A model for estimating cirrhosis in patients with type 1 autoimmune hepatitis

Role of triglycerides as a predictor of autoimmune hepatitis with cirrhosis

Background

Metabolism-related indicators have been suggested as possible prognostic indicators of liver disease in recent relevant studies, but their value in predicting autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) cirrhosis is unclear. This study evaluated the role of lipid levels in determining the prognosis of AIH-related cirrhosis.

Methods

We retrospectively included 345 patients with AIH who were initially diagnosed at Beijing Ditan Hospital from 2010-2019, and ultimately screened 196 patients who met the criteria. A logistic regression analysis was performed to screen factors associated with cirrhosis. Kaplan–Meier (KM) curves were constructed to analyze the effects of different triglyceride (TG) levels on the survival of patients with cirrhosis. A restricted cubic spline fitted Cox regression model was used to analyze the nonlinear relationship between serum TG levels and patient prognosis.

Results

Patients with AIH cirrhosis have lower TG levels than those without cirrhosis. Lower serum TG levels correlated with the severity of cirrhosis. The survival analysis showed that TG levels were associated with the overall survival of patients with AIH, as a lower 5-year survival rate (log-rank P<0.05) was observed for patients in the TG≤0.95 mmol/L group (hazard ratio (HR)=3.79, 95% CI: 1.528-9.423). In addition, lower TG levels were associated with a higher incidence of death in patients with AIH cirrhosis. The risk of death gradually increased for the interval of TG levels of 0.5-0.8 mmol/L (P for nonlinearity<0.001), and the hazard ratio per standard deviation increase in the TG level was 0.97 (95% CI: 0.94-0.99). The plot showed a U-shaped relationship between TG levels and the survival of patients with decompensated cirrhosis. The risk ratio progressively decreased with lower TG levels (P for nonlinearity=0.002). Below 0.6 mmol/L, the probability of TG risk per standard deviation prediction was 1.49 (95% CI: 1.00-2.24).

Conclusion

Serum TG levels are closely related to the disease severity and overall survival of patients with AIH cirrhosis and may be used as a new indicator of advanced liver disease and long-term prognosis.

Autoimmune Hepatitis in the Asia-Pacific Area

Autoimmune hepatitis has been considered as a relatively rare immunological liver disease, especially in the Asia-Pacific area. Although the diagnosis criteria and immunosuppressive treatment regimens have been established, there are still some challenges. According to the different presentations, the personalized management of patients who suffer from this disease, including those with chronic or acute severe onset, the autoantibody-negative phenotype and cirrhosis are necessarily descriptive. Each subgroup of patients should receive an individualized therapy. Here, we review the recent studies of autoimmune hepatitis, mainly focusing on the epidemiology and genetics, personalized diagnostics, individualized treatment strategies, special subgroups and outcomes. Most of the research in the literature is based on Japanese and Chinese populations.

Autoimmune liver disease

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

To review studies that improve the diagnosis and treatment of autoimmune hepatitis and extend the understanding of its pathogenic mechanisms.

RECENT FINDINGS

A simplified diagnostic scoring system has high sensitivity and specificity. Biliary changes detected by MRI are of uncertain nature and significance. New candidate autoantigens have been identified by proteomic analyses. T regulatory cells suppress disease activity; their adoptive transfer is beneficial in animal models. Budesonide in combination with azathioprine is effective frontline therapy. Bone marrow-derived mesenchymal stem cell transplantation may emerge as salvage therapy. Screening for hepatocellular cancer is justified. Racial disparities in disease severity, mortality, and treatment remain unexplained.

SUMMARY

Diagnosis has been simplified and management strategies have been upgraded. Biliary changes have been recognized but are of uncertain nature and significance. New antigens and antibodies have been described. T-cell populations that modulate disease activity have been characterized, and adoptive transfer of T regulatory cells is possible. Budesonide in combination with azathioprine is effective frontline therapy, and therapeutic interventions that target critical pathogenic mechanisms are feasible.