Right heart failure as a risk factor for severe exacerbation in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: Prospective cohort study

Prognostic risk factors for moderate-to-severe exacerbations in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a systematic literature review

Background

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. COPD exacerbations are associated with a worsening of lung function, increased disease burden, and mortality, and, therefore, preventing their occurrence is an important goal of COPD management. This review was conducted to identify the evidence base regarding risk factors and predictors of moderate-to-severe exacerbations in patients with COPD.

Methods

A literature review was performed in Embase, MEDLINE, MEDLINE In-Process, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL). Searches were conducted from January 2015 to July 2019. Eligible publications were peer-reviewed journal articles, published in English, that reported risk factors or predictors for the occurrence of moderate-to-severe exacerbations in adults age ≥ 40 years with a diagnosis of COPD.

Results

The literature review identified 5112 references, of which 113 publications (reporting results for 76 studies) met the eligibility criteria and were included in the review. Among the 76 studies included, 61 were observational and 15 were randomized controlled clinical trials. Exacerbation history was the strongest predictor of future exacerbations, with 34 studies reporting a significant association between history of exacerbations and risk of future moderate or severe exacerbations. Other significant risk factors identified in multiple studies included disease severity or bronchodilator reversibility (39 studies), comorbidities (34 studies), higher symptom burden (17 studies), and higher blood eosinophil count (16 studies).

Conclusions

This systematic literature review identified several demographic and clinical characteristics that predict the future risk of COPD exacerbations. Prior exacerbation history was confirmed as the most important predictor of future exacerbations. These prognostic factors may help clinicians identify patients at high risk of exacerbations, which are a major driver of the global burden of COPD, including morbidity and mortality.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12931-022-02123-5.

Association of COPD exacerbations and acute cardiovascular events: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background:

The majority of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) suffer from comorbid cardiovascular (CV) disease. Accumulating evidence suggests a temporal association between COPD exacerbations and acute CV events, possibly due to lung hyperinflation, increased hypoxemia and systemic inflammation. The aims of the study were to estimate the risk of (1) acute CV events [acute myocardial infarction (AMI), CV-related death] or stroke in the months following a COPD exacerbation and (2) COPD exacerbation in the months following an acute CV event.

Methods:

A systematic literature review of observational studies published since 2000 was conducted by searching literature databases (Medline and Embase). Studies were eligible if conducted in adults with COPD, exposed to either COPD exacerbation or acute CV events, with outcomes of acute CV events or COPD exacerbation reported. Studies were appraised for relevance, bias and quality. Meta-analyses, using random-effect models, were performed for each outcome of interest, thus providing a pooled relative risk (RR) and its 95% confidence interval.

Results:

Eight studies were identified, of which seven were used for the meta-analyses examining the risk of CV events 1–3 months after an exacerbation compared with none. For stroke (six studies), RR was 1.68 (95% CI = 1.19–2.38). For AMI (six studies), RR was 2.43 (95% CI = 1.40–4.20). No studies exploring risk of exacerbation following an acute CV event were identified.

Conclusion:

This meta-analysis identified a markedly increased risk of stroke or AMI within a relatively short period of time following a COPD exacerbation. Although the underlying mechanisms are not fully elucidated, patients with COPD should be monitored for risk of CV outcomes after exacerbations. In addition, preventing exacerbations may decrease the risk of subsequent acute CV events.

Registration:

The study protocol was published via PROSPERO: International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (#CRD42020211055).

Obesity is a strong risk factor for short-term mortality and adverse outcomes in Mexican patients with COVID-19: a national observational study

Conflicting results have been obtained through meta-analyses for the role of obesity as a risk factor for adverse outcomes in patients with coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19), possibly due to the inclusion of predominantly multimorbid patients with severe COVID-19. Here, we aimed to study obesity alone or in combination with other comorbidities as a risk factor for short-term all-cause mortality and other adverse outcomes in Mexican patients evaluated for suspected COVID-19 in ambulatory units and hospitals in Mexico. We performed a retrospective observational analysis in a national cohort of 71 103 patients from all 32 states of Mexico from the National COVID-19 Epidemiological Surveillance Study. Two statistical models were applied through Cox regression to create survival models and logistic regression models to determine risk of death, hospitalisation, invasive mechanical ventilation, pneumonia and admission to an intensive care unit, conferred by obesity and other comorbidities (diabetes mellitus (DM), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, immunosuppression, hypertension, cardiovascular disease and chronic kidney disease). Models were adjusted for other risk factors. From 24 February to 26 April 2020, 71 103 patients were evaluated for suspected COVID-19; 15 529 (21.8%) had a positive test for SARS-CoV-2; 46 960 (66.1%), negative and 8614 (12.1%), pending results. Obesity alone increased adjusted mortality risk in positive patients (hazard ratio (HR) = 2.7, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.04-2.98), but not in negative and pending-result patients. Obesity combined with other comorbidities further increased risk of death (DM: HR = 2.79, 95% CI 2.04-3.80; immunosuppression: HR = 5.06, 95% CI 2.26-11.41; hypertension: HR = 2.30, 95% CI 1.77-3.01) and other adverse outcomes. In conclusion, obesity is a strong risk factor for short-term mortality and critical illness in Mexican patients with COVID-19; risk increases when obesity is present with other comorbidities.

Aspects extrapulmonaires des exacerbations de bronchopneumopathie chronique obstructive

La bronchopneumopathie chronique obstructive (BPCO) est une maladie systémique aux multiples atteintes, émaillée d’exacerbations. L’inflammation, l’hypoxémie, les troubles de la coagulation et les perturbations des interactions coeur–poumon expliquent en partie les atteintes non pulmonaires observées notamment lors d’exacerbations aiguës. Les événements cardiovasculaires sont la première cause de mortalité des patients BPCO, et leur recrudescence est observée pendant plusieurs semaines après une exacerbation. Aux urgences, la prise en charge des patients en exacerbation de BPCO repose donc en plus du support ventilatoire sur une bonne évaluation des potentielles pathologies associées telles que l’insuffisance cardiaque, l’ischémie myocardique, l’insuffisance rénale ou encore la maladie thromboembolique. Cette évaluation globale permet d’adapter les thérapeutiques parfois délétères sur la fonction cardiaque ou l’équilibre acide−base et de prendre en compte le risque extrapulmonaire dans le choix du parcours de soins du patient. Dans cette mise au point, nous abordons quelques explications physiologiques des multiples perturbations observées au cours de l’exacerbation de BPCO, et proposons une vision globale de l’évaluation de ces patients admis pour une dyspnée ou un autre motif pouvant être en rapport avec la BPCO.

Serum bilirubin level is associated with exercise capacity and quality of life in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

BACKGROUND

Bilirubin has antioxidant properties against chronic respiratory diseases. However, previous studies are limited by acquisition of serum bilirubin level at one time point and its analysis with clinical parameters. We evaluated the association of serum bilirubin levels with various clinical outcomes of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in Korean Obstructive Lung Disease (KOLD) cohort.

METHODS

We included 535 patients with COPD from the KOLD cohort. Serum bilirubin levels and various clinical parameters, such as lung function, 6-min walking (6 MW) distance, quality of life (QoL), and exacerbation, were evaluated annually; their association was analyzed using generalized estimating equations and the linear mixed model.

RESULTS

Among 535 patients, 345 (64.5%) and 190 (35.5%) were categorized into Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) I-II and GOLD III-IV groups, respectively. 6 MW distance was positively associated with serum bilirubin levels, especially in the GOLD I-II group (estimated mean = 41.5). Among QoL indexes, the COPD assessment test score was negatively associated with serum bilirubin levels only in the GOLD I-II group (estimated mean = - 2.8). Higher serum bilirubin levels were independently associated with a higher number of acute exacerbation in the GOLD III-IV group (estimated mean = 0.45, P = 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that lung function and mortality were not associated with serum bilirubin levels.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher serum bilirubin levels were associated with a longer 6 MW distance and better QoL, especially in the GOLD I-II group, whereas they were related to a higher risk of acute exacerbation, especially in the GOLD III-IV group. Bilirubin levels may represent various conditions in COPD.