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Govindan S, Spicer A, Bearce M, Schaefer RS, Uhl A, Alterovitz G, Kim MJ, Carey KA, Shah NS, Winslow C, Gilbert E, Stey A, Weiss AM, Amin D, Karway G, Martin J, Edelson DP, Churpek MM. Development and Validation of a Machine Learning COVID-19 Veteran (COVet) Deterioration Risk Score. Crit Care Explor 2024; 6:e1116. [PMID: 39028867 PMCID: PMC11262818 DOI: 10.1097/cce.0000000000001116] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 07/21/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE To develop the COVid Veteran (COVet) score for clinical deterioration in Veterans hospitalized with COVID-19 and further validate this model in both Veteran and non-Veteran samples. No such score has been derived and validated while incorporating a Veteran sample. DERIVATION COHORT Adults (age ≥ 18 yr) hospitalized outside the ICU with a diagnosis of COVID-19 for model development to the Veterans Health Administration (VHA) (n = 80 hospitals). VALIDATION COHORT External validation occurred in a VHA cohort of 34 hospitals, as well as six non-Veteran health systems for further external validation (n = 21 hospitals) between 2020 and 2023. PREDICTION MODEL eXtreme Gradient Boosting machine learning methods were used, and performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and compared with the National Early Warning Score (NEWS). The primary outcome was transfer to the ICU or death within 24 hours of each new variable observation. Model predictor variables included demographics, vital signs, structured flowsheet data, and laboratory values. RESULTS A total of 96,908 admissions occurred during the study period, of which 59,897 were in the Veteran sample and 37,011 were in the non-Veteran sample. During external validation in the Veteran sample, the model demonstrated excellent discrimination, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.88. This was significantly higher than NEWS (0.79; p < 0.01). In the non-Veteran sample, the model also demonstrated excellent discrimination (0.86 vs. 0.79 for NEWS; p < 0.01). The top three variables of importance were eosinophil percentage, mean oxygen saturation in the prior 24-hour period, and worst mental status in the prior 24-hour period. CONCLUSIONS We used machine learning methods to develop and validate a highly accurate early warning score in both Veterans and non-Veterans hospitalized with COVID-19. The model could lead to earlier identification and therapy, which may improve outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sushant Govindan
- MInDSET Service Line, Kansas City Veterans Affairs Hospital, Kansas City, MO
| | - Alexandra Spicer
- Division of Allergy, Pulmonary, and Critical Care Division, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
| | - Matthew Bearce
- MInDSET Service Line, Kansas City Veterans Affairs Hospital, Kansas City, MO
| | - Richard S. Schaefer
- MInDSET Service Line, Kansas City Veterans Affairs Hospital, Kansas City, MO
| | - Andrea Uhl
- MInDSET Service Line, Kansas City Veterans Affairs Hospital, Kansas City, MO
| | - Gil Alterovitz
- Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
- Office of Research and Development, Department of Veterans Affairs, Washington, DC
| | - Michael J. Kim
- Office of Research and Development, Department of Veterans Affairs, Washington, DC
| | - Kyle A. Carey
- Section of General Internal Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL
| | - Nirav S. Shah
- Department of Medicine, NorthShore University HealthSystem, Evanston, IL
| | | | - Emily Gilbert
- Department of Medicine, Loyola University Medical Center, Maywood, IL
| | - Anne Stey
- Department of Surgery, Northwestern University School of Medicine, Chicago, IL
| | - Alan M. Weiss
- Section of Critical Care, Baycare Health System, Clearwater, FL
| | - Devendra Amin
- Section of Critical Care, Baycare Health System, Clearwater, FL
| | - George Karway
- Division of Allergy, Pulmonary, and Critical Care Division, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
| | - Jennie Martin
- Division of Allergy, Pulmonary, and Critical Care Division, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
| | - Dana P. Edelson
- Section of Hospital Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL
| | - Matthew M. Churpek
- Division of Allergy, Pulmonary, and Critical Care Division, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
- Department of Biostatistics and Medical Informatics, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
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Inoue M, Takemura Y, Kitamura A, Isobe T. The process through which nurses providing care to COVID-19 patients recognize professional growth: A Trajectory Equifinality Model. Jpn J Nurs Sci 2024; 21:e12577. [PMID: 38073186 DOI: 10.1111/jjns.12577] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/06/2023] [Revised: 10/23/2023] [Accepted: 10/31/2023] [Indexed: 04/04/2024]
Abstract
AIM This study investigated the ways in which nurses caring for COVID-19 patients during the pandemic's early stages recognized professional growth through their experiences and continued working for several years, as well as the key experiences for identifying professional growth, external factors, and career intentions. METHODS We used a qualitative research method called the Trajectory Equifinality Model (TEM). The participants were nine nurses caring for COVID-19 patients during the pandemic's early stages and had already recognized professional growth through a series of experiences. We constructed a TEM diagram based on two interviews per participant (in February-March, and July-August 2022). RESULTS The process by which the participants recognized professional growth through a series of experiences was divided into Phases 1-4. The participants experienced adversity in Phases 1 and 3, and the following professional growth in Phases 2 and 4: gaining confidence as a nurse performing tasks of great social significance by acquiring the ability to fulfill my roles and realizing I could use the skills I had acquired by providing nursing care to COVID-19 patients in other situations, respectively. The key experiences for identifying professional growth as well as the inhibiting and facilitating factors of the process differed depending on the phase. The participants' career intention was wanting to continue to be involved in nursing by utilizing the skills and experience I have accumulated. CONCLUSION Managers and directors of nursing should provide appropriate support in each phase to help nurses recognize their professional growth during emerging epidemics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maho Inoue
- Department of Nursing Administration, Division of Health Sciences and Nursing, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
- Gerontological Nursing, Department of Nursing, School of Medicine, Yokohama City University, Kanagawa, Japan
| | - Yukie Takemura
- Nursing Department, The University of Tokyo Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Aya Kitamura
- Department of Nursing Administration, Division of Health Sciences and Nursing, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
- Global Nursing Research Center, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Tamaki Isobe
- Department of Nursing Administration, Division of Health Sciences and Nursing, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
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Chen F, Li L, Li J, Guo H, Cao X, Gong S. Development of Infectious Disease Emergency Response Competencies for Nurses in China: A Delphi Study and an Analytic Hierarchy Process. J Nurs Manag 2023; 2023:9952280. [PMID: 40225670 PMCID: PMC11918512 DOI: 10.1155/2023/9952280] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/12/2022] [Revised: 02/03/2023] [Accepted: 04/20/2023] [Indexed: 04/15/2025]
Abstract
Aim To develop a set of infectious disease emergency response competencies specific to frontline nurses in China. Background Nurses play an important role in the infectious disease emergency response. Competency-based training is the cornerstone of the professionalization of disaster rescue, including the infectious disease emergency response. Accordingly, reaching a consensus on a set of core competencies is essential. However, information regarding the competencies needed for nurses in the infectious disease emergency response is limited. Methods A literature review and in-depth expert interviews were conducted to establish a draft of competencies, which consisted of 53 items, including 3 first-level index items, 12 second-level index items, and 38 third-level index items. Eighteen experts with the knowledge of infectious disease management and experience with infectious disease emergency rescue from different regions in China were recruited for Delphi consultation. A two-round Delphi survey was conducted via email. Consensus was defined as a mean importance value >4.5 and the coefficient of variation <0.25 among the experts. Finally, the analytic hierarchy process was used to determine the weight of each index on which consensus had been reached. Results An index system of infectious disease emergency response competencies for nurses was constructed, including 3 first-level indices (knowledge, attitudes, and skills), 10 second-level indices, and 32 third-level indices. The response rates of the two rounds of the Delphi survey were both 100%, and the authority coefficient of the 18 experts was 0.903. The weighted value of each index was established with a consistency ratio <0.1, demonstrating that skill (0.5396) ranked first among the three first-level indices, followed by knowledge (0.2970) and attitudes (0.1634). Conclusion The study developed a consensus on infectious disease emergency response competencies required for nurses in China, which provides guidance for the assessment and training of nurses on infectious disease emergency response. Implications for Nursing Management. According to the competency index system, nursing managers could develop effective training programs of infectious disease emergency response competency for nurses and select competent nurses for emergency response to infectious diseases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fengjiao Chen
- Department of Hematology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University/West China School of Nursing, Sichuan University, #37 Guo Xue Xiang Street, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan, China
| | - Li Li
- Intelligence Library Center, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, #37 Guo Xue Xiang Street, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan, China
| | - Jiping Li
- Department of Nursing, West China Hospital, Sichuan University/West China School of Nursing, Sichuan University, #37 Guo Xue Xiang Street, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan, China
| | - Hongxia Guo
- West China Hospital, Sichuan University/West China School of Nursing, Sichuan University, #37 Guo Xue Xiang Street, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan, China
| | - Xiaoyi Cao
- Department of Nursing, West China Hospital, Sichuan University/West China School of Nursing, Sichuan University, #37 Guo Xue Xiang Street, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan, China
| | - Shu Gong
- Department of Nursing, West China Hospital, Sichuan University/West China School of Nursing, Sichuan University, #37 Guo Xue Xiang Street, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan, China
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Wang A, Wu F, Lin C, Wu M, Jia S, Guo Y, Zhang W, Huang F. An online 5-week professional identity program for nursing student in clinical rotation practice during the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic: A two-arm randomized trial. Nurse Educ Pract 2023; 68:103598. [PMID: 36906948 PMCID: PMC9996458 DOI: 10.1016/j.nepr.2023.103598] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/23/2022] [Revised: 01/18/2023] [Accepted: 02/15/2023] [Indexed: 03/11/2023]
Abstract
AIM Development and evaluation of the effectiveness of an online 5-week professional identity program among nursing students in clinical internship practice during the COVID-19 restrictions. BACKGROUND Nurse professional identity is a strong predictor of career commitment. Clinical internship practice is a key stage when nursing students build and rebuild their professional identity. Meanwhile, the COVID-19 restrictions has strongly influenced the professional identity of nursing students as well as nursing education. A well-designed online professional identity program may contribute to nursing students who are in clinical internship practice developing positive professional identity during the COVID-19 restrictions. DESIGN The study was a two-armed, randomised, controlled trial conducted and reported based on Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials (CONSORT) 2010 guidelines. METHODS A total of 111 nursing students undergoing clinical internship were randomised into an intervention group and a control group. The five-weekly session intervention was developed based on social identity theory and career self-efficacy theory. The primary outcomes were professional identity and professional self-efficacy and the second outcome was stress. Qualitative feedback was analysed by thematic analysis. Outcomes were assessed before and after the intervention and analysed using an intention-to-treat principle. RESULTS The generalised linear model showed that group-by-time effects were significant for the total score of professional identity and three factors of professional self-image, social comparison and self-reflection and independence of career choice, with small effect sizes (Cohen's d from 0.38 to 0.48). Only one factor of the capacity of information collection and planning in professional self-efficacy was significant (Wald χ2 =0.4.82, P < 0.01) with a medium effect size (Cohen d=0.73). The group effect, time effect and group-by-time effect of stress were not significant. Three themes were: 'Gaining in professional identity, self-recognition and peer belonging'; 'Content, self-motivation and intervenor as participation facilitators'; and 'Combining offline and courses, setting group rules and building mutual trust as recommendations'. CONCLUSIONS The online 5-week professional identity program effectively promoted the development of professional identity and the capacity for information collection and career planning but did not significantly relieve pressure during the internship.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anni Wang
- School of Nursing, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
| | - Fulei Wu
- School of Nursing, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
| | - Cen Lin
- School of Nursing, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
| | - Ming Wu
- School of Nursing, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
| | - Shoumei Jia
- School of Nursing, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
| | - Yufang Guo
- School of Nursing and Rehabilitation, Shandong University, Jinan, China.
| | - Wen Zhang
- School of Nursing and Health Studies, Hong Kong Metropolitan University, Hong Kong, China.
| | - Feifei Huang
- School of Nursing, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.
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