A plea to overcome the concept of "staging" and related inadequacy in multiple myeloma

Prognostic factors in symptomatic Waldenstrom's macroglobulinemia

We analyze the prognostic value of the presenting features of a series of patients with symptomatic Waldenstrom's macroglobulinemia who were homogeneously treated. A total of 215 patients (119 males) with a median age of 62.6 years (range, 24.9 to 91.6) were retrospectively analyzed. The median overall follow-up was 57.6 months (range, 0.6 to 281): 58 (0.9 to 281) for living patients and 52.2 (0.6 to 261.3) for those who died. All patients were treated with alkylating agent-based chemotherapy. The overall median survival was 77.2 months, without significant differences based on the duration of the previous monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) phase. The multivariate Cox analysis performed on the whole population showed that age, hemoglobin level, and serum albumin level predicted survival. The addition of beta(2)-microglobulin, available in the subgroup of 60 patients diagnosed after 1990, in a Cox stepwise selection showed that this parameter was by far the main prognostic determinant. Application of the Dhodapkar, Morel, and Gobbi scoring systems to this population of patients showed that all three stratified the population into groups with significantly distinct prognoses. A prognostic index based on age, hemoglobin, and albumin is capable of identifying various groups of patients with different therapeutic needs.

A prognostic index for multiple myeloma

The current prognostic systems have failed to identify multiple myeloma (MM) patients who require aggressive therapy. These staging systems do not reliably distinguish patients with different prognoses. This paper explores the possibility of improving the prognostic forecast in MM by considering some clinical characteristics at diagnosis together with response to first-line chemotherapy. A total of 231 patients were prospectively randomised in a multicentre trial to no therapy vs melphalan + prednisone (MP) for stage I, MP in stage II, and MP vs peptichemio, vincristine and prednisone for stage III. The clinical features of these groups were evaluated for prognostic variables predictive of overall survival by means of univariate and multivariate analysis. The independently significant variables were incorporated into a model that identified three groups of patients with different risks of death and different overall survival. Three variables retained statistical significance: the staging system proposed by the British Medical Research Council, a composite parameter integrating the percentage of bone marrow plasma cells with cytological features of the infiltrating elements (plasma cell vs plasmablast), and response to 6 months of first-line chemotherapy. These three variables led the proposal of a scoring system able to identify three different risk classes (with median overall survival of 52, 28 and 13 months respectively) and to estimate individual patient prognosis more flexibly. The proposed risk classes, drawn from both diagnostic and therapeutic parameters, are thought to be a clinical and investigational instrument for separating MM patients into comparable groups, for selecting the best available therapy and for evaluating response with respect to the disease of each new patient.

Prognosis in myeloma

OBJECTIVE

To review biologic factors that may be useful in determining prognosis in patients with myeloma.

DESIGN

The currently available clinical variables and staging systems were assessed for their predictive value in myeloma, and newly proposed prognostic factors were summarized.

RESULTS

Because some patients with myeloma may potentially benefit by new, more intensive therapies such as stem cell transplantation or may have prolonged survival with standard therapy, determining factors that would distinguish such patients is important. Independent prognostic factors such as the plasma cell labeling index and beta 2-microglobulin have repeatedly outperformed other prognostic clinical variables and can be combined into a system that identifies poor, intermediate, and good prognostic groups of patients with myeloma. New factors are needed to improve on the predictive value of these two variables. Studies of the biologic features of myelomas have led to the discovery of soluble interleukin 6 receptor (sIL 6R) in the serum. sIL 6R enhances the myeloma cell response to interleukin 6, a central growth factor that affects myeloma cell proliferation. Preliminary studies by the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group show that sIL 6R predicts survival independent of the plasma cell labeling index and beta 2-microglobulin. Other proposed independent prognostic factors include cytokines and their soluble receptors, regulatory T cells, circulating myeloma cells, myeloma cell precursors, and markers of proliferation, apoptosis, and drug resistance.

CONCLUSION

Because of wide variation in duration of survival, the prognosis of patients with myeloma, a fatal bone marrow plasma cell neoplasm, cannot yet be adequately predicted. Better prognostic factors are needed for stratification in clinical trials, counseling of patients, and designing of new therapeutic trials.

Multiple myeloma in the elderly

While multiple myeloma is an incurable disease for nearly all patients, current chemotherapy and supportive care can result in significant disease control and improved duration of survival and quality of life. With the average age of patients about 70, most of the high-dose curative strategies exclude the bulk of patients affected by the disease. Recent advances in understanding the biology and pathophysiology of myeloma have led to novel therapies aimed at altering drug resistance, improving duration of the plateau phase, interrupting the cytokine growth stimulation, and improving management of common complications including infections, anemia, and bone lesions. These latter approaches are not restricted to younger patients, and early evidence indicates that elderly patients are also likely to benefit.

Prognostic value of clinical, laboratory, and histological characteristics in multiple myeloma: improved definition of risk groups

Follow-up data of 320 multiple myeloma (MM) patients entering the German Myeloma Treatment Group (GMTG) trial MM01 were analysed for factors predicting overall (OAS) and tumour related survival (TRS). Response to primary induction chemotherapy was relevant for prognosis if a limit of 25% tumour cell mass (TCM) reduction was used to separate responders from non-responders. Furthermore, TCM, histological grading of myeloma cells, degree of bone marrow infiltration, haemoglobin, platelet counts, calcium, creatinine, albumin, beta 2M, and Bence Jones proteinuria correlated to both OAS and TRS. Age was relevant for OAS only. The multivariate analysis revealed histological grading, TCM and platelets as the most reliable prognostic factors. Based on these data the Durie/Salmon classification could be improved by defining poor prognosis patients (50% TRS: 16 months) characterised by pretreatment platelets of < or = 150,000 and/or poorly differentiated myeloma cell morphology. Patients lacking both risk factors displayed 50% survival times of 46 months in stage III and 88 months in stage II.