Colon cancer with unresectable synchronous metastases: the AAAP scoring system for predicting the outcome after primary tumour resection

Development and validation of a nomogram to predict which patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases would benefit from primary tumor resection

PURPOSE

The use of primary tumor resection (PTR) in the treatment of colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLM) patients has become increasingly controversial. Our goal is to establish a nomogram to screen for the candidates that would benefit from PTR in CRLM patients.

METHODS

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was searched for 8366 patients with colorectal liver cancer metastases (CRLM) from 2010 to 2015. Overall survival (OS) rates were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier curve. After propensity score matching (PSM), predictors were analyzed by logistic regression analysis, and a nomogram was created to predict for survival benefit of PTR using R software.

RESULTS

After PSM, there were 814 patients in both PTR group and non-PTR group, respectively. The median OS time in the PTR group was 26 months (95%CI = 23.33 ~ 28.67) and the median OS time in the non-PTR group was 15 months (95%CI = 13.36 ~ 16.64). The Cox regression analysis found that PTR was an independent predictive factor (HR = 0.46, 0.41 ~ 0.52) for OS. Additionally, logistic regression was used to study the factors impacting PTR benefit, and the results showed that CEA (P = 0.016), chemotherapy (P < 0.001), N stage (P < 0.001), histological grade (P < 0.001), and lung metastasis (P = 0.001) are independent predictive factors affecting the therapeutic outcome of PTR in patients with CRLM. The developed nomogram displayed good discriminative ability in predicting the beneficial probability of PTR surgery, with the area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.801 in training set and 0.739 in validation set respectively.

CONCLUSION

We developed a nomogram that predicts the survival benefits of PTR in CRLM patients with relatively high accuracy, and quantifies the predictive factors for PTR-related benefits.

Primary Tumor Resection for Metastatic Colorectal, Gastric and Pancreatic Cancer Patients: In Search of Scientific Evidence to Inform Clinical Practice

The management of the primary tumor in metastatic colorectal, gastric and pancreatic cancer patients may be challenging. Indeed, primary tumor progression could be associated with severe symptoms, compromising the quality of life and the feasibility of effective systemic therapy, and might result in life-threatening complications. While retrospective series have suggested that surgery on the primary tumor may confer a survival advantage even in asymptomatic patients, randomized trials seem not to definitively support this hypothesis. We discuss the evidence for and against primary tumor resection for patients with metastatic gastrointestinal (colorectal, gastric and pancreatic) cancers treated with systemic therapies and put in context the pros and cons of the onco-surgical approach in the time of precision oncology. We also evaluate current ongoing trials on this topic, anticipating how these will influence both research and everyday practice.

The Ratio of Platelets to Lymphocytes Predicts the Prognosis of Metastatic Colorectal Cancer: A Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

In recent years, the incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) has continued to increase. Although the overall prognosis of CRC has improved with the continuous improvement of the level of treatment, the prognosis of metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) is still poor. The purpose of our study is to explore the prognostic value of platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in mCRC.

METHODS

The PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase (via OVID) were systematically searched to obtain all relevant research. We used hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) to assess the associations of PLR and overall survival (OS) and progression free survival (PFS).

RESULTS

A total of twelve studies containing 1452 patients were included in this meta-analysis. Pooled analysis showed that high levels of PLR were associated with poor OS (HR: 1.72, 95% CI: 1.27-2.33, and P < 0.01) and PFS (HR: 1.64, 95% CI: 1.16-2.31, and P = 0.033).

CONCLUSION

Our analysis suggested that high levels of PLR pretreatment may be an effective predictive biomarker for the prognosis of mCRC patients.

Role of Up-Front Primary Tumor Resection and Tumor Sidedness in the Survival of Synchronous Metastatic Colon Cancer Patients

INTRODUCTION

Uncertainty exists about a possible survival benefit of primary tumor resection (PTR) in synchronous metastatic colon cancer (mCC). Since sidedness of the primary tumor is regarded as an important prognostic factor, our objective was to study the interaction between PTR and sidedness in synchronous mCC.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, we used data from 2 first-line phase 3 randomized controlled trials (RCTs). A mixed Cox regression model was used to study the multiplicative interaction between PTR and sidedness. We adjusted for age, treatment arm, WHO performance status, number of affected organs by metastases, serum lactate dehydrogenase, and year of enrollment.

RESULTS

We found that PTR is associated with better survival in both right-sided (hazard ratio [HR] 0.59 [95% confidence interval 0.42-0.8 2]) and left-sided mCC (HR 0.70 [95% confidence interval 0.52-0.93]). The interaction between PTR and sidedness was not significant (p = 0.45).

CONCLUSION

Our data suggest that the prognostic value of PTR is independent of sidedness. Validation of these results will be performed in ongoing RCTs.

Perioperative therapy in metastatic colorectal cancer: Pattern of use and survival outcomes

BACKGROUND

Multimodality therapy of metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) is currently considered the standard of care. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of perioperative therapy on surgical resection in mCRC.

METHODS

The National Cancer Database was analyzed for affected patients between 2004 and 2013. Univariate and multivariate analyses were done to identify factors associated with patient outcomes. Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards models were used for the association between patient characteristics and survival.

RESULTS

About 61,940 patients with mCRC were identified. Mean age = 63.4 years (SD ± 14). About 69% had a colon primary and 32% had only one metastatic site. Only 49% of those who underwent surgery for both primary and metastatic sites received postoperative chemotherapy (p < .001). Negative prognostic factors included no chemotherapy received (hazard ratio [HR], 2.32; 2.27-2.37; p < .001), more than three metastatic sites (HR, 2.28; 2.09-2.48; p < .001), year of diagnosis between 2004 and 2008 (HR, 1.71; 1.15-1.20; p < .001) and colon tumor location with right worse than left-sided (HR, 1.21; 1.19-1.24; p < .001). Five-year overall survival for resection of the primary and metastatic site (28.2%) was higher than for no surgical treatment (4.7%).

CONCLUSION

Perioperative therapy was associated with improved survival, following resection of metastatic sites or primary tumor.

Individualized prediction of survival benefit from primary tumor resection for patients with unresectable metastatic colorectal cancer

Background

The impact of primary tumor resection (PTR) on the prognosis of unresectable metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients remains debatable. We aimed to develop several prognostic nomograms which could be useful in predicting whether patients might benefit from PTR or not.

Methods

Patients diagnosed as mCRC without resected metastasis were identified from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results database and randomly assigned into two groups: a training cohort (6369 patients) and a validation cohort (2774 patients). Univariate and multivariable Cox analyses were performed to identify the independent predictors and construct nomograms that could independently predict the overall survival (OS) of unresectable mCRC patients in PTR and non-PTR groups, respectively. The performance of these nomograms was assessed by the concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

Based on the result of univariate and multivariable Cox analyses, two nomograms were respectively constructed to predict the 1-year OS rates of unresectable mCRC patients when receiving PTR and not. The first one included age, gender, tumor grade, proximal colon, N stage, CEA, chemotherapy, radiotherapy, histology type, brain metastasis, liver metastasis, lung metastasis, and bone metastasis. The second nomogram included age, race, tumor grade, primary site, CEA, chemotherapy, brain metastasis, and bone metastasis. These nomograms showed favorable sensitivity with the C-index range of 0.700–0.725. The calibration curves and DCAs also exhibited adequate fit and ideal net benefits in prognosis prediction and clinical application.

Conclusions

These practical prognosis nomograms could assist clinicians in making appropriate treatment decisions to effectively manage the disease.

Inventory of oncologists' unmet needs for tools to support decision-making about palliative treatment for metastatic colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Decision-making about palliative care for metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) consists of many different treatment-related decisions, and there generally is no best treatment option. Decision support systems (DSS), e.g., prognostic calculators, can aid oncologists' decision-making. DSS that contain features tailored to the needs of oncologists are more likely to be implemented in clinical practice. Therefore, our aim is to inventory colorectal cancer specialists' unmet decision support needs.

METHODS

We asked oncologists from the Dutch colorectal cancer group (DCCG), to participate in an online inventory questionnaire on their unmet decision support needs. To get more in-depth insight in required features of the DSS they need, we also conducted semi-structured telephone interviews.

RESULTS

Forty-one oncologists started the inventory questionnaire, and 27 of them completed all items. Of all respondents, 18 were surgeons (44%), 22 were medical oncologists (54%), and 28 (68%) had more than 10 years of experience treating mCRC. In both the inventory questionnaire and interviews, respondents expressed a need for an overarching DSS incorporating multiple treatment options, and presenting both the treatment benefits and harms. Respondents found it relevant for other outcomes, such as cost-effectiveness of treatment or quality of life, to be incorporated in DSS. There was also a wish for DSS incorporating an up-to-date "personalized" overview of the ongoing trials for which a specific patient is eligible.

CONCLUSIONS

Experienced oncologists indicate that their treatment advice is currently almost solely based on the available clinical guidelines. They experience a lack of good quality DSS to help them personalize their treatment advice. New tools integrating multiple treatment options and providing a broad range of clinically relevant outcomes are urgently needed to stimulate and safeguard more personalized treatment decision-making.

To resect or not to resect: The hamletic dilemma of primary tumor resection in patients with asymptomatic stage IV colorectal cancer

Primary tumor resection (PTR) in advanced asymptomatic colorectal cancer (CRC) has been a matter of intense debate for long time. With the advances in systemic treatments, this practice has decreased over the years, although it remains still pervasive. Although the removal of primary tumor has been extensively interrogated both in retrospective and prospective studies, it still remains a clinical conundrum. There are many arguments for and against PTR in CRC both from the preclinical and the clinical point of view. Two scoring models have been published aiming at identifying patients who are suitable candidate for PTR, but they deserve further investigations in larger datasets. While awaiting the results of ongoing randomized clinical trials (RCTs) on this controversial topic, both upfront systemic treatment and PTR followed by chemotherapy should be considered valid options in patients with asymptomatic mCRC. Clinical selection and a shared-decision making approach are the keys to success.

Increased platelet-lymphocyte ratio closely relates to inferior clinical features and worse long-term survival in both resected and metastatic colorectal cancer: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis of 24 studies

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common cancers worldwide. However, the prognostic and clinical value of platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in colorectal cancer was still unclear, which attracted more and more researchers considerable attention. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to investigate the relationship between PLR and survival as well as clinical features of CRC update to September 2016. The hazard ratio (HR) or odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated to access the association. We included 24 eligible studies with a total of 13719 patients. Elevated PLR predicted shorter overall survival (OS) (HR=1.47; 95%CI, 1.28-1.68; p<0.001), poorer disease-free survival (DFS) (HR=1.51; 95% CI, 1.2-1.91; p=0.001), and worse recurrence-free survival (RFS) (HR=1.39; 95% CI, 1.03-1.86; p=0.03), but had nothing to do with Cancer-specific survival (CSS) (HR=1.14; 95% CI, 0.92-1.42; p=0.223). After trim and fill method, the connection between PLR and DFS disappeared (HR=1.143; 95%CI, 0.903-1.447; p=0.267). By subgroup analyze, we found that increased PLR predicated a worse OS and DFS in patients who underwent surgery, and this prognostic role also shown both in metastatic and nonmetastatic patients. In addition, elevated PLR was associated with poorly differentiated tumor (OR=1.51; 95% CI, 1.26-1.81; p<0.001), higher tumor stage (OR=1.25; 95% CI, 1.05-1.49; p=0.012), lymphovascular invasion (LVI) (OR=1.25; 95% CI, 1.09-1.43; p=0.001), and the recurrence of CRC (OR=2.78; 95% CI, 1.36-5.68; p=0.005). We indicated that pretreatment PLR was a good prognostic marker for CRC patients. High PLR was related to worse OS, RFS and poor clinical characteristics.

Prognostic value of primary tumour resection in synchronous metastatic colorectal cancer: Individual patient data analysis of first-line randomised trials from the ARCAD database

Indication for primary tumour resection (PTR) in asymptomatic metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients is unclear. Previous retrospective analyses suggest a survival benefit for patients who underwent PTR. The aim was to evaluate the prognostic value of PTR in patients with synchronous mCRC by analysis of recent large RCTs including systemic therapy with modern targeted agents. Individual patient data (IPD) of 3423 patients enrolled into 8 randomised controlled trials (RCTs) with first-line systemic therapy in the ARCAD (Aide et Recherche en Cancérologie Digestive) database were analysed. The number of patients with unresected synchronous mCRC, resected synchronous mCRC and metachronous mCRC was 710 (21%), 1705 (50%) and 1008 (29%), respectively. Adjusting for age, gender, performance status (PS) and prior chemotherapy, the unresected group had a significantly worse median overall survival (16.4 m) compared with the synchronous resected (22.2 m; hazard ratio [HR] 1.60, 95% CI 1.43-1.78) and metachronous (22.4 m; HR 1.81, 95% CI 1.58-2.07) groups. Similarly, median progression-free survival was significantly worse for the unresected group compared with the synchronous resected (HR 1.31, 95% CI 1.19-1.44) and metachronous (HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.30-1.66) groups. In a multivariate analysis, the observed associations remained significant. This largest IPD analysis of mCRC trials to date demonstrates an improved survival in synchronous mCRC patients after PTR. These results may be subject to bias since reasons for (non)resection were not available. Until results of ongoing RCTs are available, both upfront PTR followed by systemic treatment and upfront systemic treatment are considered appropriate treatment strategies.

Prognostic value of pretreatment serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 level in patients with colorectal cancer: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9) is one of the most frequently used tumor markers for gastrointestinal cancer, particularly for diagnostic purposes. However, its value in predicting prognosis remains controversial. In this study, we sought to clarify this by conducting a meta-analysis of relevant studies.

METHODS

We systematically searched several databases, including PubMed, EMBASE and Web of Science for articles pertaining to the relationship between pretreatment serum CA 19-9 levels and prognosis in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). The reported hazard ratios (HR) of overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), pooled progression-free survival (PFS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in the analyzed studies were compared by fixed effects/random effects models.

RESULTS

Seventeen studies involving 6434 patients with CRC were included in our meta-analysis. A comprehensive analysis of the collected data revealed that high serum CA 19-9 levels before treatment were significantly associated with poor OS (HR: 1.58, 95% CI: 1.36-1.83, P<0.001), DFS (HR: 1.71, 95% CI: 1.38-2.13, P<0.001), PFS (HR: 1.30,95%CI:0.93-1.82, P = 0.121) and RFS (HR: 1.43, 95% CI: 1.11-1.83, P = 0.006). This association between high pretreatment serum CA 19-9 levels and poor survival held true across different geographical regions, analysis types, methods used for HR determination, sample size, and treatment methods.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study indicate that pretreatment serum CA 19-9 level can be used as a prognostic indicator for patients with CRC.

The clinical use of the platelet/lymphocyte ratio and lymphocyte/monocyte ratio as prognostic predictors in colorectal cancer: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Conflicting evidence exists regarding the effects of platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and lymphocyte/monocyte ratio(LMR) on the prognosis of colorectal cancer (CRC) patients. This study aimed to evaluate the roles of the PLR and LMR in predicting the prognosis of CRC patients via meta-analysis.

METHODS

Eligible studies were retrieved from the PubMed, Embase,andChina National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) databases, supplemented by a manual search of references from retrieved articles. Pooled hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were calculated using the generic inverse variance and random-effect model to evaluate the association of PLR and LMR with prognostic variables in CRC, including overall survival (OS), cancer-specific survival (CSS) and disease-free survival (DFS).

RESULTS

Thirty-three studies containing 15,404 patients met criteria for inclusion. Pooled analysis suggested that elevated PLR was associated with poorer OS (pooled HR = 1.57, 95% CI: 1.41 - 1.75, p< 0.00001, I2=26%) and DFS (pooled HR = 1.58, 95% CI: 1.31 - 1.92, p< 0.00001, I2=66%). Conversely, high LMR correlated with more favorable OS (pooled HR = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.50 - 0.68, p< 0.00001, I2=44%), CSS (pooled HR = 0.54, 95% CI: 0.40 - 0.72, p< 0.00001, I2=11%) and DFS (pooled HR = 0.82, 95% CI: 0.71- 0.94,p=0.005, I2=29%).

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated PLR was associated with poor prognosis, while high LMR correlated with more favorable outcomes in CRC patients. Pretreatment PLR and LMR could serve as prognostic predictors in CRC patients.

Risk factors of liver metastasis from advanced pancreatic adenocarcinoma: a large multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND

Clinical prognostic parameters of liver metastasis from pancreatic adenocarcinoma have not been specifically identified.This study is to explore the risk factors of liver metastasis in advanced pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients in China.

METHODS

A multicenter cohort study was conducted to explore whether liver metastasis in locally advanced and metastatic PDAC could be reflected by some common laboratory indexes. We collected 1787 advanced PDAC patients from three participating hospitals between 2004 and 2014. The associations between some laboratory indexes and risks of liver metastases were analyzed.

RESULTS

Results have shown that 87% of stage IV patients developed synchronous liver metastasis. Primary tumor location (body/tail vs. head/neck, OR 0.55, 95% CI 0.36-0.83), primary tumor diameter (≥20 mm vs. <20 mm, OR 1.77, 95% CI 1.16-2.70), elevated ALT and AST (OR 1.62, 95% CI 0.92-2.83), and elevated CA19-9 (OR 2.72, 95% CI 1.85-3.99) upon diagnosis are significantly associated with risk of synchronous liver metastasis. Among stage III patients, 30.1% developed metachronous liver metastasis. However, no risk factors were identified among these patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Primary tumor location, diameter, elevated ALT and AST, and increased CA19-9 are independent risk factors of synchronous liver metastasis in PDAC patients.

An Elevated Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Predicts Poor Prognosis and Clinicopathological Characteristics in Patients with Colorectal Cancer: A Meta-Analysis

Background. The aims of this study were to evaluate the clinicopathological and prognostic values of platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in colorectal cancer (CRC). Methods. The PubMed and Embase databases and the references of relevant studies were systematically searched. This study was performed with hazard ratios (HRs) and odd ratios (ORs) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) as effect measures. Results. Our results indicated that elevated PLR was associated with poor overall survival (HR = 1.46, 95% CI = 1.23–1.73), disease-free survival (HR = 1.64, 95% CI = 1.17–2.30), cancer-specific survival (HR = 1.30, 95% CI = 1.12–1.51), and recurrence-free survival (HR = 1.38, 95% CI = 1.09–1.74) in CRC. For the clinicopathological characteristics, our results indicated that there were differences in the rate of elevated PLR between stages III/IV and I/II groups (OR = 1.38, 95% CI = 1.01–1.88), pT3/T4 and pT1/T2 groups (OR = 1.82, 95% CI = 1.03–3.20), and poor differentiation and moderate/well differentiation (OR = 2.59, 95% CI = 1.38–4.84). Conclusions. Our results indicated that elevated PLR predicted poor prognosis and clinicopathological characteristics in CRC and PLR is a convenient and low-cost blood-derived prognostic marker for CRC.

Elevated Platelet to Lymphocyte Ratio Is Associated with Poor Survival Outcomes in Patients with Colorectal Cancer

Platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) is a parameter reflecting inflammatory responses in patients with cancer. Several studies have investigated the prognostic value of PLR in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC); however, the results are controversial. Thus, we carried out a meta-analysis to evaluate the association between PLR and CRC prognostication. Relevant articles were retrieved through PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science, and pooled hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were computed by using STATA V.12.0. Both the random-effects model and fixed-effects model were utilized. A total of 13 studies (14 cohorts) with 8,601 patients were included in the meta-analysis. Pooled HRs and 95% CIs demonstrated that increased PLR predicted poor overall survival (OS) (HR = 1.81, 95%CI:1.42–2.31, p<0.001; I² = 65%, P_h = 0.002), disease-free survival (DFS) (HR = 1.84, 95%CI:1.22–2.76, p = 0.003; I² = 78.3%, P_h<0.001) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) (HR = 1.84, 95%CI:1.41–2.41, p<0.001; I² = 0, P_h = 0.686), although this was not the case for cancer-specific survival (CSS) (HR = 1.75, 95%CI:0.59–5.17, p = 0.309; I² = 66.2%, P_h = 0.085) or time to recurrence (TTR) (HR = 1.21 95%CI:0.62–2.36, p = 0.573;I² = 58.4%, P_h = 0.121). Subgroup analysis showed that PLR enhanced the prognostic value for OS in Caucasian patients, in small sample studies and for metastatic disease; however, this was not the case with rectal cancer. Furthermore, elevated PLR predicted reduced DFS in Caucasians and not in Asians. In conclusion, our meta-analysis showed that high PLR was a significant biomarker for poor OS, DFS, and RFS in patients with CRC; however, it had no association with CSS or TTR.