUSA
| | - Mark Li
- Resolution BioscienceRedmondWashingtonUSA
| | - Vivek Rathi
- Department of Anatomical Pathology, St Vincent's, Victoria ParadeFitzroyVictoriaAustralia
| | - Stephen B. Fox
- Department of Pathology, Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, and University of MelbourneVictoriaAustralia
| | - Anthony J. Gill
- Department of Anatomical Pathology, Royal North Shore HospitalSt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
- Northern Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of SydneySt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
| | - Stephen J. Clarke
- Department of Medical Oncology, Royal North Shore HospitalSt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
- Bill Walsh Translational Research Laboratory, Kolling InstituteSt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
- Northern Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of SydneySt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
| | - Michael J. Boyer
- Chris O'Brien LifehouseCamperdownNew South WalesAustralia
- Department of Pathology, Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, and University of MelbourneVictoriaAustralia
| | - Nick Pavlakis
- Department of Medical Oncology, Royal North Shore HospitalSt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
- Bill Walsh Translational Research Laboratory, Kolling InstituteSt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
- Northern Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of SydneySt LeonardsNew South WalesAustralia
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Moldaver D, Hurry M, Evans WK, Cheema PK, Sangha R, Burkes R, Melosky B, Tran D, Boehm D, Venkatesh J, Walisser S, Orava E, Grima D. Development, validation and results from the impact of treatment evolution in non-small cell lung cancer (iTEN) model. Lung Cancer 2019; 139:185-194. [PMID: 31812889 DOI: 10.1016/j.lungcan.2019.10.019] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/22/2019] [Revised: 10/15/2019] [Accepted: 10/17/2019] [Indexed: 12/17/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Treatment of advanced NSCLC (aNSCLC) is rapidly evolving, as new targeted and immuno-oncology (I-O) treatments become available. The iTEN model was developed to predict the cost and survival benefits of changing aNSCLC treatment patterns from a Canadian healthcare system perspective. This report describes iTEN model development and validation. MATERIALS & METHODS A discrete event patient simulation of aNSCLC was developed. A modified Delphi process using Canadian clinical experts informed the development of treatment sequences that included commonly used, Health Canada approved treatments of aNSCLC. Treatment efficacy and the timing of progression and death were estimated from published Kaplan-Meier progression free and overall survival data. Costs (2018 CDN$) included were: drug acquisition and administration, imaging, monitoring, adverse events, physician visits, best supportive care, and end-of-life. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION Clinical validity of the iTEN model was assessed by comparing model survival predictions to published real-world evidence (RWE). Four RWE studies that reported the overall survival of patients treated with a broad sampling of common aNSCLC treatment patterns were used for validation. The validation coefficient of determination was R2 = 0.95, with the model generally producing estimates that were neither optimistic nor conservative. The model estimated that current Canadian practice patterns yield a median survival of almost 13 months, a five-year survival rate of 3% and a life-time per-treated-patient cost of $110,806. Cost and survival estimates are presented and were found to vary by aNSCLC subtype. In conclusion, the iTEN model is a reliable tool for forecasting the impact on cost and survival of new treatments for aNSCLC.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Diana Tran
- Cornerstone Research Group, Burlington, Ontario, Canada
| | - Darryl Boehm
- Saskatchewan Cancer Agency, Regina, Saskatchewan, Canada
| | - Jaya Venkatesh
- Saskatchewan Cancer Agency, Regina, Saskatchewan, Canada
| | - Susan Walisser
- BC Cancer (Retired), Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Erik Orava
- AstraZeneca Canada, Mississauga, Ontario, Canada
| | - Daniel Grima
- Cornerstone Research Group, Burlington, Ontario, Canada.
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