Acute ischaemic stroke in the absence of established vascular risk factors: Patient characteristics, stroke mechanism and long-term outcome

A comprehensive analysis of stroke risk factors and development of a predictive model using machine learning approaches

Stroke is a leading cause of death and disability globally, particularly in China. Identifying risk factors for stroke at an early stage is critical to improving patient outcomes and reducing the overall disease burden. However, the complexity of stroke risk factors requires advanced approaches for accurate prediction. The objective of this study is to identify key risk factors for stroke and develop a predictive model using machine learning techniques to enhance early detection and improve clinical decision-making. Data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (2011-2020) were analyzed, classifying participants based on baseline characteristics. We evaluated correlations among 12 chronic diseases and applied machine learning algorithms to identify stroke-associated parameters. A dose-response relationship between these parameters and stroke was assessed using restricted cubic splines with Cox proportional hazards models. A refined predictive model, incorporating age, sex, and key risk factors, was developed. Stroke patients were significantly older (average age 69.03 years) and had a higher proportion of women (53%) compared to non-stroke individuals. Additionally, stroke patients were more likely to reside in rural areas, be unmarried, smoke, and suffer from various diseases. While the 12 chronic diseases were correlated (p < 0.05), the correlation coefficients were generally weak (r < 0.5). Machine learning identified nine parameters significantly associated with stroke risk: TyG-WC, WHtR, TyG-BMI, TyG, TMO, CysC, CREA, SBP, and HDL-C. Of these, TyG-WC, WHtR, TyG-BMI, TyG, CysC, CREA, and SBP exhibited a positive dose-response relationship with stroke risk. In contrast, TMO and HDL-C were associated with reduced stroke risk. In the fully adjusted model, elevated CysC (HR = 2.606, 95% CI 1.869-3.635), CREA (HR = 1.819, 95% CI 1.240-2.668), and SBP (HR = 1.008, 95% CI 1.003-1.012) were significantly associated with increased stroke risk, while higher HDL-C (HR = 0.989, 95% CI 0.984-0.995) and TMO (HR = 0.99995, 95% CI 0.99994-0.99997) were protective. A nomogram model incorporating age, sex, and the identified parameters demonstrated superior predictive accuracy, with a significantly higher Harrell's C-index compared to individual predictors. This study identifies several significant stroke risk factors and presents a predictive model that can enhance early detection of high-risk individuals. Among them, CREA, CysC, SBP, TyG-BMI, TyG, TyG-WC, and WHtR were positively associated with stroke risk, whereas TMO and HDL-C were opposite. This serves as a valuable decision-support resource for clinicians, facilitating more effective prevention and treatment strategies, ultimately improving patient outcomes.

Assessing care dependence status and associated influencing factors among middle-aged hemiplegic stroke patients during the post-acute rehabilitation phase: A correlational study

AIMS

To comprehensively examine the prevailing condition of care dependence among middle-aged individuals who have experienced hemiplegia subsequent to a stroke and were currently undergoing post-acute rehabilitation. Additionally, the study sought to analyse the determinants that impacted this phenomenon.

DESIGN

A single-centre, cross-sectional study design.

METHODS

During the period from January 2020 to October 2022, a cohort of 196 hemiplegic stroke patients, aged between 40 and 65, and within 6 months of their stroke onset, was selected from the cerebrovascular outpatient clinic at a tertiary hospital in Hangzhou. The demographic and disease-related data, care dependence level, mental state, nutrition and depression status were collected. Furthermore, all collected data were analysed by descriptive and correlative statistical methods.

RESULTS

The care dependence level was 51.04 ± 9.42, with an incidence of care dependence of 78.1%. Multivariate regression analysis showed that age, history of falls, physical dysfunction, chronic comorbidities, depression, nutritional status and cognitive dysfunction were influencing factors for care dependence in the participants after a stroke.

CONCLUSION

The incidence of care dependence among hemiplegic patients aged from 40 to 65 years old in the early stage after a stroke was high. Nursing staff should focus on these patients with a history of falling, physical dysfunction, comorbidity, depression status, nutritional status and cognitive dysfunction in clinical practice.

RELEVANCE TO CLINICAL PRACTICE

The incidence of care dependence in middle-aged hemiplegic patients following a stroke is significantly increased. Some risk factors should be assessed, monitored, and controlled by nursing staff as early as possible in order to reduce the dependence levels in post-acute rehabilitation period and improve the quality of life of hemiplegia patients.

REPORTING METHOD

Our study complies with the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) Checklist: cross-sectional studies (see Table S1).

PATIENT OR PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION

No patient or public contribution.

Recurrent stroke in a reproductive age women with patent foramen ovale

BACKGROUND

Patent foramen ovale (PFO) is a known cause of ischemic stroke in young adults and combined oral contraceptives (COCs) are widely used by women of reproductive age. If young women with PFO are taking COCs, they may be subjected to a synergistic increase in the occurrence of stroke, though reports of ischemic stroke in this population are rare. We report a woman of reproductive age who was taking COC suffered repetitive ischemic strokes before a patent foramen ovale (PFO) was detected and closed, which may raise concerns in this field.

CASE PRESENTATION

A 31-year-old woman presented to the emergency department with sudden-onset right upper- and lower-limb weakness and dysarthria for 1 hour, whose only risk factor of stroke was oral contraceptive use. On admission, she was alert with left gaze deviation, dysarthria, and right-sided hemiplegia. Her symptoms improved after receiving the revascularization therapy. About 24 hours later, her left eye experienced sudden painless vision loss. Then the PFO with a substantial right-to-left shunt was detected and then she received a trans-catheter closure of the defect. Over 3 months of follow-up, there were no signs of stroke, but visual loss persisted.

CONCLUSION

This case of disabling stroke raises concerns regarding optimal management in primary and secondary prevention of stroke in young women on COCs with additional risk factors of stroke.

Undiagnosed major risk factors in acute ischaemic stroke patients: frequency, profile, stroke mechanisms and outcome

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

There is scarce clinical information about the clinical profile of patients with acute ischaemic stroke with previously undiagnosed major vascular risk factors (UMRFs).

METHODS

This was a retrospective analysis of data from the Acute Stroke Registry and Analysis of Lausanne registry between 2003 and 2018 with univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses comparing clinical profiles of patients with UMRFs to patients with at least one previously diagnosed MRF (DMRF).

RESULTS

In all, 4354 patients (median age 70 years [interquartile range 15.2], 44.7% female) were included after excluding 763 (14.9%) for lack of consent and three for missing information. Amongst 1125 (25.8%) UMRF patients, 69.7% (n = 784) had at least one newly diagnosed MRF and the others none. The newly detected MRFs were dyslipidaemia (61.4%), hypertension (23.7%), atrial fibrillation (10.2%), diabetes mellitus (5.2%), ejection fraction <35% (2.0%) and coronary disease (1.0%). Comparing UMRF patients to DMRF patients, multivariate analysis showed a positive association with lower age, non-Caucasian ethnicity, contraceptive use (<55 years old), smoking (≥55 years old) and patent-foramen-ovale-related stroke mechanism. A negative association was found with pre-stroke antiplatelet use and higher body mass index. Functional outcome did not differ. Cerebrovascular recurrences were similar between groups.

CONCLUSIONS

In this large single-centre cohort, 69.7% of patients with acute ischaemic stroke and UMRF were newly diagnosed with at least one new MRF, the most common being dyslipidaemia, hypertension or atrial fibrillation. Patients of the UMRF group were younger, more often smokers and on contraceptives, and had more patent-foramen-ovale-related strokes.

Differences in clinical and biological factors between patients with PFO-related stroke and patients with PFO and no cerebral vascular events

Background

While stroke is one of the most dissected topics in neurology, the primary prevention of PFO-related stroke in young patients is still an unaddressed subject. We present a study concerning clinical, demographic, and laboratory factors associated with stroke and transient ischemic attack in patients with patent foramen ovale (PFO), as well as comparing PFO-patients with and without cerebrovascular ischemic events (CVEs).

Patients and methods

Consecutive patients with PFO-associated CVEs were included in the study; control group was selected from patients with a PFO and no history of stroke. All participants underwent peripheral routine blood analyses, as well as, on treating physician's recommendations, screening for thrombophilia.

Results

Ninety-five patients with CVEs and 41 controls were included. Females had a significantly lower risk of CVEs than males (p = 0.04). PFO size was similar between patients and controls. Patients with CVEs had more often hypertension (n = 33, 34.7%), p = 0.007. No significant differences were found between the two groups with regard to routine laboratory tests and thrombophilia status. Hypertension and gender were identified in a binomial logistic regression model as independent predictors for CVEs, but with an area under the ROC curve of 0.531, suggesting a very poor level of discrimination between the two groups.

Discussion and conclusions

There is little difference between patients with PFO with and without CVEs in terms of PFO size and routine laboratory analyses. While still a controversial topic in the specialty literature, classic first-level thrombophilic mutations are not a risk factor for stroke in patients with PFO. Hypertension and male gender were identified as factors associated with a higher risk of stroke in the setting of PFO.

Ischemic stroke on hormonal contraceptives: Characteristics, mechanisms and outcome

Introduction

Systemic contraceptives increase the risk of ischemic stroke but little is known about the characteristics, mechanisms and long-term outcome post stroke of patients on hormonal contraception. We sought to To assess characteristics and outcome of acute ischemic stroke (AIS) in young women using systemic hormonal contraceptives (SHC) and compare them to strokes in non-contraceptive users.

Patients and methods

Using the Acute STroke Registry and Analysis of Lausanne (ASTRAL), we analyzed demographics, risk factors, clinical, radiological and treatment data of consecutive female patients of <50 years between 2003 to 2015. We compared groups with and without SHC in a logistic regression analysis.

Results

Of the 179 female patients of <50 years during the observation period, 57 (39.6%) used SHC, 71.9% of whom, a combined oral contraceptive pill. On logistic regression contraceptive users were significantly younger but had comparable stroke severity. They had less migraine with aura and tobacco use, and more hyperlipidaemia. Also, contraceptive users had significantly less intra and extracranial stenosis and occlusion on arterial imaging, but more focal hypoperfusion on CT-perfusion. Undetermined mechanism of stroke was more frequent with SHC users, whereas rare mechanisms were more frequent in non-users. The contraceptive user group had a more favourable adjusted 12-month outcome with significantly fewer ischemic recurrences after stopping systemic contraception in all.

Conclusion

Contraceptive users with ischemic strokes are younger and have lesser tobacco use and migraine with aura and more hyperlipidemia. Their stroke mechanism is more often undetermined using a standardised work-up, and their adjusted long-term outcome is more favourable with less stroke recurrence.