Risk factors for end-stage kidney disease after pediatric liver transplantation

Combined liver-kidney transplantation in pediatric patients

Combined liver-kidney transplantation (CLKT) is a surgical procedure that involves transplanting both liver and kidney organs. There are two types of CLKT: simultaneous liver-kidney transplantation (smLKT) and sequential LKT (sqLKT). CLKT accounts for a small percentage of liver transplantations (LTs), particularly in pediatric cases. Nevertheless, the procedure has demonstrated excellent outcomes, with high survival rates and lower rejection rates. The main indications for CLKT in pediatric patients differ somewhat from that in adults, in which end-stage kidney disease after LT is the major indication. In children, congenital diseases are common reason for performing CLKT; the examples of such diseases include autosomal recessive polycystic kidney disease with congenital hepatic fibrosis which equally affects both organs, and primary hyperoxaluria type 1, a primary liver disease leading kidney failure. The decision between smLKT or sqLKT depends on the dominant organ failure, the specific pathophysiology, and available organ sources. However, there remain significant surgical and societal challenges surrounding CLKT. Innovations in pharmacology and genetic engineering have decreased the necessity for CLKT in early-diagnosed cases without portal hypertension or kidney replacement therapy. Nonetheless, these advancements are not universally accessible. Therefore, decision-making algorithms should be crafted, considering region-specific organ allocation systems and prevailing medical environments.

Late-onset Chronic Kidney Disease Over 2 Decades After Pediatric Liver Transplantation: A Single-center, Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

Although chronic kidney disease (CKD) after liver transplantation (LTx) is a common complication in adults, its long-term significance after pediatric LTx remains unclear. We examined the decades-long transition of renal function and revealed the risk factors for late-onset CKD after pediatric LTx in a single-center retrospective cohort of 117 pediatric LTx recipients who survived >5 y.

METHODS

The estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and CKD stages were calculated using serum creatinine. Risk factor analysis for late-onset CKD was performed in 41 patients whose eGFR could be evaluated at >20 y after LTx.

RESULTS

The median age at LTx was 1.3 y, and most primary diagnoses were biliary atresia (77%). The mean pre-LTx and 1, 5, 10, 20, and >20 y post-LTx eGFRs were 180, 135, 131, 121, 106, and 95 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , respectively, with a median renal follow-up period of 15 y. The eGFR declined by 47% at >20 y after LTx ( P  < 0.001). CKD was observed in 8%, 19%, and 39% of cases at 10, 20, and >20 y after LTx, respectively. In patients receiving cyclosporine, trough levels were 1.5 times higher in those with CKD up to 10 y after LTx. The multivariate analysis showed that older age at LTx (odds ratio, 1.3 by 1 y; P  = 0.008) and episodes of repeated/refractory rejection (odds ratio, 16.2; P  = 0.002) were independent risk factors of CKD >20 y after LTx.

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, renal function deteriorates slowly yet steadily after pediatric LTx. Long-term careful surveillance is essential after pediatric LTx, especially in repeated/refractory rejection or long-term high trough-level use of cyclosporine cases.

Posttransplant renal replacement therapy is an alarm signal for survival outcomes in pediatric liver transplantation

BACKGROUND

The impact of renal replacement therapy (RRT) on the long-term survival outcomes of pediatric liver recipients remains controversial.

METHODS

A total of 224 patients aged <18 years, who underwent liver transplantation (LT), were divided into two groups: patients who underwent renal replacement therapy (RRT) (group R, n = 25, 11.2%) and those who did not (group N, n = 199, 88.8%). The posttransplant patient survival outcomes according to RRT use constituted the primary end-point. RRT was initiated preoperatively in 12 patients (48.0%) and postoperatively in 13 [early: <6 months after LT (n = 5, 20.0%) and late: ≥6 months after LT (n = 8, 32.0%)]. The indications for RRT included liver disease involving the kidney (44.0%) and hepatorenal syndrome (56.0%).

RESULTS

The age at the time of LT (71.6 vs. 19.1 months) was higher, the pediatric end-stage liver disease score was lower (9.9 vs. 21.2), and the duration of hospitalization posttransplantation (41.0 vs. 27.0 days) was longer, while the rates of hepatic artery thrombosis (8.0% vs. 3.5%) were higher in group R (p < .05). The number of patients (60.0% vs. 93.0%; p < .001) and graft survival rates (68.0% vs. 93.0%; p < .001) were significantly lower in group R. Multivariate analysis revealed that posttransplant RRT and hepatic artery complications were risk factors for patient survival outcomes. Renal function was recovered in 7 patients (28.0%) in group R, and 9 (36.0%) eventually underwent kidney transplantation.

CONCLUSION

The survival outcomes of children requiring posttransplant RRT were significantly worse than those of children, who did not undergo RRT. Physicians should pay meticulous attention to patients requiring post-LT RRT.

Long-Term Survival and Kidney Function in Pediatric Patients Following Liver Transplantation: A 15-Year Retrospective Cohort Study

Long-term preservation of kidney function after liver transplantation (LT) has not been well studied. We thus evaluated the rates of kidney function preservation and long-term survival after pediatric LT. We also investigated the risk factors associated with the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD). We conducted a retrospective study of 184 pediatric patients who had undergone LT from 2003 to 2018 at a university hospital. We collected demographics, primary indications for LT, liver disease scores, renal function test results, immunosuppressive drug prescriptions, and diagnosis of post-LT complications. The 15-year survival rate was 90.8%. Furthermore, the rate of kidney function preservation at 14 years post-LT in patients at high risk of renal disease was 79.3%, and that in those with less risk of kidney diseases was 96.0%. Arterial hypertension was an independent risk factor associated with CKD progression. However, when arterial hypertension was excluded, the use of cyclosporine and liver disease with renal involvement were risk factors for CKD progression. We found that kidney function after pediatric LT was well preserved. We encourage the early detection of underlying kidney involvement, routine monitoring of renal function for high-risk patients, active control of hypertension, and appropriate immunosuppressive regimens for pediatric patients with LT.

Acute kidney disease predicts chronic kidney disease in pediatric non-kidney solid organ transplant patients

BACKGROUND

Acute kidney disease (AKD) is defined as impaired kidney function present for <90 days with or without an acute kidney injury (AKI) event. Adults with AKD have an increased risk for progression to chronic kidney disease (CKD) and mortality. There are no data on the epidemiology of AKD in children after transplant. The aim of this study was to evaluate the incidence and risk factors for AKI, AKD, and CKD in children after transplantation.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study of all children undergoing non-kidney solid organ transplant between 2011 and 2019 at UPMC Children's Hospital of Pittsburgh. AKI and AKD were defined using the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes criteria. Patients with a new estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 ml/min/1.73m² persisting for >3 months met criteria for new CKD. Variables associated with AKI, AKD, and CKD were analyzed.

RESULTS

Among 338 patients, 37.9% met criteria for severe AKI, 13% for AKD, and 8% for a new diagnosis of CKD. Stage 3 AKI was independently associated with AKD (OR: 5.35; 95% CI: 2.23-12.86). Severe AKI was not associated with new-onset CKD, whereas AKD was associated with new-onset CKD (OR: 29.74; CI: 11.22-78.82).

CONCLUSION

AKD may be superior to AKI in predicting risk of CKD in children after non-kidney solid organ transplantation.

Kidney Allocation Issues in Liver Transplantation Candidates with Chronic Kidney Disease and Severe Kidney Liver Injury

The number of liver transplant candidates with concomitant renal disease has been steadily rising since the implementation of MELD-based allocation in 2002. Consequently, the number of simultaneous liver-kidney (SLK) transplants being performed each year has also increased. However, the establishment of well-defined criteria for when to choose SLK over liver transplant alone has lagged behind. The lack of clear guidelines has worsened an already large shortage of transplantable kidneys. This article further explores the rationale for and outlines the implementation of the SLK allocation policy.

Kidney disease in children with heart or liver transplant

Over the past few decades, there has been increasing recognition of kidney disease in children with non-kidney solid organ transplantation. The risk of kidney disease in children undergoing heart or liver transplantation is higher than the general population as the underlying disease and its associated management may directly impair kidney function. Both heart and liver failures contribute to hypoperfusion and kidney ischemia before patients reach the point of transplant. The transplant surgery itself can often be complicated by acute kidney injury (AKI), which may be further exacerbated by a complicated postoperative course. In the short- and long-term post-transplant period, these children are at risk of acute illness, exposed to nephrotoxic medications, and susceptible to rare but severe infections and immunologic insults that may contribute to AKI and chronic kidney disease (CKD). In some, CKD can progress to kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT). CKD and KFRT are associated with increased morbidity and mortality in this patient population. Therefore, it is critical to monitor for and recognize the risk factors for kidney injury in this population and mitigate these risks. In this paper, the authors provide an overview of kidney disease pertaining to heart and liver transplantation in children with guidance on monitoring, diagnosis, prevention, and management.

Renal Outcomes After Simultaneous Liver-Kidney Transplantation: Results from the US Multicenter Simultaneous Liver-Kidney Transplantation Consortium

Simultaneous liver-kidney transplantation (SLKT) is increasingly common in the United States. However, little is known about the renal-related outcomes following SLKT, which are essential to maximize the health of these allografts. We examined the factors impacting renal function following SLKT. This is an observational multicenter cohort study from the US Multicenter SLKT Consortium consisting of recipients of SLKT aged ≥18 years of transplantations performed between February 2002 and June 2017 at 6 large US centers in 6 different United Network for Organ Sharing regions. The primary outcome was incident post-SLKT stage 4-5 chronic kidney disease (CKD) defined as <30 mL/minute/1.73 m² or listing for kidney transplant. The median age of the recipients (n = 570) was 58 years (interquartile range, 51-64 years), and 37% were women, 76% were White, 33% had hepatitis C virus infection, 20% had nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), and 23% had alcohol-related liver disease; 68% developed ≥ stage 3 CKD at the end of follow-up. The 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year incidence rates of post-SLKT stage 4-5 CKD were 10%, 12%, and 16%, respectively. Pre-SLKT diabetes mellitus (hazard ratio [HR], 1.45; 95% CI, 1.00-2.15), NASH (HR, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.01-2.45), and delayed kidney graft function (HR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.10-2.71) were the recipient factors independently associated with high risk, whereas the use of tacrolimus (HR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.22-0.89) reduced the risk. Women (β = -6.22 ± 2.16 mL/minute/1.73 m² ; P = 0.004), NASH (β = -7.27 ± 3.27 mL/minute/1.73 m² ; P = 0.027), and delayed kidney graft function (β = -7.25 ± 2.26 mL/minute/1.73 m² ; P = 0.007) were independently associated with low estimated glomerular filtration rate at last follow-up. Stage 4-5 CKD is common after SLKT. There remains an unmet need for personalized renal protective strategies, specifically stratified by sex, diabetes mellitus, and liver disease, to preserve renal function among SLKT recipients.

Hyponatremia Is Associated With Increased Mortality in Children on the Waiting List for Liver Transplantation

Our aim was to determine whether hyponatremia is associated with waiting list or posttransplantation mortality in children having liver transplantation (LT).

Acute and chronic kidney disease after pediatric liver transplantation: An underestimated problem

Acute and chronic kidney injuries represent critical issues after liver transplantation (LTx), but whereas renal dysfunction in adult transplant patients is well documented, little is known about its prevalence in childhood. It is a challenge to accurately evaluate renal function in patients with liver disease, due to several confounding factors. Creatinine-based equations estimating glomerular filtration rate, validated in nephropathic patients without hepatic issues, are frequently inaccurate in end-stage liver disease, underestimating the real impact of renal disease. Moreover, whereas renal issues observed within 1 year from LTx were often related to acute injuries, kidney damage observed after 5-7 years from LTx, is due to chronic, irreversible mechanisms. Most immunosuppression protocols are based on calcineurin inhibitors (CNIs) and corticosteroids, but mycophenolate mofetil or sirolimus could play significant roles, also in children. Early diagnosis and personalized treatment represent the bases of kidney disease management, in order to minimize its close relation with increased mortality. This review analyzed acute and chronic kidney damage after pediatric LTx, also discussing the impact of pre-existent renal disease. The main immunosuppressant strategies have been reviewed, highlighting their impact on kidney function. Different methods assessing renal function were reported, with the potential application of new renal biomarkers.

Acute kidney injury and chronic kidney disease after non-kidney solid organ transplantation

BACKGROUND

SOT is the treatment of choice for end-stage organ disease. Improved long-term survival after NKSOT has uncovered chronic morbidity including CKD. AKI is common after NKSOT and may be associated with long-term CKD.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study looking at AKI and CKD after pediatric heart (n = 109) or liver (n = 112) transplant. AKI was defined using KDIGO creatinine-based criteria. pAKI was AKI ≤ 7 days post-transplant; CKD_3-5 was eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m² by modified Schwartz formula for > 3 months. We looked at the incidence of CKD_3-5 and the effect of perioperative pAKI on the slope of eGFR post-transplant.

RESULTS

pAKI was seen in 63% (n = 69) after heart and 38% (n = 43) after liver transplant. pAKI was associated with longer ICU and hospital stays. Cumulative incidence (95% CI) of CKD_3-5 at 60 months post-heart transplant was 40.9% (27.9%-57.1%) in patients with AKI vs 35.8% (17.1%-64.8%) in those without (P = NS). Post-liver transplant, the cumulative incidence of CKD_3-5 at 60 months was 0% in those without pAKI vs 10% (3.2%-29.3%) in those with (P = .01). Patients with pAKI had lower eGFR at last follow-up.

CONCLUSION

pAKI and CKD are common after NKSOT. Incidence of CKD is higher in those with pAKI. AKI episodes are associated with a drop in eGFR during follow-up. Identifying patients who have had AKI is an important first step in identifying those at risk of repeated AKI episodes. These patients would benefit from closer monitoring for CKD, lower nephrotoxic drug use, and follow-up with nephrology.

Equally Interchangeable? How Sex and Gender Affect Transplantation

Organ transplantation as an option to overcome end-stage diseases is common in countries with advanced healthcare systems and is increasingly provided in emerging and developing countries. A review of the literature points to sex- and gender-based inequity in the field with differences reported at each step of the transplant process, including access to a transplantation waiting list, access to transplantation once waitlisted, as well as outcome after transplantation. In this review, we summarize the data regarding sex- and gender-based disparity in adult and pediatric kidney, liver, lung, heart, and hematopoietic stem cell transplantation and argue that there are not only biological but also psychological and socioeconomic issues that contribute to disparity in the outcome, as well as an inequitable access to transplantation for women and girls. Because the demand for organs has always exceeded the supply, the transplant community has long recognized the need to ensure equity and efficiency of the organ allocation system. In the spirit of equity and equality, the authors call for recognition of these inequities and the development of policies that have the potential to ensure that girls and women have equitable access to transplantation.

Long-term outcome of liver transplantation in childhood: A study of 20-year survivors

We report the results of a study of survival, liver and kidney functions, and growth with a median follow-up of 24 years following liver transplantation in childhood. From 1988 to 1993, 128 children underwent deceased donor liver transplantation (median age: 2.5 years). Twenty-year patient and graft survival rates were 79% and 64%, respectively. Raised serum aminotransferase and/or γ-glutamyl transferase activities were present in 42% of survivors after a single transplantation. Graft histology (35 patients) showed signs of chronic rejection in 11 and biliary obstruction in 5. Mean total fibrosis scores were 4.5/9 and 3/9 in patients with abnormal and normal serum liver tests, respectively. Glomerular filtration rate was <90 mL·min^-1 in 35 survivors, including 4 in end-stage renal disease who were undergoing dialysis or had undergone renal transplantation. Median final heights were 159 cm for women and 172 cm for men; final height was below the target height in 37 patients. Twenty-year survival after childhood liver transplantation may be close to 80%, and final height is within the normal range for most patients. However, chronic kidney disease or altered liver biochemistries are present in over one third of patients, which is a matter of concern for the future.

Patterns of kidney injury in pediatric nonkidney solid organ transplant recipients

The incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI) and its impact on chronic kidney disease (CKD) following pediatric nonkidney solid organ transplantation is unknown. We aimed to determine the incidence of AKI and CKD and examine their relationship among children who received a heart, lung, liver, or multiorgan transplant at the Hospital for Sick Children between 2002 and 2011. AKI was assessed in the first year posttransplant. Among 303 children, perioperative AKI (within the first week) occurred in 67% of children, and AKI after the first week occurred in 36%, with the highest incidence among lung and multiorgan recipients. Twenty-three children (8%) developed CKD after a median follow-up of 3.4 years. Less than 5 children developed end-stage renal disease, all within 65 days posttransplant. Those with 1 AKI episode by 3 months posttransplant had significantly greater risk for developing CKD after adjusting for age, sex, and estimated glomerular filtration rate at transplant (hazard ratio: 2.77, 95% confidence interval, 1.13-6.80, P trend = .008). AKI is common in the first year posttransplant and associated with significantly greater risk of developing CKD. Close monitoring for kidney disease may allow for earlier implementation of kidney-sparing strategies to decrease risk for progression to CKD.

End-stage renal disease after pediatric heart transplantation: A 25-year national cohort study

BACKGROUND

End-stage renal disease (ESRD), defined as the need for chronic dialysis and/or kidney transplantation (KTx), is a known complication after heart transplant (HTx). However, factors associated with ESRD are not well elucidated. The objectives of this study were to determine the prevalence, risk factors, and outcomes associated with ESRD after pediatric HTx.

METHODS

Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients data were linked, using direct identifiers, to the United States Renal Data System to identify patients (aged ≤ 18 years) who underwent primary HTx between 1989 and 2013. Risk factors for ESRD and death were analyzed using Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

Combining the above 2 databases identified ~25% additional HTx patients who developed ESRD that were not captured by either database alone. During a median follow-up of 11.8 years, ESRD developed in 276 of 6,901 patients (4%). The actuarial risk of developing ESRD after HTx was 3% at 10 years and 16% at 20 years. Age at HTx > 1 year, African-American race, year of HTx before 2000, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, re-HTx, acute dialysis, graft failure, and hospitalized infection were significant risk factors for ESRD development. Those who remained on chronic dialysis had higher risk of death than those who received KTx (hazard ratio, 31.4; 95% confidence interval, 20.8-48.4; p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

ESRD after pediatric HTx is more prevalent in HTx survivors than documented by a transplant database alone. A number of factors develop at or after HTx that increase the risk for developing ESRD. Use of KTx in post-HTx ESRD is associated with improved survival.

National Assessment of Hospitalization Rates for Incident End-Stage Renal Disease After Liver Transplantation

BACKGROUND

We examined the association of incident end-stage renal disease (ESRD) after liver transplantation (LT) and resource utilization using a data linkage between the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients and claims data from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services.

METHODS

The study cohort consisted of patients aged ≥18 years who underwent deceased donor LT between January 1, 2003, and December 31, 2010, with Medicare as primary or secondary insurance and were discharged alive from the index LT hospitalization (n = 7019). The association of ESRD and post-LT hospitalization was assessed by sequential stratification, which entailed prognostic score matching of ESRD-free patients to each LT recipient at ESRD onset. The prognostic score was developed from a model of time to hospitalization and included baseline factors and hospitalization history as predictors.

RESULTS

The overall hospitalization rates for LT recipients with and without ESRD were 2.7 and 1.1 per patient-year at risk, respectively. The total number of days hospitalized patient per year was 23 in ESRD and 7 in non-ESRD LT recipients. The adjusted post-LT hospitalization rate was 97% higher after reaching ESRD compared to non-ESRD (hazard ratio, 1.97; P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Hospitalization rates increased significantly for LT recipients after ESRD onset. Early risk factor modification efforts targeting patients who are at high ESRD risk may reduce post-LT ESRD incidence and hence decrease morbidity and cost among LT recipients.

Chronic Kidney Disease and Related Long-Term Complications After Liver Transplantation

Liver transplantation is the standard of care for patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Liver transplantation recipients have excellent short-term and long-term outcomes including patient and graft survival. Since the adoption of model for end-stage liver disease (MELD)-based allocation policy, the incidence of post-transplant end stage renal disease has risen significantly. Occurrence of Stage 4 chronic kidney disease and end stage renal disease substantially increases the risk of post-transplant deaths. Because majority of late post-transplant mortality is due to nonhepatic post-transplant comorbidities, personalized care directed toward risk factor modification may further improve post-transplant survival.

American Society of Nephrology clinical pathological conference

A 13-year-old girl presented with proteinuria and acute kidney failure. She was born at full term via cesarean delivery (due to nuchal cord), but there were no other prenatal or perinatal complications. In early childhood the patient had two hospitalizations at ages 4.5 and 9 years, respectively, the latter for pneumonia. She had no history of symptoms of kidney disease. She came to the hospital at age 12 years for routine bilateral molar extractions. She was treated with oral antibiotics and discharged after the procedure without complications. At age 13 years, 10 months after the molar extraction, she was seen by a pediatrician because of puffiness and increased BP. She had had respiratory symptoms 2 weeks before presentation. The pediatrician prescribed furosemide and amlodipine. A few days later, the patient returned to the pediatrician's office because of hand, ankle, and facial swelling and malaise. The pediatrician recommended hospitalization and the patient was admitted at this time.

Basiliximab with delayed introduction of calcineurin inhibitors as a renal-sparing protocol following liver transplantation in children with renal impairment

Renal impairment is frequently compromised in patients with end-stage liver disease and is associated with increased long-term mortality post-LT. In contrast to CNI, basiliximab is an immunosuppressive agent with minimal nephrotoxic potential. This study reviews the experience of a single pediatric liver transplant center's renal-sparing approach with the use of basiliximab and MMF to compensate for delayed entry of CNI in children with renal impairment at the time of organ availability. There were no differences in renal function between pediatric patients with and without pre-LT renal impairment within the first year (cGFR: 135 mL/min/1.73 m2 vs. 144 mL/min/1.73 m2 ; p = 0.56) or at 5-8 yr following LT, (129 mL/min/1.73 m2 vs. 130 mL/min/1.73 m2 ; p = 0.97). In addition, there was no difference in ACR rates (50% vs. 43%, p = 0.62) between patients in the basiliximab group and those patients receiving standard CNI and steroid strategies. The utilization of a renal-sparing approach with basiliximab alongside delayed entry and lower early target trough levels of CNI in children with renal impairment at the time of LT is safe and maintains excellent long-term kidney function.

Growing experience with mTOR inhibitors in pediatric solid organ transplantation

Controlled trials of mTOR inhibitors in children following solid organ transplantation are scarce, although evidence from prospective single-arm studies is growing. Everolimus with reduced CNI therapy has been shown to be efficacious and safe in de novo pediatric kidney transplant patients in prospective trials. Prospective and retrospective data in children converted from CNI therapy to mTOR inhibition following kidney, liver, or heart transplantation suggest preservation of immunosuppressive efficacy. Good renal function has been maintained when mTOR inhibitors are used de novo in children following kidney transplantation or after conversion to mTOR inhibition with CNI minimization. mTOR inhibition with reduced CNI exposure is associated with a low risk for developing infection in children. Growth and development do not appear to be impaired during low-dose mTOR inhibition, but more studies are required. No firm conclusions can be drawn as to whether mTOR inhibitors should be discontinued in children requiring surgical intervention or whether mTOR inhibition delays progression of hepatic fibrosis after pediatric liver transplantation. In conclusion, current evidence suggests that use of mTOR inhibitors in children undergoing solid organ transplantation is efficacious and safe, but a number of issues remain unresolved and further studies are required.

End-stage kidney disease after pediatric nonrenal solid organ transplantation

OBJECTIVES

Adult solid organ transplant (SOT) recipients commonly develop advanced kidney disease; however, the burden of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) in children after SOT is not well-described. The objectives of this study were to determine the incidence of ESKD after pediatric SOT and the relative risk by SOT type.

METHODS

Retrospective multicenter cohort study of children, ages ≤ 18 years, who received SOTs from 1990 through 2010 using Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients data linked to the US Renal Data System. We performed a competing risks analysis to determine cumulative incidence of ESKD (chronic dialysis or kidney transplant), treating death as a competing risk, and fit a multivariable Cox regression model to assess hazard of ESKD by organ type.

RESULTS

The cohort included 16,604 pediatric SOT recipients (54% liver, 34% heart, 6% lung, 6% intestine, and 1% heart-lung). During a median follow-up of 6.2 years (interquartile range 2.2-12.1), 426 (3%) children developed ESKD. Compared with liver transplant recipients, in whom the incidence of ESKD was 2.1 cases per 1000 person-years, in adjusted analyses the highest risk of ESKD was among intestinal (hazard ratio [HR] 7.37, P < .001), followed by lung (HR 5.79, P < .001) and heart transplant recipients (HR 1.79, P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

In a 20-year national cohort of pediatric SOT recipients, the risk of ESKD was highest among intestinal and lung transplant recipients. The burden of earlier stages of chronic kidney disease is probably much higher; modifiable risk factors should be targeted to prevent progressive kidney damage in this high-risk population.

Patient-specific prediction of ESRD after liver transplantation

Incident ESRD after liver transplantation (LT) is associated with high post-transplant mortality. We constructed and validated a continuous renal risk index (RRI) to predict post-LT ESRD. Data for 43,514 adult recipients of deceased donor LT alone (February 28, 2002 to December 31, 2010) were linked from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients and the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services ESRD Program. An adjusted Cox regression model of time to post-LT ESRD was fitted, and the resulting equation was used to calculate an RRI for each LT recipient. The RRI included 14 recipient factors: age, African-American race, hepatitis C, cholestatic disease, body mass index ≥ 35, pre-LT diabetes, ln creatinine for recipients not on dialysis, ln albumin, ln bilirubin, serum sodium<134 mEq/L, status-1, previous LT, transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt, and acute dialysis at LT. This RRI was validated and had a C statistic of 0.76 (95% confidence interval, 0.75 to 0.78). Higher RRI associated significantly with higher 5-year cumulative incidence of ESRD and post-transplant mortality. In conclusion, the RRI constructed in this study quantifies the risk of post-LT ESRD and is applicable to all LT alone recipients. This new validated measure may serve as an important prognostic tool in ameliorating post-LT ESRD risk and improve survival by informing post-LT patient management strategies.