Integrating real-world data and modeling to project changes in femoral neck bone mineral density and fracture risk in premenopausal women

Modeling tumor size dynamics based on real-world electronic health records and image data in advanced melanoma patients receiving immunotherapy

The development of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) has revolutionized cancer therapy but only a fraction of patients benefits from this therapy. Model-informed drug development can be used to assess prognostic and predictive clinical factors or biomarkers associated with treatment response. Most pharmacometric models have thus far been developed using data from randomized clinical trials, and further studies are needed to translate their findings into the real-world setting. We developed a tumor growth inhibition model based on real-world clinical and imaging data in a population of 91 advanced melanoma patients receiving ICIs (i.e., ipilimumab, nivolumab, and pembrolizumab). Drug effect was modeled as an ON/OFF treatment effect, with a tumor killing rate constant identical for the three drugs. Significant and clinically relevant covariate effects of albumin, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status were identified on the baseline tumor volume parameter, as well as NRAS mutation on tumor growth rate constant using standard pharmacometric approaches. In a population subgroup (n = 38), we had the opportunity to conduct an exploratory analysis of image-based covariates (i.e., radiomics features), by combining machine learning and conventional pharmacometric covariate selection approaches. Overall, we demonstrated an innovative pipeline for longitudinal analyses of clinical and imaging RWD with a high-dimensional covariate selection method that enabled the identification of factors associated with tumor dynamics. This study also provides a proof of concept for using radiomics features as model covariates.

Interdisciplinary model-informed drug development for extending duration of elagolix treatment in patients with uterine fibroids

AIM

Elagolix, a gonadotropin-releasing hormone receptor antagonist, was recently approved for heavy menstrual bleeding associated with uterine fibroids (UF, Oriahnn) at a dose of 300 mg twice daily (BID) in combination with add-back therapy (oestradiol 1 mg/norethindrone acetate 0.5 mg [E2/NETA] once daily) for 24 months use. The limited duration of treatment is related to elagolix dose- and duration-dependent decrease in oestrogen that is mechanistically linked to changes in bone mineral density (BMD). The work herein supported the extended treatment duration of 24 months.

METHODS

An integrated exposure-response and epidemiological modelling framework of elagolix effects on femoral neck BMD (FN-BMD), informed by real-world data and phase 3 clinical trials data, was developed to predict the time course and magnitude of changes in BMD and its relation to risk of bone fracture in women with UF.

RESULTS

Model results indicated that women treated with elagolix 300 mg BID + E2/NETA in the long term (ie, >24 months) may experience less than 1% loss in FN-BMD per year, relative to placebo. The exposure-response model simulations and clinical risk factors were used to estimate 10-year risk of fractures using the clinically validated Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX). The impact of elagolix 300 mg BID + E2/NETA treatment on the 10-year risk of hip or major osteoporotic fractures estimated from the FRAX model was minimal compared to that of placebo.

CONCLUSION

The elagolix integrated exposure-BMD analysis and translation to fracture risk provided an interdisciplinary model-informed drug development framework for clinical benefit-risk evaluation and enabled approval of longer treatment duration to benefit the patient.

Multimorbidity and Polytherapy in Patients with Femoral Neck Fracture: A Retrospective Observational Study

Fractures of the femoral neck are one of the most common reasons for admission to an orthopedic institute. These patients also show multimorbidity (≥2 chronic conditions) and polytherapy (≥5 drugs). Multimorbidity and polytherapy are associated with a high risk of hospitalization and a reduction in quality of life. The present retrospective observational study was conducted to evaluate the prevalence of multimorbidity and polytherapy in patients aged ≥65 years and surgically treated for femoral neck fractures at an orthopedic institute over 3 years. Multimorbidity was evaluated with Elixhauser’s comorbidity measure and polytherapy was obtained from the patient’s medical record. This study identified 917 patients (84 ± 7.6 years); most of them were females. Most patients presented ≥2 chronic conditions, the most frequent of which was uncomplicated hypertension, and most patients used ≥5 drugs, of which antithrombotic ones were the most frequently taken. No significant gender and age differences were found between the presence or not of multimorbidity or polytherapy. Multimorbidity and polytherapy were statistically associated with an increased and decreased risk of 1-year mortality, respectively. This retrospective study has evaluated the variables required for the establishment of a minimum core of descriptors of the prevalence of polytherapy and multimorbidity in the orthopedic field.

Current approaches to overcome the side effects of GnRH analogs in the treatment of patients with uterine fibroids

Introduction: Uterine fibroids (UFs) are the most prevalent benign neoplastic threat originating from myometria of reproductive age women, with a profound financial load valued in hundreds of billions of dollars. Unfortunately, there is no curative treatment so far except surgery and available pharmacological treatments are restricted for short-term treatment options. Thus, there is a large unmet need in the UF space for noninvasive therapeutics.Areas covered: The authors reviewed the literature available for the utility of gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) analogs in women with UFs. We also focused on clinical studies exploring the therapeutic benefits of novel oral non-peptide GnRH antagonists that were recently approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in combination with estradiol/norethindrone acetate for the management of heavy menstrual bleeding associated with UFs in premenopausal women.Expert opinion: The results regarding the efficacy of new-generation oral GnRH-antagonists, such as elagolix, relugolix and linzagolix, are promising and offer potential prospect for the future therapy of UFs. However, these antagonists must be combined with hormonal add-back therapy to minimize the resultant hypoestrogenic side effects such as bone loss.