'There's too much power in this number. It's freaking the whole response out': The views of key informants on evidence and targets to achieve hepatitis C elimination goals in Australia

The 'missing' in the 'endgame' of hepatitis C elimination: A qualitative study in New South Wales, Australia

INTRODUCTION

After a promising start in Australia, elimination efforts for hepatitis C are not on track. Following the global campaign to 'find the missing' in hepatitis C response, this qualitative study explores stakeholder perspectives on the 'missing' in the 'endgame' of hepatitis elimination in the state of New South Wales, Australia.

METHOD

Twenty-eight key informants working in New South Wales, elsewhere in Australia and internationally in high income countries participated in a semi-structured qualitative interview. Analysis examined key informant accounts of the 'missing' in efforts to eliminate hepatitis C.

RESULTS

Participants' accounts framed the missing in relation to epidemiological knowledge, making-up four population categories 'missing' or 'missed' in hepatitis C response. In turn, accounts situated the missing in relation to where and how individuals were presumed to connect, or not, with existing health-care infrastructures. This gave rise to concerns about the capacity of health services to be made available for those at risk or in need, with systems said to create opportunities for people to 'miss out' on hepatitis C services.

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS

The 'missing' in the 'endgame' of hepatitis C elimination effort is not simply a function of who-populations missed-but of where and how, that is, situation and context. Our findings encourage a focus on how services, systems and contexts may create situations in which people become missed or are 'made missing' from care. We therefore advocate for a systemic, and not only population-based, approach in the final push towards hepatitis C's elimination.

In search of a 'good number': knowledge controversy and population estimates in the endgame of hepatitis C elimination

We explore the contentious life of a metric used to assess a country's progress in relation to global disease elimination targets. Our topic is hepatitis C elimination, and our context is Australia. A fundamental metric in the calculation of progress toward hepatitis C elimination targets, as set by the WHO, is the population prevalence of people living with hepatitis C. In Australia, this modelled estimate has generated some controversy, largely through its repeated downsizing as an effect of calculus. The 2015 baseline population estimate in Australia, from which measures of current elimination progress are assessed, has reduced, over time, by around 30%. Informed by a social study of science approach, we used qualitative interviews with 32 experts to explore the knowledge controversy. The controversy is narrated through the core concerns of 'scale' and 'care', with narratives aligning differently to imaginaries of 'science' and 'community'. We trace how constitutions of 'estimate' and 'number' circulate in relation to 'population' and 'people', and as affective values. We show how enactments of estimates and numbers materialise hepatitis elimination in different ways, with policy implications. The event of the knowledge controversy opens up the social and political life of enumerations-for science and community-inviting deliberation on how to make 'good numbers' in the race to eliminate hepatitis C.