Complication rate among people with diabetes at low risk of foot ulceration in Fife, UK: an analysis of routinely collected data

Early screening for foot problems in people with diabetes is the need of the hour: 'Save the Feet and Keep Walking Campaign' in India

INTRODUCTION

Evidence on the prevalence of foot problems among people with diabetes in India at a national level is lacking. Hence, this study was aimed to assess the burden of high-risk (HR) feet in people with diabetes across India.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

A cross-sectional national-level project 'Save the Feet and Keep Walking' campaign was conducted by the Research Society for the Study of Diabetes in India (RSSDI) from July 10, 2022 to August 10, 2022. A modified version of 3 min foot examination was used to assess the foot problems. Around 10 000 doctors with RSSDI membership were trained online to conduct foot screening and provided a standardised monofilament for detection of loss of protective sensation. People with diabetes aged >18 years who visited the clinics during the study period were examined for foot problems. Data were collected online using the semi-structured questionnaire. A total of 33 259 participants with complete information were included for the final analysis. The foot at risk was categorised based on International Working Group on the Diabetic Foot guidelines 2023.

RESULTS

Nearly 75% of the participants were aged above 45 years. Around 49% had diabetes duration >5 years and uncontrolled diabetes (hemoglobin A1c >8%). Presence of history of foot ulcer (20%), lower limb amputation (15.3%), foot deformities (24.5%) and absence of diminished dorsal pedis and posterior tibial pulses (26.4%) was noted in the study participants. Around 25.2% of them had HR feet and highly prevalent among males. Diabetic kidney and retinal complications were present in 70% and 75.5% of people with HR feet. Presence of heel fissures (OR (95% CI) 4.6 (4.2 to 5.1)) and callus or corns (OR (95% CI) 3.6 (3.3 to 4.0)) were significantly associated with HR feet.

CONCLUSIONS

One-fourth of people with diabetes were found to have HR feet in India. The findings are suggestive of regular screening of people with diabetes for foot problems and strengthening of primary healthcare.

Evaluating and mapping the evidence that screening for diabetic foot disease meets the criteria for population-wide screening: a scoping review

Objective

To evaluate and map the evidence around diabetes-related foot screening using the World Health Organisation screening principles, which set the gold standard for determining the appropriateness of introducing population-wide screening programmes internationally.

Design

A scoping review methodology in line with Arksey and O'Malley and the Joanna Briggs Institute.

Data sources

Medline (EBSCO), Scopus, ScienceDirect and EMBASE between 24 May 2022 and 12 July 2022. Reference lists of the selected studies, and 'Google' and 'Google Scholar' were also searched.

Eligibility criteria

Inclusion criteria were informed by the principles of screening. Articles, published in English since 2000, reporting on the impact of the diabetes-related foot ulcers, effectiveness of treatment available for those identified as being at risk, reliability of screening tests for screening for the at-risk foot and the effectiveness, cost-effectiveness, safety and ethics of diabetes-related foot screening programmes were included.

Data extraction and synthesis

Data were extracted by one reviewer, with data extraction headings relating to the principles of screening. A narrative synthesis approach was used to report the information from included studies.

Results

46 articles were deemed eligible for inclusion. Diabetes-related foot ulcers are an important health condition associated with increased risk of mortality and poorer quality of life. However, there is insufficient evidence on the effectiveness of treatments to prevent disease development. Moreover, while consensus exists on what screening tools should be used to screen for risk factors, there is no agreement on threshold values. Finally, there is no available information on the potential budgetary, organisational or societal implications of a whole-population diabetes-related foot screening programme.

Conclusion

Existing evidence does not support the introduction of an organised population-wide screening programme in the context of World Health Organisation screening principles. Further research on treatment and management strategies for the at-risk foot and of whole-population screening programmes is required.

The 10-year follow-up of a community-based cohort of people with diabetes: The incidence of foot ulceration and death

BACKGROUND

Identifying people with diabetes who are likely to experience a foot ulcer is an important part of preventative care. Many cohort studies report predictive models for foot ulcerations and for people with diabetes, but reports of long-term outcomes are scarce.

AIM

We aimed to develop a predictive model for foot ulceration in diabetes using a range of potential risk factors with a follow-up of 10 years after recruitment. A new foot ulceration was the outcome of interest and death was the secondary outcome of interest.

DESIGN

A 10-year follow-up cohort study.

METHODS

1193 people with a diagnosis of diabetes who took part in a study in 2006-2007 were invited to participate in a 10-year follow-up. We developed a prognostic model for the incidence of incident foot ulcerations using a survival analysis, Cox proportional hazards model. We also utilised survival analysis Kaplan-Meier curves, and relevant tests, to assess the association between the predictor variables for foot ulceration and death.

RESULTS

At 10-year follow-up, 41% of the original study population had died and more than 18% had developed a foot ulcer. The predictive factors for foot ulceration were an inability to feel a 10 g monofilament or vibration from a tuning fork, previous foot ulceration and duration of diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

The prognostic model shows an increased risk of ulceration for those with previous history of foot ulcerations, insensitivity to a 10 g monofilament, a tuning fork and duration of diabetes. The incidence of foot ulceration at 10-year follow-up was 18%; however, the risk of death for this community-based population was far greater than the risk of foot ulceration.

Prognostic models for predicting the risk of foot ulcer or amputation in people with type 2 diabetes: a systematic review and external validation study

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Approximately 25% of people with type 2 diabetes experience a foot ulcer and their risk of amputation is 10-20 times higher than that of people without type 2 diabetes. Prognostic models can aid in targeted monitoring but an overview of their performance is lacking. This study aimed to systematically review prognostic models for the risk of foot ulcer or amputation and quantify their predictive performance in an independent cohort.

METHODS

A systematic review identified studies developing prognostic models for foot ulcer or amputation over minimal 1 year follow-up applicable to people with type 2 diabetes. After data extraction and risk of bias assessment (both in duplicate), selected models were externally validated in a prospective cohort with a 5 year follow-up in terms of discrimination (C statistics) and calibration (calibration plots).

RESULTS

We identified 21 studies with 34 models predicting polyneuropathy, foot ulcer or amputation. Eleven models were validated in 7624 participants, of whom 485 developed an ulcer and 70 underwent amputation. The models for foot ulcer showed C statistics (95% CI) ranging from 0.54 (0.54, 0.54) to 0.81 (0.75, 0.86) and models for amputation showed C statistics (95% CI) ranging from 0.63 (0.55, 0.71) to 0.86 (0.78, 0.94). Most models underestimated the ulcer or amputation risk in the highest risk quintiles. Three models performed well to predict a combined endpoint of amputation and foot ulcer (C statistics >0.75).

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Thirty-four prognostic models for the risk of foot ulcer or amputation were identified. Although the performance of the models varied considerably, three models performed well to predict foot ulcer or amputation and may be applicable to clinical practice.

Development and validation of a clinical prediction rule for development of diabetic foot ulceration: an analysis of data from five cohort studies

INTRODUCTION

The aim of the study was to develop and validate a clinical prediction rule (CPR) for foot ulceration in people with diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Development of a CPR using individual participant data from four international cohort studies identified by systematic review, with validation in a fifth study. Development cohorts were from primary and secondary care foot clinics in Europe and the USA (n=8255, adults over 18 years old, with diabetes, ulcer free at recruitment). Using data from monofilament testing, presence/absence of pulses, and participant history of previous ulcer and/or amputation, we developed a simple CPR to predict who will develop a foot ulcer within 2 years of initial assessment and validated it in a fifth study (n=3324). The CPR's performance was assessed with C-statistics, calibration slopes, calibration-in-the-large, and a net benefit analysis.

RESULTS

CPR scores of 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4 had a risk of ulcer within 2 years of 2.4% (95% CI 1.5% to 3.9%), 6.0% (95% CI 3.5% to 9.5%), 14.0% (95% CI 8.5% to 21.3%), 29.2% (95% CI 19.2% to 41.0%), and 51.1% (95% CI 37.9% to 64.1%), respectively. In the validation dataset, calibration-in-the-large was -0.374 (95% CI -0.561 to -0.187) and calibration slope 1.139 (95% CI 0.994 to 1.283). The C-statistic was 0.829 (95% CI 0.790 to 0.868). The net benefit analysis suggested that people with a CPR score of 1 or more (risk of ulceration 6.0% or more) should be referred for treatment.

CONCLUSION

The clinical prediction rule is simple, using routinely obtained data, and could help prevent foot ulcers by redirecting care to patients with scores of 1 or above. It has been validated in a community setting, and requires further validation in secondary care settings.