Ureteral wall thickness is an independent parameter affecting the success of extracorporeal shock wave lithotripsy treatment in ureteral stones above the iliac crest

Role of Noncontrast Computed Tomography Parameters in Predicting the Outcome of Extracorporeal Shock Wave Lithotripsy for Upper Urinary Stones Cases: A Meta-analysis

RATIONALE

Extracorporeal shock wave lithotripsy (ESWL) is widely considered the primary approach for managing urinary tract stones. This study aimed to assess the predictive factors associated with non-contrast computed tomography (NCCT)-based parameters of upper urinary stones in relation to the outcomes of ESWL.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A systematic search was conducted in PubMed, ScienceDirect, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library to identify all relevant studies published up to June 3, 2023. Several NCCT-based parameters to predict ESWL outcomes, comprised of mean stone density (MSD), skin-to-stone distance (SSD), and stone size, were extracted and analyzed using Review Manager software.

RESULTS

Out of 979 publications screened, a total of 39 publications, involving 7869 patients, were enrolled in the analysis. The pooled estimate demonstrated significant differences between MSD, and stone size between successful and failure of stone fragmentation groups, in which lower values of these parameters are associated with successful ESWL outcomes.

CONCLUSION

The results from the current study suggested that lower NCCT parameters, notably MSD, SSD, and stone size, are significantly associated with successful ESWL outcome. However, additional large-scale prospective studies are required to utilize these parameters effectively, and the optimal cutoff value should be determined.

Finding the optimal candidate for shock wave lithotripsy: external validation and comparison of five prediction models

We aimed to externally validate five previously published predictive models (Ng score, Triple D score, S3HoCKwave score, Kim nomogram, Niwa nomogram) for shock wave lithotripsy (SWL) single-session outcomes in patients with a solitary stone in the upper ureter. The validation cohort included patients treated with SWL from September 2011 to December 2019 at our institution. Patient-related variables were retrospectively collected from the hospital records. Stone-related data including all measurements were retrieved from computed tomography prior to SWL. We estimated discrimination using area under the curve (AUC), calibration, and clinical net benefit based on decision curve analysis (DCA). A total of 384 patients with proximal ureter stones treated with SWL were included in the analysis. Median age was 55.5 years, and 282 (73%) of the sample were men. Median stone length was 8.0 mm. All models significantly predicted the SWL outcomes after one session. S3HoCKwave score, Niwa, and Kim nomograms had the highest accuracy in predicting outcomes, with AUC 0.716, 0.714 and 0.701, respectively. These three models outperformed both the Ng (AUC: 0.670) and Triple D (AUC: 0.667) scoring systems, approaching statistical significance (P = 0.05). Of all the models, the Niwa nomogram showed the strongest calibration and highest net benefit in DCA. To conclude, the models showed small differences in predictive power. The Niwa nomogram, however, demonstrated acceptable discrimination, the most accurate calibration, and the highest net benefit whilst having relatively simple design. Therefore, it could be useful for counselling patients with a solitary stone in the upper ureter.

Non-contrast computed tomography-based factors in predicting ESWL success: A systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

We assessed the efficacy of some predictive factors that can be measured with non-contrast computed tomography and may affect ESWL success with a systematic review and meta-analysis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

All data sources were broadly investigated up to April 2022. Data were extracted from the relevant studies and analyzed with RevMan software. In a random effects model, standard mean difference (SMD) and risk ratio (RR) values were given with 95% confidence intervals.

RESULTS

In total, pooled analysis included 7148 patients in 43 studies. The combined effect estimate showed significant differences between the ESWL success and ESWL failure groups in terms of Hounsfield unit (HU), Hounsfield density (HD), skin to stone distance (SSD), ureteral wall thickness (UWT), stone volume, stone area, abdominal fat parameters, diameter of proximal ureter, and hydronephrosis. However, perinephric stranding and renal cortical thickness were not found to be statistically significant between the study groups.

CONCLUSIONS

HU, HD, SSD, UWT, stone volume, stone area, abdominal fat parameters, diameter of proximal ureter and hydronephrosis are effective factors for prediction of ESWL success. It is important to decide on treatment before the procedure for stones with appropriate diameter for ESWL.

Predicting narrow ureters before ureteroscopic lithotripsy with a neural network: a retrospective bicenter study

In some patients, the passage of semi-rigid ureteroscopes up the ureter is impossible due to narrow ureteral lumen. We established a neural network to predict the inability of the ureter to accommodate the semi-rigid ureteroscope and the need for active or passive dilatation using non-contrast computed tomography (CT) images. Data were collected retrospectively from two centers of 1989 eligible patients who underwent ureteroscopic lithotripsy with ureteral stones. Patients were categorized into two groups: control and narrow ureter. The network was designed and trained for predicting a narrow ureter during initial ureteroscopic lithotripsy, which integrated multi-scale features of the ureter. The predictive efficacy of neural networks DenseNet3D, ResNet3D, ResNet3D MC, and TimeSformer was compared. Furthermore, a previous ureteroscopy or a history of double-J stent placement, ureteral wall thickness and Hounsfield unit (HU) density of the ureter under the stone were compared. Model performance was assessed based on the accuracy, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC ROC), etc. The DenseNet3D-based network achieved an AUC ROC score of 0.884 and an accuracy of 85.29%, followed by the ResNet3D-based network, the ResNet3D MC-based network, and the TimeSformer-based network. The DenseNet3D-based network significantly outperformed other candidate predictors. Furthermore, the networks were validated in an external test set. Decision curve analysis showed the clinical utility of the neural network. The neural network provides an individualized preoperative prediction of narrow ureter based on non-contrast CT images, which could be employed as part of a surgical decision-making support system.