Inference of age-dependent case-fatality ratios for seasonal influenza virus subtypes A(H3N2) and A(H1N1)pdm09 and B lineages using data from the Netherlands

Impact of influenza related hospitalization in Spain: characteristics and risk factor of mortality during five influenza seasons (2016 to 2021)

Background

Estimating the global influenza burden in terms of hospitalization and death is important for optimizing prevention policies. Identifying risk factors for mortality allows for the design of strategies tailored to groups at the highest risk. This study aims to (a) describe the clinical characteristics of hospitalizations with a diagnosis of influenza over five flu seasons (2016-2017 to 2020-2021), (b) assess the associated morbidity (hospitalization rates and ICU admissions rate), mortality and cost of influenza hospitalizations in different age groups and (c) analyze the risk factors for mortality.

Methods

This retrospective study included all hospital admissions with a diagnosis of influenza in Spain for five influenza seasons. Data were extracted from the Spanish National Surveillance System for Hospital Data from 1 July 2016 to 30 June 2021. We identified cases coded as having influenza as a primary or secondary diagnosis (International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision, J09-J11). The hospitalization rate was calculated relative to the general population. Independent predictors of mortality were identified using multivariable logistic regression.

Results

Over the five seasons, there were 127,160 hospitalizations with a diagnosis of influenza. The mean influenza hospitalization rate varied from 5/100,000 in 2020-2021 (COVID-19 pandemic) to 92.9/100,000 in 2017-2018. The proportion of influenza hospitalizations with ICU admission was 7.4% and was highest in people aged 40-59 years (13.9%). The case fatality rate was 5.8% overall and 9.4% in those aged 80 years or older. Median length of stay was 5 days (and 6 days in the oldest age group). In the multivariable analysis, independent risk factors for mortality were male sex (odds ratio [OR] 1.14, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.08-1.20), age (<5 years: OR 1; 5-19 years: OR 2.02, 95%CI 1.17-3.49; 20-39 years: OR 4.11, 95% CI 2.67-6.32; 40-59 years: OR 8.15, 95% CI 5.60-11.87; 60-79 years: OR 15.10, 95% CI 10.44-21.84; ≥80 years: OR 33.41, 95% CI 23.10-48.34), neurological disorder (OR 1.97, 95% CI 1.83-2.11), heart failure (OR 1.85, 95% CI 1.74-1.96), chronic kidney disease (OR 1.33, 95% CI 1.25-1.41), chronic liver disease (OR 2.95, 95% CI 2.68-3.27), cancer (OR 1.85, 95% CI 1.48-2.24), coinfection with SARS-CoV2 (OR 3.17, 95% CI 2.34-4.28), influenza pneumonia (OR 1.76, 95% CI 1.66-1.86) and admission to intensive care (OR 7.81, 95% CI 7.31-8.36).

Conclusion

Influenza entails a major public health burden. People aged over 60-and especially those over 80-show the longest hospital stays. Age is also the most significant risk factor for mortality, along with certain associated comorbidities.

Promises and challenges of single-domain antibodies to control influenza

The World Health Organization advices the use of a quadrivalent vaccine as prophylaxis against influenza, to prevent severe influenza-associated disease and -mortality, and to keep up with influenza antigenic diversity. Different small molecule antivirals to treat influenza have become available. However, emergence of drug resistant influenza viruses has been observed upon use of these antivirals. An appealing alternative approach to prevent or treat influenza is the use of antibody-based antivirals, such as conventional monoclonal antibodies and single-domain antibodies (sdAbs). The surface of the influenza A and B virion is decorated with hemagglutinin molecules, which act as receptor-binding and membrane fusion proteins and represent the main target of neutralizing antibodies. SdAbs that target influenza A and B hemagglutinin have been described. In addition, sdAbs directed against the influenza A virus neuraminidase have been reported, whereas no sdAbs targeting influenza B neuraminidase have been described to date. SdAbs directed against influenza A matrix protein 2 or its ectodomain have been reported, while no sdAbs have been described targeting the influenza B matrix protein 2. Known for their high specificity, ease of production and formatting, sdAb-based antivirals could be a major leap forward in influenza control.