Living donor liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma using expanded criteria and alpha-fetoprotein threshold of 1000 ng/mL

BACKGROUND

New guidelines propose a minimum 5-year survival of 60% for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with living donor liver transplantation (LDLT). This study aimed to evaluate the 5- and 10-year survival rates after transplantation for the expanded criteria for HCC.

METHODS

This single-center retrospective cohort study included 208 patients who underwent LDLT for the expanded criteria (the largest tumor diameter of ≤10 cm, any tumor number, and alpha-fetoprotein [AFP] level of <1000 ng/mL) and analyzed 5- and 10-year overall survival (OS) and recurrence risk (RR) rates.

RESULTS

With a median follow-up of 65.1 months (IQR, 19.1-80.2), the 5- and 10-year OS and RR rates were 67.0% and 61.0% and 20.5% and 22.5%, respectively. The largest tumor diameter of >6 cm (hazard ratio [HR], 3.7; 95% CI, 1.7-8.2; P = .001) and AFP level of >400 ng/mL (HR, 4.0; 95% CI, 1.8-9.0; P = .001) were predictors of recurrence. Patients outside the Milan criteria (MC) were grouped into low- and high-risk HCC based on tumor size and AFP level. For low-risk HCC (tumor size of <6 cm, any tumor number, and AFP level of <400 ng/mL), the 5-year RR was comparable to the MC and increased the transplant pool by 35.7% (P > .5). The median number of tumors and the rate of microvascular invasion in the high-risk group, low-risk group, and MC were 2.0 (1.0-3.2), 4.0 (2.0-5.0), and 1.0 (1.0-2.0) (P < .001) and 72.2% (13/18), 44.0% (22/50), and 22.8% (32/140) (P < .001), respectively.

CONCLUSION

The expanded criteria met the benchmark for 5-year survival. LDLT for the low-risk HCC in the expanded criteria was associated with an acceptable RR.

National experience with living donor liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma

Living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) is an attractive option to decrease waitlist dropout, particularly for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who face lengthening waiting times. Using the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) national database, trends in LDLT utilization for patients with HCC were evaluated, and post-LT outcomes for LDLT versus deceased donor liver transplantation (DDLT) were compared. From 1998 to 2018, LT was performed in 20,161 patients with HCC including 726 (3.6%) who received LDLT. The highest LDLT utilization was prior to the 2002 HCC Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) exception policy (17.5%) and dropped thereafter (3.1%) with a slight increase following the 6-month wait policy in 2015 (3.8%). LDLT was more common in patients from long-wait UNOS regions with blood type O, in those with larger total tumor diameter (2.3 vs. 2.1 cm, p = 0.02), and higher alpha-fetoprotein at LT (11.5 vs. 9.0 ng/ml, p = 0.04). The 5-year post-LT survival (LDLT 77% vs. DDLT 75%), graft survival (72% vs. 72%), and HCC recurrence (11% vs. 13%) were similar between groups (all p > 0.20). In conclusion, LDLT utilization for HCC has remained low since 2002 with only a slight increase after the 6-month wait policy introduction in 2015. Given the excellent post-LT survival, LDLT appears to be an underutilized but valuable option for patients with HCC, especially those at high risk for waitlist dropout.

Scoring systems for the management of oncological hepato-pancreato-biliary patients

Oncological scoring systems in surgery are used as evidence-based decision aids to best support management through assessing prognosis, effectiveness and recurrence. Currently, the use of scoring systems in the hepato-pancreato-biliary (HPB) field is limited as concerns over precision and applicability prevent their widespread clinical implementation. The aim of this review was to discuss clinically useful oncological scoring systems for surgical management of HPB patients. A narrative review was conducted to appraise oncological HPB scoring systems. Original research articles of established and novel scoring systems were searched using Google Scholar, PubMed, Cochrane, and Ovid Medline. Selected models were determined by authors. This review discusses nine scoring systems in cancers of the liver (CLIP, BCLC, ALBI Grade, RETREAT, Fong's score), pancreas (Genç's score, mGPS), and biliary tract (TMHSS, MEGNA). Eight models used exclusively objective measurements to compute their scores while one used a mixture of both subjective and objective inputs. Seven models evaluated their scoring performance in external populations, with reported discriminatory c-statistic ranging from 0.58 to 0.82. Selection of model variables was most frequently determined using a combination of univariate and multivariate analysis. Calibration, another determinant of model accuracy, was poorly reported amongst nine scoring systems. A diverse range of HPB surgical scoring systems may facilitate evidence-based decisions on patient management and treatment. Future scoring systems need to be developed using heterogenous patient cohorts with improved stratification, with future trends integrating machine learning and genetics to improve outcome prediction.