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Lu J, Cai Q, Chen K, Kahler B, Yao J, Zhang Y, Zheng D, Lu Y. Machine learning models for prognosis prediction in regenerative endodontic procedures. BMC Oral Health 2025; 25:234. [PMID: 39948515 PMCID: PMC11827326 DOI: 10.1186/s12903-025-05531-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/11/2024] [Accepted: 01/21/2025] [Indexed: 02/16/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND This study aimed to establish and validate machine learning (ML) models to predict the prognosis of regenerative endodontic procedures (REPs) clinically, assisting clinicians in decision-making and avoiding treatment failure. METHODS A total of 198 patients with 268 teeth were included for radiographic examination and measurement. Five Machine Learning (ML) models, including Random forest (RF), gradient boosting machine (GBM), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), Logistic regression (logR) and support vector machine (SVM) are implemented for the prediction on two datasets of follow-up periods of 1-year and 2-year, respectively. Using a stratified five folds of cross-validation method, each dataset is randomly divided into a training set and test set in a ratio of 8 : 2. Correlation analysis and importance ranking were performed for feature extraction. Seven performance metrics including area under curve (AUC), accuracy, F1-score, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) were calculated to compare the predictive performance. RESULTS The RF (Accuracy = 0.91, AUC = 0.94; Accuracy = 0.84, AUC = 0.86) and GBM (Accuracy = 0.91, AUC = 0.93; Accuracy = 0.84, AUC = 0.85) had the best and similar performance simultaneously in the prediction of 1-year follow-up period and 2-year follow-up period, respectively. The variables applied to predict the primary outcome in REPs were ranked accordingly to their values of feature importance, including age, sex, etiology, the number of root canals, trauma type, swelling or sinus tract, periapical lesion size, root development stage, pre-operative root resorption, medicaments, scaffold, second REPs, previous root canal filling. CONCLUSIONS RF and GBM models outperformed XGB, logR, SVM models on the overall performance on our datasets, exhibiting the potential capability to predict the prognosis of REPs. The ranking of feature importance contributes to establishing the scoring system for prognosis prediction in REPs, assisting clinicians in decision-making.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jing Lu
- Fujian Key Laboratory of Oral Diseases, School and Hospital of Stomatology, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Qianqian Cai
- College of Computer and Data Science, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Kaizhi Chen
- College of Computer and Data Science, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Bill Kahler
- School of Dentistry, University of Sydney, Camperdown, Australia
| | - Jun Yao
- Fujian Key Laboratory of Oral Diseases, School and Hospital of Stomatology, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Yanjun Zhang
- Fujian Key Laboratory of Oral Diseases, School and Hospital of Stomatology, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Dali Zheng
- Fujian Key Laboratory of Oral Diseases, School and Hospital of Stomatology, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Youguang Lu
- Fujian Key Laboratory of Oral Diseases, School and Hospital of Stomatology, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.
- Department of Preventive Dentistry, School and Hospital of Stomatology, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.
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Zanjir M, Cardoso E, Harman NL, Khansari A, Jafarzadeh H, Malkhassian G, Sabeti M, Aminoshariae A, Kishen A, Sale JEM, Shah PS, Azarpazhooh A. Development of a Core Outcome Set for Endodontics (COS-ENDO). Part 5: COS-ENDO for Studies of Apexification and Regenerative Endodontics in Permanent Teeth. J Endod 2025:S0099-2399(25)00012-3. [PMID: 39892664 DOI: 10.1016/j.joen.2025.01.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/19/2024] [Accepted: 01/14/2025] [Indexed: 02/04/2025]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Methodological heterogeneity and reporting bias complicate interpreting endodontic outcomes. Supported by the American Association of Endodontists and its Foundation, this study developed the Core Outcome Set in Endodontics (COS-ENDO) to standardize reporting for studies of Nonsurgical Root Canal Treatment/Retreatment, Surgical Endodontics, Vital Pulp Therapy, Apexification, and Regenerative Endodontics. This article, the last in a 5-part series, focuses on COS-ENDO for Apexification and Regenerative Endodontics, while other parts address the remaining treatments. METHODS Outcomes were identified through scoping reviews and a web-based survey of American Association of Endodontists practicing members. In a 2-round Delphi survey, clinicians, patients, and researchers rated outcomes on a 9-point scale. Ratings were assessed against consensus criteria, and a virtual meeting finalized COS-ENDO. RESULTS Of the 97 invited participants to Round 1, 77 registered, and 73 (24 Academicians/Researchers, 26 Clinicians, and 23 Patients or their parents/caregivers) assessed 51 outcomes, with 18 excluded. The remaining outcomes-7 achieving consensus for inclusion and 26 lacking consensus-advanced to Round 2 for re-rating by 70 participants. This resulted in 14 outcome achieving consensus for inclusion, and 19 lacking consensus. In the final meeting, 16 participants finalized the COS-ENDO for Apexification and Regenerative Endodontics, including Tooth survival, Pain, Signs of infection, Radiographic evidence of periradicular healing, Continued root development, Success, Functional tooth, Need for further intervention, and Adverse events/Complications. CONCLUSION COS-ENDO is an important step in standardizing outcome reporting in endodontics, ensuring consistent reporting and enhancing research utility. Further efforts are needed to establish optimal measurement methods.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maryam Zanjir
- Faculty of Dentistry, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Elaine Cardoso
- Faculty of Dentistry, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Department of Dentistry, Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Nicola L Harman
- Department of Health Data Science, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - Ava Khansari
- Schulich School of Medicine and Dentistry, University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario, Canada
| | - Hamid Jafarzadeh
- Faculty of Dentistry, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Department of Endodontics, School of Dentistry, West Virginia University, Morgantown, West Virginia
| | - Gevik Malkhassian
- Faculty of Dentistry, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Mike Sabeti
- School of Dentistry, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California
| | - Anita Aminoshariae
- Department of Endodontics, School of Dental Medicine, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, Ohio
| | - Anil Kishen
- Faculty of Dentistry, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Department of Dentistry, Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; The Kishen Lab, Dental Research Institute, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Joanna E M Sale
- St. Michael's Hospital, Unity Health Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Faculty of Medicine, Department of Surgery, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Prakesh S Shah
- Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Faculty of Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Department of Pediatrics, Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Amir Azarpazhooh
- Faculty of Dentistry, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Department of Dentistry, Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
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Azarpazhooh A, Zanjir M, Cardoso E, Harman NL, Khansari A, Jafarzadeh H, Malkhassian G, Sabeti M, Aminoshariae A, Kishen A, Sale JEM, Shah PS. Development of a Core Outcome Set in Endodontics (COS-ENDO): Part 1 - General Methods for Developing COS-ENDO for Studies of Nonsurgical Root Canal Treatment, Retreatment, Surgical Endodontics, Vital Pulp Therapy, Apexification, and Regenerative Endodontics in Permanent Teeth. J Endod 2025:S0099-2399(25)00008-1. [PMID: 39892660 DOI: 10.1016/j.joen.2025.01.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/19/2024] [Accepted: 01/14/2025] [Indexed: 02/04/2025]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Methodological heterogeneity and reporting bias complicate interpreting endodontic outcomes. Supported by the American Association of Endodontists and its Foundation, this study developed the Core Outcome Set in Endodontics (COS-ENDO) to standardize reporting for studies of nonsurgical root canal treatment/retreatment, surgical endodontics, vital pulp therapy, apexification, and regenerative endodontics. This article, the first in a 5-part series, outlines the methods for developing COS-ENDO, with detailed findings for each treatment presented in subsequent parts. METHODS Outcomes were identified through scoping reviews, a qualitative study with patients, and a web-based survey of American Association of Endodontists practicing members. In a 2-round Delphi survey, clinicians, patients, and researchers rated outcomes on a 9-point scale. Ratings were assessed against consensus criteria, and a virtual meeting finalized COS-ENDO. RESULTS Of the 97 invited participants to round 1, 77 (79%) registered and 73 (95%) completed the survey, including 24 academicians/researchers, 26 clinicians, and 23 patients (or their caregivers/parents). They rated 64 outcomes, totaling 182 occurrences across treatments: 39 for nonsurgical root canal treatment/retreatment, 46 for surgical endodontics, 46 for vital pulp therapy, and 51 for apexification/regenerative endodontics. The outcomes that achieved consensus for inclusion and those lacking consensus (either for inclusion or exclusion) advanced to round 2 for rerating by 70 participants. During the final consensus meeting, 16 participants discussed the outcomes and finalized the COS-ENDO. CONCLUSION COS-ENDO is an important step toward standardizing outcome reporting in endodontics. Its implementation will ensure consistent reporting, enhancing research utility and evidence synthesis. Further efforts are needed to establish optimal measurement methods.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amir Azarpazhooh
- Faculty of Dentistry, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; Department of Dentistry, Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto, ON, Canada; Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
| | - Maryam Zanjir
- Faculty of Dentistry, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Elaine Cardoso
- Faculty of Dentistry, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; Department of Dentistry, Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Nicola L Harman
- Department of Health Data Science, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Ava Khansari
- Schulich School of Medicine and Dentistry, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada
| | - Hamid Jafarzadeh
- Faculty of Dentistry, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; Department of Endodontics, School of Dentistry, West Virginia University, Morgantown, West Virginia
| | | | - Mike Sabeti
- School of Dentistry, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California
| | - Anita Aminoshariae
- Department of Endodontics, School of Dental Medicine, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, Ohio
| | - Anil Kishen
- Faculty of Dentistry, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; Department of Dentistry, Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto, ON, Canada; The Kishen Lab, Dental Research Institute, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Joanna E M Sale
- Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; St. Michael's Hospital, Unity Health Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Prakesh S Shah
- Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; Department of Pediatrics, Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; Department of Pediatrics, Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto, ON, Canada
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El-Kateb NM, Abdallah AM, ElBackly RN. Correlation between pulp sensibility and magnetic resonance signal intensity following regenerative endodontic procedures in mature necrotic teeth- a retrospective cohort study. BMC Oral Health 2024; 24:330. [PMID: 38481211 PMCID: PMC10935898 DOI: 10.1186/s12903-024-04095-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/27/2023] [Accepted: 03/04/2024] [Indexed: 03/17/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND With increasing studies being published on regenerative endodontic procedures (REPs) as a treatment modality for mature necrotic teeth, the assessment of outcomes following regenerative endodontic procedures has become more challenging and the demand for a better understanding of the regenerated tissues following this treatment is rising. The study aimed to correlate cold, electric pulp testing (EPT), and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) signal intensity (SI) in mature necrotic teeth treated with regenerative endodontic procedures. METHODOLOGY This retrospective cohort study included eighteen adult patients who experienced tooth necrosis in mature maxillary anterior teeth recruited from the outpatient clinic, Conservative Dentistry Department, Faculty of Dentistry, Alexandria University, Alexandria, Egypt from July 2017 until December 2018 with 12 months of follow-up. regenerative endodontic procedures via blood clot were performed. The canals were instrumented by ProTaper Next (PTN) files until final sizes X3 or X5. Biodentine was used as cervical plug material. Pre and post-operative clinical follow-up was done where the patients' responses to cold and electric pulp testing were given a scoring system and were compared to the normal contralateral tooth. Pre and post-operative magnetic resonance imaging signal intensity of both the involved tooth and its contralateral at the middle and the apical thirds of the root canals were assessed after 3, 6, and 12 months. Data was analyzed using the ANOVA, Friedman and Bonferroni tests. Significance was set at a p-value < 0.05. RESULTS All 18 teeth scored a baseline score of "2" for cold and electric pulp testing. There was a significant difference between scores of the cold test at baseline and 12-month follow-up (p < 0.001). There was a significant difference between scores of the electric pulp testing of baseline and 12-month follow-up (p < 0.001). There was a moderately significant indirect (inverse) correlation between magnetic resonance imaging signal intensity and cold test in both the middle and apical thirds at 12 months. No significant correlations were detected between magnetic resonance imaging signal intensity and electric pulp testingat any of the time intervals (p > 0.05). CONCLUSION Magnetic resonance imaging is a successful non-invasive method to assess outcomes of regenerative endodontic procedures and correlating it with another reliable method of assessing pulpal responses, cold test, could validate these outcomes. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION The study was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (ID: NCT03804450).
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Affiliation(s)
- Noha Mohamed El-Kateb
- Conservative Dentistry Department, Endodontics Division, Faculty of Dentistry, Alexandria University, Champollion Street, El Azareta., Alexandra, Egypt.
| | - Amr Mohamed Abdallah
- Conservative Dentistry Department, Endodontics Division, Faculty of Dentistry, Alexandria University, Champollion Street, El Azareta., Alexandra, Egypt
| | - Rania Noaman ElBackly
- Conservative Dentistry Department, Endodontics Division, Faculty of Dentistry, Alexandria University, Champollion Street, El Azareta., Alexandra, Egypt
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El Karim I, Duncan HF, Cushley S, Nagendrababu V, Kirkevang LL, Kruse CL, Chong BS, Shah PK, Lappin M, Lundy FT, Clarke M. An international consensus study to identify "what" outcomes should be included in a core outcome set for endodontic treatments (COSET) for utilization in clinical practice and research. Int Endod J 2024; 57:270-280. [PMID: 38314586 DOI: 10.1111/iej.14008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/17/2023] [Revised: 11/08/2023] [Accepted: 11/22/2023] [Indexed: 02/06/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Development of a standardized set of topic-specific outcomes known as a Core Outcome Set (COS) is important to address issues of heterogeneity in reporting research findings in order to streamline evidence synthesis and clinical decision making. AIM The aim of the current international consensus study is to identify "what" outcomes to include in the Core Outcome Set for Endodontic Treatments (COSET). Outcomes of various endodontic treatments (non-surgical root canal treatment, surgical endodontics, vital pulp treatment and revitalization procedures) performed on permanent teeth were considered. METHODS A standard validated methodology for COS development and reporting was adopted. The process involved identification of existing outcomes through four published scoping reviews. This enabled creation of a list of outcomes to be prioritized via semi-structured patient interviews, e-Delphi process and a consensus meeting with a range of relevant global stakeholders. Outcomes were prioritized using a 1-9 Likert scale, with outcomes rated 7-9 considered critical, 4-6 are important and 1-3 are less important. Outcomes rated 7-9 by ≥70% and 1-3 by <15% of participants were considered to achieve consensus for inclusion in the COS. The outcomes that did not achieve consensus in the first round were considered for further prioritization in the second Delphi round and consensus meeting. Final decisions about the outcomes to include in COSET were made by voting during the consensus panel meeting using the Zoom Poll function. RESULTS A total of 95 participants including patients contributed to the COS development process. The consensus panel recommended, with strong consensus, eight outcomes shared across all treatment modalities for inclusion in COSET: pain; signs of infection (swelling, sinus tract); further intervention/exacerbation; tenderness to percussion/palpation; radiographic evidence of disease progression/healing; function; tooth survival; and patient satisfaction. Additional treatment specific outcomes were also recommended. DISCUSSION Many of the outcomes included in COSET are patient reported. All should be included in future outcomes studies. CONCLUSION COSET identified outcomes that are important for patients and clinicians and validated these using a rigorous methodology. Further work is ongoing to determine "how" and "when" these outcomes should be measured.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ikhlas El Karim
- School of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Sciences, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK
| | - Henry Fergus Duncan
- Division of Restorative Dentistry & Periodontology, Dublin Dental University Hospital, Trinity College Dublin, University of Dublin, Dublin, Ireland
| | - Siobhan Cushley
- School of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Sciences, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK
| | - Venkateshbabu Nagendrababu
- University of Sharjah, College of Dental Medicine, Department of Preventive and Restorative Dentistry, Sharjah, United Arab Emirates
| | | | - Casper Lemvig Kruse
- Centre for Oral Health in Rare Diseases, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark
| | - Bun San Chong
- Institute of Dentistry, Faculty of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
| | - Pratik Kamalkant Shah
- Institute of Dentistry, Faculty of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
| | - Mark Lappin
- School of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Sciences, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK
| | - Fionnuala T Lundy
- School of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Sciences, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK
| | - Mike Clarke
- School of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Sciences, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK
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Wrangstål L, Pigg M, Almutairi N, Fransson H. A critical look at outcome measures: Comparison between four dental research journals by use of a hierarchical model. Int Endod J 2024; 57:119-132. [PMID: 38082460 DOI: 10.1111/iej.14011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/09/2023] [Revised: 10/28/2023] [Accepted: 11/28/2023] [Indexed: 01/11/2024]
Abstract
AIM To assess the status quo of outcome measures used in treatment studies in Endodontics, and potentially identify strategies for improvement, by (i) systematically assessing the outcome measures using a conceptual model and (ii) comparing these with measures used in corresponding studies in the adjacent fields. METHODOLOGY The International Endodontic Journal, Caries Research, The Journal of Clinical Periodontology and The Journal of Oral & Facial Pain and Headache were selected to cover four adjacent dental disciplines. In each journal, the 50 most recent consecutive publications fulfilling inclusion criteria were included. A hierarchical model for diagnostic imaging studies was modified to assess studies related to treatment. The model comprised six levels, with technical as the lowest level and societal as the highest. Extracted data included study origin, study type, and identified outcome measures. Fisher's Exact Tests with Bonferroni corrections compared studies. p < .05 was considered statistically significant. RESULTS Amongst 756 publications, the 200 most recent studies matching the inclusion criteria were identified. Less than half (36.5%) assessed the clinical, patient, or societal aspects of treatment; 10.0% in International Endodontic Journal, 28.0% in Caries Research, 38.0% in Journal of Clinical Periodontology, and 70.0% in Journal of Oral & Facial Pain and Headache (p < .001). CONCLUSIONS According to included publications, research on treatment within the endodontic field is mainly focusing on technical and biological outcomes. The benefits of patients and society were less frequently examined than in corresponding journals in adjacent disciplines. When designing studies, including higher-level outcomes should be considered.
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Affiliation(s)
- Linnéa Wrangstål
- Department of Endodontics, Faculty of Odontology, Malmö University, Malmö, Sweden
- Department of Orofacial Pain and Jaw Function, Malmö University, Malmö, Sweden
- Department of Cariology, Malmö University, Malmö, Sweden
| | - Maria Pigg
- Department of Endodontics, Faculty of Odontology, Malmö University, Malmö, Sweden
| | - Nawaf Almutairi
- Conservative Dental Science Department, College of Dentistry, Qassim University, Qassim, Saudi Arabia
| | - Helena Fransson
- Department of Endodontics, Faculty of Odontology, Malmö University, Malmö, Sweden
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