Identifying validity evidence for uncertainty tolerance scales: A systematic review

'I was uncertain, but I was acting on it': A longitudinal qualitative study of medical students' responses to uncertainty

PURPOSE

Uncertainty is ubiquitous within medical practice. Accordingly, how individuals respond to uncertainty, termed uncertainty tolerance (UT), is increasingly considered a medical graduate competency. Despite this, aspects of the UT construct are debated, which may relate to research focused on measuring UT, rather than understanding students' experiences. Therefore, we asked (1) how do medical students describe their responses to uncertainty, (2) how (if at all) do described responses change over time and (3) how do described responses contribute to understanding the UT construct.

METHODS

Engaging an interpretivist worldview, we conducted a longitudinal qualitative study throughout 2020 with 41 clinical medical students at an Australian medical school. Participants completed reflective diary entries across six in-semester time-points (n = 41, 40, 39, 38, 37 and 35) and semi-structured interviews at the end of both semesters (n = 20 per semester). We analysed data using framework analysis.

RESULTS

Although participants communicated accepting health care uncertainties, described cognitive appraisals of uncertainty ranged from threatening (e.g. challenging credibility) to opportunistic (e.g. for learning and growth). Emotions in response to uncertainty were predominately described in negative terms, including worry and anxiety. Participants described a range of maladaptive and adaptive behavioural responses, including avoiding versus actively engaging with uncertainty. Despite describing typically negative emotions across time, participants' cognitive and behavioural response descriptions shifted from self-doubt and avoidance, towards acceptance of, and engagement despite uncertainty.

CONCLUSIONS

Students' descriptions of responses to uncertainty suggest existing UT conceptualisations may not holistically reflect medical students' experiences of what it means to be uncertainty 'tolerant', especially pertaining to conceptualisations of 'tolerance' centred on emotions (e.g. stress) rather than how uncertainty is ultimately managed. Extending from this study, the field could consider redefining characteristics of uncertainty 'tolerance' to focus on adaptive cognitive and behavioural responses, rather than emotional responses as key indicators of 'tolerance'.

Twelve tips for developing healthcare learners' uncertainty tolerance

BACKGROUND

Uncertainty is pervasive throughout healthcare practice. Uncertainty tolerance (i.e. adaptively responding to perceived uncertainty) is considered to benefit practitioner wellbeing, encourage person-centred care, and support judicious healthcare resource utilisation. Accordingly, uncertainty tolerance development is increasingly referenced within training frameworks. Practical approaches to support healthcare learners' uncertainty tolerance development, however, are lacking.

AIMS

Drawing on findings across the literature, and the authors' educational experiences, twelve tips for promoting healthcare learners' uncertainty tolerance were developed.

RESULTS

Tips are divided into 1. Tips for Learners, 2. Tips for Educators and Supervisors, and 3. Tips for Healthcare Education Institutions and Systems. Each tip summarises relevant research findings, alongside applications to educational practice.

CONCLUSIONS

Approaches to developing uncertainty tolerance balance factors supporting learners through uncertain experiences, with introducing challenges for learners to further develop uncertainty tolerance. These tips can reassure healthcare education stakeholders that developing learner uncertainty tolerance, alongside core knowledge, is achievable.

Uncertainty tolerance scales: Weighing up the research

Patel and Hancock explore the uncertainty tolerance literature to determine how it ties in with quantitive scales developed to measure uncertainty tolerance.

Finding Themselves, Their Place, Their Way: Uncertainties Identified by Medical Students

Phenomenon: Navigating uncertainty is a core skill when practicing medicine. Increasingly, the need to better prepare medical students for uncertainty has been recognized. Our current understanding of medical students' perspectives on uncertainty is primarily based on quantitative studies with limited qualitative research having been performed to date. We need to know from where and how sources of uncertainty can arise so that educators can better support medical students learning to respond to uncertainty. This research's aim was to describe the sources of uncertainty that medical students identify in their education. Approach: Informed by our previously published framework of clinical uncertainty, we designed and distributed a survey to second, fourth-, and sixth-year medical students at the University of Otago, Aotearoa New Zealand. Between February and May 2019, 716 medical students were invited to identify sources of uncertainty encountered in their education to date. We used reflexive thematic analysis to analyze responses. Findings: Four-hundred-sixty-five participants completed the survey (65% response rate). We identified three major sources of uncertainty: insecurities, role confusion, and navigating learning environments. Insecurities related to students' doubts about knowledge and capabilities, which were magnified by comparing themselves to peers. Role confusion impacted upon students' ability to learn, meet the expectations of others, and contribute to patient care. Navigating the educational, social, and cultural features of clinical and non-clinical learning environments resulted in uncertainty as students faced new environments, hierarchies, and identified challenges with speaking up. Insights: This study provides an in-depth understanding of the wide range of sources of medical students' uncertainties, encompassing how they see themselves, their roles, and their interactions with their learning environments. These results enhance our theoretical understanding of the complexity of uncertainty in medical education. Insights from this research can be applied by educators to better support students develop the skills to respond to a core element of medical practice.