Accurate prediction of epidermal growth factor receptor mutation status in early-stage lung adenocarcinoma, using radiomics and clinical features

Predicting Gene Comutation of EGFR and TP53 by Radiomics and Deep Learning in Patients With Lung Adenocarcinomas

PURPOSE

This study was designed to construct progressive binary classification models based on radiomics and deep learning to predict the presence of epidermal growth factor receptor ( EGFR ) and TP53 mutations and to assess the models' capacities to identify patients who are suitable for TKI-targeted therapy and those with poor prognoses.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 267 patients with lung adenocarcinomas who underwent genetic testing and noncontrast chest computed tomography from our hospital were retrospectively included. Clinical information and imaging characteristics were gathered, and high-throughput feature acquisition on all defined regions of interest (ROIs) was carried out. We selected features and constructed clinical models, radiomics models, deep learning models, and ensemble models to predict EGFR status with all patients and TP53 status with EGFR-positive patients, respectively. The validity and reliability of each model were expressed as the area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, precision, and F1 score.

RESULTS

We constructed 7 kinds of models for 2 different dichotomies, namely, the clinical model, the radiomics model, the DL model, the rad-clin model, the DL-clin model, the DL-rad model, and the DL-rad-clin model. For EGFR - and EGFR +, the DL-rad-clin model got the highest AUC value of 0.783 (95% CI: 0.677-0.889), followed by the rad-clin model, the DL-clin model, and the DL-rad model. In the group with an EGFR mutation, for TP53 - and TP53 +, the rad-clin model got the highest AUC value of 0.811 (95% CI: 0.651-0.972), followed by the DL-rad-clin model and the DL-rad model.

CONCLUSION

Our progressive binary classification models based on radiomics and deep learning may provide a good reference and complement for the clinical identification of TKI responders and those with poor prognoses.

Prediction of EGFR mutation status and its subtypes in non-small cell lung cancer based on 18 F-FDG PET/CT radiological features

PURPOSE

Prediction of epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation status and subtypes in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) based on 18 F-fluorodeoxyglucose ( 18 F-FDG) PET/computed tomography (CT) radiomics features.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Retrospective analysis of 201 NSCLC patients with 18 F-FDG PET/CT and EGFR genetic testing was carried out. Radiomics features and clinical factors were used to construct a combined model for identifying EGFR mutation status. Mutation/wild-type models were trained in a training cohort ( n  = 129) and validated in an internal validation cohort ( n  = 41) vs an external validation cohort ( n  = 50). A second model predicting the 19/21 mutation locus was also built and evaluated in a subset of EGFR mutations (training cohort, n  = 55; validation cohort, n  = 14). The predictive performance and net clinical benefit of the models were assessed by analysis of the area under curve (AUC) of the subjects, nomogram, calibration curve and decision curve.

RESULTS

The AUC of the combined model distinguishing EGFR mutation status was 0.864 in the training cohort and 0.806 and 0.791 in the internal vs external test sets respectively, and the AUC of the 19/21 mutation site model was 0.971 and 0.867 in the training cohort and internal validation cohort respectively. The calibration curves of the individual models showed better model predictions (Brier score <0.25). Decision curve analysis showed that the models had clinical application.

CONCLUSION

The combined model based on 18 F-FDG PET/CT radiomics features combined and clinical features can predict EGFR mutation status and subtypes in NSCLC patients, and guiding targeted therapy, and facilitate precision medicine development.

Comprehensive Potential of Artificial Intelligence for Predicting PD-L1 Expression and EGFR Mutations in Lung Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the methodological quality and the predictive performance of artificial intelligence (AI) for predicting programmed death ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression and epidermal growth factor receptors (EGFR) mutations in lung cancer (LC) based on systematic review and meta-analysis.

METHODS

AI studies based on PET/CT, CT, PET, and immunohistochemistry (IHC)-whole-slide image (WSI) were included to predict PD-L1 expression or EGFR mutations in LC. The modified Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) tool was used to evaluate the methodological quality. A comprehensive meta-analysis was conducted to analyze the overall area under the curve (AUC). The Cochrane diagnostic test and I2 statistics were used to assess the heterogeneity of the meta-analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 45 AI studies were included, of which 10 were used to predict PD-L1 expression and 35 were used to predict EGFR mutations. Based on the analysis using the QUADAS-2 tool, 37 studies achieved a high-quality score of 7. In the meta-analysis of PD-L1 expression levels, the overall AUCs for PET/CT, CT, and IHC-WSI were 0.80 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.77-0.84), 0.74 (95% CI, 0.69-0.77), and 0.95 (95% CI, 0.93-0.97), respectively. For EGFR mutation status, the overall AUCs for PET/CT, CT, and PET were 0.85 (95% CI, 0.81-0.88), 0.83 (95% CI, 0.80-0.86), and 0.75 (95% CI, 0.71-0.79), respectively. The Cochrane Diagnostic Test revealed an I2 value exceeding 50%, indicating substantial heterogeneity in the PD-L1 and EGFR meta-analyses. When AI was combined with clinicopathological features, the enhancement in predicting PD-L1 expression was not substantial, whereas the prediction of EGFR mutations showed improvement compared to the CT and PET models, albeit not significantly so compared to the PET/CT models.

CONCLUSIONS

The overall performance of AI in predicting PD-L1 expression and EGFR mutations in LC has promising clinical implications.

Intelligent prognosis evaluation system for stage I-III resected non-small-cell lung cancer patients on CT images: a multi-center study

Background

Prognosis is crucial for personalized treatment and surveillance suggestion of the resected non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients in stage I-III. Although the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system is a powerful predictor, it is not perfect enough to accurately distinguish all the patients, especially within the same TNM stage. In this study, we developed an intelligent prognosis evaluation system (IPES) using pre-therapy CT images to assist the traditional TNM staging system for more accurate prognosis prediction of resected NSCLC patients.

Methods

20,333 CT images of 6371 patients from June 12, 2009 to March 24, 2022 in West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Mianzhu People's Hospital, Peking University People's Hospital, Chengdu Shangjin Nanfu Hospital and Guangan Peoples' Hospital were included in this retrospective study. We developed the IPES based on self-supervised pre-training and multi-task learning, which aimed to predict an overall survival (OS) risk for each patient. We further evaluated the prognostic accuracy of the IPES and its ability to stratify NSCLC patients with the same TNM stage and with the same EGFR genotype.

Findings

The IPES was able to predict OS risk for stage I-III resected NSCLC patients in the training set (C-index 0.806; 95% CI: 0.744-0.846), internal validation set (0.783; 95% CI: 0.744-0.825) and external validation set (0.817; 95% CI: 0.786-0.849). In addition, IPES performed well in early-stage (stage I) and EGFR genotype prediction. Furthermore, by adopting IPES-based survival score (IPES-score), resected NSCLC patients in the same stage or with the same EGFR genotype could be divided into low- and high-risk subgroups with good and poor prognosis, respectively (p < 0.05 for all).

Interpretation

The IPES provided a non-invasive way to obtain prognosis-related information from patients. The identification of IPES for resected NSCLC patients with low and high prognostic risk in the same TNM stage or with the same EGFR genotype suggests that IPES have potential to offer more personalized treatment and surveillance suggestion for NSCLC patients.

Funding

This study was funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant 62272055, 92259303, 92059203), New Cornerstone Science Foundation through the XPLORER PRIZE, Young Elite Scientists Sponsorship Program by CAST (2021QNRC001), Clinical Medicine Plus X - Young Scholars Project, Peking University, the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (K.C.), Research Unit of Intelligence Diagnosis and Treatment in Early Non-small Cell Lung Cancer, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences (2021RU002), BUPT Excellent Ph.D. Students Foundation (CX2022104).

Artificial intelligence-based prediction of clinical outcome in immunotherapy and targeted therapy of lung cancer

Lung cancer accounts for the main proportion of malignancy-related deaths and most patients are diagnosed at an advanced stage. Immunotherapy and targeted therapy have great advances in application in clinics to treat lung cancer patients, yet the efficacy is unstable. The response rate of these therapies varies among patients. Some biomarkers have been proposed to predict the outcomes of immunotherapy and targeted therapy, including programmed cell death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression and oncogene mutations. Nevertheless, the detection tests are invasive, time-consuming, and have high demands on tumor tissue. The predictive performance of conventional biomarkers is also unsatisfactory. Therefore, novel biomarkers are needed to effectively predict the outcomes of immunotherapy and targeted therapy. The application of artificial intelligence (AI) can be a possible solution, as it has several advantages. AI can help identify features that are unable to be used by humans and perform repetitive tasks. By combining AI methods with radiomics, pathology, genomics, transcriptomics, proteomics, and clinical data, the integrated model has shown predictive value in immunotherapy and targeted therapy, which significantly improves the precision treatment of lung cancer patients. Herein, we reviewed the application of AI in predicting the outcomes of immunotherapy and targeted therapy in lung cancer patients, and discussed the challenges and future directions in this field.

Radiomic Signatures for Predicting EGFR Mutation Status in Lung Cancer Brain Metastases

Background

Lung cancer is the most common primary tumor metastasizing to the brain. A significant proportion of lung cancer patients show epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation status discordance between the primary cancer and the corresponding brain metastases, which can affect prognosis and therapeutic decision-making. However, it is not always feasible to obtain brain metastases samples. The aim of this study was to establish a radiomic model to predict the EGFR mutation status of lung cancer brain metastases.

Methods

Data from 162 patients with resected brain metastases originating from lung cancer (70 with mutant EGFR, 92 with wild-type EGFR) were retrospectively analyzed. Radiomic features were extracted using preoperative brain magnetic resonance (MR) images (contrast-enhanced T1-weighted imaging, T1CE; T2-weighted imaging, T2WI; T2 fluid-attenuated inversion recovery, T2 FLAIR; and combinations of these sequences), to establish machine learning-based models for predicting the EGFR status of excised brain metastases (108 metastases for training and 54 metastases for testing). The least absolute shrinkage selection operator was used to select informative features; radiomics models were built with logistic regression of the training cohort, and model performance was evaluated using an independent test set.

Results

The best-performing model was a combination of 10 features selected from multiple sequences (two from T1CE, five from T2WI, and three from T2 FLAIR) in both the training and test sets, resulting in classification area under the curve, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity values of 0.85 and 0.81, 77.8% and 75.9%, 83.7% and 73.1%, and 73.8% and 78.6%, respectively.

Conclusions

Radiomic signatures integrating multi-sequence MR images have the potential to noninvasively predict the EGFR mutation status of lung cancer brain metastases.

Utilization and costs of epidermal growth factor receptor mutation testing and targeted therapy in Medicare patients with metastatic lung adenocarcinoma

Background

Guidelines in 2013 and 2014 recommended Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor (EGFR) testing for metastatic lung adenocarcinoma patients as the efficacy of targeted therapies depends on the mutations. However, adherence to these guidelines and the corresponding costs have not been well-studied.

Methods

We identified 2362 patients at least 65 years old newly diagnosed with metastatic lung adenocarcinoma from January 2013 to December 2015 using the SEER-Medicare database. We examined the utilization patterns of EGFR testing and targeted therapies including erlotinib and afatinib. We further examined the costs of both EGFR testing and targeted therapy in terms of Medicare costs and patient out-of-pocket (OOP) costs.

Results

The EGFR testing rate increased from 38% in 2013 to 51% and 49% in 2014 and 2015 respectively. The testing rate was 54% among the 394 patients who received erlotinib, and 52% among the 42 patients who received afatinib. The median Medicare and OOP costs for testing were $1483 and $293. In contrast, the costs for targeted therapy were substantially higher with median 30-day costs at $6114 and $240 for erlotinib and $6239 and $471 for afatinib.

Conclusion

This population-based study suggests that testing guidelines improved the use of EGFR testing, although there was still a large proportion of patients receiving targeted therapy without testing. The costs of targeted therapy were substantially higher than the testing costs, highlighting the need to improve adherence to testing guidelines in order to improve clinical outcomes while reducing the economic burden for both Medicare and patients.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12913-022-07857-y.