Antenatal screening for Down syndrome in New Zealand: time for a national screening policy?

Combined screening for open spina bifida at 11-13 weeks using fetal biparietal diameter and maternal serum markers

OBJECTIVE

Screening at 11-13 weeks with ultrasound biparietal diameter (BPD) can detect half of open spina bifida cases. Maternal serum α-fetoprotein (AFP) levels at 15-19 weeks are increased 3- to 4-fold, in open spina bifida. We assessed whether combined screening using BPD, AFP, and other serum markers at 11-13 weeks would increase detection.

STUDY DESIGN

Maternal AFP levels were measured on serum stored at 11-13 weeks in 44 open spina bifida and 182 unaffected pregnancies, and results were expressed in multiples of the median (MoM) for gestational age. All samples had been measured for free β-human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG) and pregnancy-associated plasma protein (PAPP)-A. A multivariate Gaussian model was used to predict screening performance from the serum data and BPD measurements on 80 cases, including 36 previously published.

RESULTS

The median AFP level in cases was 1.201 MoM, significantly higher than in unaffected pregnancies (P < .01, 1 tail). The median free β-hCG was significantly reduced to 0.820 MoM (P < .02), but the median PAPP-A was similar in cases and controls. Modeling predicted the following: BPD alone would detect 50% of cases for a 5% false-positive rate or 63% for 10%; adding AFP increases detection by 2%; and a combined test with BPD, AFP, and free β-hCG detects 58% for 5% or 70% for 10%.

CONCLUSION

Combining AFP and BPD with free β-hCG as part of first-trimester aneuploidy screening would also allow early detection about two-thirds of cases with open spina bifida.

Impact of a new national screening policy for Down's syndrome in Denmark: population based cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the impact of a screening strategy in the first trimester, introduced in Denmark during 2004-6, on the number of infants born with Down's syndrome and the number of chorionic villus samplings and amniocenteses, and to determine detection and false positive rates in the screened population in 2005 and 2006.

DESIGN

Population based cohort study.

SETTING

19 Danish departments of gynaecology and obstetrics and a central cytogenetic registry 2000-7.

PARTICIPANTS

65 000 pregnancies per year.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcomes measured were number of fetuses and newborn infants with Down's syndrome diagnosed prenatally and postnatally and number of chorionic villus samplings and amniocenteses carried out. Secondary outcomes measured were number of women screened in 2005 and 2006, screen positive rate, and information on screening in 2005 and 2006 for infants with a postnatal diagnosis of Down's syndrome.

RESULTS

The number of infants born with Down's syndrome decreased from 55-65 per year during 2000-4 to 31 in 2005 and 32 in 2006. The total number of chorionic villus samplings and amniocenteses carried out decreased from 7524 in 2000 to 3510 in 2006. The detection rate in the screened population in 2005 was 86% (95% confidence interval 79% to 92%) and in 2006 was 93% (87% to 97%). The corresponding false positive rates were 3.9% (3.7% to 4.1%) and 3.3% (3.1% to 3.4%).

CONCLUSION

The introduction of a combined risk assessment during the first trimester at a national level in Denmark halved the number of infants born with Down's syndrome. The strategy also resulted in a sharp decline in the number of chorionic villus samplings and amniocenteses carried out, even before full implementation of the policy.