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Baechle JJ, Marincola Smith P, Tan M, Solórzano CC, Lopez-Aguiar AG, Dillhoff M, Beal EW, Poultsides G, Makris E, Rocha FG, Crown A, Cho C, Beems M, Winslow ER, Rendell VR, Krasnick BA, Fields R, Maithel SK, Bailey CE, Idrees K. Specific Growth Rate as a Predictor of Survival in Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Tumors: A Multi-institutional Study from the United States Neuroendocrine Study Group. Ann Surg Oncol 2020; 27:3915-3923. [PMID: 32328982 PMCID: PMC10182416 DOI: 10.1245/s10434-020-08497-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/20/2019] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PNETs) are often indolent; however, identifying patients at risk for rapidly progressing variants is critical, particularly for those with small tumors who may be candidates for expectant management. Specific growth rate (SGR) has been predictive of survival in other malignancies but has not been examined in PNETs. METHODS A retrospective cohort study of adult patients who underwent PNET resection from 2000 to 2016 was performed utilizing the multi-institutional United States Neuroendocrine Study Group database. Patients with ≥ 2 preoperative cross-sectional imaging studies at least 30 days apart were included in our analysis (N = 288). Patients were grouped as "high SGR" or "low SGR." Demographic and clinical factors were compared between the groups. Kaplan-Meier and log-rank analysis were used for survival analysis. Cox proportional hazard analysis was used to assess the impact of various clinical factors on overall survival (OS). RESULTS High SGR was associated with higher T stage at resection, shorter doubling time, and elevated HbA1c (all P ≤ 0.01). Patients with high SGR had significantly decreased 5-year OS (63 vs 80%, P = 0.01) and disease-specific survival (72 vs 91%, P = 0.03) compared to those with low SGR. In patients with small (≤ 2 cm) tumors (N = 106), high SGR predicted lower 5-year OS (79 vs 96%, P = 0.01). On multivariate analysis, high SGR was independently associated with worse OS (hazard ratio 2.67, 95% confidence interval 1.05-6.84, P = 0.04). CONCLUSION High SGR is associated with worse survival in PNET patients. Evaluating PNET SGR may enhance clinical decision-making, particularly when weighing expectant management versus surgery in patients with small tumors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jordan J Baechle
- Department of Surgery, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
| | | | - Marcus Tan
- Department of Surgery, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
| | - Carmen C Solórzano
- Department of Surgery, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
| | | | - Mary Dillhoff
- The Ohio State University Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbus, OH, USA
| | - Eliza W Beal
- The Ohio State University Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbus, OH, USA
| | | | | | | | | | - Clifford Cho
- Division of Hepatopancreatobiliary and Advanced Gastrointestinal Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
| | - Megan Beems
- Division of Hepatopancreatobiliary and Advanced Gastrointestinal Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
| | - Emily R Winslow
- School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI, USA
| | - Victoria R Rendell
- School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI, USA
| | | | - Ryan Fields
- Washington University School of Medicine, St Louis, MO, USA
| | - Shishir K Maithel
- Department of Surgery, Winship Cancer Institute, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Christina E Bailey
- Department of Surgery, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
| | - Kamran Idrees
- Department of Surgery, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA.
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