Machine learning analysis of heart rate variability to detect delayed cerebral ischemia in subarachnoid hemorrhage

Machine Learning for the Early Prediction of Delayed Cerebral Ischemia in Patients With Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) is a primary contributor to death after subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), with significant incidence. Therefore, early determination of the risk of DCI is an urgent need. Machine learning (ML) has received much attention in clinical practice. Recently, some studies have attempted to apply ML models for early noninvasive prediction of DCI. However, systematic evidence for its predictive accuracy is still lacking.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to synthesize the prediction accuracy of ML models for DCI to provide evidence for the development or updating of intelligent detection tools.

METHODS

PubMed, Cochrane, Embase, and Web of Science databases were systematically searched up to May 18, 2023. The risk of bias in the included studies was assessed using PROBAST (Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool). During the analysis, we discussed the performance of different models in the training and validation sets.

RESULTS

We finally included 48 studies containing 16,294 patients with SAH and 71 ML models with logistic regression as the main model type. In the training set, the pooled concordance index (C index), sensitivity, and specificity of all the models were 0.786 (95% CI 0.737-0.835), 0.77 (95% CI 0.69-0.84), and 0.83 (95% CI 0.75-0.89), respectively, while those of the logistic regression models were 0.770 (95% CI 0.724-0.817), 0.75 (95% CI 0.67-0.82), and 0.71 (95% CI 0.63-0.78), respectively. In the validation set, the pooled C index, sensitivity, and specificity of all the models were 0.767 (95% CI 0.741-0.793), 0.66 (95% CI 0.53-0.77), and 0.78 (95% CI 0.71-0.84), respectively, while those of the logistic regression models were 0.757 (95% CI 0.715-0.800), 0.59 (95% CI 0.57-0.80), and 0.80 (95% CI 0.71-0.87), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

ML models appear to have relatively desirable power for early noninvasive prediction of DCI after SAH. However, enhancing the prediction sensitivity of these models is challenging. Therefore, efficient, noninvasive, or minimally invasive low-cost predictors should be further explored in future studies to improve the prediction accuracy of ML models.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

PROSPERO (CRD42023438399); https://tinyurl.com/yfuuudde.

Detection of Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Using CNN with Dynamic Factor and Wandering Strategy-Based Feature Selection

Objectives: Subarachnoid Hemorrhage (SAH) is a serious neurological emergency case with a higher mortality rate. An automatic SAH detection is needed to expedite and improve identification, aiding timely and efficient treatment pathways. The existence of noisy and dissimilar anatomical structures in NCCT images, limited availability of labeled SAH data, and ineffective training causes the issues of irrelevant features, overfitting, and vanishing gradient issues that make SAH detection a challenging task. Methods: In this work, the water waves dynamic factor and wandering strategy-based Sand Cat Swarm Optimization, namely DWSCSO, are proposed to ensure optimum feature selection while a Parametric Rectified Linear Unit with a Stacked Convolutional Neural Network, referred to as PRSCNN, is developed for classifying grades of SAH. The DWSCSO and PRSCNN surpass current practices in SAH detection by improving feature selection and classification accuracy. DWSCSO is proposed to ensure optimum feature selection, avoiding local optima issues with higher exploration capacity and avoiding the issue of overfitting in classification. Firstly, in this work, a modified region-growing method was employed on the patient Non-Contrast Computed Tomography (NCCT) images to segment the regions affected by SAH. From the segmented regions, the wide range of patterns and irregularities, fine-grained textures and details, and complex and abstract features were extracted from pre-trained models like GoogleNet, Visual Geometry Group (VGG)-16, and ResNet50. Next, the PRSCNN was developed for classifying grades of SAH which helped to avoid the vanishing gradient issue. Results: The DWSCSO-PRSCNN obtained a maximum accuracy of 99.48%, which is significant compared with other models. The DWSCSO-PRSCNN provides an improved accuracy of 99.62% in CT dataset compared with the DL-ICH and GoogLeNet + (GLCM and LBP), ResNet-50 + (GLCM and LBP), and AlexNet + (GLCM and LBP), which confirms that DWSCSO-PRSCNN effectively reduces false positives and false negatives. Conclusions: the complexity of DWSCSO-PRSCNN was acceptable in this research, for while simpler approaches appeared preferable, they failed to address problems like overfitting and vanishing gradients. Accordingly, the DWSCSO for optimized feature selection and PRSCNN for robust classification were essential for handling these challenges and enhancing the detection in different clinical settings.

Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Applications in Critically Ill Brain Injured Patients

The utilization of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) is paving the way for significant strides in patient diagnosis, treatment, and prognostication in neurocritical care. These technologies offer the potential to unravel complex patterns within vast datasets ranging from vast clinical data and EEG (electroencephalogram) readings to advanced cerebral imaging facilitating a more nuanced understanding of patient conditions. Despite their promise, the implementation of AI and ML faces substantial hurdles. Historical biases within training data, the challenge of interpreting multifaceted data streams, and the "black box" nature of ML algorithms present barriers to widespread clinical adoption. Moreover, ethical considerations around data privacy and the need for transparent, explainable models remain paramount to ensure trust and efficacy in clinical decision-making.This article reflects on the emergence of AI and ML as integral tools in neurocritical care, discussing their roles from the perspective of both their scientific promise and the associated challenges. We underscore the importance of extensive validation in diverse clinical settings to ensure the generalizability of ML models, particularly considering their potential to inform critical medical decisions such as withdrawal of life-sustaining therapies. Advancement in computational capabilities is essential for implementing ML in clinical settings, allowing for real-time analysis and decision support at the point of care. As AI and ML are poised to become commonplace in clinical practice, it is incumbent upon health care professionals to understand and oversee these technologies, ensuring they adhere to the highest safety standards and contribute to the realization of personalized medicine. This engagement will be pivotal in integrating AI and ML into patient care, optimizing outcomes in neurocritical care through informed and data-driven decision-making.

Neuromonitoring in the ICU - what, how and why?

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

We selectively review emerging noninvasive neuromonitoring techniques and the evidence that supports their use in the ICU setting. The focus is on neuromonitoring research in patients with acute brain injury.

RECENT FINDINGS

Noninvasive intracranial pressure evaluation with optic nerve sheath diameter measurements, transcranial Doppler waveform analysis, or skull mechanical extensometer waveform recordings have potential safety and resource-intensity advantages when compared to standard invasive monitors, however each of these techniques has limitations. Quantitative electroencephalography can be applied for detection of cerebral ischemia and states of covert consciousness. Near-infrared spectroscopy may be leveraged for cerebral oxygenation and autoregulation computation. Automated quantitative pupillometry and heart rate variability analysis have been shown to have diagnostic and/or prognostic significance in selected subtypes of acute brain injury. Finally, artificial intelligence is likely to transform interpretation and deployment of neuromonitoring paradigms individually and when integrated in multimodal paradigms.

SUMMARY

The ability to detect brain dysfunction and injury in critically ill patients is being enriched thanks to remarkable advances in neuromonitoring data acquisition and analysis. Studies are needed to validate the accuracy and reliability of these new approaches, and their feasibility and implementation within existing intensive care workflows.

The Clinical Characteristics of Heart Rate Variability After Stroke: A Systematic Review

The autonomic nervous system dysfunction has been reported in up to 76% of stroke patients 7 days after an acute stroke. Heart rate variability (HRV) is one of the important indicators reflecting the balance of sympathetic and parasympathetic nerves. Therefore, we performed a systematic literature review of existing literature on the association between heart rate variability and the different types of stroke. We included studies published in the last 32 years (1990 to 2022). The electronic databases MEDLINE and PubMed were searched. We selected the research that met the inclusion or exclusion criteria. A narrative synthesis was performed. This review aimed to summarize evidence regarding the potential mechanism of heart rate variability among patients after stroke. In addition, the association of clinical characteristics of heart rate variability and stroke has been depicted. The review further discussed the relationship between post-stroke infection and heart rate variability, which could assist in curbing clinical infection in patients with stroke. HRVas a noninvasive clinical monitoring tool can quantitatively assess the changes in autonomic nervous system activity and further predict the outcome of stroke. HRV could play an important role in guiding the clinical practice for autonomic nervous system disorder after stroke.

Time-domain heart rate variability features for automatic congestive heart failure prediction

AIMS

Heart failure is a serious condition that often goes undiagnosed in primary care due to the lack of reliable diagnostic tools and the similarity of its symptoms with other diseases. Non-invasive monitoring of heart rate variability (HRV), which reflects the activity of the autonomic nervous system, could offer a novel and accurate way to detect and manage heart failure patients. This study aimed to assess the feasibility of using machine learning techniques on HRV data as a non-invasive biomarker to classify healthy adults and those with heart failure.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We used digitized electrocardiogram recordings from 54 adults with normal sinus rhythm and 44 adults categorized into New York Heart Association classes 1, 2, and 3, suffering from congestive heart failure. All recordings were sourced from the PhysioNet database. Following data pre-processing, we performed time-domain HRV analysis on all individual recordings, including root mean square of the successive difference in adjacent RR interval (RRi) (RMSSD), the standard deviation of RRi (SDNN, the NN stands for natural or sinus intervals), the standard deviation of the successive differences between successive RRi (SDSD), the number or percentage of RRi longer than 50 ms (NN50 and pNN50), and the average value of RRi [mean RR interval (mRRi)]. In our experimental classification performance evaluation, on the computed HRV parameters, we optimized hyperparameters and performed five-fold cross-validation using four machine learning classification algorithms: support vector machine, k-nearest neighbour (KNN), naïve Bayes, and decision tree (DT). We evaluated the prediction accuracy of these models using performance criteria, namely, precision, recall, specificity, F1 score, and overall accuracy. For added insight, we also presented receiver operating characteristic (ROC) plots and area under the ROC curve (AUC) values. The overall best performance accuracy of 77% was achieved when KNN and DT were trained on computed HRV parameters with a 5 min time window. KNN obtained an AUC of 0.77, while DT attained 0.78. Additionally, in the classification of severe congestive heart failure, KNN and DT had the best accuracy of 91%, with KNN achieving an AUC of 0.88 and DT obtaining 0.92.

CONCLUSIONS

The results show that HRV can accurately predict severe congestive heart failure. The findings of this study could inform the use of machine learning approaches on non-invasive HRV, to screen congestive heart failure individuals in primary care.

Real-time machine learning model to predict in-hospital cardiac arrest using heart rate variability in ICU

Predicting in-hospital cardiac arrest in patients admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU) allows prompt interventions to improve patient outcomes. We developed and validated a machine learning-based real-time model for in-hospital cardiac arrest predictions using electrocardiogram (ECG)-based heart rate variability (HRV) measures. The HRV measures, including time/frequency domains and nonlinear measures, were calculated from 5 min epochs of ECG signals from ICU patients. A light gradient boosting machine (LGBM) algorithm was used to develop the proposed model for predicting in-hospital cardiac arrest within 0.5-24 h. The LGBM model using 33 HRV measures achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.881 (95% CI: 0.875-0.887) and an area under the precision-recall curve of 0.104 (95% CI: 0.093-0.116). The most important feature was the baseline width of the triangular interpolation of the RR interval histogram. As our model uses only ECG data, it can be easily applied in clinical practice.

Evaluation of skin sympathetic nervous activity for classification of intracerebral hemorrhage and outcome prediction

Classification and outcome prediction of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is critical for improving the survival rate of patients. Early or delayed neurological deterioration is common in ICH patients, which may lead to changes in the autonomic nervous system (ANS). Therefore, we proposed a new framework for ICH classification and outcome prediction based on skin sympathetic nervous activity (SKNA) signals. A customized measurement device presented in our previous papers was used to collect data. 117 subjects (50 healthy control subjects and 67 ICH patients) were recruited for this study to obtain their 5-min electrocardiogram (ECG) and SKNA signals. We extracted the signal's time-domain, frequency-domain, and nonlinear features and analyzed their differences between healthy control subjects and ICH patients. Subsequently, we established the ICH classification and outcome evaluation model based on the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). In addition, heart rate variability (HRV) as an ANS assessment method was also included as a comparison method in this study. The results showed significant differences in most features of the SKNA signal between healthy control subjects and ICH patients. The ICH patients with good outcomes have a higher change rate and complexity of SKNA signal than those with bad outcomes. In addition, the accuracy of the model for ICH classification and outcome prediction based on the SKNA signal was more than 91% and 83%, respectively. The ICH classification and outcome prediction based on the SKNA signal proved to be a feasible method in this study. Furthermore, the features of change rate and complexity, such as entropy measures, can be used to characterize the difference in SKNA signals of different groups. The method can potentially provide a new tool for rapid classification and outcome prediction of ICH patients. Index Terms-intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), skin sympathetic nervous activity (SKNA), classification, outcome prediction, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases.

Heart Rate Variability for Outcome Prediction in Intracerebral and Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: A Systematic Review

This systematic review presents clinical evidence on the association of heart rate variability with outcome prediction in intracerebral and subarachnoid hemorrhages. The literature search led to the retrieval of 19 significant studies. Outcome prediction included functional outcome, cardiovascular complications, secondary brain injury, and mortality. Various aspects of heart rate recording and analysis, based on linear time and frequency domains and a non-linear entropy approach, are reviewed. Heart rate variability was consistently associated with poor functional outcome and mortality, while controversial results were found regarding the association between heart rate variability and secondary brain injury and cardiovascular complications.

Prediction of Tinnitus Treatment Outcomes Based on EEG Sensors and TFI Score Using Deep Learning

Tinnitus is a hearing disorder that is characterized by the perception of sounds in the absence of an external source. Currently, there is no pharmaceutical cure for tinnitus, however, multiple therapies and interventions have been developed that improve or control associated distress and anxiety. We propose a new Artificial Intelligence (AI) algorithm as a digital prognostic health system that models electroencephalographic (EEG) data in order to predict patients' responses to tinnitus therapies. The EEG data was collected from patients prior to treatment and 3-months following a sound-based therapy. Feature selection techniques were utilised to identify predictive EEG variables with the best accuracy. The patients' EEG features from both the frequency and functional connectivity domains were entered as inputs that carry knowledge extracted from EEG into AI algorithms for training and predicting therapy outcomes. The AI models differentiated the patients' outcomes into either therapy responder or non-responder, as defined by their Tinnitus Functional Index (TFI) scores, with accuracies ranging from 98%-100%. Our findings demonstrate the potential use of AI, including deep learning, for predicting therapy outcomes in tinnitus. The research suggests an optimal configuration of the EEG sensors that are involved in measuring brain functional changes in response to tinnitus treatments. It identified which EEG electrodes are the most informative sensors and how the EEG frequency and functional connectivity can better classify patients into the responder and non-responder groups. This has potential for real-time monitoring of patient therapy outcomes at home.