Intravenous thrombolysis and three-year ischemic stroke mortality

Predicting 90-Day Prognosis in Ischemic Stroke Patients Post Thrombolysis Using Machine Learning

(1) Objective: This study aimed to construct a machine learning model for predicting the prognosis of ischemic stroke patients who underwent thrombolysis, assessed through the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score 90 days after discharge. (2) Methods: Data were sourced from Qatar's stroke registry covering January 2014 to June 2022. A total of 723 patients with ischemic stroke who had received thrombolysis were included. Clinical variables were examined, encompassing demographics, stroke severity indices, comorbidities, laboratory results, admission vital signs, and hospital-acquired complications. The predictive capabilities of five distinct machine learning models were rigorously evaluated using a comprehensive set of metrics. The SHAP analysis was deployed to uncover the most influential predictors. (3) Results: The Support Vector Machine (SVM) model emerged as the standout performer, achieving an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.72. Key determinants of patient outcomes included stroke severity at admission; admission systolic and diastolic blood pressure; baseline comorbidities, notably hypertension (HTN) and coronary artery disease (CAD); stroke subtype, particularly strokes of undetermined origin (SUO); and hospital-acquired urinary tract infections (UTIs). (4) Conclusions: Machine learning can improve early prognosis prediction in ischemic stroke, especially after thrombolysis. The SVM model is a promising tool for empowering clinicians to create individualized treatment plans. Despite limitations, this study contributes to our knowledge and encourages future research to integrate more comprehensive data. Ultimately, it offers a pathway to improve personalized stroke care and enhance the quality of life for stroke survivors.

Fasting Normoglycemia after Intravenous Thrombolysis Predicts Favorable Long-Term Outcome in Non-Diabetic Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke

BACKGROUND

Only a few studies evaluated the role of fasting glucose levels after intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS). Importantly, formal analysis concerning the prognostic role of fasting glucose levels in these patients with and without diabetes mellitus (DM) was not performed. Therefore, we assessed whether fasting normoglycemia (FNG) next morning after AIS treated with IVT was associated with 90-day functional outcome in diabetic and non-diabetic patients.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 362 AIS patients treated with IVT at The University Hospital in Krakow. FNG was defined as glucose below 5.5 mmol/L. A favorable outcome was defined as modified Rankin score (mRS) of 0-2 at day 90 after AIS onset.

RESULTS

At 3-month follow-up, FNG was associated with favorable outcome (87.5% vs. 60.8%, p < 0.001) and decreased risk of death (3.1% vs. 18.1%, p = 0.002). Independent predictors of a favorable outcome for the whole group were: younger age (HR 0.92, 95%CI 0.89-0.95), lower NIHSS score after IVT (HR 0.70, 95%CI 0.65-0.76), lower maximal systolic blood pressure within 24 h after IVT (HR 0.92, 95%CI 0.89-0.95) and FNG (HR 4.12, 95%CI 1.38-12.35). Association between FNG and mortality was found in univariable (HR 1.47, 95%CI 0.04-0.62) but not in multivariable analysis (HR 0.23, 95%CI 0.03-1.81). In subgroup analyses, FNG was an independent predictor of favorable outcome (HR 5.96, 95%CI 1.42-25.1) only in patients without DM.

CONCLUSIONS

FNG next morning after IVT is an independent protective factor for a favorable long-term outcome in non-diabetic AIS patients.

Short-term outcome in ischemic stroke patients after thrombolytic therapy

Background

Stroke represents the second leading cause of death in the world after myocardial infarction. Intravenous (IV) thrombolysis with recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (alteplase, rt-PA) is the only pharmacological therapy that was approved for treatment within 4.5 h of acute ischemic stroke (AIS) onset. We aimed to predict the 3-month outcome of AIS patients who received alteplase regarding mortality, spontaneous intra-cerebral hemorrhage (sICH), and functional outcome in comparison with non-thrombolyzed patients and to evaluate the predictors of the outcome after 3 months.

Methods

All the clinical, National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) scores, radiological, and laboratory data of 40 AIS patients and received rt-PA during the period from 2016 to 2018 were collected and analyzed retrospectively. For comparison, 40 patients, as a control group, were selected to match the alteplase group as regards the baseline data and received regular treatment, rather than rt-PA within the first 24 h, that were obtained. The outcome of the thrombolyzed patients after 3 months was evaluated in comparison with controls by using a modified ranking scale.

Results

After a 90-day follow-up period, the death rate was slightly higher among the rt-PA group (7.5%) in comparison with the control group (5%). sICH occurred in 7.5% of the patients in the alteplase group and in 5% of the non-thrombolyzed patients; however, this difference was not significant. More patients had a favorable outcome (mRS = 0–2) in the rt-PA group than in the control group (65% vs 60%, OR 1.38, 95% CI 0.50–3.6, P = 0.51). NIHSS score on admission, body mass index (BMI) (≥ 30), and previous transient ischemic attacks (TIA)/previous ischemic stroke were significant predictors of outcome after IV thrombolysis. Age, sex, hypertension (HTN), diabetes mellitus (DM), dyslipidemia, smoking, atrial fibrillation (AF), stroke subtype, size of infarction, and hyperdense middle cerebral artery had a non-significant effect.

Conclusion

After 3 months of follow-up, rt-PA had a non-significant more increase of favorable outcome with increased risk of sICH and death than controls. Baseline NIHSS, BMI, and history of TIA or previous ischemic stroke were significant predictors of outcome after thrombolysis.

Stroke Patients' Status Post-Acute Phase of Illness. How Is It and How Ought It to Be: Ain Shams University Experience

BACKGROUND

Stroke is a leading cause of disability worldwide with a great impact on quality of life. Ain Shams University Hospital is a tertiary center for neurology and a pioneer in offering comprehensive stroke service in the region.

METHODS

A cross sectional study in which an 8 domains questionnaire was applied to all cerebrovascular stroke patients who were admitted to the stroke unit of the neurology department of Ain Shams University Hospital in the period from January 2016 till May 2017, with the aim to define pitfalls in post discharge.

RESULTS

From our study show that 20% of all patients discharged from acute stroke unit did not have further follow up with any stroke doctor. Moreover, 60% of patients were not seen by a physiotherapist after discharge, including almost half of patients with moderate or severe disability on discharge who are expected to have ongoing care needs. Patients who developed stroke complications were more likely to seek follow up. As expected, continuous follow up was associated with increased adherence to secondary preventive medications.

CONCLUSIONS

Patient needs should be assessed before patient discharge and patient and care givers should have clear written information on required follow up with stroke doctors, and arrangements made for receiving adequate rehabilitation post discharge.

Real-World Outcomes of Acute Ischemic Stroke Treatment with Intravenous Thrombolysis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Evidence from outside the typical clinical research setting, such as the real-world setting, complements evidence coming from randomized controlled trials. The purpose of this study was to evaluate all available evidence from the real-world observational trials about long-term outcomes of treatment with intravenous (IV) recombinant tissue-type plasminogen activator (rt-PA) compared with not treated with IV rt-PA (non-rt-PA) in patients with acute ischemic stroke.

METHODS

We searched PubMed and Embase until March 1, 2018 for observational studies reporting matched or adjusted results comparing IV rt-PA versus non-rt-PA in patients with acute ischemic stroke. Outcomes assessed included all-cause mortality, hospital readmission rates, and independence rates. Hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals were used as a measure of comparing between patients treated with IV rt-PA and non-rt-PA.

RESULTS

Six observational trials with 16,399 participants were identified. The use of IV rt-PA in acute ischemic stroke patients was associated with a lower risk of mortality (hazard ratio .61; 95% confidence interval, .52-.70; P < .00001), and there was no heterogeneity across trials. There was no evidence of an effect on hospital readmission rates and independence rates.

CONCLUSIONS

IV rt-PA is associated with reduced long-term mortality in acute ischemic stroke patients.

Clinical outcome of cardioembolic stroke treated by intravenous thrombolysis

INTRODUCTION

Cardioembolic stroke (CS) in patients without thrombolytic treatment is associated with a worse clinical outcome and higher mortality compared to other types of stroke. The aim of this study was to determine the clinical outcome of CS in patients treated by intravenous thrombolysis (IVT).

MATERIAL AND METHODOLOGY

Data of patients from the SITS-EAST register (Safe Implementation of Treatments in Stroke) were analyzed in patients who received IVT treatment from 2000 to April 2014. The effect of the stroke etiology according to ICD-10 classification on outcome was analyzed using a univariate and multivariate analysis. The outcomes were assessed as follows: excellent clinical outcome (modified Rankin scale (mRS) 0-1) at 3 months, the rate of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH), mortality, and improvement at 24 hours after IVT.

RESULTS

Data of 13 772 patients were analyzed. CS represented 30% of all strokes. The mean age of patients with CS, atherothrombotic stroke, lacunar stroke, and other stroke was 70.8, 66.7, 66.2, and 63.3 years, respectively (P < .001). Severity of stroke on admission by median NIHSS score was 13 points in patients with CS, 12 points - in atherothrombotic stroke, 7 points - in lacunar stroke, and 10 points-in other stroke types (P < .001). No difference in mortality was detected among atherothrombotic and CS; however, atherothrombotic strokes had higher odds of sICH [OR = 1.63 (95% CI: 1.07-2.47), P = .023], lower odds of early improvement [OR = 0.79 (95% CI: 0.72-0.86), P < .001], and excellent clinical outcome [OR = 0.77 (95% CI: 0.67-0.87), P < .001] compared with CS.

CONCLUSIONS

Cardioembolic strokes are not associated with increased mortality. Patients with CS are less likely to have sICH and have better outcome after IVT.