Seasonal variation in short-term mortality after surgery for colorectal cancer?

Is CT Radiomics Superior to Morphological Evaluation for pN0 Characterization? A Pilot Study in Colon Cancer

The aim of this study was to compare CT radiomics and morphological features when assessing benign lymph nodes (LNs) in colon cancer (CC). This retrospective study included 100 CC patients (test cohort) who underwent a preoperative CT examination and were diagnosed as pN0 after surgery. Regional LNs were scored with a morphological Likert scale (NODE-SCORE) and divided into two groups: low likelihood (LLM: 0-2 points) and high likelihood (HLM: 3-7 points) of malignancy. The T-test and the Mann-Whitney test were used to compare 107 radiomic features extracted from the two groups. Radiomic features were also extracted from primary lesions (PLs), and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) was used to test a LN/PL ratio when assessing the LN's status identified with radiomics and with the NODE-SCORE. An amount of 337 LNs were divided into 167 with LLM and 170 with HLM. Radiomics showed 15/107 features, with a significant difference (p < 0.02) between the two groups. The comparison of selected features between 81 PLs and the corresponding LNs showed all significant differences (p < 0.0001). According to the LN/PL ratio, the selected features recognized a higher number of LNs than the NODE-SCORE (p < 0.001). On validation of the cohort of 20 patients (10 pN0, 10 pN2), significant ROC curves were obtained for LN/PL busyness (AUC = 0.91; 0.69-0.99; 95% C.I.; and p < 0.001) and for LN/PL dependence entropy (AUC = 0.76; 0.52-0.92; 95% C.I.; and p = 0.03). The radiomics ratio between CC and LNs is more accurate for noninvasively discriminating benign LNs compared to CT morphological features.

Treatment for T1 colorectal cancers substratified by site and size: "horses for courses"

Background

Owing to advances in diagnostic technology, the diagnosis of T1 colorectal cancers (CRCs) continues to increase. However, the optimal management of T1 CRCs in the Western Hemisphere remains unclear due to limited population-based data directly comparing the efficacy of endoscopic therapy (ET) and surgical resection (SR). The purpose of this study was to report outcome data from a large Western cohort of patients who underwent ET or SR for early CRCs.

Methods

The SEER-18 database was used to identify patients with T1 CRCs diagnosed from 2004 to 2018 treated with ET or SR. Multivariable logistic regression models were employed to identify variables related to lymph node metastasis (LNM). Rates of ET and 1-year relative survival were calculated for each year. Effect of ET or SR on overall survival and cancer-specific survival was compared using Kaplan-Meier method stratified by tumor size and site.

Results

A total of 28,430 T1 CRCs patients were identified from 2004 to 2018 in US, with 22.7% undergoing ET and 77.3% undergoing SR. The incidence of T1 CRCs was 6.15 per 100,000 person-years, with male patients having a higher incidence. Left-sided colon was the most frequent location of tumors. The utilization of ET increased significantly from 2004 to 2018, with no significant change in 1-year relative survival rate. Predictors of LNM were age at diagnosis, sex, race, tumor size, histology, grade, and location. The 5-year relative survival rates were 91.4 and 95.4% for ET and SR, respectively. Subgroup analysis showed that OS and CSS were similar between ET and SR in T1N0M0 left-sided colon cancers with tumors 2 cm or less and in rectal cancers with tumors 1 cm or less.

Conclusion

Our study showed that ET was feasible and safe for patients with left-sided T1N0M0 colon cancers and tumors of 2 cm or less, as well as T1N0M0 rectal cancers and tumors of 1 cm or less. Therefore, the over- and under-use of ET should be avoided by carefully selecting patients based on tumor size and site.

Development and validation of a nomogram for further decision of radical surgery in pT1 colorectal cancer after local resection

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to develop and validate a nomogram to assist physicians making further decisions on the requirement of a radical surgery for T1 colorectal cancer (CRC) after local excision through preoperative prediction of lymph node metastasis (LNM).

METHODS

A total of 141 T1 CRC patients were enrolled from January 2013 to August 2020. The independent predictive parameters were determined in multivariate analyses. The nomogram was constructed based on predictors of LNM and its performance was evaluated with respect to its calibration, discrimination, and decision curve analysis. Internal validation by bootstrapping was performed to verify the applicability of the nomogram.

RESULTS

cN in CT/MRI (N+), histologic type (poorly differentiated, mucinous adenocarcinoma, and signet-ring cell carcinoma), tumor budding (G3), and lymphovascular invasion were identified in the multivariable analysis (p<0.05). The developed nomogram incorporated these four predictors and it yielded good discrimination and calibration, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.89 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.80-0.97). However, the Japanese guideline yielded an AUC of 0.75 (95% CI: 0.63-0.87). A decision curve analysis showed that the predictive scoring system had a high clinical application value, and the nomogram conferred a greater benefit than the Japanese guideline did (range of threshold within 10%-80%).

CONCLUSIONS

This study proposed a novel predictive model to assist physicians in making treatment decisions regarding additional surgery after local excision.

Long-Term Outcomes of T1 Colorectal Cancer after Endoscopic Resection

Background and Aims: Endoscopic resection (ER) for submucosal invasive colorectal cancer (T1 CRC) can be grouped as curative ER (C-ER) and non-curative ER (NC-ER). Little is known about the long-term outcomes of patients in these two groups. Therefore, we have evaluated the long-term outcomes in endoscopically resected T1 CRC patients in C-ER and NC-ER groups. Methods: We conducted a retrospective study on 220 patients with T1 CRC treated with ER from January 2007 to December 2017. First, we investigated the long-term outcomes (5-year overall survival [OS] and recurrence-free survival [RFS]) in the C-ER group (n = 49). In the NC-ER group (n = 171), we compared long-term outcomes between patients who underwent additional surgical resection (ASR) (n = 117) and those who did not (surveillance-only, n = 54). Results: T1 CRC patients in the C-ER and NC-ER groups had a median follow-up of 44 (interquartile range 32–69) months. There was no risk of tumor recurrence and cancer-related deaths in patients with C-ER. In the NC-ER group, the 5-year OS rates were 75.3% and 92.6% in the surveillance-only and ASR subgroups, respectively. The hazard ratio (HR) for ASR in NC-ER vs. surveillance-only in NC-ER was statistically insignificant. However, RFS rates were significantly different between the ASR (97.2%) and surveillance-only (84.0%) subgroups. Multivariate analysis indicated a submucosal invasion depth (SID) of >2500 µm and margin positivity to be associated with recurrence. Conclusions: The surveillance-only approach can be considered as an alternative surgical option for T1 CRCs in selected patients undergoing NC-ER.

A clinical-radiomics nomogram for the preoperative prediction of lymph node metastasis in colorectal cancer

Background

Accurate lymph node metastasis (LNM) prediction in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients is of great significance for treatment decision making and prognostic evaluation. We aimed to develop and validate a clinical-radiomics nomogram for the individual preoperative prediction of LNM in CRC patients.

Methods

We enrolled 766 patients (458 in the training set and 308 in the validation set) with clinicopathologically confirmed CRC. We included nine significant clinical risk factors (age, sex, preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) level, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level, tumor size, tumor location, histotype, differentiation and M stage) to build the clinical model. We used analysis of variance (ANOVA), relief and recursive feature elimination (RFE) for feature selection (including clinical risk factors and the imaging features of primary lesions and peripheral lymph nodes), established classification models with logistic regression analysis and selected the respective candidate models by fivefold cross-validation. Then, we combined the clinical risk factors, primary lesion radiomics features and peripheral lymph node radiomics features of the candidate models to establish combined predictive models. Model performance was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC). Finally, decision curve analysis (DCA) and a nomogram were used to evaluate the clinical usefulness of the model.

Results

The clinical-primary lesion radiomics-peripheral lymph node radiomics model, with the highest AUC value (0.7606), was regarded as the candidate model and had good discrimination and calibration in both the training and validation sets. DCA demonstrated that the clinical-radiomics nomogram was useful for preoperative prediction in the clinical environment.

Conclusion

The present study proposed a clinical-radiomics nomogram with a combination of clinical risk factors and radiomics features that can potentially be applied in the individualized preoperative prediction of LNM in CRC patients.

Meta-analysis of predictive clinicopathologic factors for lymph node metastasis in patients with early colorectal carcinoma

The objective of this study was to conduct a meta-analysis to determine risk factors that may facilitate patient selection for radical resections or additional resections after a polypectomy. Eligible articles were identified by searches of PUBMED, Cochrane Library and Korean Medical Database using the terms (early colorectal carcinoma [ECC], lymph node metastasis [LNM], colectomy, endoscopic resection). Thirteen cohort studies of 7,066 ECC patients who only underwent radical surgery have been analysed. There was a significant risk of LNM when they had submucosal invasion (≥ SM2 or ≥ 1,000 µm) (odds Ratio [OR], 3.00; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.36-6.62, P = 0.007). Moreover, it has been found that vascular invasion (OR, 2.70; 95% CI, 1.95-3.74; P < 0.001), lymphatic invasion (OR, 6.91; 95% CI, 5.40-8.85; P < 0.001), poorly differentiated carcinomas (OR, 8.27; 95% CI, 4.67-14.66; P < 0.001) and tumor budding (OR, 4.59; 95% CI, 3.44-6.13; P < 0.001) were significantly associated with LNM. Furthermore, another analysis was carried out on eight cohort studies of 310 patients who underwent additional surgeries after an endoscopic resection. The major factors identified in these studies include lymphovascular invasion on polypectomy specimens (OR, 5.47; 95% CI, 2.46-12.17; P < 0.001) and poorly or moderately differentiated carcinomas (OR, 4.07; 95% CI, 1.08-15.33; P = 0.04). For ECC patients with ≥ SM2 or ≥ 1,000 µm submucosal invasion, vascular invasion, lymphatic invasion, poorly differentiated carcinomas or tumor budding, it is deemed that a more extensive resection accompanied by a lymph node dissection is necessary. Even if the lesion is completely removed by an endoscopic resection, an additional surgical resection should be considered in patients with poorly or moderately differentiated carcinomas or lymphovascular invasion.

Risk model for right hemicolectomy based on 19,070 Japanese patients in the National Clinical Database

BACKGROUND

Right hemicolectomy is a very common procedure throughout the world, although this procedure is known to carry substantial surgical risks. The present study aimed to develop a risk model for right hemicolectomy outcomes based on a nationwide internet-based database.

METHODS

The National Clinical Database (NCD) collected records on over 1,200,000 surgical cases from 3,500 Japanese hospitals in 2011. After data cleanup, we analyzed 19,070 records regarding right hemicolectomy performed between January 2011 and December 2011.

RESULTS

The 30-day and operative mortality rates were 1.1 and 2.3 %, respectively. The 30-day mortality rates of patients after elective and emergency surgery were 0.7 and 6.0 %, respectively (P < 0.001). The odds ratios of preoperative risk factors for 30-day mortality were: platelet <50,000/μl, 5.6; ASA grade 4 or 5, 4.0; acute renal failure, 3.2; total bilirubin over 3 mg/dl, 3.1; and AST over 35 U/l, 3.1. The odds ratios for operative mortality were: previous peripheral vascular disease, 3.1; cancer with multiple metastases, 3.1; and ASA grade 4 or 5, 2.9. Sixteen and 26 factors were selected for risk models of 30-day and operative mortality, respectively. The c-index of both models was 0.903 [95 % confidence interval (CI) 0.877-0.928; P < 0.001] and 0.891 (95 % CI 0.873-0.908; P < 0.001), respectively.

CONCLUSION

We performed the first reported risk stratification study for right hemicolectomy based on a nationwide internet-based database. The outcomes of right hemicolectomy in the nationwide population were satisfactory. The risk models developed in this study will help to improve the quality of surgical practice.