Predictors of long‐term outcomes greater than 10 years after cardiac resynchronization therapy implantation

Effect of short-term cardiac function changes after cardiac resynchronization therapy on long-term prognosis in heart failure patients with and without diabetes

Background

The relationship between short-term cardiac function changes and long-term outcomes in heart failure (HF) patients undergoing cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) remains uncertain, especially when stratified by diabetes status.

Objectives

This study aims to assess the association between short-term cardiac function changes and outcomes such as all-cause mortality and HF hospitalization in patients undergoing CRT, stratified by diabetes status.

Design

This is a cohort longitudinal retrospective study.

Methods

A total of 666 HF patients, treated with CRT between March 2007 and March 2019, were included in this study. Among them, 166 patients (24.9%) were diagnosed with diabetes. Cardiac function was assessed at baseline and again at 6 months, incorporating evaluations of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (LVEDD), left atrial diameter (LAD), N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and QRS duration. The QRS duration represents the time required for a stimulus to spread through the ventricles (ventricular depolarization). The primary endpoints of the study were all-cause mortality and HF-related hospitalization.

Results

During a median follow-up of 2.51 years, 172 (25.8%) patients died and 197 (29.6%) were hospitalized for HF. Changes in LVEF, LVEDD, and LAD within 6 months had similar effects on adverse outcomes in both diabetic and nondiabetic patients. However, the presence of diabetes significantly modified the association between changes in NT-proBNP and QRS duration and adverse outcomes. Short-term changes in NT-proBNP and QRS duration were positively associated with all-cause mortality and HF hospitalization in patients without diabetes. However, the relationship between short-term changes in NT-proBNP and QRS duration and adverse outcomes was non-linear in diabetic patients.

Conclusion

Improvement of cardiac function after CRT implantation can reduce long-term risk of all-cause mortality and HF hospitalization in HF patients. However, the presence of diabetes may affect the association between short-term changes in NT-proBNP and QRS duration and adverse outcomes.

Predictors of long-term survival in Japanese patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) treated with cardiac resynchronization therapy-defibrillators (CRT-D)

BACKGROUND

Reports on the factors predicting long-term survival of CRT-D cases from Western countries are increasing, however, those from Asia including Japan are still sparse. We aimed to clarify the factors predicting long-term survival of Japanese CRT-D cases.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed consecutive 133 patients who underwent CRT-D implantation between 2006 and 2021. We compared clinical factors between patients who died within 5 years after implantation (short-survival group: n = 31) and who had survived for more than 5 years (long-survival group: n = 36) after implantation.

RESULTS

Major underlying heart diseases were dilated cardiomyopathy (45%) and ischemic heart disease (12%). There was no difference between the short-survival group and the long-survival group in incidence of CLBBB (32% vs. 30%), whereas CRBBB was more common in the short-survival group (26% vs. 0%, p = .004). Mechanical dyssynchrony at implantation was more frequent in the long-survival group (48% vs. 78%, p = .02). The incidence of response to CRT at 1 year after implantation was higher in long-survival group (19% vs. 50%, p = .02). Multiple logistic regression analysis identified NYHA class, mechanical dyssynchrony at implantation, and response at one year as predictors of long-term survival.

CONCLUSIONS

In Japanese CRT-D cases, lower NHYA class, preexisting mechanical dyssynchrony, and 1-year response to CRT predict long-term survival.

Risk Factors for Short-Term Versus Long-Term Mortality in Patients Who Underwent Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy

Cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) is an effective therapy in selected patients with advanced heart failure that reduces all-cause mortality at short-term follow-up. However, data regarding long-term mortality after CRT implantation are scarce, with no separate analysis available of the covariates associated with respectively short-term and long-term outcomes. Accordingly, the present study evaluated the risk factors associated with short-term (2-year follow-up) versus long-term (10-year follow-up) mortality after CRT implantation. Patients who underwent CRT implantation and had echocardiographic evaluation before implantation were included in the present study. The primary end point was all-cause mortality, and independent associates of short-term (2-year follow-up) and long-term (10-year follow-up) mortality were compared. In total, 894 patients (mean age 66 ± 10 years, 76% males) who underwent CRT implantation were included in the present study. The cumulative overall survival rates for the total population were 91%, 71%, and 45% at 2-, 5- and 10-year follow-up, respectively. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that short-term mortality was associated with both clinical and echocardiographic variables at the moment of CRT implantation; whereas long-term mortality was predominantly associated with baseline clinical parameters and was less strongly associated with baseline echocardiographic parameters. In conclusion, at long-term (10-year) follow-up, a significant proportion (45%) of patients with advanced heart failure who underwent CRT implantation were still alive. Importantly, the risk assessment for short-term (2-year follow-up) and long-term (10-year follow-up) mortality differ considerably, which may influence clinical decision making.

Risk scores in cardiac resynchronization therapy-A review of the literature

Cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) for selected heart failure (HF) patients improves symptoms and reduces morbidity and mortality; however, the prognosis of HF is still poor. There is an emerging need for tools that might help in optimal patient selection and provide prognostic information for patients and their families. Several risk scores have been created in recent years; although, no literature review is available that would list the possible scores for the clinicians. We identified forty-eight risk scores in CRT and provided the calculation methods and formulas in a ready-to-use format. The reviewed score systems can predict the prognosis of CRT patients; some of them have even provided an online calculation tool. Significant heterogeneity is present between the various risk scores in terms of the variables incorporated and some variables are not yet used in daily clinical practice. The lack of cross-validation of the risk scores limits their routine use and objective selection. As the number of prognostic markers of CRT is overwhelming, further studies might be required to analyze and cross-validate the data.

Importance of Systematic Right Ventricular Assessment in Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy Candidates: A Machine Learning Approach

BACKGROUND

Despite all having systolic heart failure and broad QRS intervals, patients screened for cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) are highly heterogeneous, and it remains extremely challenging to predict the impact of CRT devices on left ventricular function and outcomes. The aim of this study was to evaluate the relative impact of clinical, electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic data on the left ventricular remodeling and prognosis of CRT candidates by the application of machine learning approaches.

METHODS

One hundred ninety-three patients with systolic heart failure receiving CRT according to current recommendations were prospectively included in this multicenter study. A combination of the Boruta algorithm and random forest methods was used to identify features predicting both CRT volumetric response and prognosis. Model performance was tested using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. The k-medoid method was also applied to identify clusters of phenotypically similar patients.

RESULTS

From 28 clinical, electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic variables, 16 features were predictive of CRT response, and 11 features were predictive of prognosis. Among the predictors of CRT response, eight variables (50%) pertained to right ventricular size or function. Tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion was the main feature associated with prognosis. The selected features were associated with particularly good prediction of both CRT response (area under the curve, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.74-0.87) and outcomes (area under the curve, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.75-0.93). An unsupervised machine learning approach allowed the identification of two phenogroups of patients who differed significantly in clinical variables and parameters of biventricular size and right ventricular function. The two phenogroups had significantly different prognosis (hazard ratio, 4.70; 95% CI, 2.1-10.0; P < .0001; log-rank P < .0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Machine learning can reliably identify clinical and echocardiographic features associated with CRT response and prognosis. The evaluation of both right ventricular size and functional parameters has pivotal importance for the risk stratification of CRT candidates and should be systematically performed in patients undergoing CRT.

Left Ventricular Enlargement, Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy Efficacy, and Impact of MultiPoint Pacing

Background:

Left ventricular (LV) epicardial pacing results in slowly propagating paced wavefronts. We postulated that this effect might limit cardiac resynchronization therapy efficacy in patients with LV enlargement using conventional biventricular pacing with single-site LV pacing, but be mitigated by LV stimulation from 2 widely spaced sites using MultiPoint pacing with wide anatomic separation (MPP-AS: ≥30 mm). We tested this hypothesis in the multicenter randomized MPP investigational device exemption trial.

Methods:

Following implant, quadripolar biventricular single-site pacing was activated in all patients (n=506). From 3 to 9 months postimplant, among patients with available baseline LV end-diastolic volume (LVEDV) measures, 188 received biventricular single-site pacing and 43 received MPP-AS. Patients were dichotomized by median baseline LVEDV indexed to height (LVEDVI Median ). Outcomes were measured by the clinical composite score (primary efficacy end point), quality of life, LV structural remodeling (↑EF >5% and ↓ESV 10%) and heart failure event/cardiovascular death.

Results:

LVEDVI Median was 1.1 mL/cm. Baseline characteristics differed in patients with LVEDVI >Median versus LVEDVI ≤Median . Among patients with LVEDVI >Median , biventricular single-site pacing was less efficacious compared to patients with LVEDVI ≤Median (clinical composite score, 65% versus 79%). In contrast, MPP-AS programming generated greater clinical composite score response (92% versus 65%, P =0.023) and improved quality of life (−31.0±29.7 versus −15.7±22.1, P =0.038) versus biventricular single-site pacing in patients with LVEDVI >Median . Reverse remodeling trended better with MPP-AS programming. In patients with LVEDVI >Median , heart failure event rate increased following the 3-month randomization point with biventricular single-site pacing (0.0150±0.1725 in LVEDVI >Median versus −0.0190±0.0808 in LVEDVI ≤Median , P =0.012), but no heart failure event occurred in patients with MPP-AS programming between 3 and 9 months in LVEDVI >Median . All measured outcomes did not differ in patients receiving MPP-AS and biventricular single-site pacing with LVEDVI ≤Median .

Conclusions:

Conventional biventricular single-site pacing, even with a quadripolar lead, has reduced efficacy in patients with LV enlargement. However, the greatest response rate in patients with larger hearts was observed when programmed to MPP-AS pacing.