Rapid improvement of muscle weakness post-thymectomy indicates good long-term neurological outcome in patients with ocular myasthenia gravis

The rate of QMGS change predicts recurrence after thymectomy in myasthenia gravis

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the relationship between short-term changes in quantitative myasthenia gravis score (QMGS) after thymectomy and postoperative recurrence in myasthenia gravis (MG) patients without thymoma.

METHODS

A retrospective observational cohort study. The QMGS of 44 patients with non-thymomatous MG were evaluated before and 1 month after thymectomy, and the frequency and time of postoperative recurrence were recorded. The reduction rate of QMGS (rr-QMGS) was defined as (QMGS one week before thymectomy - QMGS one month after thymectomy)/ QMGS one week before thymectomy × 100 %, as an indicator of short-term symptom change after thymectomy. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was established to determine an appropriate cut-off value of rr-QMGS for distinguishing postoperative recurrence. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was applied to predict postoperative recurrence.

RESULTS

Postoperative recurrence occurred in 21 patients (30 times in total) during follow-up. The mean annual recurrence rate was 3.98 times/year preoperatively and 0.30 times/year postoperatively. ROC analysis determined the cut-off value of rr-QMGS was 36.7 % (sensitivity 90.5 %, specificity 52.2 %). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that rr-QMGS＜36.7 % (hazard rate[HR]6.251, P = 0.014) is positive predictor of postoperative recurrence. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that postoperative recurrence time was earlier in the low rr-QMGS group than in the high rr-QMGS group (12.62 vs. 36.60 months, p = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

Low rr-QMGS is associated with early postoperative recurrence. Rr-QMGS can be used to predict postoperative recurrence of non-thymomatous MG.

Poor responses and adverse outcomes of myasthenia gravis after thymectomy: Predicting factors and immunological implications

Myasthenia gravis (MG) has been recognized as a series of heterogeneous but treatable autoimmune conditions. As one of the indispensable therapies, thymectomy can achieve favorable prognosis especially in early-onset generalized MG patients with seropositive acetylcholine receptor antibody. However, poor outcomes, including worsening or relapse of MG, postoperative myasthenic crisis and even post-thymectomy MG, are also observed in certain scenarios. The responses to thymectomy may be associated with the general characteristics of patients, disease conditions of MG, autoantibody profiles, native or ectopic thymic pathologies, surgical-related factors, pharmacotherapy and other adjuvant modalities, and the presence of comorbidities and complications. However, in addition to these variations among individuals, pathological remnants and the abnormal immunological milieu and responses potentially represent major mechanisms that underlie the detrimental neurological outcomes after thymectomy. We underscore these plausible risk factors and discuss the immunological implications therein, which may be conducive to better managing the indications for thymectomy, to avoiding modifiable risk factors of poor responses and adverse outcomes, and to developing post-thymectomy preventive and therapeutic strategies for MG.

Development and Validation of a Nomogram for Predicting Generalization in Patients With Ocular Myasthenia Gravis

Background

This study aims to develop and validate a nomogram for predicting 1- and 2-year generalization probabilities in patients with ocular myasthenia gravis (OMG).

Methods

In total, 501 eligible patients with OMG treated at seven tertiary hospitals in China between January 2015 and May 2019 were included. The primary outcome measure was disease generalization. A nomogram for predicting 1- and 2-year generalization probabilities was constructed using a stepwise Cox regression model. Nomogram performance was quantified using C-indexes and calibration curves. Two-year cumulative generalization rates were analyzed using the Kaplan−Meier method for distinct nomogram-stratified risk groups. The clinical usefulness of the nomogram was evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA).

Result

The eligible patients were randomly divided into a development cohort (n=351, 70%) and a validation cohort (n=150, 30%). The final model included five variables: sex, onset age, repetitive nerve stimulation findings, acetylcholine receptor antibody test results, and thymic status. The model demonstrated good discrimination (C-indexes of 0.733 and 0.788 in the development and validation cohorts, respectively) and calibration, with good agreement between actual and nomogram-estimated generalization probabilities. Kaplan−Meier curves revealed higher 2-year cumulative generalization rates in the high-risk group than that in the low-risk group. DCA demonstrated a higher net benefit of nomogram-assisted decisions compared to treatment of all patients or none.

Conclusion

The nomogram model can predict 1- and 2-year generalization probabilities in patients with OMG and stratified these patients into distinct generalization risk groups. The nomogram has potential to aid neurologists in selecting suitable patients for initiating immunotherapy and for enrolment in clinical trials of risk-modifying treatments.

Risk Factors for Generalization in Patients with Ocular Myasthenia Gravis: A Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study

Introduction

Many patients with ocular myasthenia gravis (OMG) progress to generalized disease within the first 2 years of the onset of ocular symptoms. Several retrospective studies have identified risk factors associated with generalization, however these studies included patients on immunosuppression therapy or those undergoing thymectomy, which may reduce the generalization risk. In this study we explored the risk factors for generalization in non-immunosuppressed and non-thymectomized patients with OMG.

Methods

Data from patients with OMG treated at seven tertiary hospitals in China were retrospectively reviewed. Clinical characteristics, including sex, age at onset, symptoms at onset, comorbid autoimmune diseases, neostigmine test response, repetitive nerve stimulation (RNS) findings, presence of serum anti-acetylcholine receptor antibody (AChR-Ab), and thymic status based on radiological and pathological studies, were collected. The main outcome measure was disease generalization. The follow-up period was defined as the date of ocular symptom onset to the date of confirmation of generalization or immunotherapy initiation, or last follow-up (defined as 60 months). The Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess the risk factors for generalization.

Results

Overall, 572 patients (269 women) were eligible for inclusion in the analysis, of whom 144 developed generalization. The mean (standard deviation) onset age was 45.5 (19.8) years, and the median (interquartile range) follow-up period was 14.5 (7.0–47.3) months. Multivariable Cox regression analysis demonstrated that both early-onset (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 5.34; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.64–17.36; p = 0.005) and late-onset (aHR 7.18; 95% CI 2.22–23.27; p = 0.001) in adulthood, abnormal RNS findings (aHR 3.01; 95% CI 1.97–4.61; p < 0.001), seropositivity for AChR-Ab (aHR 2.58; 95% CI 1.26–5.26; p = 0.01), and thymoma (aHR 1.62; 95% CI 1.05–2.49; p = 0.03) were independently associated with increased risk of generalization.

Conclusion

The risk of generalization increased significantly in patients with adult-onset OMG, abnormal RNS findings, seropositivity for AChR-Ab, and thymoma, suggesting that these risk factors may predict OMG generalization.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40120-021-00292-x.

Thymectomy and Risk of Generalization in Patients with Ocular Myasthenia Gravis: A Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study

This study aims to investigate the association between thymectomy and the risk of generalization in patients with ocular myasthenia gravis (MG). Data on patients with ocular MG from seven neurological centers in China were retrospectively reviewed. Ocular MG naïve to immunotherapy was categorized according to whether thymectomy was performed (thymectomized group vs. nonsurgical group). Patients in the thymectomized group all underwent surgery within 2 years since ocular symptom onset. The main outcome measure was the generalization. The follow-up period was defined from the date of ocular symptom onset to the date of generalization confirmation, immunotherapy initiation, or last follow-up (defined as 60 months). Of 519 eligible patients (mean [SD] age, 48.7 [15.2] years, 46.6% women), 31 (23.7%) of 131 generalized in the thymectomized group and 122 (31.4%) of 388 did in the nonsurgical group during a median follow-up of 19 months (IQR 8.0-50.0). Thymectomy was independently associated with reduced generalization risk (adjusted HR 0.41, 95% CI 0.25-0.66, P < 0.001). Multivariable stratified analysis also verified this association across the subgroups. Kaplan-Meier curves showed that the 5-year cumulative rate was significantly lower in the thymectomized group than in the nonsurgical group. To conclude, thymectomy may be considered effective in modifying the progression from ocular to generalized MG irrespective of thymoma.