Documentation of atrial fibrillation prior to first-ever ischemic stroke

Interatrial block in prediction of all-cause mortality after first-ever ischemic stroke

Background

Interatrial block (IAB) is an ECG indicator of atrial fibrosis related to atrial remodeling and thrombus formation thus leading to embolic stroke and increasing mortality. We aimed to assess weather IAB predicted all-cause mortality during 10 years after ischemic stroke.

Methods

The study sample comprised 235 patients (median age 74 (interquartile range 25–75% 65–81) years, 95 female) included in the Lund Stroke Register in 2001–2002, who had sinus rhythm ECGs at stroke admission. IAB was defined as a P-wave duration ≥120 ms without = partial IAB (n = 56) or with = advanced IAB (n = 41) biphasic morphology (±) in the inferior ECG leads. All-cause mortality was assessed via linkage with the Swedish Causes of Death Register.

Results

During follow-up 126 patients died (54%). Advanced IAB, but not partial, was associated with all-cause mortality in univariate Cox regression analysis (hazard ratio (HR) 1.98, 95% CI 1.27–3.09, p = 0.003). After adjustment for age, gender, severity of stroke measured by NIHSS scale and smoking status in patients without additional comorbidities advanced IAB independently predicted all-cause mortality (HR 7.89, 95% CI 2.01–30.98, p = 0.003), while in patients with comorbidities it did not (HR 1.01 95% CI 0.59–1.72, p = 0.966).

Conclusion

Advanced IAB predicted all-cause mortality after ischemic stroke, but mostly in patients without additional cardiovascular comorbidities.

Non-permanent atrial fibrillation and oral anticoagulant therapy are related to survival during 10years after first-ever ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) detection in ischemic stroke patients triggers initiation of oral anticoagulant therapy (OAC). However, little is known regarding whether the persistency of AF affects long-term prognosis after ischemic stroke. We aimed to assess the impact of AF types and OAC on the outcome during a 10-year follow-up (FU) after first-ever ischemic stroke.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The study sample comprised 336 first-ever ischemic stroke patients (median age 76, interquartile range 25-75% (IQR) 67-82years, 136 female) included in the Lund Stroke Register (LSR) in 2001-2002. At baseline, 109 patients had either permanent (n=44) or recurrent (n=65) AF. OAC was assessed using the Lund University Hospital anticoagulation database. All-cause mortality was assessed via linkage with the Swedish Causes of Death Register.

RESULTS

During FU, 200 patients died. AF independently predicted all-cause mortality (hazard ratio (HR) 1.52 95% CI 1.14-2.04, p=0.005); the worst prognosis was observed for permanent AF (HR 1.86 95% CI 1.29-2.69, p=0.001). Patients with recurrent AF receiving OAC had similar survival rates to patients without AF (HR 0.73 95% CI 0.38-1.39, p=0.333), while prognosis was worst for patients with permanent AF without OAC (HR 2.28 95% CI 1.38-3.77, p=0.001) and intermediate for patients with permanent AF on OAC (HR 1.57 95% CI 0.92-2.67, p=0.099).

CONCLUSION

All-cause mortality was independently associated with AF and was the greatest in stroke patients with permanent AF. Patients with recurrent AF receiving OAC have the most favorable outcome, similar to those without AF and significantly better than OAC-treated patients with permanent AF.

Electrocardiographic and Echocardiographic predictors of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation detected after ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND

Detection of atrial fibrillation after ischemic stroke is challenging due to its paroxysmal nature. We aimed to assess predictors of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation using non-invasive surface ECG and transthoracic echocardiography to select candidates for atrial fibrillation screening.

METHODS

Ischemic stroke patients without documented atrial fibrillation (n = 110, 67 ± 10 years, 40 female) and a control group of age- and gender-matched patients with history of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation prior to stroke (n = 55, 67 ± 10 years, 19 female) comprised the study sample. Using non-invasive ECG monitoring for three weeks, short episodes of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation were detected in 24 of 110 patients (22 %). The standard 12-lead ECG with sinus rhythm at stroke onset was digitally processed and analyzed. Transthoracic echocardiography data were reviewed for these patients.

RESULTS

Atrial fibrillation history was independently associated with P terminal force in lead V 1 > 40 mm*ms (OR 4.04 95 % CI 1.34-12.14, p = 0.013) and left atrial volume index (OR 1.08 95 % CI 1.03-1.13, p = 0.002; for LAVI > 40 mL/m² OR 6.40 95 % CL 1.47-27.91, p = 0.013). Among patients without atrial fibrillation history, no ECG characteristics were predictive of atrial fibrillation detected after stroke. Left atrial volume index remained an independent predictor of atrial fibrillation detected after stroke (OR 1.09 95 % CI 1.02-1.16, p = 0.017). A cutoff of <40 mL/m² had an 84 % negative predictive value for ruling out atrial fibrillation on ambulatory monitoring with a sensitivity of 50 % and a specificity of 86 %.

CONCLUSION

In a post hoc analysis, left atrial dilatation assessed by left atrial volume index independently predicted atrial fibrillation after stroke in patients without prior atrial fibrillation history, while the other clinical or ECG markers were not predictive of atrial fibrillation detected early after ischemic stroke.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

This study is a post hoc analysis from the prospective case-control study registered in December 2011, ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT01325545 .

Predictors of new onset atrial fibrillation during 10-year follow-up after first-ever ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND

Paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) may be underdiagnosed in ischemic stroke patients but may be pivotal for initiation of oral anticoagulation therapy. We assessed clinical and ECG predictors of new-onset AF during 10-year follow-up (FU) in ischemic stroke patients.

METHODS

The study sample comprised of 227 first-ever ischemic stroke patients without AF (median age 73, interquartile range 25%-75% 63-80years, 92 female) and 1:1 age- and gender-matched controls without stroke and AF enrolled in the Lund Stroke Register from March 2001 to February 2002. New-onset AF during FU was assessed by screening through regional ECG database and by record linkage with Swedish National Patient Register. The standard 12-lead sinus rhythm ECGs at stroke admission were retrieved from electronic database and digitally processed. Clinical baseline characteristics were studied using medical records.

RESULTS

During FU, AF was found in 39 stroke patients and 30 controls, p=0.296. In stroke patients in multivariate Cox regression analysis AF was associated with hypertension (HR 3.45 CI 95% 1.40-3.49, p=0.007) and QRS duration (HR 1.02 CI 95% 1.00-1.03, p=0.049). High cardiovascular risk was predictive for AF development: for CHADS2≥4 HR 2.46 CI 95% 1.45-4.18, p=0.001 and for CHA2DS2-VASc≥5 HR 2.29 CI 95% 1.43-3.68, p=0.001. New onset AF was not associated with baseline ischemic stroke: HR 1.46 95% CI 0.90-2.35, p=0.121.

CONCLUSION

High CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores, but not baseline ischemic stroke, predict new onset AF in FU. QRS duration might be considered a potential risk marker for prediction of AF after ischemic stroke.

Lower hazard ratio for death in women with cerebral hemorrhage

OBJECTIVES

The aim of the study was to clarify the hazard ratio for death within 30 days after stroke comparing women to men.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We reviewed all stroke patients registered in the Kyoto Stroke Registry (from January 1999 to December 2009) in Japan. Hazard ratio (HR) for death and 95% confidence interval were calculated by the Cox regression in stroke and in each stroke subtype: cerebral infarction (CI), cerebral hemorrhage, (CH) and subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). We also evaluated HR for death in women in each consciousness level at the onset of stroke: the Japan Coma Scale (JCS) 0 (alert), JCS 1-digit code (disoriented but awake), JCS 2-digit code (arousable with stimulation), and JCS 3-digit code (unarousable).

RESULTS

A total of 13,788 patients were analyzed. HR for death comparing women to men were 1.04 (0.88-1.23, P = 0.66 in stroke as a whole), 0.91 (0.69-1.21, P = 0.51 in CI), 0.53 (0.41-0.71, P < 0.01 in CH), and 0.89 (0.60-1.30, P = 0.535 in SAH) after adjustment for age and histories of hypertension, arrhythmia, diabetes mellitus and hyperlipemia and uses of tobacco and alcohol. Stratified by JCS, HR for death in women with CH were 0.32 (0.11-0.94 in JCS0), 0.48 (0.28-0.82 in JCS1), 0.49 (0.28-0.83 in JCS2), and 0.79 (0.65-0.97 in JCS3), respectively. HR for death in women with CI in JCS3 was significantly lower than in men (0.71; 0.52-0.98).

CONCLUSION

We evaluated HR for death comparing men to women in stroke and in each stroke subtype. Women with CH had lower HR for death within 30 days after stroke than men.