Meeting report of the STAR-Sensitization in Transplantation Assessment of Risk: Naïve Abdominal Transplant Organ subgroup focus on kidney transplantation

Surrogate Endpoints for Late Kidney Transplantation Failure

In kidney transplant recipients, late graft failure is often multifactorial. In addition, primary endpoints in kidney transplantation studies seek to demonstrate the short-term efficacy and safety of clinical interventions. Although such endpoints might demonstrate short-term improvement in specific aspects of graft function or incidence of rejection, such findings do not automatically translate into meaningful long-term graft survival benefits. Combining many factors into a well-validated model is therefore more likely to predict long-term outcome and better reflect the complexity of late graft failure than using single endpoints. If conditional marketing authorization could be considered for therapies that aim to improve long-term outcomes following kidney transplantation, then the surrogate endpoint for graft failure in clinical trial settings needs clearer definition. This Consensus Report considers the potential benefits and drawbacks of several candidate surrogate endpoints (including estimated glomerular filtration rate, proteinuria, histological lesions, and donor-specific anti-human leukocyte antigen antibodies) and composite scoring systems. The content was created from information prepared by a working group within the European Society for Organ Transplantation (ESOT). The group submitted a Broad Scientific Advice request to the European Medicines Agency (EMA), June 2020: the request focused on clinical trial design and endpoints in kidney transplantation. Following discussion and refinement, the EMA made final recommendations to ESOT in December 2020 regarding the potential to use surrogate endpoints in clinical studies that aim to improving late graft failure.

Role of HLA molecular mismatch in clinical practice

To date, traditional pre-transplant risk factors have failed to provide accurate risk stratification in transplantation. As a result, the practice of precision medicine remains elusive, resulting in a one-size-fits-all therapeutic approach for most patients. However, recent advancements in the understanding of HLA molecules at the molecular level have revitalized interest in HLA mismatch assessment. This review discusses HLA molecular mismatch as a potential prognostic and predictive biomarker available at the time of transplantation and answers some of the common questions and critiques of this approach. We highlight the retrospective data that supports single molecule risk categorization and explore the next steps required to evaluate its potential in clinical practice.

Adequate tacrolimus exposure modulates the impact of HLA class II molecular mismatch: a validation study in an American cohort

Clinicians have few tools to predict the risk of alloimmune injury that would guide immunosuppression management in renal transplant patients. We evaluated human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-DR/DQ molecular mismatch to predict de novo donor-specific antibodies (DSAs) during the first year of transplant and explored how differences in tacrolimus exposure may modulate this risk. HLA-DR and -DQ eplet mismatches were determined between 444 donor-recipient pairs in Denver, Colorado between 2007 and 2013. Previously defined mismatch thresholds stratified recipients into low- (N = 119), intermediate- (N = 153), and high- (N = 172) risk categories. The area under the curve for DSA at 1 year was 0.84 and 0.82 for HLA-DR and HLA-DQ eplet mismatches, respectively. Compared to low-risk patients, there was a graded increase in risk of DR/DQ DSA in intermediate (HR 15.39, 95% CI 2.01-118.09, p = .009) and high-risk (HR 23.81, 95% CI 3.17-178.66, p = 0.002) categories. Intermediate- and high-risk patients with a mean tacrolimus <6 ng/ml versus >8 ng/ml had increased risk of DR/DQ DSA at 1 year (HR 2.34, 95% CI 1.05-5.22, p = .04). HLA molecular mismatch represents a reproducible, objective, and clinically relevant tool to stratify patients by alloimmune risk and may help guide personalized immunosuppression management.

Avoidance of CNI and steroids using belatacept-Results of the Clinical Trials in Organ Transplantation 16 trial

Immunosuppression devoid of corticosteroids has been investigated to avoid long-term comorbidities. Likewise, alternatives to calcineurin inhibitors have been investigated as a strategy to improve long-term kidney function following transplanion. Costimulatory blockade strategies that include corticosteroids have recently shown promise, despite their higher rates of early acute rejection. We designed a randomized clinical trial utilizing depletional induction therapy to mitigate early rejection risk while limiting calcineurin inhibitors and corticosteroids. This trial, Clinical Trials in Organ Transplantation 16 (CTOT-16), sought to evaluate novel belatacept-based strategies employing tacrolimus and corticosteroid avoidance. Sixty-nine kidney transplant recipients were randomized from 4 US transplant centers comparing a control group of with rabbit antithymocyte globulin (rATG) induction, rapid steroid taper, and maintenance mycophenolate and tacrolimus, to 2 arms using maintenance belatacept. There were no graft losses but there were 2 deaths in the control group. However, the trial was halted early because of rejection in the belatacept treatment groups. Serious adverse events were similar across groups. Although rejection was not uniform in the belatacept maintenance therapy groups, the frequency of rejection limits the practical implementation of this strategy to avoid both calcineurin inhibitors and corticosteroids at this time.

HLA-DR/DQ molecular mismatch: A prognostic biomarker for primary alloimmunity

Alloimmune risk stratification in renal transplantation has lacked the necessary prognostic biomarkers to personalize recipient care or optimize clinical trials. HLA molecular mismatch improves precision compared to traditional antigen mismatch but has not been studied in detail at the individual molecule level. This study evaluated 664 renal transplant recipients and correlated HLA-DR/DQ single molecule eplet mismatch with serologic, histologic, and clinical outcomes. Compared to traditional HLA-DR/DQ whole antigen mismatch, HLA-DR/DQ single molecule eplet mismatch improved the correlation with de novo donor-specific antibody development (area under the curve 0.54 vs 0.84) and allowed recipients to be stratified into low, intermediate, and high alloimmune risk categories. These risk categories were significantly correlated with primary alloimmune events including Banff ≥1A T cell-mediated rejection (P = .0006), HLA-DR/DQ de novo donor-specific antibody development (P < .0001), antibody-mediated rejection (P < .0001), as well as all-cause graft loss (P = .0012) and each of these correlations persisted in multivariate models. Thus, HLA-DR/DQ single molecule eplet mismatch may represent a precise, reproducible, and widely available prognostic biomarker that can be applied to tailor immunosuppression or design clinical trials based on individual patient risk.