New-onset atrial fibrillation incidence and associated outcomes in the medical intensive care unit

A systematic review on the influence of coagulopathy and immune activation on New Onset Atrial Fibrillation in patients with sepsis

INTRODUCTION

New Onset Atrial Fibrillation (NOAF) is the most common arrhythmia in intensive care. Complications of NOAF include thromboembolic events such as myocardial infarction and stroke, which contribute to a greater risk of mortality. Inflammatory and coagulation biomarkers in sepsis are thought to be associated with NOAF development. The aim of this systematic review and narrative synthesis is to identify inflammatory and coagulation biomarkers as predisposing risk factors for NOAF in sepsis.

METHODS

Three databases (Medline, Cochrane Library, and Scopus) were searched using a predefined search strategy. Inclusion / exclusion criteria were applied, and quality assessments were performed using the Newcastle Ottawa Scale (NOS).

RESULTS

We identified 1776 articles; and 12 articles were included in this review. 8 articles were retrospective observational studies and 4 were prospective observational studies. There was considerable heterogeneity between studies regarding outcomes, methodological design, quality, definitions and reported biomarkers of interest. There is evidence that C-reactive protein (CRP) is associated with NOAF, with hazard ratios 3.33 (3.32-3.35) p = 0.001 and odds ratios of 1.011 (1.008-1.014) p<0.001. International Normalised Ratio (INR) and fibrinogen may be associated with NOAF with odds ratios reported as 1.837 (1.270-2.656) p = 0.001 and 1.535(1.232-1.914) p<0.001 respectively.

CONCLUSION

Further research is required to confirm the association between inflammatory and coagulation biomarkers and the development of NOAF in sepsis. A broader evidence base will guide treatment strategies, improving the standard of care for patients who develop NOAF in sepsis. Furthermore, given the heterogeneity between studies consideration should be given to inclusion of immune biomarkers in future core outcome sets for trials investigating NOAF.

Does Atrial Fibrillation Deteriorate the Prognosis in Patients With Septic or Cardiogenic Shock?

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with increased risk of mortality in various clinical conditions. However, the prognostic role of preexisting and new-onset AF in critically ill patients, such as patients with septic or cardiogenic shock remains unclear. This study investigates the prognostic impact of preexisting and new-onset AF on 30-day all-cause mortality in patients with septic or cardiogenic shock. Consecutive patients with sepsis, or septic or cardiogenic shock were enrolled in 2 prospective, monocentric registries from 2019 to 2021. Statistical analyses included Kaplan-Meier, multivariable logistic, and Cox proportional regression analyses. In total, 644 patients were included (cardiogenic shock: n = 273; sepsis/septic shock: n = 361). The prevalence of AF was 41% (29% with preexisting AF, 12% with new-onset AF). Within the entire study cohort, neither preexisting AF (log-rank p = 0.542; hazard ratio [HR] 1.075, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.848 to 1.363, p = 0.551) nor new-onset AF (log-rank p = 0.782, HR = 0.957, 95% CI 0.683 to 1.340, p = 0.797) were associated with 30-day all-cause mortality compared with non-AF. In patients with AF, ventricular rates >120 beats/min compared with ≤120 beats/min were shown to increase the risk of reaching the primary end point in AF patients with cardiogenic shock (log-rank p = 0.006, HR 1.886, 95% CI 1.164 to 3.057, p = 0.010). Furthermore, logistic regression analyses suggested increased age was the only predictor of new-onset AF (odds ratio 1.042, 95% CI 1.018 to 1.066, p = 0.001). In conclusion, neither the presence of preexisting AF nor the occurrence of new-onset AF was associated with the risk of 30-day all-cause mortality in consecutive patients admitted with cardiogenic shock.