The dynamics of death in melanoma

Overdiagnosis in malignant melanoma: a scoping review

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to systematically identify and scrutinise published empirical evidence about overdiagnosis in malignant melanoma and examine how frequent overdiagnosis of melanoma is and whether this is related to different types of interventions or diagnostic technologies.

DESIGN AND SETTING

Empirical studies that discussed overdiagnosis in malignant melanoma were eligible, including qualitative and quantitative studies in any type of population, age group and geographical location. We excluded studies that did not include empirical data, studies that only mentioned 'overdiagnosis' without addressing it further and studies that used the term overdiagnosis for cases of misdiagnosis or false positives.We developed the search strategy in cooperation with an information specialist. We searched five databases on 21 April 2022: MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, PsycINFO and Cochrane Library.This scoping review adheres to The JBI methodology and Prefered Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses extension for Scoping reviews (PRISMA-ScR). Two reviewers independently screened titles, abstracts and full texts for inclusion and extracted data from the included studies. The data extracted include study characteristics, population details, research question, the context and the study's main results.

RESULTS

Our search resulted in 1134 potentially relevant studies. 35 studies were included: 29 register studies, 3 cohort studies, 1 case-control study, 1 survey study and 1 randomised controlled trial. Most register studies examined trends in melanoma incidence and/or mortality and found a significant increase in incidence between 0.39% and 6.6% annually and a little or no increase in mortality. Three cohort studies and one case-control study showed that skin screening was associated with increased detection of melanoma; especially in situ or thin invasive melanoma. Three studies estimated the degree of overdiagnosis which ranged from 29% to 60%.

CONCLUSIONS

Epidemiological data suggest a high degree of overdiagnosis in malignant melanoma. Studies that examined the association between skin screening and malignant melanoma all found increased detection of melanomas, mostly thin and in situ melanomas, which raises concern about overdiagnosis.

Trends in mortality from cutaneous malignant melanoma in Spain (1982-2016): sex-specific age-cohort-period effects

BACKGROUND

Mortality from malignant cutaneous melanoma increased alarmingly during the second half of the 20th century in Spain and other European countries.

OBJECTIVE

The aim was to analyse sex- and age-specific trends in melanoma mortality in Spain in the period 1982-2016.

METHODS

European age-standardized melanoma mortality rates during the period 1982-2016 were calculated from mortality figures provided by the National Statistics Institute. Joinpoint regressions were used to identify significant points of change in trends and to compute average annual per cent change (AAPC). Age-cohort-period models were fitted to explore the effect of these variables on mortality.

RESULTS

During the period 1982-2016, age-standardized melanoma mortality rates increased in Spain from 0.90 to 1.80 deaths per 100 000 people in men and from 0.64 to 1.11 per 100 000 in women, rising noticeably from 1982 to 1995 in both sexes and in all age groups. From the mid-90s different trends were observed depending on sex and age: there was a decrease in mortality in the population younger than 45 years (AAPC -2 in both sexes) and aged 45-64 years (AAPC -1 among men and -0.2 among women), but in the group over 64 years rates continued to increase (AAPC 1.7 and 0.2, respectively, for men and women). The mortality sex ratio decreased in the younger population but increased in older individuals. A cohort effect was observed with lower mortality in the cohorts born after 1943 in men and 1956 in women. There was also a period effect with decreased mortality rates at the beginning of the 1990s.

CONCLUSIONS

Melanoma mortality rates in Spain increased during the last decades of the 20th century; however, later they stabilized in women and began to decrease in younger cohorts and middle-aged men. Promotion of primary and secondary prevention measures should continue, with particular emphasis on males over 65 years.

Primary amelanotic mucosal melanoma of the oronasal region: report of two new cases and literature review

Primary amelanotic mucosal melanoma is a rare entity with challenging histopathological features. Because these tumors are thought to be biologically more aggressive, they have a poorer prognosis than that of pigmented melanomas. In this work, we present a literature review about the clinical, histopathological, and immunohistochemical features of primary amelanotic mucosal melanoma of the oronasal region and report two new cases. Amelanotic mucosal melanoma commonly affects men in the seventh decade of life and tend to have a poor prognosis, as seen by the high incidence of metastasis, recurrences, and, ultimately, death. There is a similar pattern in the clinic-pathological predilections (such as age, gender, primary site, and metastatic potential) of amelanotic mucosal melanoma when comparing with data reported for pigmented lesions. This work reinforces knowledge about amelanotic mucosal melanomas and epidemiologic predilections. The optimal management of this lesion remains controversial.

A review of survival in mycosis fungoides

OBJECTIVES

The objectives of this study are to review prior publications of survival for patients with mycosis fungoides (MF), to perform some analyses on the consolidated data, and then to consider the implications of the results.

METHODS

The data for this study comprise 18 survival curves derived from seven prior publications of long-term survival in relatively large series of patients with MF. Altogether, the study uses results from over 5,000 patients. To examine fatality, the study uses hazard functions derived from the survival curves.

RESULTS

The analyses demonstrate significant variability in survival between different groups who have studied MF, and the results document that for most patients the diagnosis of MF has little impact on fatality.

CONCLUSIONS

Although MF is considered a cutaneous lymphoma, that is, a malignancy, it may be time to reconsider low stages of MF as precursors to malignancy analogous to the precursors to malignancies of other types or organs.

Revisiting overdiagnosis and fatality in thyroid cancer

OBJECTIVES

To examine the rates of incidence and fatality in cohorts of patients diagnosed with thyroid cancer from 1975 to 1999.

METHODS

This study uses National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results data and derives hazard functions in order to examine the fatality in thyroid cancer.

RESULTS

The study documents forms of rapidly evolving and fatal tumors as well as forms of tumor that evolve more slowly to cause death. It demonstrates that the incidences of nonfatal forms of thyroid cancer have risen dramatically in the years from 1975 to 1999-mostly due to papillary carcinomas-but that the incidences of fatal forms of thyroid cancer have remained nearly constant.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study support the notion that many thyroid cancers are part of a reservoir of nonfatal tumors that are increasingly being overdetected and overdiagnosed.