Long-term outcomes of second treatment after initial transarterial chemoembolization in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Machine-learning analysis of contrast-enhanced computed tomography radiomics predicts patients with hepatocellular carcinoma who are unsuitable for initial transarterial chemoembolization monotherapy: A multicenter study

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Patients who are unsuitable for chemoembolization could progress with extrahepatic spread or vascular invasion after initial chemoembolization monotherapy.

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A radiomics signature based on the machine learning algorithm was identified.

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The signature combined with clinicoradiologicial predictors could predict TACE-unsuitable patients.

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The combined model showed improved predictive performance compared with the model without radiomics signature.

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The combined model could stratify patients into three strata with a low, intermediate, or high risk in training and external testing sets.

Introduction

Due to the high heterogeneity of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), patients with non-advanced disease who are unsuitable for initial transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) monotherapy may have the potential to develop extrahepatic spread or vascular invasion. We aimed to develop and independently validate a radiomics-based model for predicting which patients will develop extrahepatic spread or vascular invasion after initial TACE monotherapy (EVIT).

Materials and methods

This retrospective study included 256 HCC patients (training set: n = 136; testing set: n = 120) who underwent TACE as initial therapy between April 2007 and June 2018. Clinicoradiological predictors were selected using multivariate logistic regression and a clinicoradiological model was constructed. The radiomic features were extracted from contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) images and a radiomics signature was constructed based on a machine learning algorithm. A combined model integrated clinicoradiological predictor and radiomics signature was developed. The predictive performance of the two models was evaluated and compared based on its discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness.

Results

In the training set, 34 (25.0%) patients were confirmed to have EVIT, whereas 26 (21.7%) patients in the testing set had EVIT. When the radiomics signature was added, the combined model showed improved discrimination performance compared to the clinicoradiological model (area under the curves [AUCs] 0.911 vs. 0.772 in the training set; AUCs 0.847 vs. 0.746 in the testing set) and could divide HCC patients into three strata of low, intermediate, or high risk in the two sets. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the two models were clinically useful, and the combined model provided greater benefits for discriminating patients than the clinicoradiological model.

Conclusions

This study presents a model that integrates clinicoradiological predictors and CT-based radiomics signature that could provide a preoperative individualized prediction of EVIT in patients with HCC.

Lack of Response to Transarterial Chemoembolization for Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Abandon or Repeat?

Background Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is the standard treatment for intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). It is unknown whether conventional TACE (cTACE) should be continued or abandoned after initial nonresponse for intermediate-stage HCC. The optimal number of sessions before abandoning cTACE remains debated. Purpose To define the number of sessions that patients who do not respond to treatment (hereafter, nonresponders, with stable disease [SD] or progressive disease [PD]) should undergo before abandoning cTACE. Materials and Methods Patients with intermediate-stage HCC and Child-Pugh A liver function who underwent consecutive cTACE sessions between January 2005 and December 2012 were retrospectively included from three centers. Radiologic response rate to each session and its correlation with overall survival were evaluated. Response was assessed by modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors. A nomogram constructed by using tumor size, tumor capsule, and α-fetoprotein to predict patients who responded to treatment (hereafter, responders) was validated with sensitivity and specificity. Results This study evaluated 4154 patients (mean age, 58 years ± 6 [standard deviation]; 3777 men; primary cohort, 3442 patients [mean age, 58 years ± 6; 3129 men]; validation cohort, 712 patients [mean age, 58 years ± 7; 648 men]). Response rate to first cTACE was 35.6% (1227 of 3442, primary cohort) and 36.7% (261 of 712, validation cohort). For patients with SD who were nonresponders to first cTACE, the response rates after second cTACE were 46.1% (719 of 1560) and 48.4% (147 of 304); for patients with SD who were nonresponders to the second cTACE session, the response rates after the third cTACE session were 58.3% (591 of 1014) and 48.5% (98 of 202). For patients with SD who were nonresponders to third, fourth, and fifth cTACE sessions, response rates after fourth, fifth, and sixth cTACE sessions were less than 10%. All response rates in patients with PD who were nonresponders to the next cTACE were less than 5%. Responders to first, second, and third cTACE had higher 5-year overall survival than nonresponders (all P < .001) but responders to the fourth cTACE did not (P = .21). The sensitivity and specificity of a nomogram predicted responders to third cTACE: 75.0% and 79.4% (internal validation) and 78.6% and 87.0% (external validation), respectively. Conclusion Three sessions were recommended before abandoning conventional transarterial embolization (cTACE) for intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma. The nomogram developed in this study identified responders to third cTACE. © RSNA, 2021 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Georgiades in this issue.

Image-Based Analysis of Tumor Localization After Intra-Arterial Delivery of Technetium-99m-Labeled SPIO Using SPECT/CT and MRI

The aim of this study is to evaluate the localization of ^99mTc-labeled dextran-coated superparamagnetic iron oxide (SPIO) nanoparticles to the liver tumor using image-based analysis. We delivered ^99mTc-SPIO intravenously or intra-arterially (IA) with/without Lipiodol to compare the tumor localization by gamma scintigraphy, single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT), and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in a rabbit liver tumor. The gamma and SPECT image-based analysis shows that the uptake ratio of the tumor to the normal liver parenchyma is highest after delivery of ^99mTc-SPIO with Lipiodol IA and that well correlates with the trend of the signal decrease in the liver MRIs. Intra-arterial delivery of SPIO with Lipiodol might be a good drug delivery system targeting the hepatic tumors, as confirmed by image-based analysis.

All-treatment array of hepatocellular carcinoma from initial diagnosis to death: observation of cumulative treatments

PURPOSE

In clinical practice, most patients with hepatocellular carcinoma require subsequent treatments for remaining, progressing, or recurring tumors. We investigated all-treatment array and outcomes in an HCC cohort from initial diagnosis to death.

METHODS

We enrolled 1687 consecutive patients with HCC who underwent initial diagnosis and treatment at the National Cancer Center, Korea, from January 2004 to December 2009.

RESULTS

In total, 1357 patients (80.4%) showed RPRTs during median 20.4-month follow-up. Initial transplantation resulted in the least rate (32.3%) of RPRTs. Median treatment frequency was 3.0 times (range 1-20) and 382 patients (27.3%) received treatments ≥6 times. The median treatment frequency was different based on four factors (p < 0.05): age, tumor stage, tumor type and initial treatment modality. Patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0 received less frequent treatments. As the stage progressed from 0 to B, the median treatment frequency increased. Radiofrequency ablation as initial treatment was associated with the longest median treatment interval at 19.0 weeks, followed by resection at 14.1 weeks. The median treatment interval was significantly shorter as the stage progressed (p < 0.01). TACE was most frequently performed for RPRTs; the median number of subsequent TACE was 3 (range 1-19). Subsequent treatment array was very heterogeneous, and no certain pattern was found.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that the survival outcome of patients with HCC is based on the results of cumulative multiple treatments rather than an initial treatment. It is time to consider prospective studies evaluating sequential treatment array of HCC.

Target lesion response predicts survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma retreated with transarterial chemoembolization

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The discontinuation rules of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) for patients who were assessed as progressive disease (PD) but stage progression-free (SP-free: still belongs to Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer B) after TACE are unclear. We aimed to evaluate the impact of the PD-pattern on the survival of these patients retreated with TACE.

METHODS

In total, 115 consecutive patients who were assessed as PD but SP-free after TACE and then underwent at least one subsequent TACE session were included. Sixty patients were assessed as PD with target lesion progression (TP), and 55 patients were assessed as PD with target lesion non-progression (TNP). Survival and treatment-related adverse events were compared between the two groups. Additional external validation was performed using a data set (n = 103) from another institution.

RESULTS

Patients with TNP had significantly longer median post-progression survival (PPS) than those with TP (21.0 vs. 11.9 months, P = 0.004). After TACE retreatment, the incidence of liver dysfunction was significantly higher for patients with TP than for patients with TNP (45% vs. 20%, P = 0.031). In the multivariate analysis, the target lesion response was one of the most significant prognostic factors for PPS (HR = 2.01; 95% confidence interval: 1.23-3.27; P = 0.005). The findings were supported by an independent external cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared to patients with TNP, patients with TP might exhibit no improvement in survival and even present damaged liver function after retreatment with TACE. Target lesion response is useful as a clinical decision for repeated TACE in these patients.

Korean Version of a Model to Estimate Survival in Ambulatory Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma (K-MESIAH)

Background and Aim

A model to estimate survival in ambulatory hepatocellular carcinoma patients (MESIAH) is useful for estimating patient prognosis but needs improvement for Korean patients, most of whom have a hepatitis B virus. We aimed to modify the MESIAH for better prognostication through enhancing calibration for Korean patient population (K-MESIAH).

Methods

Utilizing a cohort of 1,969 hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients from the National Cancer Center of Korea between 2004 and 2009, a survival prediction model was developed using the Cox proportional hazards model. The model’s performance was evaluated using C-statistical and χ²-statistical analyses. External validation was performed using an independent cohort of 328 patients from the Seoul National University Bundang Hospital.

Results

To develop the K-MESIAH, etiology was added to the original risk factors (age, Model for Endstage Liver Disease, albumin, size of the largest nodule, number of tumor nodules, vascular invasion, metastasis, and alpha fetoprotein) in the MESIAH. From the internal validation study, the C-statistics and χ²-statistics for one-, three-, and five-years of survival were 0.83 (95% Confidence Interval: 0.82−0.85), 49.07; 0.81 (95% Confidence Interval: 0.79−0.82), 28.95; and 0.80 (95% Confidence Interval: 0.79−0.81), 20.93, respectively. The K-MESIAH also showed a high prediction ability for the external validation cohort.

Conclusions

A survival prediction model for Korean HCC patients was developed and validated to have a high level of performance. This K-MESIAH may be more useful in clinical practice and personalized care in a hepatitis B virus endemic area.