PSA nadir and time to PSA nadir during initial androgen deprivation therapy as prognostic factors in metastatic castration-resistance prostate cancer patients treated with docetaxel

Prognostic role of prostate specific antigen kinetics in primary high volume metastatic hormonal sensitive prostate cancer treated with novel hormonal therapy agents

The prognostic value of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) kinetics in primary high-volume metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC) patients treated with novel hormonal therapy agents is still unclear. Here, we retrospectively reviewed the data of 102 patients with primary high-volume mHSPC who received novel hormonal therapy agents. The median follow-up was 32.25 ± 14.51 months and the median nadir PSA (nPSA) was 0.20 (0.06, 11.71) ng/mL after treatment. The mean time to nPSA was 10.82 ± 7.27 months and 55 patients (53.9%) had a PSA-density (PSA-D) ≤ 0.08 at 3-months. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that the absence of visceral metastases, nPSA ≤ 0.2 and PSA-D ≤ 0.08 were independent prognostic factors for better PFS and OS (all P < 0.05). Moreover, patients with nPSA ≤ 0.2 and PSA-D ≤ 0.08 had the best PFS and OS, and the combination of the nPSA and PSA-D had a better predictive accuracy for PFS and OS than nPSA and PSA-D alone. Thus, Visceral metastases, nPSA and PSA-D were independent prognostic factors for primary high-volume mHSPC patients treated with novel hormonal therapy agents. Patients with lower nPSA and PSA-D had a best survival outcome, and the combination of nPSA and PSA-D had a better effect on prognosis predicting.

Dynamic changes in PSA levels predict prognostic outcomes in prostate cancer patients undergoing androgen -deprivation therapy: A multicenter retrospective analysis

Background

Androgen-deprivation therapy (ADT) is used for the treatment of prostate cancer. However, the specific risk factors for the development of castration-resistant disease are still unclear. The present study sought to identify predictors of patient prognostic outcomes through analyses of clinical findings in large numbers of prostate cancer patients following ADT treatment.

Methods

Data pertaining to 163 prostate cancer patients treated at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical University and Maoming People's Hospital from January 1, 2015, to December 30, 2020, were retrospectively analyzed. Dynamic changes in prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels were regularly assessed, including both time to nadir (TTN) and nadir PSA (nPSA). Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed with Cox risk proportional regression models, while differences in biochemical progression-free survival (bPFS) were compared among groups with Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests.

Results

The bPFS values over the median 43.5-month follow-up period differed significantly between patients with nPSA levels < 0.2 ng/mL and ≥ 0.2 ng/mL, being 27.6 months and 13.5 months, respectively (log-rank P < 0.001). A significant difference in median bPFS was also observed when comparing patients with a TTN ≥ 9 months (27.8 months) to those with a TTN < 9 months (13.5 months) (log-rank P < 0.001).

Conclusions

TTN and nPSA are valuable predictors of prognosis in prostate cancer patients after ADT treatment, with better outcomes evident in patients with nPSA < 0.2 ng/mL and TTN > 9 months.

Nomogram Incorporating Contrast-Enhanced Ultrasonography Predicting Time to the Development of Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer

Background

It is valuable to predict the time to the development of castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) in patients with advanced prostate cancer (PCa). This study aimed to build and validate a nomogram incorporating the clinicopathologic characteristics and the parameters of contrast-enhanced ultrasonography (CEUS) to predict the time to CRPC after androgen deprivation therapy (ADT).

Methods

Patients with PCa were divided into the training (n = 183) and validation cohorts (n = 37) for nomogram construction and validation. The clinicopathologic characteristics and CEUS parameters were analyzed to determine the independent prognosis factors and serve as the basis of the nomogram to estimate the risk of 1-, 2-, and 3-year progress to CRPC.

Results

T stage, distant metastasis, Gleason score, area under the curve (AUC), prostate-specific antigen (PSA) nadir, and time to PSA nadir were the independent predictors of CRPC (all P < 0.05). Three nomograms were built to predict the time to CRPC. Owing to the inclusion of CEUS parameter, the discrimination of the established nomogram (C-index: 0.825 and 0.797 for training and validation datasets) was improved compared with the traditional prediction model (C-index: 0.825 and 0.797), and when it excluded posttreatment PSA, it still obtained an acceptable discrimination (C-index: 0.825 and 0.797).

Conclusions

The established nomogram including regular prognostic indicators and CEUS obtained an improved accuracy for the prediction of the time to CRPC. It was also applicable for early prediction of CRPC when it excluded posttreatment PSA, which might be helpful for individualized diagnosis and treatment.