Impact of liver-stiffness measurement on hepatocellular carcinoma development in chronic hepatitis C patients treated with direct-acting antivirals: A systematic review and time-to-event meta-analysis

Hepatocellular Carcinoma After HCV Eradication with Direct-Acting Antivirals: A Reappraisal Based on New Parameters to Assess the Persistence of Risk

Approximately 95% of patients with chronic hepatitis C achieve viral eradication through direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment. Ensuing clinical benefits include halting liver fibrosis, thereby reducing the need for liver transplantation, and decreasing both liver-related and overall mortality. It is well established that, although ameliorated, the risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) persists, particularly among patients with pre-treatment advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis. Current guidelines recommend indefinite HCC surveillance in these patients. However, a recent Markov model evaluation shows that HCC surveillance is cost-effective only for patients with cirrhosis but not so for those with F3 fibrosis, a finding which points out the need to better define the risk of HCC in hepatitis C patients after cure and further characterize pre- and post-treatment factors that might affect the incidence of HCC in this setting. We reviewed the literature analyzing this aspect. Here we summarize the main findings: male gender and older age are independent predictors of increased risk of post-cure HCC development. Moreover, non-invasive tests for hepatic fibrosis, namely FIB4, APRI, and liver stiffness, measured before and after treatment and their post-therapy change, contribute to better stratifying the risk of HCC occurrence. Furthermore, low serum albumin, as well as an AFP above 7 ng/mL prior to and after DAA therapy, also constitute independent predictors of HCC development. Considering these findings, we propose to classify patients with HCV viral eradication and advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis into groups of low, medium, or high risk of HCC and to adopt adequate surveillance strategies for each group, including protocols for abbreviated magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for those at the highest risk.

Long-term risk of HCC in a DAA-treated national hepatitis C cohort, and a proposed risk score

BACKGROUND

The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains elevated in cirrhotic hepatitis C patients with sustained virological response (SVR) after DAA treatment. We assessed long-term HCC risk stratified by pretreatment liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and developed a risk score algorithm.

METHODS

This register-based nationwide cohort study of 7,227 DAA-treated patients with SVR evaluated annual HCC incidence rates (IRs) and cumulative incidences stratified by pretreatment LSM. The association between LSM and HCC risk was analyzed using multivariate Cox regression. A risk score algorithm was developed and internally validated in 2,664 individuals with LSM >9.5 kPa, assigning each patient a score based on risk factors, proportionally weighted by the association with HCC risk.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 1.8 years (3.2 years for LSM ≥12.5 kPa), 92 patients (1.3%) developed HCC. The IRs for LSM 9.5-12.4, 12.5-19.9 and ≥20 kPa were 0.21, 0.99 and 2.20 HCC/100 PY, respectively, with no significant risk reduction during follow-up. The HRs (and 95% CI) for LSM 9.5-12.5, 12.5-19.9 and ≥20 kPa are 1.19 (0.43-3.28), 4.66 (2.17-10.01) and 10.53 (5.26-21.08), respectively. Risk score models including FIB-4, alcohol, diabetes, age and LSM effectively stratified patients with LSM >9.5 kPa into low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups, with a Harrell's C of 0.799. Notably, 48% with LSM ≥9.5 kPa and 27% ≥12.5 kPa were classified as low-risk.

CONCLUSION

Pretreatment LSM is associated with HCC risk, which remains stable during the initial five years post-SVR. The HCC risk score algorithm effectively identifies low-risk patients, who may not require HCC surveillance.

EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of hepatocellular carcinoma

Liver cancer is the third leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide, with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) accounting for approximately 90% of primary liver cancers. Advances in diagnostic and therapeutic tools, along with improved understanding of their application, are transforming patient treatment. Integrating these innovations into clinical practice presents challenges and necessitates guidance. These clinical practice guidelines offer updated advice for managing patients with HCC and provide a comprehensive review of pertinent data. Key updates from the 2018 EASL guidelines include personalised surveillance based on individual risk assessment and the use of new tools, standardisation of liver imaging procedures and diagnostic criteria, use of minimally invasive surgery in complex cases together with updates on the integrated role of liver transplantation, transitions between surgical, locoregional, and systemic therapies, the role of radiation therapies, and the use of combination immunotherapies at various stages of disease. Above all, there is an absolute need for a multiparametric assessment of individual risks and benefits, considering the patient's perspective, by a multidisciplinary team encompassing various specialties.

Prediction of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in a Portuguese Population after Hepatitis C Cure: Comparative Accuracy of Noninvasive Tests (Transient Elastography, FIB-4, and aMAP)

<b><i>Introduction:</i></b> Chronic infection with hepatitis C virus (HCV) causes 25% of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cases worldwide, a major cause of morbimortality even after sustained virologic response (SVR). Universal screening to all patients with advanced liver fibrosis is currently recommended. A risk-based strategy could improve the detection rate of early HCC and diminish the surveillance burden. Although several risk prediction models exist, exclusion of a subgroup of patients from surveillance has not yet been recommended. The objective of this study was the comparison of the predictive accuracy of transient elastography, FIB-4, and aMAP for HCC in HCV patients after SVR in Portugal. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> This was a multicentric retrospective study including patients with HCV after SVR. Comparative, univariate, multivariate, area under the ROC (receiver-operating characteristic) curve (AUC), and Youden’s J-statistic analysis were performed. <b><i>Results:</i></b> HCC incidence was 4.2% (1.3/100 patient-years) after a median follow-up of 31 months with inclusion of 337 patients. All patients had a liver stiffness measurement (LSM) before SVR (considered the baseline), but only 148 (43.9%) had a transient elastography after SVR. FIB-4 and aMAP post-SVR were calculated in all patients. Multiple parameters positively correlated with HCC, but only age and baseline transient elastography remained as independent predictors in the multivariate analysis. The optimal cutoffs for prediction of HCC were baseline transient elastography 13.7 kPa, post-SVR transient elastography 16.5 and 15.8 kPa (first and last measurements, respectively), FIB-4 1.6, and aMAP 58. Baseline transient elastography revealed a fair accuracy in predicting HCC (AUC 0.776, <i>p</i> &lt; 0.001), with the cutoff of 13.7 kPa presenting a sensitivity of 85% and a specificity of 69%. Regarding patients who were F3–4 at baseline (<i>n</i> = 162), almost one-third had a baseline LSM ≤13.7 kPa (<i>n</i> = 51, 31.5%), an FIB-4 ≤1.6 (<i>n</i> = 50, 30.9%), and an aMAP score ≤58 (<i>n</i> = 48, 29.6%), and these cutoffs presented an NPV of 98%, 94%, and 96%, respectively, when considering HCC development. <b><i>Conclusion:</i></b> Transient elastography (FibroScan) before SVR was a fair predictor of HCC, being more accurate than FIB-4 and aMAP. Transient elastography values ≤13.7 kPa at baseline, FIB-4 ≤1.6 and aMAP ≤58 were the cutoffs considered of low risk for HCC in a Portuguese cohort of HCV patients after SVR with advanced fibrosis. aMAP score is a risk-based surveillance tool that could improve the current HCC screening strategy, but further validation is needed.

Shear-wave elastography to predict hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatitis C virus eradication: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) are highly effective treatment for chronic hepatitis C (CHC) with a significant rate of sustained virologic response (SVR). The achievement of SVR is crucial to prevent additional liver damage and slow down fibrosis progression. The assessment of fibrosis degree can be performed with transient elastography, magnetic resonance elastography or shear-wave elastography (SWE). Liver elastography could function as a predictor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in CHC patients treated with DAAs.

AIM

To explore the predictive value of SWE for HCC development after complete clearance of hepatitis C virus (HCV).

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search of clinical studies was performed to identify the ability of SWE to predict HCC occurrence after HCV clearance. In accordance with the study protocol, a qualitative and quantitative analysis of the evidence was planned.

RESULTS

At baseline and after 12 wk of follow-up, a trend was shown towards greater liver stiffness (LS) in those who go on to develop HCC compared to those who do not [baseline LS standardized mean difference (SMD): 1.15, 95% confidence interval (95%CI): 020-2.50; LS SMD after 12 wk: 0.83, 95%CI: 0.33-1.98]. The absence of a statistically significant difference between the mean LS in those who developed HCC or not may be related to the inability to correct for confounding factors and the absence of raw source data. There was a statistically significant LS SMD at 24 wk of follow-up between patients who developed HCC vs not (0.64; 95%CI: 0.04-1.24).

CONCLUSION

SWE could be a promising tool for prediction of HCC occurrence in patients treated with DAAs. Further studies with larger cohorts and standardized timing of elastographic evaluation are needed to confirm these data.

Predictive models for hepatocellular carcinoma development after sustained virological response in advanced hepatitis C

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Life-long hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is recommended after sustained virological response (SVR) in patients with advanced hepatitis C. Since the identification of patients who could be safely discontinued for surveillance is essential, we aimed to identify subsets of patients with low-risk HCC.

METHODS

491 patients with advanced and compensated fibrosis (≥F3) were prospectively followed after achieving SVR with interferon-free therapies. Clinical-biological parameters and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) were performed before starting treatment (ST) and at SVR, and HCC surveillance was carried out.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 49.8 months, 29 (5.9%) patients developed HCC [incidence rate: 1.6/100 patient-years (PYs)]. Two predictive models based on LSM (Model-A) or FIB-4 score (Model-B) were proposed. Only SVR parameters were included in the models, because they showed a higher accuracy for predicting HCC than ST measurements. Variables independently associated with HCC were LSM (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.01-1.05), age (HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.01-1.08) and albumin levels (HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.84-0.97) in Model-A, and FIB-4 (HR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.08-1.37) and albumin (HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.84-0.97) in model-B. Both models allow HCC risk stratification, identifying low-risk groups with an HCC incidence rate of 0.16/100 and 0.25/100 PYs, respectively. An overall increased hazard of HCC was observed over time.

CONCLUSION

Simple models based on non-invasive markers of liver fibrosis, LSM or FIB-4, together with age and albumin levels at SVR permit to identify subsets of patients with HCC risk clearly <1%/year, for whom HCC surveillance might not be cost-effective.

Prognostic value of metastatic cervical lymph node stiffness in nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVES

Extracellular matrix stiffness plays an important role in tumorigenesis. In this study, we assessed the prognostic value of metastatic cervical lymph node (CLN) stiffness measured using ultrasound shear wave elastography (SWE) in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

METHODS

A total of 325 consecutive patients with NPC and CLN metastases were prospectively enrolled in this study. The association between the CLN stiffness and patient characteristics was also evaluated. Survival analysis was performed for 307 patients with stage M0 disease. Distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) was the primary endpoint. Log-rank test and multivariate analysis were used to explore the prognostic value of CLN stiffness.

RESULTS

Eighteen patients developed distant metastases before treatment (stage M1) and had significantly higher CLN stiffness (Pt-test < 0.001) than the other patients (stage M0). For stage M0 patients, those in the high-stiffness group had lower 3-year DMFS (83.3% vs. 91.7%, P = 0.013) and 3-year progression-free survival (PFS) (78.2% vs. 87.9%, P = 0.015) than those in the low-stiffness group. Multivariate analysis identified CLN stiffness and pretreatment Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA as independent prognostic factors for DMFS and PFS. We further established stiffness-EBV risk stratification based on these two factors. The concordance index, receiver operating characteristic curve, and decision curve analyses showed that our risk stratification outperformed the TNM classification for predicting metastasis.

CONCLUSION

The stiffness of metastatic CLN is closely associated with the prognosis of patients with NPC. SWE can be used as a pretreatment examination for CLN-positive patients. A multicenter study is required to verify our results.

Fibroblasts in liver cancer: functions and therapeutic translation

Accumulation of fibroblasts in the premalignant or malignant liver is a characteristic feature of liver cancer, but has not been therapeutically leveraged despite evidence for pathophysiologically relevant roles in tumour growth. Hepatocellular carcinoma is a largely non-desmoplastic tumour, in which fibroblasts accumulate predominantly in the pre-neoplastic fibrotic liver and regulate the risk for hepatocellular carcinoma development through a balance of tumour-suppressive and tumour-promoting mediators. By contrast, cholangiocarcinoma is desmoplastic, with cancer-associated fibroblasts contributing to tumour growth. Accordingly, restoring the balance from tumour-promoting to tumour-suppressive fibroblasts and mediators might represent a strategy for hepatocellular carcinoma prevention, whereas in cholangiocarcinoma, fibroblasts and their mediators could be leveraged for tumour treatment. Importantly, fibroblast mediators regulating hepatocellular carcinoma development might exert opposite effects on cholangiocarcinoma growth. This Review translates the improved understanding of tumour-specific, location-specific, and stage-specific roles of fibroblasts and their mediators in liver cancer into novel and rational therapeutic concepts.

Profiling the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma after long-term HCV eradication in patients with liver cirrhosis in the PITER cohort

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Severe liver disease markers assessed before HCV eradication are acknowledged to usually improve after the SVR. We prospectively evaluated, in the PITER cohort, the long-term HCC risk profile based on predictors monitored after HCV eradication by direct-acting antivirals in patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

HCC occurrence was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier analysis. Cox regression analysis identified the post-treatment variables associated with de-novo HCC; their predictive power was presented in a nomogram.

RESULTS

After the end of therapy (median follow-up:28.47 months), among 2064 SVR patients, 119 (5.8%) developed de-novo HCC. The HCC incidence was 1.90%, 4.21%, 6.47% at 12-, 24- and 36-months from end-of-therapy, respectively (incidence rate 2.45/100 person-years). Age, genotype 3, diabetes, platelets (PLT)≤120,000/µl and albumin ≤3.5g/dl levels were identified as pre-treatment HCC independent predictors. Adjusting for age, the post-treatment PLT≤120,000/µl (AdjHR 1.92; 95%CI:1.06-3.45) and albumin≤3.5g/dl (AdjHR 4.38; 95%CI 2.48-7.75) values were independently associated with HCC occurrence. Two different risk profiles were identified by combining long-term post-therapy evaluation of PLT ≤ vs. >120,000/µl and albumin ≤ vs. >3.5g/dl showing a significant different HCC incidence rate of 1.35 vs. 3.77/100 p-y, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram score based on age, PLT and albumin levels after SVR showed an accurate prediction capability and may support the customizing management for early HCC detection.

Clinical application of Magnetic resonance elastography in hepatocellular carcinoma: from diagnosis to prognosis

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver cancer and a major public health problem worldwide. Liver fibrosis is closely correlated with liver functional reserve and the risk of HCC development. Meanwhile, malignant tumors generally have high cellularity compared to benign tumors, which results in increased stiffness. Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) has emerged as a new non-invasive technique for assessing tissue stiffness with excellent diagnostic accuracy, not only for assessing liver fibrosis but also for measuring tumor stiffness. Recent studies provide new evidence that MRE may play an important role in the management of patients with HCC and show several novel clinical applications, such as predicting the development of HCC, differentiating between benign/malignant liver lesions (FLL) and HCC pathological grades, assessing treatment response, and predicting recurrence after treatment, although some findings are controversial. Therefore, we conducted this review to summarize these novel applications of MRE in HCC patients and also discuss their limitations and future advancement.

Clinical and Molecular Basis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Hepatitis C Virus Eradication

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) arises in the background of chronic liver diseases, including hepatitis and liver cirrhosis caused by hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. It is well known that HCV eradication using antiviral drugs can efficiently inhibit hepatocarcinogenesis. Recent advances in and development of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) drugs has revolutionized the treatment of HCV infection, and the vast majority of HCV patients can achieve HCV eradication using DAAs. However, mounting evidence clearly indicates that HCC inevitably occurs in a subset of patients after successful viral eradication using DAA therapy. Cancer is a genetic disease, and the accumulation of genetic and epigenetic aberrations may cause hepatocarcinogenesis in chronically damaged liver, even after virus elimination. In this review, we highlight HCC development after HCV eradication and discuss the current understanding of the molecular mechanisms of tumorigenesis after virus elimination, focusing on the genetic and epigenetic background of chronically damaged liver tissues.

Predictive Factors for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Development after Direct-Acting Antiviral Treatment of HCV

Chronic hepatitis C virus infection is still one of the major risk factors for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the most frequent type of primary liver cancer. Direct-acting antivirals have substantially improved the cure rate of the virus, but the risk of hepatitis C virus-related HCC remains high, mainly in patients with advanced liver fibrosis and cirrhosis. HCC is often asymptomatic and, therefore, remains undetected until the late tumor stage, which is associated with poor survival rates. Therefore, to improve the surveillance programs following HCV eradication, there is a need to summarize predictive factors or potential biomarkers, to specifically identify patients likely to develop HCC after direct-acting antiviral treatment. This review outlines the most recent data about different predictive factors for HCC development after direct-acting antiviral treatment of hepatitis C virus-infected patients, to improve the clinical management of patients with chronic hepatitis C virus.

Risk of hepatocellular carcinoma after HCV eradication: Determining the role of portal hypertension by measuring spleen stiffness

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) eradication with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) reduces but does not eliminate the risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The development of surveillance strategies for HCC after the sustained virologic response (SVR) is therefore warranted. We aimed to evaluate the role of spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) in the prediction of HCC risk in a cohort of patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) treated with DAAs.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study of 140 patients with HCV-related ACLD successfully treated with DAAs in our centre between 2015 and 2017. Patients with available liver stiffness (LSM) and SSM before treatment and 6 months after (SVR24) were included. A Cox regression model investigated the association between SSM and HCC development.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 41.5 (IQR 32-49) months, 20 patients presented with HCC. SSM at SVR24 predicted HCC development in univariate and adjusted multivariate analysis (hazard ratio: 1.025; 95% CI: 1.001-1.050); the best cut-off was 42 kPa. Patients with LSM-SVR24 ≤10 kPa were at the lowest risk of HCC. In patients with LSM-SVR24 >10 kPa, HCC incidence was not further influenced by LSM values (10-20 kPa vs. >20 kPa), but only by SSM-SVR24 values (≤42 vs. >42 kPa).

CONCLUSIONS

Portal hypertension, as evaluated by SSM, plays a significant role in liver carcinogenesis after DAA treatment. We proposed a new algorithm based on post-treatment values of LSM and SSM for the stratification of HCC risk after SVR achievement.

LAY SUMMARY

Spleen stiffness predicts the development of hepatocellular carcinoma after viral eradication, especially in patients with post-treatment liver stiffness values >10 kPa. An algorithm based on liver and spleen stiffness can stratify for the risk of liver cancer development and guide the surveillance strategies after treatment with direct-acting antivirals.

Viral Manipulation of the Host Epigenome as a Driver of Virus-Induced Oncogenesis

Tumorigenesis due to viral infection accounts for a high fraction of the total global cancer burden (15–20%) of all human cancers. A comprehensive understanding of the mechanisms by which viral infection leads to tumor development is extremely important. One of the main mechanisms by which viruses induce host cell proliferation programs is through controlling the host’s epigenetic machinery. In this review, we dissect the epigenetic pathways through which oncogenic viruses can integrate their genome into host cell chromosomes and lead to tumor progression. In addition, we highlight the potential use of drugs based on histone modifiers in reducing the global impact of cancer development due to viral infection.

The role of liver and spleen elastography in advanced chronic liver disease

Portal hypertension is the main driver of complications in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). In the last decade, many non-invasive tests, such us liver and spleen elastography, have been proposed and validated for the identification of patients with clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) and its complications, mainly hepatic decompensation and liver-related morbidity and mortality. Moreover, elastography accurately stratifies for the risk of HCC development, HCC recurrence and decompensation after liver surgery. Recent studies suggest a role of SSM in monitoring response to treatments and interventions in ACLD, such as viral eradication, non-selective beta-blockers and transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt placement. However, one of the most indications to perform elastography in ACLD still remains the screening for esophageal varices. In fact, according to the Baveno VI consensus, liver stiffness measurement (LSM) <20 kPa and platelet count >150,000/mm³ can safely identify patients at low risk of varices requiring treatment (VNT) and could therefore avoid invasive upper invasive endoscopy; LSM>20-25 kPa can accurately rule-in CSPH in patients with viral etiology. Spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) is a direct surrogate of portal hypertension and has been demonstrated more accurate in predicting portal hypertension severity and VNT. A combined model including Baveno VI Criteria and SSM (≤46 kPa) can significantly increase the number of spared endoscopies (>40-50%), maintaining a low (<5%) of missed VNT.

Approaches to the Diagnosis of Portal Hypertension: Non-Invasive or Invasive Tests?

Portal hypertension is the main driver of complications in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) and is defined by values of hepatic venous pressure gradient measurement (HVPG) >5 mmHg. Values of HVPG ≥10 mmHg determine the presence of clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH), the main predictor of the risk of variceal bleeding, hepatic decompensation, and mortality. However, its measurement is invasive and requires high expertise, so its routine use outside third level centers or clinical trials is limited. In the last decades, several non-invasive tests (NITs) have been developed and validated for the diagnosis of portal hypertension. Among these, liver (LSM) and spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) are the most promising tools available, as they have been proven accurate to predict CSPH, high-risk esophageal varices, decompensation, and mortality in patients with ACLD. In the last Baveno VI Consensus proceedings, LSM evaluation was recommended for the first time for diagnosis of CSPH (LSM >20-25 kPa) and the screening of patients with a low probability of having high-risk varices (LSM <20 kPa and platelet count >150.000/mm³). In this review, we aimed to summarize the growing evidence supporting the use of non-invasive tests for the evaluation of portal hypertension in patients with chronic liver disease.